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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Magic49%10396
32Wizards51%104106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.7
40.4
36.3
23
54%
10
7
2
2
1
4
2
8
9-10
90%
7-16
5-12
44%
43%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.1
38.1
29.3
24
51%
6
4
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
10-22
5-11
45%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.7
29.0
18.1
6
34%
7
1
0
0
0
2
4
3
2-4
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 18.9
25.5
27.4
4
23%
10
2
0
1
0
4
7
3
0-2
0%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 23.6
17.1
7.4
4
29%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.6
29.0
27.8
13
48%
5
3
1
1
0
4
2
3
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
41%
2-5
40%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.2
25.3
19.7
16
74%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
2-5
40%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
14.5
3.2
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 22.8
12.9
13.9
4
33%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
37%
0-1
0%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.3
8.4
7.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.2
25.4
1
3-6
44%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.2
22.7
1
2-5
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
43.2
34.5
26
57%
11
2
1
1
0
1
3
8
6-6
100%
10-18
7-15
56%
51%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
41.0
34.0
10
46%
4
6
1
2
1
4
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
43%
1-6
17%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
31.7
26.1
26
57%
5
4
3
1
0
2
3
2
10-11
91%
8-15
4-10
53%
43%
0-3
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.8
25.0
25.2
5
47%
7
2
1
1
2
0
2
5
3-3
100%
1-4
1-4
25%
39%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.0
22.8
12.4
13
74%
5
0
0
0
2
3
2
3
3-4
75%
5-7
1-3
71%
50%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
37.4
33.3
15
45%
4
2
4
1
0
1
2
2
7-8
88%
4-11
4-10
36%
43%
0-2
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.0
17.0
14.0
0
0%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.1
14.2
23.6
9
56%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.7
5.4
15.3
2
114%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.3
2.4
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
14.0
0
1-3
41%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 19.5
3.9
0
1-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.