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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
32Wizards54%96103
36Bobcats46%9596
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
42.4
33.7
17
54%
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
6
5-6
83%
6-13
4-9
46%
43%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
39.9
36.6
24
50%
3
0
2
1
1
1
2
1
4-5
80%
10-20
8-15
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
35.8
18.5
19
59%
7
8
2
1
0
7
3
4
5-5
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
42%
2-6
33%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
27.9
16.7
14
45%
5
1
4
1
0
0
2
3
7-10
70%
2-8
3-6
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.8
27.4
27.4
4
33%
5
0
1
1
2
2
4
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
39%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.1
20.6
33.1
15
90%
5
5
1
2
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
3-4
4-10
75%
44%
2-3
67%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.9
17.4
24.5
2
50%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.9
15.1
8.0
6
51%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.7
13.4
8.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.2
19.8
1
2-4
44%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.9
13.0
0
1-3
50%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 19.5
4.8
0
1-1
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.1
32.1
2.3
19
71%
10
1
0
0
1
0
4
6
9-10
90%
5-9
0-1
56%
44%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
30.4
12.0
11
39%
4
3
0
1
1
7
0
4
3-5
60%
4-12
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
26.4
27.4
15
78%
9
1
0
1
0
3
4
5
5-6
83%
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.0
22.1
18.2
5
56%
1
6
3
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
19.9
12.0
10
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.6
26.2
29.6
15
58%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-8
2-6
75%
41%
1-5
20%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.5
25.9
13.6
2
25%
3
6
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.5
20.2
10.9
10
64%
3
2
0
0
2
4
3
0
2-4
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.5
18.6
18.4
8
50%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
39%
0-1
0%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 23.9
9.6
23.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Tamar Slay
G · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
4.7
30.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
4-9
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 28.7
3.8
12.7
1
28%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.