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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Kings25%9185
2Spurs75%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
42.8
30.7
23
78%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
8-12
3-8
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.4
41.5
38.2
15
48%
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
2-3
67%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
35.4
33.4
18
38%
9
4
2
1
1
4
2
7
4-4
100%
7-21
6-14
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.6
33.0
34.7
6
50%
8
3
0
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.5
20.3
18.3
8
57%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.7
21.3
25.8
4
34%
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.7
14.3
11.7
5
108%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.6
12.6
20.9
2
13%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.0
10.0
11.0
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.7
7.5
12.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.8
1.4
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 22.6
2.5
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
36.6
35.1
30
73%
14
2
0
1
0
3
5
9
8-8
100%
11-16
7-14
69%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
33.1
34.2
10
27%
5
4
2
1
0
2
0
5
3-6
50%
2-12
5-11
17%
47%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
28.2
28.2
24
75%
9
3
3
2
0
3
1
8
8-9
89%
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
2-3
67%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.4
28.2
24.9
5
36%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.4
27.5
26.9
8
42%
12
1
0
1
1
2
7
5
0-1
0%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.8
31.3
27.3
16
81%
2
3
1
1
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
54%
3-6
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.9
17.7
15.1
4
67%
9
1
2
0
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
14.9
10.6
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
8.4
10.6
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.2
7.8
16.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
4.9
3.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.5
1.4
6.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.