FinalWin Prob.pScore
1160%95
100
3240%91
77
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.19090.3
NJN
87.58887.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANJN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0NJNBuford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0NJNVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0NJNKrstic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)100
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0NJNBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0NJNMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0NJNNETS Rebound100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0NJNMISS Buford 18' Jump Shot100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01NJNMISS Buford Layup98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04NJNNETS Rebound98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06NJNMISS Krstic Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MIAZhi-zhi 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)98
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46NJNMISS Scalabrine 16' Jump Shot96
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIAJones Driving Layup (15 PTS)96
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00NJNVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32NJNVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37NJNVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58NJNBuford Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58NJNBuford Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26NJNWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 192
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42NJNMISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03NJNNETS Rebound90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27NJNJefferson 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 190
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00NJNVaughn 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 5 AST)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12NJNMISS Williams 15' Turnaround Jump Shot88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16NJNMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS)88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47NJNCollins Foul Turnover (P1.T12)86
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot86
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:13NJNBuford 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)86
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:51NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:51NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)86
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 7:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot83
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33NJNNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)83
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 8:07MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)83
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 8:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
99.7%
60
0.3%
Q4 - 8:24NJNMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot81
99.7%
60
0.3%
Q4 - 8:43MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)81
99.7%
60
0.3%
Q4 - 8:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 8:50NJNMISS Buford Driving Layup78
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 8:58NJNBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot78
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 9:22NJNBest 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Planinic 4 AST)78
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 9:41MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)78
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q4 - 9:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q4 - 9:53NJNMISS Buford 16' Jump Shot76
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q4 - 9:59NJNNETS Rebound76
99.1%
58
0.9%
Q4 - 10:00NJNMISS Planinic Driving Layup76
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q4 - 10:12MIACollins STEAL (2 STL)76
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q4 - 10:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q4 - 10:21NJNMISS Mourning Layup76
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q4 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)76
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q4 - 10:56NJNPlaninic 7' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)74
98.5%
58
1.5%
Q4 - 11:18MIACollins STEAL (1 STL)74
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHeat Rebound74
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q4 - 11:43NJNMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot74
98.7%
56
1.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0NJNMISS Jefferson 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)74
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0NJNWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)72
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)72
98.3%
54
1.7%
Q3 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound69
97.0%
54
3.0%
Q3 - 1:09NJNMISS Best 23' Jump Shot69
96.8%
54
3.2%
Q3 - 1:19NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
96.4%
54
3.6%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup69
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 1:25MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
97.0%
54
3.0%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)69
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 1:43NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
97.0%
54
3.0%
Q3 - 1:43NJNJefferson Layup (14 PTS)69
97.5%
53
2.5%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 2:24NJNMISS Jefferson Tip Shot67
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 2:25NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
96.5%
51
3.5%
Q3 - 2:26NJNMISS Jefferson Alley Oop Layup67
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 2:38MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
96.5%
51
3.5%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
95.9%
51
4.1%
Q3 - 2:53NJNMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot65
95.6%
51
4.4%
Q3 - 3:08NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 265
94.7%
51
5.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
95.3%
51
4.7%
Q3 - 3:26NJNJefferson 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Planinic 3 AST)64
94.7%
51
5.3%
Q3 - 3:48MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)64
95.5%
49
4.5%
Q3 - 3:48MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q3 - 4:04NJNJefferson Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)62
94.2%
49
5.8%
Q3 - 4:15MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)62
93.1%
49
6.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
93.5%
49
6.5%
Q3 - 4:56NJNMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T9)62
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 5:03MIAAllen 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
92.6%
49
7.4%
Q3 - 5:23NJNPlaninic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
91.5%
49
8.5%
Q3 - 5:23NJNMISS Planinic Free Throw 1 of 260
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIAPlaninic STEAL (2 STL)60
91.4%
48
8.6%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
92.7%
48
7.3%
Q3 - 5:38NJNMISS Williams 10' Turnaround Jump Shot60
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 5:57MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)60
91.4%
48
8.6%
Q3 - 6:12NJNMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)57
87.9%
48
12.1%
Q3 - 6:12NJNMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)57
89.5%
47
10.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
90.9%
45
9.1%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
90.6%
45
9.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
89.6%
45
10.4%
Q3 - 6:42NJNMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot55
89.1%
45
10.9%
Q3 - 7:00MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
87.9%
45
12.1%
Q3 - 7:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
83.5%
45
16.5%
Q3 - 7:22NJNMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 252
83.1%
45
16.9%
Q3 - 7:22NJNMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 252
81.8%
45
18.2%
Q3 - 7:32NJNMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot52
81.7%
45
18.3%
Q3 - 7:47NJNJefferson Foul Turnover (P3.T8)52
83.5%
45
16.5%
Q3 - 8:00MIAHaslem Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)52
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q3 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup50
76.6%
45
23.4%
Q3 - 8:20NJNMourning Layup (4 PTS)50
78.6%
45
21.4%
Q3 - 8:32NJNNETS Rebound50
80.7%
43
19.3%
Q3 - 8:33NJNMISS Mercer 23' Jump Shot50
82.5%
43
17.5%
Q3 - 8:59MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)50
80.7%
43
19.3%
Q3 - 9:09NJNJump Ball Mourning vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade48
78.1%
43
21.9%
Q3 - 9:09NJNMISS Mourning Layup48
77.3%
43
22.7%
Q3 - 9:19MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)48
75.5%
43
24.5%
Q3 - 9:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 9:30NJNMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot48
77.4%
43
22.6%
Q3 - 9:52NJNMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
75.5%
43
24.5%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 248
75.9%
43
24.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 248
77.1%
43
22.9%
Q3 - 10:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 10:02NJNMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot48
77.3%
43
22.7%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)48
75.3%
43
24.7%
Q3 - 10:35NJNVaughn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)48
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 10:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
80.2%
41
19.8%
Q3 - 10:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
79.3%
41
20.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
78.1%
41
21.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot46
76.2%
41
23.8%
Q3 - 10:57NJNMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)46
78.1%
41
21.9%
Q3 - 11:00NJNMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
75.3%
41
24.7%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot46
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q3 - 11:09NJNJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
78.1%
41
21.9%
Q3 - 11:21NJNMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
75.5%
41
24.5%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot46
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN46
78.1%
41
21.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNNETS Rebound46
75.5%
41
24.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Buford 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
77.3%
41
22.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Rebound43
69.6%
41
30.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMercer BLOCK (1 BLK)43
68.2%
41
31.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
69.6%
41
30.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
68.2%
41
31.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0NJNMercer 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
69.6%
41
30.4%
Q2 - 1:10NJNNETS Rebound43
73.1%
39
26.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot43
73.5%
39
26.5%
Q2 - 1:31NJNJefferson 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
74.4%
39
25.6%
Q2 - 1:41NJNMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
77.8%
37
22.2%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Haslem 16' Fadeaway Jumper43
78.2%
37
21.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
79.0%
37
21.0%
Q2 - 2:07NJNMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot43
78.4%
37
21.6%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)43
77.0%
37
23.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
74.5%
37
25.5%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot41
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 2:44NJNMercer Foul Turnover (P1.T5)41
74.5%
37
25.5%
Q2 - 2:47NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
72.3%
37
27.7%
Q2 - 2:49MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)41
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
74.5%
37
25.5%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot41
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
74.5%
37
25.5%
Q2 - 3:00NJNMISS Best 14' Jump Shot41
73.9%
37
26.1%
Q2 - 3:08NJNBest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
71.9%
37
28.1%
Q2 - 3:10NJNMISS Best Driving Layup41
73.7%
37
26.3%
Q2 - 3:17NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
71.9%
37
28.1%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot41
72.7%
37
27.3%
Q2 - 3:35NJNMercer 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 1 AST)41
74.5%
37
25.5%
Q2 - 3:50NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
76.5%
35
23.5%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot41
77.2%
35
22.8%
Q2 - 4:14NJNMercer 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)41
78.3%
35
21.7%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
80.2%
33
19.8%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
79.8%
33
20.2%
Q2 - 4:56NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
78.3%
33
21.7%
Q2 - 4:56NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
78.8%
32
21.2%
Q2 - 5:00NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
80.2%
31
19.8%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
80.6%
31
19.4%
Q2 - 5:28NJNBest 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
81.9%
31
18.1%
Q2 - 5:51MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)39
83.4%
29
16.6%
Q2 - 6:15NJNPlaninic 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)37
81.7%
29
18.3%
Q2 - 6:26NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
83.0%
27
17.0%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot37
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
84.8%
27
15.2%
Q2 - 6:52NJNMISS Planinic 18' Jump Shot37
84.3%
27
15.7%
Q2 - 7:16NJNBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
82.6%
27
17.4%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot37
83.1%
27
16.9%
Q2 - 7:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
84.2%
27
15.8%
Q2 - 7:32NJNMISS Williams 12' Turnaround Jump Shot37
83.7%
27
16.3%
Q2 - 7:46NJNBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
82.6%
27
17.4%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot37
83.1%
27
16.9%
Q2 - 8:07NJNWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Scalabrine 2 AST)37
83.9%
27
16.1%
Q2 - 8:27MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)37
85.0%
25
15.0%
Q2 - 8:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
83.9%
25
16.1%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Haslem Alley Oop Layup35
82.7%
25
17.3%
Q2 - 8:46NJNMISS Planinic Free Throw 1 of 135
83.7%
25
16.3%
Q2 - 8:46NJNPlaninic Driving Layup (6 PTS)35
83.9%
25
16.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAPlaninic STEAL (1 STL)35
85.1%
23
14.9%
Q2 - 9:09NJNBest 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)35
86.1%
23
13.9%
Q2 - 9:22MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)35
87.1%
21
12.9%
Q2 - 9:40NJNPlaninic Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)35
88.4%
21
11.6%
Q2 - 9:57MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)35
89.2%
19
10.8%
Q2 - 10:15NJNMercer 8' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS) (Planinic 2 AST)33
88.0%
19
12.0%
Q2 - 10:31MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
88.9%
17
11.1%
Q2 - 10:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
88.0%
17
12.0%
Q2 - 10:43NJNMISS Buford 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
87.7%
17
12.3%
Q2 - 11:00NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
86.8%
17
13.2%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot31
86.8%
17
13.2%
Q2 - 11:24NJNPlaninic 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)31
87.6%
17
12.4%
Q2 - 11:46MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
88.6%
15
11.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
87.6%
15
12.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
87.1%
15
12.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0NJNMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot29
86.8%
15
13.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T3)29
86.3%
15
13.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
87.1%
15
12.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0NJNMISS Buford 5' Running Jump Shot29
86.9%
15
13.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0NJNBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
86.3%
15
13.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0NJNMISS Buford 20' Jump Shot29
86.9%
15
13.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)29
86.2%
15
13.8%
Q1 - 1:09NJNPlaninic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
84.8%
15
15.2%
Q1 - 1:14NJNPlaninic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
83.8%
15
16.2%
Q1 - 1:16NJNMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot27
84.5%
15
15.5%
Q1 - 1:28NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
83.8%
15
16.2%
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Doleac Layup27
84.1%
15
15.9%
Q1 - 1:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
84.8%
15
15.2%
Q1 - 1:39NJNMISS Scalabrine 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
84.5%
15
15.5%
Q1 - 1:52MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
83.8%
15
16.2%
Q1 - 1:52MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
83.6%
15
16.4%
Q1 - 2:05NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
82.3%
15
17.7%
Q1 - 2:05NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
82.6%
14
17.4%
Q1 - 2:10NJNMercer Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
83.7%
13
16.3%
Q1 - 2:23MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)25
85.0%
12
15.0%
Q1 - 2:39NJNMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 2:45NJNMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
81.0%
12
19.0%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 222
81.2%
12
18.8%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 222
81.8%
12
18.2%
Q1 - 3:06NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)22
81.9%
12
18.1%
Q1 - 3:06NJNCollins Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Planinic 1 AST)22
83.2%
11
16.8%
Q1 - 3:27MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
84.3%
9
15.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
83.2%
9
16.8%
Q1 - 3:43NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 220
83.0%
9
17.0%
Q1 - 3:43NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
82.2%
9
17.8%
Q1 - 3:57MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
83.1%
8
16.9%
Q1 - 4:20NJNMourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)18
81.8%
8
18.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
82.8%
6
17.2%
Q1 - 5:04NJNCollins 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)16
81.1%
6
18.9%
Q1 - 5:18NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 216
82.5%
4
17.5%
Q1 - 5:19MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)16
83.2%
4
16.8%
Q1 - 5:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
82.4%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 5:27NJNMISS Mourning 4' Driving Hook Shot15
82.0%
4
18.0%
Q1 - 5:42MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)15
81.1%
4
18.9%
Q1 - 5:48MIAHeat Rebound13
79.9%
4
20.1%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 6:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
79.2%
4
20.8%
Q1 - 6:10NJNMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 6:13NJNNETS Rebound13
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 6:14NJNMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot13
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T2)13
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 6:46NJNJefferson Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
79.3%
4
20.7%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)13
80.5%
2
19.5%
Q1 - 7:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
81.1%
2
18.9%
Q1 - 7:13NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 213
80.9%
2
19.1%
Q1 - 7:13NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 213
80.1%
2
19.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)13
79.8%
2
20.2%
Q1 - 7:46MIAHeat Rebound11
78.7%
2
21.3%
Q1 - 7:47NJNMISS Mercer Driving Layup11
78.2%
2
21.8%
Q1 - 7:54NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 7:56NJNMISS Mercer 20' Jump Shot11
78.2%
2
21.8%
Q1 - 8:03NJNMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
77.6%
2
22.4%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot11
78.0%
2
22.0%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
79.0%
2
21.0%
Q1 - 8:14NJNMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot11
78.5%
2
21.5%
Q1 - 8:28MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)11
77.5%
2
22.5%
Q1 - 8:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup9
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 8:53NJNJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 19
74.8%
2
25.2%
Q1 - 9:10MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
74.5%
2
25.5%
Q1 - 9:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
73.5%
2
26.5%
Q1 - 9:20NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot7
72.9%
2
27.1%
Q1 - 9:37NJNNETS Rebound7
71.6%
2
28.4%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot7
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:01NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 10:01NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
73.6%
1
26.4%
Q1 - 10:17MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 10:37NJNWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
70.0%
0
30.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 11:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:08NJNMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 11:17NJNNETS Rebound2
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 11:18NJNMISS Williams Driving Layup2
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 11:35MIAButler 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 11:45NJNMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot0
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 12:00NJNJump Ball Collins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
63.6%
0
36.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
NJN
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
20
65%
NJN
9
21
43%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
NJN
17
45
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
NJN
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
18
27
67%
NJN
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2153%10.5 / 20
R. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
S. O'Neal1667%8.0 / 12
D. Jones1594%7.5 / 8
E. Jones1045%5.0 / 11
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
M. Allen660%3.0 / 5
W. Zhi-zhi4100%2.0 / 2
M. Doleac220%1.0 / 5
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson1953%9.5 / 18
Z. Planinic1161%5.5 / 9
R. Mercer941%4.5 / 11
R. Buford836%4.0 / 11
A. Mourning732%3.5 / 11
J. Collins660%3.0 / 5
T. Best650%3.0 / 6
J. Vaughn450%2.0 / 4
A. Williams450%2.0 / 4
N. Krstic375%1.5 / 2
E. Williams0-0.0 / 6
B. Scalabrine0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-11
91
NJN
74
+15
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
NJN
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
98.9
MIA 111.1
NJN 87.5 +23.6
Pace
93.9
91.4
MIA 90.3 +2.6
NJN 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
MIA 15.9 +0.5
NJN 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
46.3%
MIA 56.2% +17.0%
NJN 39.2%
TO %
14.0%
14.5%
MIA 11.5% +3.4%
NJN 14.9%
ORB %
27.0%
25.5%
MIA 26.3% +6.3%
NJN 20.0%
FTrt
38.7
31.8
MIA 37.0 +0.5
NJN 36.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
64.4%
MIA 64.9%
NJN 67.9% +3.0%
STL %
6.8%
8.5%
MIA 5.6%
NJN 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
8.7%
6.4%
MIA 9.1% +3.8%
NJN 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
48.7%
MIA 54.9% +12.6%
NJN 42.3%
Rim FG%
63.0%
52.0%
MIA 65.0% +22.1%
NJN 42.9%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.8%
MIA 43.2% +5.4%
NJN 37.8%
3P %
37.7%
36.2%
MIA 50.0% +25.0%
NJN 25.0%
FT %
67.2%
76.3%
MIA 66.7%
NJN 70.4% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
30.8%
MIA 27.4%
NJN 28.4% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
50.4%
MIA 50.7% +10.1%
NJN 60.8%
3P Att. %
19.8%
18.7%
MIA 21.9% +11.1%
NJN 10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIANJN
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points10077
Rebounds4236
Assists2419
Steals55
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)28 (3)
Field Goals37-7328-74
At-the-Rim FG13-209-21
Midrange FG16-3717-45
2-Point FG29-5726-66
3-Point FG8-162-8
Free Throws18-2719-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
43.6
16
57%
6
3
0
1
3
3
0
6
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
3-6
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
35.7
21
53%
5
6
1
0
3
2
2
3
7-10
70%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 33
31.2
10
45%
8
6
1
0
1
2
0
8
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
23.4
10
56%
8
1
0
0
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
22.3
16
67%
5
2
0
2
2
5
2
3
2-7
29%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
27.6
15
94%
3
3
3
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
25.8
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
21.5
6
60%
3
1
0
2
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 24
5.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
3.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
55%
42
24
5
6
11
0
10
32
18-27
67%
29-57
51%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.