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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Hawks23%9382
18Suns77%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
39.3
25.8
13
37%
6
2
1
1
0
3
3
3
4-4
100%
3-13
4-8
23%
44%
1-3
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.2
38.5
28.1
21
43%
13
3
0
1
0
3
8
5
1-6
17%
7-16
4-8
44%
44%
2-6
33%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 34.1
30.7
10.1
7
35%
5
2
2
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-9
1-3
22%
42%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.6
24.1
24.5
3
22%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-4
25%
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
5.3
20.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 18.9
23.9
16.1
7
32%
7
3
0
1
1
3
4
3
1-2
50%
3-10
2-4
30%
43%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
19.7
19.1
4
33%
5
0
2
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
40%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.4
17.4
22.4
10
61%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
4-5
80%
3-6
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
14.0
16.8
3
30%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42.2
11.8
9.8
8
57%
7
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.9
7.9
22.4
2
35%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
40%
0-0
-
Anthony Miller
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.0
7.4
9.4
4
67%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.0
28.7
33.7
23
74%
8
1
1
1
2
0
4
4
5-6
83%
9-13
7-15
69%
48%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 24.6
28.0
29.9
4
22%
7
1
2
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
43%
0-6
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 26.5
25.2
37.7
10
53%
9
2
3
2
2
2
2
7
0-1
0%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
24.9
34.8
17
78%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-6
4-10
83%
46%
2-4
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.7
24.4
30.8
12
50%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-10
4-7
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.9
23.6
26.4
9
46%
2
3
0
2
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-5
40%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 19.7
17.2
8.4
6
34%
7
0
0
0
0
5
4
3
2-2
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
16.6
15.0
10
74%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
42%
0-1
0%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.4
16.0
4.9
4
40%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
15.5
13.2
6
61%
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
6
0-2
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.0
10.0
7.5
4
69%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Yuta Tabuse
G · 5'9" 165 · 24.1
10.0
6.8
7
74%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.