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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
33Wizards21%93103
7Grizzlies79%10391
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
44.1
26.0
34
50%
8
3
1
1
0
4
3
5
8-9
89%
13-28
5-9
46%
49%
0-2
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.1
41.7
19.7
28
64%
3
4
5
1
1
4
0
3
4-4
100%
9-15
2-5
60%
41%
2-5
40%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
40.7
23.5
20
49%
9
3
1
1
0
4
1
8
9-10
90%
4-12
2-6
33%
41%
1-4
25%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.8
38.3
15.2
6
45%
11
4
1
0
7
0
7
4
2-6
33%
2-4
1-2
50%
37%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.2
33.2
2.2
11
63%
7
6
2
0
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
1-3
0-0
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.9
28.6
22.7
4
52%
7
2
1
1
0
2
4
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
40%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.7
10.3
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 19.4
3.1
11.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
34.8
2
3-8
41%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
30.1
1
4-10
42%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.9
23.8
1
3-5
49%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.9
15.2
1
1-2
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
34.1
15.6
19
52%
4
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
0-3
0%
8-14
3-6
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
33.0
16.5
15
47%
8
2
1
1
4
2
3
5
1-2
50%
7-15
3-6
47%
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
32.2
30.5
17
60%
9
5
0
1
0
1
4
5
9-14
64%
4-8
6-13
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.0
25.8
28.6
10
42%
3
2
3
1
0
5
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-6
60%
45%
1-6
17%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.8
23.6
30.3
3
50%
2
3
1
2
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
49%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.2
24.4
25.6
7
50%
5
1
0
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.4
22.2
16.1
2
13%
3
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.5
15.8
21.8
13
67%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
5-6
83%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.4
15.0
8.4
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.7
13.9
26.6
3
39%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
22.4
1
3-7
44%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.