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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Raptors18%90104
6Jazz82%10295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.6
31.3
29.6
20
71%
7
2
2
1
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
10-14
4-9
71%
44%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
27.9
29.2
16
43%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
6-14
5-12
43%
42%
1-4
25%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.4
25.9
17.7
14
97%
9
2
0
0
4
1
6
3
4-5
80%
5-5
2-4
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.8
25.3
29.8
11
46%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
41%
1-3
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.3
25.1
30.8
10
42%
7
4
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
39%
2-6
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
28.4
23.3
8
51%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
0-2
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.8
22.9
17.2
8
80%
2
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
38%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.6
22.7
14.5
7
38%
8
0
0
0
1
2
2
6
5-5
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
38%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
15.4
24.5
6
60%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
11.5
13.5
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.2
3.6
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.2
3.0
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
37.6
36.3
9
35%
10
2
1
2
3
3
4
6
3-4
75%
3-9
5-10
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.0
35.3
30.9
19
48%
5
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
9-11
82%
5-15
6-12
33%
53%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
26.9
21.1
16
57%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
6-7
86%
5-11
2-5
45%
43%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
24.3
16.9
14
79%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
46%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.9
10.3
17.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
26.1
27.9
20
73%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
6-8
4-9
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.4
25.7
30.2
2
14%
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
21.1
24.3
5
36%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-6
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
20.2
18.8
7
42%
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
6
3-3
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.2
9.1
5.8
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.4
2.9
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
0.5
2.7
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.