FinalWin Prob.pScore
2838%94
92
2162%98
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
91.110199.4
ORL logo ORL
91.2102104.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL92
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound92
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 192
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLFrancis Layup (26 PTS)92
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd 19' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)92
85.9%
91
14.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLHill 8' Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
35.3%
91
64.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)90
50.8%
89
49.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
58.8%
89
41.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
67.5%
89
32.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot90
62.1%
89
37.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
48.2%
89
51.8%
Q4 - 1:14MILMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot90
53.1%
89
46.9%
Q4 - 1:35MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
61.6%
89
38.4%
Q4 - 1:35ORLMISS Francis Layup90
57.3%
89
42.7%
Q4 - 1:49ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
47.5%
89
52.5%
Q4 - 1:51MILMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot90
51.4%
89
48.6%
Q4 - 2:08MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
61.6%
89
38.4%
Q4 - 2:09ORLMISS Mobley 29' 3PT Jump Shot90
56.8%
89
43.2%
Q4 - 2:16MILKukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)90
45.1%
89
54.9%
Q4 - 2:34ORLCato Hook Shot (6 PTS)87
28.7%
89
71.3%
Q4 - 2:36ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
33.7%
87
66.3%
Q4 - 2:38ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot87
45.2%
87
54.8%
Q4 - 2:57MILHoward STEAL (3 STL)87
34.5%
87
65.5%
Q4 - 3:15ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
49.2%
87
50.8%
Q4 - 3:35ORLMAGIC Rebound87
54.4%
85
45.6%
Q4 - 3:35MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)87
63.6%
85
36.4%
Q4 - 3:35MILCato BLOCK (3 BLK)87
57.3%
85
42.7%
Q4 - 3:35MILMISS Redd Layup87
57.3%
85
42.7%
Q4 - 3:45MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
64.0%
85
36.0%
Q4 - 3:47ORLMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot87
61.3%
85
38.7%
Q4 - 4:03MILKukoc 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)87
54.8%
85
45.2%
Q4 - 4:11MILBucks Rebound85
46.0%
85
54.0%
Q4 - 4:11MILHill BLOCK (1 BLK)85
39.3%
85
60.7%
Q4 - 4:24MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
46.1%
85
53.9%
Q4 - 4:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 285
44.7%
85
55.3%
Q4 - 4:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
39.5%
85
60.5%
Q4 - 4:39ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
36.3%
85
63.7%
Q4 - 4:39MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot85
39.2%
85
60.8%
Q4 - 5:01MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
44.6%
85
55.4%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMISS Francis 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
42.0%
85
58.0%
Q4 - 5:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
36.3%
85
63.7%
Q4 - 5:22MILMISS Van Horn 16' Jump Shot85
38.8%
85
61.2%
Q4 - 5:43ORLHoward Layup (12 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)85
44.7%
85
55.3%
Q4 - 5:48ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
52.8%
83
47.2%
Q4 - 5:50MILHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)85
55.4%
83
44.6%
Q4 - 6:07ORLFrancis 12' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)85
58.9%
83
41.1%
Q4 - 6:27MILRedd Layup (17 PTS)85
65.1%
81
34.9%
Q4 - 6:33MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
59.0%
81
41.0%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot83
56.5%
81
43.5%
Q4 - 6:57MILPachulia Layup (11 PTS)83
50.5%
81
49.5%
Q4 - 6:59MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
44.0%
81
56.0%
Q4 - 7:01MILBattie BLOCK (2 BLK)81
38.2%
81
61.8%
Q4 - 7:15MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
43.4%
81
56.6%
Q4 - 7:17ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot81
41.1%
81
58.9%
Q4 - 7:33MILWilliams Layup (10 PTS)81
35.9%
81
64.1%
Q4 - 7:36MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
30.6%
81
69.4%
Q4 - 7:38ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot79
28.6%
81
71.4%
Q4 - 7:59MILRedd Layup (15 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)79
24.3%
81
75.7%
Q4 - 8:08ORLFrancis Layup (20 PTS)77
21.1%
81
78.9%
Q4 - 8:12MILFrancis STEAL (1 STL)77
25.6%
79
74.4%
Q4 - 8:15MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
30.8%
79
69.2%
Q4 - 8:18ORLMISS Mobley 13' Jump Shot77
29.2%
79
70.8%
Q4 - 8:35MILWilliams 13' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)77
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q4 - 9:02ORLFrancis Driving Layup (18 PTS)75
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q4 - 9:07ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
26.0%
77
74.0%
Q4 - 9:08MILMISS Strickland Driving Layup75
27.5%
77
72.5%
Q4 - 9:14ORLMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)75
31.2%
77
68.8%
Q4 - 9:23MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
26.0%
77
74.0%
Q4 - 9:23MILMISS Van Horn Free Throw 1 of 274
25.4%
77
74.6%
Q4 - 9:29MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
26.2%
77
73.8%
Q4 - 9:31ORLMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot74
24.8%
77
75.2%
Q4 - 9:49MILVan Horn Layup (13 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)74
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 9:52MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 9:55ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot72
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q4 - 10:14MILRedd 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
15.4%
77
84.6%
Q4 - 10:35MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q4 - 10:37ORLMISS Hill 8' Jump Shot70
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q4 - 10:44ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 10:46MILMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q4 - 10:59ORLMobley Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)70
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q4 - 10:59ORLFrancis Slam Dunk (16 PTS)70
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q4 - 11:06ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
19.3%
74
80.7%
Q4 - 11:08MILMISS Kukoc 21' Jump Shot70
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q4 - 11:15MILBucks Rebound70
23.1%
74
76.9%
Q4 - 11:15ORLMISS Cato Dunk70
21.9%
74
78.1%
Q4 - 11:22MILStrickland Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)70
19.3%
74
80.7%
Q4 - 11:27MILStrickland 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q4 - 11:32MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
13.5%
74
86.5%
Q4 - 11:35ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot67
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL67
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMAGIC Rebound67
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Pachulia Layup67
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLAugmon Foul Turnover (P1.T12)67
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILPachulia Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)67
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 265
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot64
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot64
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 1:04ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 1:06MILMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot64
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 1:24MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 1:26ORLMISS Nelson Layup64
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 1:49MILStrickland 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)64
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 2:06ORLBattie Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)62
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 2:15MILStrickland Foul Turnover (P4.T16)62
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 2:22MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 2:24ORLMISS Howard Reverse Layup62
9.0%
72
91.0%
Q3 - 2:48MILMason Driving Layup (8 PTS)62
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 2:51MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 2:53ORLMISS Francis Layup60
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 3:03ORLMAGIC Rebound60
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 3:04ORLMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 3:17MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)60
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 3:17MILPachulia Driving Layup (5 PTS)59
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 3:35ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)57
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 3:53MILWilliams 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)57
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 4:00MILMISS Mason Free Throw Technical55
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 4:12ORLHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)55
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 4:24MILMason Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)55
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 4:45ORLMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 4:45ORLMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 4:49MILVan Horn 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 5:09ORLFrancis Slam Dunk (14 PTS)53
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 5:13MILMobley STEAL (1 STL)53
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 5:19MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)53
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 5:21MILMISS Van Horn 14' Jump Shot53
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 5:43ORLHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)53
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 5:48MILHoward STEAL (2 STL)53
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 6:05ORLMobley Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Cato 2 AST)53
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 6:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 6:12MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot53
12.0%
62
88.0%
Q3 - 6:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 6:27ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot53
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 6:47MILGadzuric Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)53
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 7:04ORLCato 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)51
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 7:31MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)51
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 7:45ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)49
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q3 - 7:59MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T12)49
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 8:22ORLFrancis Layup (12 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)49
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q3 - 8:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q3 - 8:28MILHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)49
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 8:30MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Van Horn Layup49
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 8:49ORLHill 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q3 - 9:03MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
20.4%
54
79.6%
Q3 - 9:03MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q3 - 9:15MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q3 - 9:19MILMISS Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
16.7%
54
83.3%
Q3 - 9:33MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q3 - 9:35ORLMISS Hill Layup47
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q3 - 9:41ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 9:43MILMISS Gadzuric 16' Jump Shot47
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q3 - 9:50MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q3 - 9:52ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup47
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q3 - 9:57ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 9:58MILMISS Smith 12' Jump Hook Shot47
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q3 - 10:27ORLHoward Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)47
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 10:32ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q3 - 10:33MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
23.2%
52
76.8%
Q3 - 10:33MILMISS Smith Tip Shot47
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 10:36MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot47
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 10:50ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
23.2%
52
76.8%
Q3 - 11:04MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)47
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q3 - 11:04MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
28.5%
50
71.5%
Q3 - 11:06MILCato BLOCK (2 BLK)47
26.6%
50
73.4%
Q3 - 11:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q3 - 11:24ORLMISS Francis 18' Fadeaway Jumper47
27.7%
50
72.3%
Q3 - 11:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q3 - 11:46MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot47
26.6%
50
73.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLHill Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)47
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)47
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLGarrity 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)45
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
32.0%
46
68.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 245
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 1:03ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)44
31.1%
46
68.9%
Q2 - 1:18MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q2 - 1:18MILMason Layup (6 PTS)44
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q2 - 1:23MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot42
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 1:38ORLTurkoglu Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)42
31.1%
44
68.9%
Q2 - 1:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
35.3%
42
64.7%
Q2 - 1:44MILMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot42
35.8%
42
64.2%
Q2 - 1:50MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
36.9%
42
63.1%
Q2 - 1:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
35.3%
42
64.7%
Q2 - 1:51ORLMISS Howard Layup42
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 1:55ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot42
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 2:09ORLMAGIC Rebound42
34.6%
42
65.4%
Q2 - 2:10ORLMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot42
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 2:24MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
34.7%
42
65.3%
Q2 - 2:24MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 2:24MILBucks Rebound40
31.7%
42
68.3%
Q2 - 2:24ORLMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
30.9%
42
69.1%
Q2 - 2:29MILWilliams Layup (4 PTS)40
29.2%
42
70.8%
Q2 - 2:36MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 2:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 238
26.2%
42
73.8%
Q2 - 2:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 238
24.8%
42
75.2%
Q2 - 2:53MILVan Horn Foul Turnover (P3.T10)38
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 3:05ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
26.9%
42
73.1%
Q2 - 3:05ORLCato Slam Dunk (2 PTS)38
26.9%
42
73.1%
Q2 - 3:06ORLMISS Cato Dunk38
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 3:23MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
29.1%
40
70.9%
Q2 - 3:23MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 237
28.0%
40
72.0%
Q2 - 3:30ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)37
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 3:35MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)37
26.7%
40
73.3%
Q2 - 3:40ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 3:40ORLFrancis Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)34
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 3:41ORLMISS Hill Layup34
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 3:48ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 3:50MILCato BLOCK (1 BLK)34
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 4:03ORLHill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)34
26.9%
38
73.1%
Q2 - 4:08MILVan Horn Layup (9 PTS)34
24.7%
38
75.3%
Q2 - 4:17MILBucks Rebound32
22.6%
38
77.4%
Q2 - 4:17MILMISS Gadzuric Layup32
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 4:27MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
22.6%
38
77.4%
Q2 - 4:29ORLMISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot32
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q2 - 4:45MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T9)32
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 5:03ORLMobley 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 5:16MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T8)32
24.7%
36
75.3%
Q2 - 5:28MILBucks Rebound32
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 5:30MILMISS Gadzuric Layup32
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 5:47ORLMobley 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)32
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 6:07MILRedd Layup (6 PTS)32
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 6:18ORLHill Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)30
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 6:24MILSmith 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)30
29.1%
32
70.9%
Q2 - 6:40ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)28
27.3%
32
72.7%
Q2 - 7:00MILStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)28
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q2 - 7:10ORLHill Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)28
27.5%
32
72.5%
Q2 - 7:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q2 - 7:12MILMISS Kukoc Layup28
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 7:31ORLFrancis 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
27.5%
32
72.5%
Q2 - 7:40ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 7:43MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot28
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 7:56MILBucks Rebound28
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 7:56ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Layup28
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 8:01ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 8:03MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot28
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 8:14MILBucks Rebound28
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 8:16ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 8:21ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
29.4%
30
70.6%
Q2 - 8:23MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 8:35ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 8:35ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 8:39ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q2 - 8:41MILMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot28
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 8:52ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 8:52ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q2 - 9:10MILStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q2 - 9:14ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)26
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q2 - 9:31MILStrickland Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T6)26
33.7%
26
66.3%
Q2 - 9:41MILBucks Rebound26
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q2 - 10:01ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
33.7%
26
66.3%
Q2 - 10:01MILMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot26
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q2 - 10:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot26
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q2 - 10:24MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
33.7%
26
66.3%
Q2 - 10:24MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 225
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 10:42ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)25
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 10:49ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
38.3%
23
61.7%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot25
39.1%
23
60.9%
Q2 - 11:05ORLGarrity Reverse Layup (2 PTS)25
40.3%
23
59.7%
Q2 - 11:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q2 - 11:15MILMISS Mason Layup25
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q2 - 11:23MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q2 - 11:25ORLMISS Garrity 17' Jump Shot25
44.3%
21
55.7%
Q2 - 11:42MILTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)25
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL25
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound25
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot25
43.5%
21
56.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Mason Layup25
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 225
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 225
42.6%
21
57.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLMAGIC Rebound25
42.6%
21
57.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot25
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)25
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)25
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILPachulia Layup (2 PTS)25
47.3%
19
52.7%
Q1 - 1:00MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
44.4%
19
55.6%
Q1 - 1:01MILMISS Pachulia Layup23
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 1:15ORLGarrity Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
44.4%
19
55.6%
Q1 - 1:27MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)23
42.6%
19
57.4%
Q1 - 1:31MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 1:32ORLMISS Augmon 9' Jump Shot21
39.2%
19
60.8%
Q1 - 1:36ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q1 - 1:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot21
39.2%
19
60.8%
Q1 - 2:00MILVan Horn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)21
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q1 - 2:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 2:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot21
39.3%
19
60.7%
Q1 - 2:32MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)21
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 2:32MILMISS Van Horn Free Throw 1 of 121
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 2:32MILVan Horn Layup (7 PTS)21
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 2:33MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot19
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 2:46MILBucks Rebound19
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 2:46ORLMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot19
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 2:49ORLMAGIC Rebound19
33.6%
19
66.4%
Q1 - 2:49ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot19
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 2:54ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
33.6%
19
66.4%
Q1 - 2:57ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot19
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 3:12ORLMAGIC Rebound19
33.2%
19
66.8%
Q1 - 3:12MILMISS Van Horn Layup19
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 3:31ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 3:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
37.4%
17
62.6%
Q1 - 3:52MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot19
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 3:53MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 3:53MILMISS Redd Layup19
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 3:54MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 3:57MILMISS Redd Layup19
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 4:11ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 4:28MILMason Layup (2 PTS)19
37.0%
17
63.0%
Q1 - 4:33MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.4%
17
64.6%
Q1 - 4:35ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot17
34.6%
17
65.4%
Q1 - 4:42ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Van Horn: Tip to Battie17
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 4:42MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot17
33.7%
17
66.3%
Q1 - 4:58ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS)17
35.4%
17
64.6%
Q1 - 4:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
37.0%
15
63.0%
Q1 - 5:00ORLMISS Francis Slam Dunk17
38.7%
15
61.3%
Q1 - 5:19MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 117
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 5:19MILGadzuric Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)17
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 5:36ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 5:44MILHill STEAL (1 STL)15
36.7%
13
63.3%
Q1 - 5:49MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
38.9%
13
61.1%
Q1 - 5:52ORLMISS Francis 14' Fadeaway Jumper15
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 6:12MILRedd Driving Dunk (4 PTS)15
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 6:28ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
34.6%
13
65.4%
Q1 - 6:28ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
35.0%
12
65.0%
Q1 - 6:32ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 6:33MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot13
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 6:44MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 6:46ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot13
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 6:56MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)13
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 7:00MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 7:04MILHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)13
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 7:17ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 7:24MILRedd 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)13
39.5%
9
60.5%
Q1 - 7:46ORLFrancis Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)11
38.0%
9
62.0%
Q1 - 7:50ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 7:52MILMISS Williams Layup11
40.2%
7
59.8%
Q1 - 7:56MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 7:58ORLMISS Cato Hook Shot11
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 8:13MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)11
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:21MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 8:24MILHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)9
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 8:37ORLMobley Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 8:42MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
36.0%
7
64.0%
Q1 - 8:48MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
34.4%
7
65.6%
Q1 - 8:49ORLMISS Mobley 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 8:55MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
32.5%
7
67.5%
Q1 - 8:55MILVan Horn Layup (4 PTS)6
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 9:17ORLHill Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)4
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 9:21ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 9:23MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.2%
5
68.8%
Q1 - 9:29MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 9:31ORLMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 9:49MILVan Horn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 10:03ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)4
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 10:28MILVan Horn 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
33.9%
3
66.1%
Q1 - 10:51ORLMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)2
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 10:59ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:01MILMISS Van Horn 11' Jump Shot2
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:03MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:06MILMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot2
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:22MILBucks Rebound2
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:23ORLMISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot2
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:31MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 11:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 20
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:40ORLMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Cato vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Hill0
32.4%
0
67.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.82 41.1%
ORL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
23
46
50%
ORL
24
37
65%
Midrange
MIL
14
44
32%
ORL
15
42
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
ORL
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
Free Throws
MIL
12
20
60%
ORL
9
18
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd1945%9.5 / 21
K. Van Horn1437%7.0 / 19
D. Gadzuric1150%5.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia1142%5.5 / 13
M. Williams1045%5.0 / 11
D. Mason840%4.0 / 10
J. Smith735%3.5 / 10
E. Strickland750%3.5 / 7
T. Kukoc542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2650%13.0 / 26
G. Hill2048%10.0 / 21
D. Howard1243%6.0 / 14
C. Mobley1246%6.0 / 13
P. Garrity758%3.5 / 6
K. Cato650%3.0 / 6
T. Battie660%3.0 / 5
H. Turkoglu429%2.0 / 7
S. Augmon0-0.0 / 1
J. Nelson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
84
+21
-17
105
ORL
89
+12
-13
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.82 41.1%
ORL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
101.8
MIL 91.1
ORL 91.2 +0.1
Pace
93.5
97.7
MIL 99.4
ORL 104.8 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.6
MIL 14.5
ORL 13.7 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
47.8%
MIL 41.2%
ORL 45.7% +4.5%
TO %
14.2%
16.0%
MIL 14.5%
ORL 11.5% +3.0%
ORB %
29.0%
30.0%
MIL 32.1% +14.3%
ORL 17.8%
FTrt
33.9
35.0
MIL 20.6 +1.0
ORL 19.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
52.2%
MIL 46.2%
ORL 48.8% +2.6%
STL %
6.9%
7.9%
MIL 5.9%
ORL 6.9% +1.0%
BLK %
5.4%
8.0%
MIL 6.3%
ORL 11.1% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
50.3%
MIL 41.1%
ORL 45.6% +4.5%
Rim FG%
54.1%
57.1%
MIL 50.0%
ORL 64.9% +14.9%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.0%
MIL 31.8%
ORL 35.7% +3.9%
3P %
35.1%
34.9%
MIL 28.6% +13.2%
ORL 15.4%
FT %
77.2%
75.9%
MIL 60.0% +10.0%
ORL 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
35.8%
MIL 47.4% +7.2%
ORL 40.2%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
50.5%
MIL 45.4% +0.3%
ORL 45.7%
3P Att. %
14.1%
13.7%
MIL 7.2%
ORL 14.1% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes24.423.4
Points9293
Rebounds5444
Assists1820
Steals67
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (4)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (7)36 (5)
Field Goals39-9741-92
At-the-Rim FG23-4624-37
Midrange FG14-4415-42
2-Point FG37-9039-79
3-Point FG2-72-13
Free Throws12-209-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
42.6
19
45%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
8-19
42%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
38.8
10
45%
5
9
1
0
3
4
2
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 29
33.3
14
37%
10
1
1
0
5
4
4
6
2-4
50%
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
22.6
11
50%
6
0
0
2
1
3
2
4
3-5
60%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 29
21.4
7
35%
8
0
1
0
1
2
5
3
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
25.3
11
42%
6
2
0
1
0
4
2
4
3-5
60%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 222 · 27
20.8
8
40%
8
0
1
0
1
1
1
7
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 36
20.5
5
42%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
14.6
7
50%
4
2
2
0
4
5
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
C · 7'0" 256 · 28
G · 6'2" 182 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
41%
54
18
6
5
17
0
17
37
12-20
60%
37-90
41%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.