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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks40%101113
12Heat60%10593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
42.4
33.9
41
69%
10
4
0
1
2
2
1
9
13-13
100%
8-17
6-13
47%
47%
4-7
57%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
35.9
31.4
9
38%
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-9
3-8
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.8
30.9
19.2
22
72%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-5
60%
8-12
3-7
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.7
22.4
18.3
9
75%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
38%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
16.4
26.5
6
77%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.0
26.6
26.5
12
68%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
3-8
60%
41%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
25.8
26.5
10
125%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-6
100%
44%
2-2
100%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.9
17.0
13.5
2
26%
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.6
8.6
10.1
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
6.5
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.5
4.3
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.2
3.3
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
38%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
36.2
33.8
11
38%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
2-6
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
33.4
29.6
8
68%
7
0
0
1
1
1
4
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.7
30.2
27.5
22
57%
10
1
0
0
3
2
6
4
6-14
43%
8-13
6-11
62%
56%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.8
29.9
34.9
20
46%
8
5
3
1
0
3
2
6
8-9
89%
6-18
6-13
33%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.1
27.1
30.9
3
13%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-7
2-6
14%
44%
0-4
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
22.6
11.3
14
76%
2
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
5-5
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
1-3
33%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.2
21.5
25.1
9
56%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
15.4
17.8
4
50%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.4
13.9
18.6
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.6
7.1
6.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.3
2.8
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.2
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.