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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nets42%9184
12Heat58%9396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.4
30.4
27.4
0
0%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.1
22.5
24.0
9
41%
3
3
5
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.8
21.6
27.6
18
82%
2
1
0
1
0
6
2
0
0-0
-
6-8
5-9
75%
50%
2-3
67%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
21.6
26.2
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.3
20.0
22.4
8
43%
8
2
0
1
1
3
3
5
2-5
40%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 21.6
25.5
17.5
12
54%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-7
86%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.8
24.6
21.6
13
49%
7
2
4
1
1
0
0
7
5-5
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
24.1
14.0
5
33%
8
2
2
0
0
3
5
3
3-6
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Tamar Slay
G · 6'8" 220 · 24.0
23.2
11.0
9
32%
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
4-12
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.3
15.8
21.9
5
31%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
1-4
25%
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
10.7
13.2
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
18.3
0
2-4
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.1
31.9
28.7
22
66%
8
3
3
1
0
4
1
7
3-4
75%
8-14
4-9
57%
41%
1-1
100%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.5
31.7
32.7
8
71%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
0-0
3-7
-
44%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.2
27.5
31.1
13
54%
2
4
3
1
2
2
0
2
5-7
71%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
24.0
22.3
11
80%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
47%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
20.3
33.4
9
55%
3
3
0
1
1
1
2
1
5-5
100%
2-5
5-11
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
23.5
31.0
3
25%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
40%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
22.2
21.6
5
43%
11
2
0
0
0
2
5
6
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
19.9
11.7
16
73%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
42%
2-5
40%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.1
16.0
10.8
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.2
9.6
4.2
3
31%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.8
7.7
5.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.8
5.8
2.0
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.