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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 13, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Grizzlies34%102103
4Mavericks66%107110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
25.6
9.0
10
33%
7
3
0
0
1
3
3
4
4-5
80%
3-13
2-4
23%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.4
24.1
24.9
14
53%
1
6
4
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
1-7
14%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.2
23.4
29.0
12
56%
1
0
2
1
1
3
0
1
2-4
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
23.4
22.4
5
36%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.1
22.6
28.8
12
65%
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
5-5
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.0
25.4
23.2
11
94%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-5
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
25.4
7.3
27
70%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
11-16
1-3
69%
45%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.6
24.6
26.2
6
60%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
50%
2-2
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.8
23.9
21.3
2
25%
5
6
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.4
15.1
24.5
4
53%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-2
5-10
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
6.4
3.6
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
8.8
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
48.0
38.5
30
69%
8
7
4
2
0
3
3
5
6-6
100%
12-17
7-14
71%
49%
0-2
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
37.6
29.6
8
44%
7
9
4
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.2
36.5
31.5
25
79%
4
4
0
1
0
5
1
3
3-4
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
4-6
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.1
31.4
16.0
9
38%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.8
27.0
35.0
11
51%
10
0
1
1
3
0
2
8
3-4
75%
4-9
7-13
44%
49%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
32.0
29.5
18
76%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
8-10
6-11
80%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
22.1
24.0
7
40%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.8
3.0
9.5
2
53%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
2.4
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.1
11.2
0
1-3
50%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.1
5.4
0
1-2
44%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28.0
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.