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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets40%9288
26Raptors60%9595
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.4
42.7
35.4
21
56%
4
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
8-11
73%
5-11
6-13
45%
45%
1-3
33%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.1
40.2
35.7
8
54%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 28.0
32.0
25.7
13
54%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.1
31.4
32.3
17
63%
9
2
1
0
2
6
4
5
7-10
70%
5-9
6-12
56%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.1
25.2
22.8
8
40%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
41%
2-5
40%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.5
22.8
22.1
2
20%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
18.1
22.3
10
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-5
4-10
100%
43%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.2
14.3
5.5
8
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-1
57%
44%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.3
13.1
18.0
1
17%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.5
0.1
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.0
0.1
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.4
12.7
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.8
40.1
28.7
17
59%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
10-10
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
42%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
36.4
34.9
16
58%
3
6
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-12
6-15
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.6
36.1
33.2
20
66%
7
2
2
1
0
3
3
4
4-7
57%
8-12
4-10
67%
46%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.3
36.0
27.3
15
68%
7
8
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-4
1-4
75%
39%
3-7
43%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.4
24.3
6.0
9
49%
7
1
1
0
1
2
2
5
3-5
60%
3-7
1-1
43%
43%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
26.6
32.9
9
41%
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
14.7
28.5
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.7
12.0
11.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
5.9
7.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.5
5.0
2.8
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.2
2.9
20.7
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.1
7.1
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.