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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 8, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nuggets27%9091
8Jazz73%97102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.4
32.0
33.9
17
44%
8
0
4
1
0
6
2
6
7-12
58%
5-13
6-15
38%
42%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.9
30.9
34.2
14
60%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
6-6
100%
4-9
5-12
44%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
30.7
32.0
11
38%
7
5
1
1
0
4
2
5
3-6
50%
4-11
5-11
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
30.0
29.1
8
67%
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
23.7
13.6
11
103%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 28.4
25.3
31.5
13
59%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
6-7
86%
2-6
4-10
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
23.1
17.7
6
38%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.7
22.3
16.5
2
17%
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1
0-2
0%
1-5
2-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.9
22.1
7.9
9
77%
5
2
3
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
2-3
67%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 31.5
9.9
0
1-3
41%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22.2
8.7
0
1-2
49%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 24.5
8.6
0
1-2
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
40.4
34.2
24
69%
6
4
4
2
5
3
1
5
7-12
58%
7-9
4-9
78%
48%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.0
31.6
31.1
4
34%
7
0
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
1-5
7-12
20%
53%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.9
18.1
17.7
12
76%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
49%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
17.9
16.2
14
79%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
17.5
23.7
3
31%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.4
33.8
28.3
7
44%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
30.6
26.6
17
57%
5
2
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
30.5
21.2
9
46%
3
6
1
1
1
5
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
19.6
18.4
12
77%
9
2
0
0
2
0
3
6
4-4
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.2
9.3
0
1-2
47%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.4
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.