FinalWin Prob.pScore
1826%89
79
374%97
87
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
95.28378.4
DET logo DET
102.48590.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET79
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETBillups Layup (17 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUPrince STEAL (1 STL)79
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUTaylor 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 1:10HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 1:12HOUMISS Taylor 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 1:18DETWallace 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)77
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 1:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 1:21DETMISS Prince Layup77
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 1:41HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 1:41HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 2:05DETWallace 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 2:24HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 2:24HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 274
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 2:43DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (20 PTS)74
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 2:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 2:45DETMISS Wallace Layup74
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 2:59HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 2:59HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 2:59HOUJackson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)72
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 3:15DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)71
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 3:38HOUWard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 3:38HOUWard Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 3:38HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 3:40DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 4:01DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 4:03HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 4:07HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 4:09DETMISS Hamilton Layup69
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 4:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 4:13HOUMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 4:38DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)69
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 4:40DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 4:42DETMISS Hamilton Layup69
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 4:43DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 4:44DETMISS Wallace Layup69
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 5:08HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 5:25HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 5:27DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot66
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 5:41HOUWard Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)66
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 5:52DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 5:52DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 266
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 6:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 6:08HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 266
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 6:08HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 266
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 6:18DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)66
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 6:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 6:22DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q4 - 6:34HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)66
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 6:34HOURockets Rebound66
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q4 - 6:36HOUMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot66
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 7:00DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q4 - 7:00DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q4 - 7:10HOUJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q4 - 7:10HOUJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q4 - 7:28DETHunter 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)64
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q4 - 7:52HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q4 - 7:52HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 263
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q4 - 8:13DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)63
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 8:34HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q4 - 8:42HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q4 - 8:44DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q4 - 9:00DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q4 - 9:02HOUMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot61
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q4 - 9:26DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)61
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q4 - 9:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q4 - 9:41HOUMISS Nachbar 15' Jump Shot61
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q4 - 10:03HOURockets Rebound61
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q4 - 10:05HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot61
13.1%
65
86.9%
Q4 - 10:22DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 8 AST)61
15.1%
65
84.9%
Q4 - 10:42DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q4 - 10:43HOUMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot61
22.9%
62
77.1%
Q4 - 11:01HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
26.3%
62
73.7%
Q4 - 11:03DETMISS Wallace Layup61
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q4 - 11:26HOUHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)61
22.1%
62
77.9%
Q4 - 11:46DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)59
18.8%
62
81.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET59
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUBillups STEAL (3 STL)59
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
30.0%
59
70.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUMutombo Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)59
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0HOUNachbar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
39.4%
57
60.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETMISS Hamilton Layup59
37.9%
57
62.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot59
37.9%
57
62.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0HOUWallace STEAL (3 STL)59
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 1:12DETCampbell Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)59
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q3 - 1:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
33.6%
57
66.4%
Q3 - 1:26HOUMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot59
35.0%
57
65.0%
Q3 - 1:52DETWallace Layup (12 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)59
38.3%
57
61.7%
Q3 - 2:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
41.0%
55
59.0%
Q3 - 2:03HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot59
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 2:18DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T10)59
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q3 - 2:37HOUJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)59
41.1%
55
58.9%
Q3 - 3:02DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)56
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q3 - 3:20HOUWard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)56
40.6%
52
59.4%
Q3 - 3:52DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)53
32.5%
52
67.5%
Q3 - 4:08HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
39.0%
49
61.0%
Q3 - 4:17HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
31.8%
49
68.2%
Q3 - 4:18DETMISS Hamilton Layup50
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 4:34HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
27.7%
49
72.3%
Q3 - 4:34HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
27.1%
49
72.9%
Q3 - 4:42HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q3 - 4:44DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot48
23.7%
49
76.3%
Q3 - 5:02HOUMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
21.5%
49
78.5%
Q3 - 5:14HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
19.0%
49
81.0%
Q3 - 5:15HOUMISS Yao Hook Shot46
17.1%
49
82.9%
Q3 - 5:27HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
19.0%
49
81.0%
Q3 - 5:29DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
18.1%
49
81.9%
Q3 - 5:37HOUWallace STEAL (2 STL)46
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q3 - 5:58DETBillups Layup (9 PTS)46
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q3 - 6:01HOUBillups STEAL (2 STL)46
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q3 - 6:13DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)46
24.3%
47
75.7%
Q3 - 6:27DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
27.1%
45
72.9%
Q3 - 6:29HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup46
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q3 - 6:38HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
30.7%
45
69.3%
Q3 - 6:40DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q3 - 6:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
27.1%
45
72.9%
Q3 - 6:47HOUMISS Yao 16' Jump Shot46
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q3 - 7:05DETBillups 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q3 - 7:27HOUWard Layup (8 PTS)46
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q3 - 7:32DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)44
30.3%
43
69.7%
Q3 - 7:43DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q3 - 7:45HOUMISS Jackson 19' Fadeaway Jumper44
27.7%
43
72.3%
Q3 - 8:09DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q3 - 8:13DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q3 - 8:15HOUWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)44
27.5%
43
72.5%
Q3 - 8:18HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q3 - 8:20HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot44
27.5%
43
72.5%
Q3 - 8:37HOURockets Rebound44
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q3 - 8:38DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot44
28.9%
43
71.1%
Q3 - 8:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q3 - 8:56HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot44
27.5%
43
72.5%
Q3 - 9:14DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
28.9%
43
71.1%
Q3 - 9:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q3 - 9:19HOUWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)44
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q3 - 9:35DETWallace 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q3 - 9:56HOUTaylor 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
32.0%
41
68.0%
Q3 - 10:17DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)42
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q3 - 10:33HOUTaylor 13' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)42
31.0%
39
69.0%
Q3 - 10:49HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q3 - 10:51DETMISS Prince Layup40
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q3 - 11:14HOUMcGrady Dunk (5 PTS) (Ward 1 AST)40
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q3 - 11:30DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)38
22.4%
39
77.6%
Q3 - 11:47HOUWallace STEAL (1 STL)38
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET38
27.7%
37
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUWard 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 2 of 236
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUTaylor Layup (4 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)36
22.7%
36
77.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
19.8%
36
80.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 234
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot34
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 1:07DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 1:07DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q2 - 1:21HOUJackson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q2 - 1:25HOURockets Rebound32
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 1:25HOUWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)32
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 1:40HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 232
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 1:41DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
20.8%
33
79.2%
Q2 - 1:51HOUWard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 1:51HOUWard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
22.4%
32
77.6%
Q2 - 2:00HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 2:01DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 230
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q2 - 2:01DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 230
19.1%
32
80.9%
Q2 - 2:17DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Wallace30
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 2:17HOUWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)30
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 2:32HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 2:34DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 2:40DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 2:42HOUMISS Ward 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 2:54DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 2:54DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 3:14HOUYao Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)30
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 3:31DETWallace Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)28
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 3:36HOUBillups STEAL (1 STL)28
21.9%
28
78.1%
Q2 - 3:39HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q2 - 3:40HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot28
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 3:54DETWallace 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)28
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q2 - 4:09HOUYao Foul Turnover (P3.T7)28
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 4:26DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)28
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q2 - 4:49HOUMcGrady Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 5:07DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)28
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 5:27HOUNachbar 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q2 - 5:51HOUMcGrady Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)26
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q2 - 5:51HOURockets Rebound25
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q2 - 5:52DETMISS Campbell 14' Jump Shot25
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q2 - 5:59DETHam REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q2 - 6:01DETMISS Hunter 19' Jump Shot25
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 6:25HOUNachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)25
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q2 - 6:42DETDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q2 - 6:55DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q2 - 6:57DETMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q2 - 7:02DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q2 - 7:04DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 7:18DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q2 - 7:19DETMISS Ham Dunk22
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 7:21DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q2 - 7:23DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 222
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q2 - 7:23DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q2 - 7:39HOULue 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q2 - 7:51DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q2 - 7:52HOUMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)20
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q2 - 8:09DETMcDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q2 - 8:24DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q2 - 8:26HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot20
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q2 - 8:36HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q2 - 8:38DETMISS Campbell 11' Hook Shot20
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q2 - 8:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q2 - 8:56HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup20
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q2 - 9:18HOURockets Rebound20
24.7%
19
75.3%
Q2 - 9:19DETMISS McDyess 11' Turnaround Jump Shot20
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q2 - 9:29HOUMutombo Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)20
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q2 - 9:31HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q2 - 9:33HOUMISS Howard Layup18
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q2 - 9:51HOURockets Rebound18
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q2 - 9:52HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot18
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q2 - 10:18HOUNachbar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q2 - 10:20HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot18
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q2 - 10:27HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q2 - 10:28DETMISS Campbell 16' Jump Shot18
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q2 - 10:48DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q2 - 10:50HOUMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot18
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q2 - 11:13DETCampbell Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q2 - 11:27DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q2 - 11:29HOUMISS Jackson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot18
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET18
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound18
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 45' 3PT Jump Shot18
20.3%
19
79.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOULue 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETMISS Billups Driving Layup16
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETPrince Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 1:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 1:04DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot16
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q1 - 1:24HOUMutombo 8' Hook Shot (3 PTS)16
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 1:40HOUNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 1:42DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot14
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 2:07HOUNachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)14
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 2:21HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 2:42HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 2:42HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 210
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 2:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 2:43HOUMISS Taylor 17' Jump Shot10
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 2:57HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 2:59DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 210
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 2:59DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 3:10HOUYao Foul Turnover (P2.T4)10
11.0%
18
89.0%
Q1 - 3:28DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 3:48HOUJackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 4:08DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 4:08DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 4:13HOUWallace STEAL (1 STL)8
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 4:21DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
14.0%
14
86.0%
Q1 - 4:21DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 4:30HOUWard Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)8
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 4:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 4:37DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot8
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 4:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 4:54HOUMISS McGrady Layup8
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 5:08HOUWard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 5:10DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot8
15.7%
12
84.3%
Q1 - 5:28HOUWard 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 5:50DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 6:01HOUTaylor Layup (2 PTS)6
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 6:06HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 6:08HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot4
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 6:33DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)4
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 6:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 6:46DETMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot4
14.7%
9
85.3%
Q1 - 6:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 6:52HOUMISS Taylor 15' Jump Shot4
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 6:56HOUWard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 6:58HOUMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 7:21DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
15.1%
9
84.9%
Q1 - 7:45HOUMcGrady Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:01HOURockets Rebound2
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 8:03HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot2
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 8:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 8:17DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot2
14.6%
7
85.4%
Q1 - 8:25DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 8:27HOUWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 8:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 8:44DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
14.6%
7
85.4%
Q1 - 8:54DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 8:56HOUMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot2
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 9:18DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)2
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 9:18DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)2
15.9%
6
84.1%
Q1 - 9:29DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 9:31HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 9:36DETBillups Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 9:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMISS Taylor 17' Jump Shot2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 9:48HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 9:50DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot2
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:11HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)2
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 10:31DETWallace 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 10:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 10:48HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot0
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 11:04HOURockets Rebound0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:05DETMISS Prince 8' Jump Shot0
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:18HOUWard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 11:45DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Yao: Tip to Billups0
18.9%
0
81.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.96 48.2%
DET
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
8
17
47%
DET
9
20
45%
Midrange
HOU
14
41
34%
DET
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
DET
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
HOU
17
22
77%
DET
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady1845%9.0 / 20
C. Ward13108%6.5 / 6
M. Taylor1250%6.0 / 12
J. Jackson1045%5.0 / 11
B. Nachbar8100%4.0 / 4
Yao729%3.5 / 12
D. Mutombo563%2.5 / 4
T. Lue440%2.0 / 5
J. Howard217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2460%12.0 / 20
C. Billups1765%8.5 / 13
R. Hamilton1539%7.5 / 19
B. Wallace1563%7.5 / 12
T. Prince1056%5.0 / 9
A. McDyess350%1.5 / 3
L. Hunter233%1.0 / 3
E. Campbell113%0.5 / 4
C. Delfino0-0.0 / 1
D. Ham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
67
+14
-16
81
DET
73
+14
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.96 48.2%
DET
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
103.0
HOU 95.2 +7.2
DET 102.4
Pace
91.5
89.5
HOU 78.4
DET 90.6 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.5
HOU 18.4
DET 15.9 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
47.2%
HOU 43.7%
DET 48.6% +4.9%
TO %
14.2%
14.4%
HOU 17.4%
DET 12.6% +4.8%
ORB %
26.4%
31.3%
HOU 23.7%
DET 32.5% +8.8%
FTrt
30.9
33.5
HOU 31.0
DET 34.7 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
62.7%
HOU 28.6%
DET 62.5% +33.9%
STL %
7.5%
7.8%
HOU 4.8%
DET 10.6% +5.8%
BLK %
7.4%
9.4%
HOU 9.3% +0.7%
DET 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
49.3%
HOU 48.2%
DET 48.9% +0.7%
Rim FG%
57.3%
55.5%
HOU 47.1% +2.1%
DET 45.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.7%
HOU 34.1%
DET 50.0% +15.9%
3P %
36.4%
34.5%
HOU 46.2% +12.9%
DET 33.3%
FT %
78.1%
73.9%
HOU 77.3% +9.3%
DET 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.5%
35.1%
HOU 23.9%
DET 27.8% +3.8%
Mid Att. %
47.8%
48.5%
HOU 57.7%
DET 47.2% +10.5%
3P Att. %
23.7%
16.4%
HOU 18.3%
DET 25.0% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUDET
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes25.422.5
Points7987
Rebounds3642
Assists820
Steals49
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)29 (1)
Field Goals28-7132-72
At-the-Rim FG8-179-20
Midrange FG14-4117-34
2-Point FG22-5826-54
3-Point FG6-136-18
Free Throws17-2217-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 220 · 34
39.6
10
45%
7
1
0
1
2
3
0
7
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'8" 225 · 25
35.1
18
45%
2
1
2
1
3
5
0
2
4-5
80%
4-14
29%
2-4
50%
C · 7'6" 310 · 24
32.2
7
29%
10
0
0
1
3
4
2
8
3-6
50%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
29.7
13
108%
2
1
1
0
4
2
1
1
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 265 · 28
27.9
12
50%
6
1
1
1
1
4
2
4
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 221 · 24
20.6
8
100%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
20.1
2
17%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
19.4
4
40%
0
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 38
14.8
5
63%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 270 · 34
0.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 29
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
48%
36
8
4
5
16
0
9
27
17-22
77%
22-58
38%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.