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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 5, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs66%96105
22Lakers34%9196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
37.8
33.1
16
64%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
5-8
63%
4-6
5-11
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.4
34.4
26.9
14
58%
5
2
2
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
34.2
27.9
18
48%
7
6
5
2
1
5
5
2
1-2
50%
7-12
3-7
58%
45%
1-6
17%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
33.9
35.3
26
49%
16
2
1
1
3
0
6
10
6-12
50%
10-21
7-14
48%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.4
29.9
26.6
7
50%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.8
30.9
29.0
13
61%
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
2-6
33%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.2
25.5
11.3
7
51%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
10.3
13.5
4
67%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.0
2.2
17.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
1.0
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
4.6
0
1-1
44%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.5
3.9
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.2
45.0
39.8
28
51%
5
4
1
2
1
3
3
2
11-13
85%
7-17
6-14
41%
44%
1-5
20%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.0
38.2
30.7
24
62%
11
4
3
1
2
6
3
8
6-10
60%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.2
36.2
25.1
11
79%
6
3
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
3-4
75%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.3
32.2
26.4
8
48%
9
1
1
1
2
2
2
7
2-3
67%
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.6
29.6
25.6
11
52%
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
5-6
83%
3-8
3-7
38%
40%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
15.3
16.0
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.7
13.1
12.6
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
12.5
19.2
6
44%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.4
11.8
16.5
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
38%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
6.0
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
8.8
0
1-1
42%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.7
3.9
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.