FinalWin Prob.pScore
3125%91
86
1175%100
92
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
94.59182.3
MIA logo MIA
103.48999.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CLEMISS James Layup83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0CLEMISS Gooden 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03CLEIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McInnis 5 AST)83
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12CLECavaliers Rebound81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 1:58CLEMISS James 7' Jump Shot81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)81
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 2:22CLEJames 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 2:35CLECavaliers Rebound79
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 2:37CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot79
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:57CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)79
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot79
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 3:23CLEMISS McInnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 3:43MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)79
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 3:58CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 4 AST)79
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 4:10CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)77
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 4:30CLESnow Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 4:30CLESnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 4:42MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)75
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 4:50CLEMISS McInnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 5:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)75
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 275
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 5:19CLEGooden 12' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)75
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 5:43CLECavaliers Rebound73
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 5:45CLEMISS McInnis 12' Jump Shot73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHaslem Layup (11 PTS)73
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot73
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 6:19MIAHEAT Rebound73
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 6:20CLEMISS Traylor 17' Jump Shot73
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 6:42CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)73
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 273
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 6:43MIAHEAT Rebound73
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 6:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 6:53CLEMISS James 8' Jump Shot73
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q4 - 7:07MIAWade Reverse Layup (26 PTS)73
4.8%
81
95.2%
Q4 - 7:16MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 7:18CLEMISS McInnis 19' Jump Shot73
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 7:25MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)73
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 7:47CLEJames Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)73
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 8:02CLECavaliers Rebound71
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 8:06CLEMISS James 9' Jump Shot71
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q4 - 8:22CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot71
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 8:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 8:56CLEMISS Snow 19' Jump Shot71
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 9:14MIAHaslem Driving Layup (8 PTS)71
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q4 - 9:32CLEMISS Gooden 14' Jump Shot71
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q4 - 9:55MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS)71
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHEAT Rebound71
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q4 - 10:20CLEMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot71
12.5%
75
87.5%
Q4 - 10:30CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
14.5%
75
85.5%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS O'Neal Layup71
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q4 - 10:47CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)71
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q4 - 10:47CLEJames Driving Layup (13 PTS)70
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q4 - 10:52CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot68
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q4 - 11:13CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q4 - 11:13CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q4 - 11:28MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)66
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q4 - 11:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q4 - 11:46CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot66
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE66
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound66
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Snow 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
9.2%
72
90.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0CLESnow 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)66
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 264
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0CLETraylor 18' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)64
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)62
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 1:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot62
12.3%
67
87.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot62
12.3%
67
87.7%
Q3 - 1:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 1:43CLEMISS Newble 20' Jump Shot62
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 1:57CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Doleac 4' Hook Shot62
12.3%
67
87.7%
Q3 - 2:20CLESnow 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)62
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWade Running Dunk (22 PTS)60
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 2:53CLEWade STEAL (3 STL)60
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 3:09CLECavaliers Rebound60
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q3 - 3:24CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)60
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 3:24CLECavaliers Rebound60
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 3:25CLEMISS Snow 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)60
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 3:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 3:55CLEMISS Gooden 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
16.3%
63
83.7%
Q3 - 4:03CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
18.1%
63
81.9%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
17.2%
63
82.8%
Q3 - 4:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 4:15CLEMISS James 9' Jump Shot60
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 4:39MIAAllen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
18.1%
63
81.9%
Q3 - 4:59CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 4:59CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 4:59CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
18.1%
61
81.9%
Q3 - 5:01CLEMISS McInnis 17' Jump Shot58
16.4%
61
83.6%
Q3 - 5:07CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup58
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 5:28CLEGooden Dunk (20 PTS) (James 8 AST)58
15.6%
61
84.4%
Q3 - 5:41CLESnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.1%
61
86.9%
Q3 - 5:48CLEJones STEAL (1 STL)56
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 5:52CLECavaliers Rebound56
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 5:53CLEMISS James Layup56
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 6:10MIAJones 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 6:13MIAHEAT Rebound56
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot56
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 6:31CLEMcInnis Foul Turnover (P1.T6)56
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 6:31CLEMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup56
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 7:26CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)56
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 7:26CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 7:49CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot54
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 7:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
11.9%
59
88.1%
Q3 - 7:59CLEMISS Snow 12' Jump Shot54
12.5%
59
87.5%
Q3 - 8:17CLECavaliers Rebound54
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 8:26CLEWade BLOCK (3 BLK)54
12.6%
59
87.4%
Q3 - 8:39CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot54
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 9:05CLEGooden 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)54
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 9:15CLEJones BLOCK (1 BLK)52
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 9:17CLEHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS O'Neal Layup52
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 9:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 9:30CLEMISS Gooden 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 9:50MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)52
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 9:54CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)52
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 10:04CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Haslem 8' Turnaround Jump Shot52
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q3 - 10:06CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)52
11.9%
57
88.1%
Q3 - 10:06CLEGooden Dunk (13 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)51
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 10:12CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot49
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 10:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q3 - 10:36CLEO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)49
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 10:38CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q3 - 10:40CLEMISS McInnis 13' Running Jump Shot49
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)49
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q3 - 11:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q3 - 11:22CLEO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)49
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 33' 3PT Jump Shot49
16.5%
52
83.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)49
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0CLECavaliers Rebound49
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot49
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0CLEHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade Reverse Dunk49
16.5%
52
83.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0CLEButler STEAL (1 STL)49
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)49
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0CLEMcInnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0CLEMISS McInnis Free Throw 1 of 248
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q2 - 1:15MIAAllen Dunk (2 PTS)48
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 1:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot48
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 1:41CLEMcInnis 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 2:09CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)46
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 2:09CLEGooden Layup (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)45
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)43
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 2:23CLEMISS James 13' Jump Shot43
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 2:45MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)43
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 2:57CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)43
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 2:57CLECavaliers Rebound43
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 2:58CLEMISS Harris 22' Jump Shot43
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 3:03CLECavaliers Rebound43
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 3:03CLEO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)43
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q2 - 3:21CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 243
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 243
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 3:41CLEMcInnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)43
19.0%
44
81.0%
Q2 - 3:55CLEHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot40
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 4:06CLEMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot40
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)40
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 4:39CLEGooden Dunk (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)40
17.1%
42
82.9%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)38
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 4:59CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 4:59CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 237
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 5:11MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)37
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 237
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 5:28CLEVarejao Layup (7 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)37
14.0%
41
86.0%
Q2 - 5:36MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 5:50CLEVarejao Layup (5 PTS) (James 3 AST)35
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Layup (12 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)33
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 6:44CLEJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 7:08MIAPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 7:08MIAPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 7:08MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 7:11CLEMISS Newble 12' Turnaround Jump Shot30
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 7:34MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 7:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q2 - 7:51CLEAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)30
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 7:58CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 8:00CLEMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 230
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 8:00CLEMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 230
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 8:11CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 8:14CLEMISS Newble 20' Jump Shot30
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 8:31MIAPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 230
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q2 - 8:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Jones 29' 3PT Jump Shot30
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot30
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q2 - 9:20CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)30
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 9:20CLEVarejao Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q2 - 9:38CLESnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 9:40CLEMISS Varejao 18' Jump Shot27
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 127
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 10:00MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)27
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 10:18CLENewble 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)27
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 10:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q2 - 10:38CLEMISS Varejao 19' Jump Shot25
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q2 - 11:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
16.7%
28
83.3%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 225
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q2 - 11:15CLETraylor 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)25
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q2 - 11:35MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE23
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEMcInnis 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot21
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0CLEMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot21
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)21
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 1:27CLEJames 22' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)21
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIAO'Neal Dunk (9 PTS)19
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 2:08CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 2:08CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 218
16.4%
21
83.6%
Q1 - 2:11MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 2:22CLEJames Layup (6 PTS)18
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIAButler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
14.3%
21
85.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot16
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 3:11CLEMcInnis 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
15.4%
19
84.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 3:38MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.4%
17
84.6%
Q1 - 3:40CLEWade BLOCK (2 BLK)14
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 4:02MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
16.6%
17
83.4%
Q1 - 4:20CLEJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 4:27CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup12
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 4:43CLEJames Layup (2 PTS)12
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 4:45CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:47CLEMISS Gooden 8' Hook Shot10
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 4:49CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:51CLEMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 5:09CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot10
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 5:32CLEMcInnis Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 5:38MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS)8
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup8
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 5:47MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 5:49CLEMISS McInnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 6:05MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)8
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 6:05MIAHEAT Rebound8
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 6:31CLEGooden Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWade Slam Dunk (4 PTS)6
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 7:01CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)6
13.2%
11
86.8%
Q1 - 7:15CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot6
13.9%
11
86.1%
Q1 - 7:39CLEIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)6
13.2%
11
86.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 7:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 7:59CLEMISS Gooden Layup4
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 8:14CLECavaliers Rebound4
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot4
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 8:23CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup4
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 8:24CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 8:26CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot4
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 8:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)4
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 8:46MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 9:04CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 9:04CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 9:16CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.0%
6
85.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot2
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 9:30CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)2
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 9:48CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.0%
6
85.0%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup2
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 9:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 9:56CLEMISS McInnis 18' Jump Shot2
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 10:17MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 10:37CLEMcInnis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)2
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:56MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 11:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 11:04CLEMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 11:26MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:44CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot0
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to McInnis0
18.9%
0
81.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.83 41.7%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
15
22
68%
MIA
21
31
68%
Midrange
CLE
15
50
30%
MIA
12
34
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
CLE
17
22
77%
MIA
17
27
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden2452%12.0 / 23
L. James2146%10.5 / 23
J. McInnis1444%7.0 / 16
Z. Ilgauskas844%4.0 / 9
A. Varejao758%3.5 / 6
E. Snow643%3.0 / 7
R. Traylor440%2.0 / 5
I. Newble225%1.0 / 4
L. Harris0-0.0 / 4
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2856%14.0 / 25
S. O'Neal1739%8.5 / 22
U. Haslem1568%7.5 / 11
R. Butler11110%5.5 / 5
D. Jones531%2.5 / 8
W. Person5125%2.5 / 2
E. Jones433%2.0 / 6
M. Allen450%2.0 / 4
M. Doleac321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
85
+18
-6
103
MIA
81
+12
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.83 41.7%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
106.6
CLE 94.5 +8.9
MIA 103.4
Pace
92.3
93.9
CLE 82.3
MIA 99.5 +17.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
CLE 17.5
MIA 14.5 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
52.4%
CLE 40.6%
MIA 49.3% +8.7%
TO %
14.0%
14.0%
CLE 8.7% +0.6%
MIA 9.3%
ORB %
32.5%
27.0%
CLE 21.4%
MIA 21.6% +0.2%
FTrt
32.5
38.7
CLE 25.9
MIA 35.5 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
57.8%
CLE 57.6% +15.9%
MIA 41.7%
STL %
8.6%
6.8%
CLE 5.5%
MIA 5.6% +0.1%
BLK %
8.7%
8.7%
CLE 4.6%
MIA 11.1% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
52.7%
CLE 41.7%
MIA 49.5% +7.8%
Rim FG%
57.3%
63.0%
CLE 68.2% +0.5%
MIA 67.7%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.0%
CLE 30.0%
MIA 35.3% +5.3%
3P %
33.2%
37.7%
CLE 23.1%
MIA 27.3% +4.2%
FT %
75.2%
67.2%
CLE 77.3% +14.3%
MIA 63.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
37.6%
CLE 25.9%
MIA 40.8% +14.9%
Mid Att. %
50.2%
42.6%
CLE 58.8%
MIA 44.7% +14.1%
3P Att. %
13.5%
19.8%
CLE 15.3% +0.8%
MIA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points8692
Rebounds3841
Assists1915
Steals55
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)6 (3)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (9)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)33 (2)
Field Goals33-8536-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2221-31
Midrange FG15-5012-34
2-Point FG30-7233-65
3-Point FG3-133-11
Free Throws17-2217-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 20
42.3
21
46%
6
8
1
0
1
0
3
3
1-1
100%
7-19
37%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 250 · 23
38.9
24
52%
11
2
0
1
1
2
0
11
10-12
83%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 30
37.8
14
44%
1
5
2
0
1
5
0
1
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
C · 7'3" 260 · 29
31.1
8
44%
10
0
1
2
1
4
3
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 34
17.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 32
24.2
6
43%
2
0
0
0
1
4
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30
14.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28
14.1
4
40%
1
2
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 260 · 22
10.3
7
58%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 37
1.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
42%
38
19
5
3
6
0
9
29
17-22
77%
30-72
42%
3-13
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.