Final Win Prob. pScore
2226%94
89
974%102
87
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
103.58686.5
MIL logo Bucks
100.08786.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR89
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 1)89
87
Q4 - 0:04.0TORGlover P.FOUL (P1.T3)89
87
Q4 - 0:05.0MILSUB: Van Horn FOR Skinner89
87
Q4 - 0:05.0MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Smith89
87
Q4 - 0:05.0TORSUB: Glover FOR Marshall89
87
Q4 - 0:05.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)89
87
Q4 - 0:05.0TORRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)89
96.6%
87
3.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILSUB: Skinner FOR Van Horn86
87
Q4 - 0:13.0MILSUB: Smith FOR Kukoc86
87
Q4 - 0:13.0TORSUB: Marshall FOR Glover86
87
Q4 - 0:13.0TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)86
87
Q4 - 0:13.0MILRedd Layup (16 PTS)86
38.2%
87
61.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORSUB: Glover FOR Marshall86
85
Q4 - 0:20.0MILSUB: Van Horn FOR Skinner86
85
Q4 - 0:20.0MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Smith86
85
Q4 - 0:20.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)86
85
Q4 - 0:25.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)86
54.3%
85
45.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0TORMISS Carter 12' Jump Shot86
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILSkinner Foul Turnover (P1.T10)86
69.1%
85
30.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILSkinner OFF.Foul (P1)86
85
Q4 - 1:03TORMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)86
49.8%
85
50.2%
Q4 - 1:27TORRaptors Rebound83
85
Q4 - 1:27MILJump Ball Smith vs. Bosh: Tip to Rose83
25.4%
85
74.6%
Q4 - 1:27MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)83
15.4%
85
84.6%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Skinner Tip Shot83
22.0%
85
78.0%
Q4 - 1:28MILMISS Smith 2' Layup83
22.1%
85
77.9%
Q4 - 1:51MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)83
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q4 - 1:53TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot83
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 2:09MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)83
28.5%
85
71.5%
Q4 - 2:09MILBUCKS Rebound83
16.6%
85
83.4%
Q4 - 2:09MILMISS Redd Layup83
24.4%
85
75.6%
Q4 - 2:32MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q4 - 2:34MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot83
24.7%
85
75.3%
Q4 - 2:57TORCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
17.6%
85
82.4%
Q4 - 2:57TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
16.6%
85
83.4%
Q4 - 2:57TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)81
85
Q4 - 2:57MILRedd P.FOUL (P3.PN)81
85
Q4 - 3:00MILMason P.FOUL (P2.T4)81
85
Q4 - 3:14MILSkinner 3' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)81
13.6%
85
86.4%
Q4 - 3:36TORSkinner STEAL (1 STL)81
20.2%
83
79.8%
Q4 - 3:46MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)81
27.5%
83
72.5%
Q4 - 4:02TORMarshall Foul Turnover (P2.T14)81
19.8%
83
80.2%
Q4 - 4:02TORMarshall OFF.Foul (P2)81
83
Q4 - 4:15MILSkinner 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)81
27.3%
83
72.7%
Q4 - 4:31TORCarter Foul Turnover (P3.T13)81
35.0%
81
65.0%
Q4 - 4:31TORCarter OFF.Foul (P4)81
81
Q4 - 4:41TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
45.1%
81
54.9%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot81
41.9%
81
58.1%
Q4 - 4:59MILSUB: Smith FOR Kukoc81
81
Q4 - 4:59MILSUB: Jones FOR Knight81
81
Q4 - 4:59MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)81
81
Q4 - 5:00TORCurry 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)81
34.9%
81
65.1%
Q4 - 5:12TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
28.0%
81
72.0%
Q4 - 5:14MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
25.9%
81
74.1%
Q4 - 5:36TORMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)79
21.4%
81
78.6%
Q4 - 5:45TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
12.3%
81
87.7%
Q4 - 5:46MILMISS Redd Layup76
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q4 - 5:51TORKnight STEAL (2 STL)76
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q4 - 6:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q4 - 6:03TORMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot76
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q4 - 6:23TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)76
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q4 - 6:24MILMISS Kukoc Layup76
12.4%
81
87.6%
Q4 - 6:48TORCarter 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)76
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 7:06TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q4 - 7:08MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot74
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 7:16TORCurry P.FOUL (P3.T2)74
81
Q4 - 7:29MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q4 - 7:31TORMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot74
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 7:37TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q4 - 7:39MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q4 - 7:39MILMISS Redd Tip Shot74
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 7:40MILMISS Skinner Layup74
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 7:42MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)74
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q4 - 7:44MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot74
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 8:05MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 8:08TORMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot74
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q4 - 8:24MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)74
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 8:42TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 8:42MILSUB: Skinner FOR Smith73
79
Q4 - 8:42TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q4 - 8:42MILSmith S.FOUL (P3.T3)72
79
Q4 - 8:49TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q4 - 8:55MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 272
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 8:55MILBUCKS Rebound72
79
Q4 - 8:55MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 272
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q4 - 8:55TORSUB: Carter FOR Glover72
79
Q4 - 8:5572
79
Q4 - 8:55TORCurry S.FOUL (P2.T1)72
79
Q4 - 8:58TORRedd STEAL (1 STL)72
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 9:11TORSUB: Marshall FOR Mason Jr.72
79
Q4 - 9:11TORRose Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)72
10.3%
79
89.7%
Q4 - 9:11MILKnight T.FOUL (P3.T2)71
79
Q4 - 9:11MILSUB: Redd FOR Van Horn71
79
Q4 - 9:11MILKnight P.FOUL (P3.T2)71
79
Q4 - 9:14TORGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 9:15MILMISS Smith Layup71
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q4 - 9:38MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 9:40MILMISS Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q4 - 9:46MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 9:48TORMISS Rose 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 10:01MILKnight P.FOUL (P2.T1)71
79
Q4 - 10:17MILVan Horn Layup (2 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)71
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q4 - 10:30TORBosh 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)71
10.8%
77
89.2%
Q4 - 10:49MILKukoc Layup (3 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)69
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q4 - 11:12TORCurry 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)69
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q4 - 11:21TORGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
9.4%
75
90.6%
Q4 - 11:23MILMISS Smith Layup67
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q4 - 11:36TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)67
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q4 - 12:0067
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL67
9.3%
75
90.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound67
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Knight 29' 3PT Jump Shot67
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)67
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)67
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILSmith Tip Shot (14 PTS)67
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)67
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILMISS Smith Tip Shot67
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MILMISS Skinner Layup67
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)67
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILMISS Knight 15' Jump Shot67
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
12.0%
73
88.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0TORMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot67
12.6%
73
87.4%
Q3 - 1:05TORMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 1:07MILMISS Knight Layup67
13.7%
73
86.3%
Q3 - 1:12TORKnight STEAL (1 STL)67
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q3 - 1:23MILSUB: Mason FOR Redd67
73
Q3 - 1:23MILRedd P.FOUL (P2.T2)67
73
Q3 - 1:40MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 1:50TORSUB: Curry FOR Marshall67
70
Q3 - 1:50MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)67
70
Q3 - 1:55MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
20.2%
70
79.8%
Q3 - 1:57MILMISS Van Horn 14' Jump Shot67
22.2%
70
77.8%
Q3 - 2:17TORGlover Layup (8 PTS)67
20.0%
70
80.0%
Q3 - 2:29TORBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 2:31MILMISS Knight 22' Jump Shot65
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q3 - 2:58TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 2:58TORCarter Dunk (19 PTS)65
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 3:00TORMISS Glover Layup63
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 3:04TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 3:05MILMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 3:19MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 3:21TORMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot63
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 3:33TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)63
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 3:34MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot63
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 3:43MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 3:45TORMISS Carter 6' Jump Shot63
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 3:55MILRedd P.FOUL (P1.T1)63
70
Q3 - 4:09MILRedd Layup (9 PTS)63
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 4:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q3 - 4:13MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 263
17.1%
68
82.9%
Q3 - 4:13MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
15.4%
68
84.6%
Q3 - 4:13TORCarter S.FOUL (P3.T4)63
67
Q3 - 4:22MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
17.1%
67
82.9%
Q3 - 4:24TORMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 4:37MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
20.1%
67
79.9%
Q3 - 4:37TORSUB: Glover FOR Peterson63
66
Q3 - 4:37MILSUB: Knight FOR Jones63
66
Q3 - 4:37MILSUB: Van Horn FOR Mason63
66
Q3 - 4:37MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 4:37TORPeterson S.FOUL (P3.T3)63
65
Q3 - 4:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 4:44TORMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot63
23.7%
65
76.3%
Q3 - 5:02MILSmith 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)63
25.8%
65
74.2%
Q3 - 5:13MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 5:15MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot63
31.5%
63
68.5%
Q3 - 5:35MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 5:37TORMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 5:46TORSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Rose63
63
Q3 - 5:49MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)63
32.8%
63
67.2%
Q3 - 5:56MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 5:58TORMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot63
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 6:18MILRedd Layup (4 PTS)63
32.0%
63
68.0%
Q3 - 6:31TORRose Foul Turnover (P3.T8)63
35.4%
61
64.6%
Q3 - 6:31TORRose OFF.Foul (P3)63
61
Q3 - 6:46TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)63
61
Q3 - 6:52MILSkinner Dunk (12 PTS)63
39.5%
61
60.5%
Q3 - 6:53MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
43.1%
59
56.9%
Q3 - 6:55MILMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot63
46.1%
59
53.9%
Q3 - 7:03MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 7:05TORMISS Carter 12' Jump Shot63
42.9%
59
57.1%
Q3 - 7:19MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)63
45.7%
59
54.3%
Q3 - 7:19MILBUCKS Rebound63
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 7:19MILMISS Smith Layup63
44.5%
59
55.5%
Q3 - 7:47TORRose 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
41.9%
59
58.1%
Q3 - 7:57TORBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
38.3%
59
61.7%
Q3 - 7:59MILMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot61
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 8:05TORSUB: Blount FOR Bosh61
59
Q3 - 8:05TORBosh P.FOUL (P3.T2)61
59
Q3 - 8:05MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
34.0%
59
66.0%
Q3 - 8:05MILMISS Redd Layup61
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 8:24TORMarshall Layup (16 PTS)61
34.0%
59
66.0%
Q3 - 8:26TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
31.0%
59
69.0%
Q3 - 8:27TORMISS Peterson Layup59
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 8:34MILJones 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)59
31.0%
59
69.0%
Q3 - 8:37MILBUCKS Rebound59
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 8:37MILMISS Skinner 2' Hook Shot59
36.6%
57
63.4%
Q3 - 8:55TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)59
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 9:21TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
30.5%
57
69.5%
Q3 - 9:21MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 257
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 9:21MILBUCKS Rebound57
57
Q3 - 9:21MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 257
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 9:21TORBosh S.FOUL (P2.T1)57
57
Q3 - 9:30MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
27.4%
57
72.6%
Q3 - 9:32TORMISS Carter 29' 3PT Jump Shot57
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q3 - 9:51MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)57
30.6%
57
69.4%
Q3 - 10:20TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
27.1%
57
72.9%
Q3 - 10:40MILSkinner 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)55
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q3 - 10:58MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q3 - 11:00TORMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot55
28.0%
55
72.0%
Q3 - 11:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
29.7%
55
70.3%
Q3 - 11:11MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot55
28.7%
55
71.3%
Q3 - 11:28TORBosh 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)55
26.7%
55
73.3%
Q3 - 11:43MILSkinner 2' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)53
24.2%
55
75.8%
Q3 - 12:0053
53
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR53
26.7%
53
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
29.7%
53
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0TORCarter 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)53
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
23.8%
53
76.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
24.2%
52
75.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0TORRose S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
51
Q2 - 0:41.0MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
26.9%
51
73.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0TORMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot51
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILSmith 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)51
29.1%
51
70.9%
Q2 - 1:12TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 1:12TORBosh Dunk (8 PTS)51
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 1:14TORMISS Rose 7' Jump Shot49
27.4%
49
72.6%
Q2 - 1:25MILMason P.FOUL (P1.T3)49
49
Q2 - 1:37MILMason Running Layup (27 PTS)49
28.7%
49
71.3%
Q2 - 1:55TORMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)49
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 2:13MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)46
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 2:13MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)46
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q2 - 2:13TORRose S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
45
Q2 - 2:22MILSUB: Smith FOR Kukoc46
45
Q2 - 2:22MILSUB: Redd FOR Van Horn46
45
Q2 - 2:22MILSUB: Jones FOR Knight46
45
Q2 - 2:22TORSUB: Carter FOR Curry46
45
Q2 - 2:22TORMarshall Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)46
28.5%
45
71.5%
Q2 - 2:22TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)46
45
Q2 - 2:22TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
31.2%
45
68.8%
Q2 - 2:24TORMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot46
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 2:50MILMason Layup (23 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)46
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 3:08MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q2 - 3:09TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot46
34.2%
43
65.8%
Q2 - 3:21TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
36.6%
43
63.4%
Q2 - 3:23MILMISS Van Horn 15' Jump Shot46
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 3:39TORGlover Layup (6 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)46
33.3%
43
66.7%
Q2 - 4:01MILKnight 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)44
30.3%
43
69.7%
Q2 - 4:16TORGlover 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 4:40TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
30.3%
41
69.7%
Q2 - 4:41TORMISS Glover 16' Jump Shot42
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 5:08MILMason Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)42
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 5:12MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
32.6%
39
67.4%
Q2 - 5:14TORMISS Glover 13' Jump Shot42
33.3%
39
66.7%
Q2 - 5:30TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 5:31MILMISS Gadzuric Layup42
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 5:42TORGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
32.6%
39
67.4%
Q2 - 5:42TORGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 5:42MILVan Horn S.FOUL (P1.T2)40
39
Q2 - 5:51TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 5:53MILMISS Van Horn 17' Jump Shot40
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 5:57TORSUB: Glover FOR Peterson40
39
Q2 - 5:57MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
39
Q2 - 6:03MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
27.2%
39
72.8%
Q2 - 6:05TORMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot40
28.0%
39
72.0%
Q2 - 6:18MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)40
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 6:18MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)40
30.5%
38
69.5%
Q2 - 6:18TORPeterson S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
37
Q2 - 6:31TORPeterson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)40
32.0%
37
68.0%
Q2 - 6:56MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)38
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 6:56MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)38
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 6:56TORSUB: Bosh FOR Blount38
35
Q2 - 6:56TORSUB: Peterson FOR Carter38
35
Q2 - 6:56TORCarter S.FOUL (P2.T3)38
35
Q2 - 7:08TORMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)38
31.7%
35
68.3%
Q2 - 7:13TORCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 7:16TORMISS Rose Layup35
25.5%
35
74.5%
Q2 - 7:20MILKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)35
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 7:35TORCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 7:39MILKukoc P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
35
Q2 - 8:01MILKnight Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 8:01MILKnight OFF.Foul (P1)35
35
Q2 - 8:10TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 8:31MILGadzuric 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)35
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 8:39MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 8:41TORMISS Carter 5' Jump Shot35
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 8:5235
35
Q2 - 8:52MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)35
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 9:12TORCarter 12' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)35
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 9:27MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)33
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 9:27TORSUB: Rose FOR Mason Jr.33
34
Q2 - 9:27TORBlount S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
34
Q2 - 9:27MILMason Layup (14 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)33
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q2 - 9:36MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Skinner33
32
Q2 - 9:36TORMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)33
26.4%
32
73.6%
Q2 - 9:41TORMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
28.6%
32
71.4%
Q2 - 9:43MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
27.9%
32
72.1%
Q2 - 10:02TORCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)33
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 10:15MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
22.5%
32
77.5%
Q2 - 10:15MILSUB: Mason FOR Redd30
31
Q2 - 10:15MILBUCKS Rebound30
31
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 230
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 10:15TORMarshall S.FOUL (P1.T1)30
31
Q2 - 10:30TORMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)30
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 10:38TORCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 10:39MILMISS Redd Layup30
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 10:57TORMason Jr. Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)30
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 11:05MILKnight 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)30
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 11:26TORMarshall 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)30
26.3%
29
73.7%
Q2 - 11:37TORMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q2 - 11:38MILMISS Skinner Layup28
23.9%
29
76.1%
Q2 - 12:0028
29
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR28
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound28
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Carter 75' 3PT Jump Shot28
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILRedd Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0TORCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0TORSUB: Peterson FOR Bosh27
27
Q1 - 0:06.0MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Smith27
27
Q1 - 0:06.0TORCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILSmith S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
27
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILSUB: Knight FOR Jones26
26
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORCurry P.FOUL (P1.PN)26
25
Q1 - 0:39.0TORBosh Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)26
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILSkinner Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)24
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 1:17MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q1 - 1:18TORMISS Carter 10' Jump Shot24
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 1:38MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 1:38TORSUB: Curry FOR Peterson24
22
Q1 - 1:38MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 1:38TORBosh S.FOUL (P1.T3)24
21
Q1 - 1:46MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
29.9%
21
70.1%
Q1 - 1:48TORMISS Rose Layup24
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 1:55TORBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
31.2%
21
68.8%
Q1 - 1:57MILMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot24
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q1 - 2:01MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
29.5%
21
70.5%
Q1 - 2:02MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot24
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 2:10MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
29.5%
21
70.5%
Q1 - 2:12TORSkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)24
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q1 - 2:30MILSmith 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)24
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 2:42TORSUB: Blount FOR Marshall24
19
Q1 - 2:42TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
19
Q1 - 2:42TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)24
33.5%
19
66.5%
Q1 - 2:57MILSkinner Dunk (4 PTS)24
35.2%
19
64.8%
Q1 - 2:58MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 2:59MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 2:59MILMISS Smith Tip Shot24
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 3:00MILMISS Skinner 3' Layup24
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 3:21TORCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
37.1%
17
62.9%
Q1 - 3:21TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 3:21MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
17
Q1 - 3:21MILSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
17
Q1 - 3:34TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
35.0%
17
65.0%
Q1 - 3:36MILMISS Mason 21' Jump Shot22
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 3:42MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 3:44TORMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot22
33.6%
17
66.4%
Q1 - 3:55TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
35.0%
17
65.0%
Q1 - 3:56MILMISS Mason Layup22
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 4:15TORCarter 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 4:30MILMason 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q1 - 4:51TORMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)20
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 5:03TORCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 5:05MILMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot17
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 5:22TORRose Layup (4 PTS)17
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 5:44MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)15
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 5:48MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 5:50TORMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot15
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 6:02MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
27.7%
13
72.3%
Q1 - 6:02MILBUCKS Rebound15
12
Q1 - 6:02MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 215
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 6:02TORPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
12
Q1 - 6:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 6:07TORMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot15
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 6:11TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 6:14TORSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)15
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 6:28TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 6:30MILMISS Mason 3' Jump Shot15
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 6:48TORRose 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 7:05MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 7:05TORCarter S.FOUL (P1.T1)13
11
Q1 - 7:05MILMason 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)13
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 7:19MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
28.7%
9
71.3%
Q1 - 7:21TORMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 7:27TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.2%
9
69.8%
Q1 - 7:29MILMISS Jones Layup13
29.7%
9
70.3%
Q1 - 7:37MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
28.6%
9
71.4%
Q1 - 7:39TORMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot13
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 7:56MILSmith 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 8:08MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 8:10TORMISS Marshall 16' Jump Shot13
31.3%
7
68.7%
Q1 - 8:19TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
32.1%
7
67.9%
Q1 - 8:21MILMISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot13
31.7%
7
68.3%
Q1 - 8:46TORCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)13
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 8:52TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
28.1%
7
71.9%
Q1 - 8:54MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.8%
7
72.2%
Q1 - 8:59MILBUCKS Rebound10
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 8:59MILJump Ball Skinner vs. Bosh: Tip to Jones10
7
Q1 - 9:00MILMISS Skinner Layup10
27.8%
7
72.2%
Q1 - 9:17TORCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)10
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 9:36MILMason 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)7
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 9:52TORMarshall 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 10:17MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 10:29MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:30TORMISS Carter Layup4
25.5%
3
74.5%
Q1 - 10:40TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.0%
3
74.0%
Q1 - 10:42MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 10:46MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25.5%
3
74.5%
Q1 - 10:47MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot4
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 11:04TORBosh 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
25.5%
3
74.5%
Q1 - 11:21MILJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)2
25.6%
3
74.4%
Q1 - 11:45TORBosh 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Smith vs. Bosh: Tip to Carter0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.07 53.6%
MIL
0.84 41.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
7
14
50%
MIL
20
47
43%
Midrange
TOR
17
42
40%
MIL
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
MIL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
Free Throws
TOR
11
11
100%
MIL
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2346%11.5 / 25
D. Marshall22100%11.0 / 11
C. Bosh1860%9.0 / 15
J. Rose1042%5.0 / 12
D. Glover857%4.0 / 7
M. Curry6100%3.0 / 3
M. Peterson225%1.0 / 4
C. Blount0-0.0 / 1
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason2759%13.5 / 23
M. Redd1640%8.0 / 20
B. Skinner1647%8.0 / 17
J. Smith1444%7.0 / 16
D. Jones536%2.5 / 7
B. Knight433%2.0 / 6
T. Kukoc338%1.5 / 4
K. Van Horn217%1.0 / 6
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
72
+9
-14
81
MIL
80
+22
-7
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.07 53.6%
MIL
0.84 41.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
103.6
TOR 103.5 +3.5
MIL 100.0
Pace
89.2
94.2
TOR 86.5 +0.1
MIL 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.0
TOR 16.6 −0.0
MIL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.4%
47.7%
TOR 52.7% +13.2%
MIL 39.5%
TO %
14.7%
13.7%
TOR 16.0%
MIL 9.3% −6.7%
ORB %
23.9%
27.6%
TOR 20.5%
MIL 34.0% +13.5%
FTrt
26.0
33.0
TOR 14.9
MIL 30.2 +15.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
63.0%
TOR 52.9%
MIL 69.7% +16.8%
STL %
8.1%
7.1%
TOR 3.5%
MIL 4.6% +1.1%
BLK %
7.3%
7.1%
TOR 6.7% +3.1%
MIL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.0%
50.3%
TOR 53.6% +11.8%
MIL 41.8%
Rim FG%
56.0%
55.7%
TOR 50.0% +7.4%
MIL 42.6%
Mid FG%
36.6%
39.4%
TOR 40.5% +1.2%
MIL 39.3%
3P %
35.6%
35.0%
TOR 55.6% +37.4%
MIL 18.2%
FT %
75.0%
77.5%
TOR 100.0% +26.9%
MIL 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.0%
36.8%
TOR 18.9%
MIL 54.7% +35.7%
Mid Att. %
51.6%
46.0%
TOR 56.8%
MIL 32.6% −24.2%
3P Att. %
20.4%
17.2%
TOR 24.3% +11.5%
MIL 12.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIL
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points8987
Rebounds4148
Assists1823
Steals34
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)7 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals34-7433-86
At-the-Rim FG7-1420-47
Midrange FG17-4211-28
2-Point FG24-5631-75
3-Point FG10-182-11
Free Throws11-1119-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
40.5
22
100%
13
1
0
1
2
2
2
11
0-0
-
2-3
67%
6-8
75%
F · 6'6" 220 · 27
40.4
23
46%
5
3
1
0
4
4
1
4
4-4
100%
5-17
29%
3-6
50%
G · 6'8" 215 · 31
39.7
10
42%
5
6
1
0
4
3
1
4
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 235 · 20
34.8
18
60%
8
3
0
2
0
3
3
5
2-2
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 27
18.8
2
25%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 36
25.1
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35
15.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25
13.9
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 24
11.1
0
0%
3
1
0
1
4
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
F · 6'11" 250 · 24
F · 6'7" 235 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
54%
41
18
3
5
14
0
8
33
11-11
100%
24-56
43%
10-18
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.