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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11SuperSonics62%106118
27Clippers38%10287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.7
36.7
35.8
26
76%
3
11
4
1
0
4
1
2
7-7
100%
5-6
5-11
83%
48%
3-8
38%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
29.6
30.7
5
34%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
27.6
15.9
10
71%
5
4
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 29.1
19.9
25.6
10
45%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.9
19.0
15.3
7
41%
9
0
2
1
0
1
3
6
1-1
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
44%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
26.8
25.9
25
78%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
8-10
2-5
80%
47%
3-6
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.3
26.1
31.9
9
92%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
1-1
100%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.7
24.4
23.1
8
68%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
16.8
12.4
12
104%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
7.3
19.7
6
60%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.7
5.7
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-3
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.1
5.8
0
1-1
51%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.9
45.1
30.4
24
61%
10
3
2
1
1
2
5
5
10-15
67%
7-13
4-9
54%
42%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
30.9
36.6
10
42%
9
2
0
1
1
4
2
7
2-2
100%
4-11
8-15
36%
50%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 24.0
30.1
40.1
6
25%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
6-13
38%
43%
0-4
0%
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.7
23.0
25.5
4
69%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.0
5.8
25.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
47%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.1
28.7
17.3
5
37%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.9
25.0
8.2
12
60%
1
3
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
40%
2-5
40%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.6
18.6
20.1
12
87%
4
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
51%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.9
17.8
22.5
6
34%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
43%
1-3
33%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.5
10.4
11.4
8
60%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.0
4.6
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
13.5
0
2-4
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.