Final Win Prob. pScore
540%102
113
1260%105
93
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
120.29494.1
MIA logo Heat
97.99594.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL113
93
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound113
93
Q4 - 0:00.0DALDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)113
93
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAPerson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)113
93
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Rebound113
91
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup113
91
Q4 - 0:41.0DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)113
91
Q4 - 0:41.0DALMavericks Rebound113
91
Q4 - 0:42.0DALMISS Dickau 9' Jump Shot113
91
Q4 - 0:47.0DALMavericks Rebound113
91
Q4 - 0:48.0DALZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)113
91
Q4 - 1:06MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)113
91
Q4 - 1:24DALDickau Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)113
91
Q4 - 1:46MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)113
91
Q4 - 1:46MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)113
90
Q4 - 1:46DALDickau P.FOUL (P1.PN)113
89
Q4 - 1:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)113
89
Q4 - 1:58DALMISS Harris Layup113
89
Q4 - 2:06DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
89
Q4 - 2:08DALMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
89
Q4 - 2:23DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
89
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Person 19' Jump Shot113
89
Q4 - 2:37DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)113
89
Q4 - 2:37DALSUB: Mbenga FOR Howard112
89
Q4 - 2:37DALSUB: Harris FOR Henderson112
89
Q4 - 2:37DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)112
89
Q4 - 2:37MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.T4)111
89
Q4 - 2:47DALSUB: Dickau FOR Terry111
89
Q4 - 2:47DALSUB: Booth FOR Nowitzki111
89
Q4 - 2:47MIASUB: Zhi-zhi FOR Doleac111
89
Q4 - 2:47111
89
Q4 - 2:47DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)111
89
Q4 - 2:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)111
89
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot111
89
Q4 - 3:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)111
89
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot111
89
Q4 - 3:30DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (41 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)111
89
Q4 - 3:53MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)108
89
Q4 - 4:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
86
Q4 - 4:11DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot108
86
Q4 - 4:33DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)108
86
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot108
86
Q4 - 4:45DALAllen STEAL (1 STL)108
86
Q4 - 5:04MIAAllen 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)108
86
Q4 - 5:11MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
84
Q4 - 5:13DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
84
Q4 - 5:32DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)108
84
Q4 - 5:34DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot108
84
Q4 - 6:00DALMavericks Rebound108
84
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
84
Q4 - 6:30DALHenderson 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)108
84
Q4 - 6:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)106
84
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot106
84
Q4 - 7:07MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones106
84
Q4 - 7:07MIASUB: Allen FOR Jones106
84
Q4 - 7:07MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade106
84
Q4 - 7:07MIASUB: Person FOR Haslem106
84
Q4 - 7:07MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)106
84
Q4 - 7:09DALTerry Layup (10 PTS)106
84
Q4 - 7:11MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)104
84
Q4 - 7:29DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)104
84
Q4 - 7:42MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T3)101
84
Q4 - 7:49DALMavericks Rebound101
84
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot101
84
Q4 - 7:58DALHoward P.FOUL (P2.T4)101
84
Q4 - 8:21DALHoward Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)101
84
Q4 - 8:31DALSUB: Henderson FOR Dampier99
84
Q4 - 8:31MIADoleac L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)99
84
Q4 - 8:31DALMavericks Rebound99
84
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade Layup99
84
Q4 - 8:45DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)99
84
Q4 - 8:45MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal98
84
Q4 - 8:45DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
84
Q4 - 8:45MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P5.T1)97
84
Q4 - 9:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
84
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 297
84
Q4 - 9:02MIAHEAT Rebound97
84
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 297
84
Q4 - 9:02DALStackhouse S.FOUL (P2.T3)97
84
Q4 - 9:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
84
Q4 - 9:12DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot97
84
Q4 - 9:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)97
84
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS O'Neal Layup97
84
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
84
Q4 - 9:35DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot97
84
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
84
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)97
83
Q4 - 9:55DALHoward S.FOUL (P1.T2)97
82
Q4 - 10:05MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac97
82
Q4 - 10:05DALSUB: Dampier FOR Henderson97
82
Q4 - 10:05MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)97
82
Q4 - 10:15DALNowitzki 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS)97
82
Q4 - 10:23DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
82
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot95
82
Q4 - 10:34DALWade STEAL (3 STL)95
82
Q4 - 10:34MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Henderson: Tip to Jones95
82
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)95
82
Q4 - 10:52DALHenderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)95
82
Q4 - 10:58DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
82
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade Finger Roll95
82
Q4 - 11:16DALHenderson P.FOUL (P3.T1)95
82
Q4 - 11:16MIAHEAT Rebound95
82
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot95
82
Q4 - 11:36DALMavericks Rebound95
82
Q4 - 11:36DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)95
82
Q4 - 11:42DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot95
82
Q4 - 12:0095
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA95
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
82
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
82
Q3 - 0:23.0DALSUB: Henderson FOR Dickau95
82
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHEAT Rebound95
82
Q3 - 0:25.0DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot95
82
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)95
82
Q3 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)95
79
Q3 - 0:56.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal94
79
Q3 - 0:56.0DALSUB: Dickau FOR Bradley94
79
Q3 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)94
79
Q3 - 0:56.0MIADooling P.FOUL (P3.PN)93
79
Q3 - 1:10DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
79
Q3 - 1:13DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot93
79
Q3 - 1:26MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (22 PTS)93
79
Q3 - 1:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
77
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup93
77
Q3 - 1:34DALDooling STEAL (3 STL)93
77
Q3 - 1:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
77
Q3 - 1:41DALO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)93
77
Q3 - 2:01MIADooling 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)93
77
Q3 - 2:20DALDaniels 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)93
75
Q3 - 2:36DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Howard91
75
Q3 - 2:36DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)91
75
Q3 - 2:36MIAO'Neal L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)91
75
Q3 - 2:37MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)91
75
Q3 - 2:59DALDaniels 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)91
72
Q3 - 3:18MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade89
72
Q3 - 3:18DALSUB: Bradley FOR Mbenga89
72
Q3 - 3:18DALMavericks Rebound89
72
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot89
72
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
72
Q3 - 3:32DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
72
Q3 - 3:44MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (20 PTS)89
72
Q3 - 3:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)89
70
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade Layup89
70
Q3 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
70
Q3 - 3:56DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot89
70
Q3 - 4:14MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)89
70
Q3 - 4:14DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris89
69
Q3 - 4:14DALHarris S.FOUL (P5.PN)89
69
Q3 - 4:14MIADooling Driving Layup (9 PTS)89
69
Q3 - 4:17DALDooling STEAL (2 STL)89
67
Q3 - 4:29MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)89
67
Q3 - 4:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)89
65
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade Layup89
65
Q3 - 4:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
65
Q3 - 4:52DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 289
65
Q3 - 4:52DALMavericks Rebound89
65
Q3 - 4:52DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 289
65
Q3 - 4:52MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T3)89
65
Q3 - 5:15MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS)89
65
Q3 - 5:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
63
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
63
Q3 - 5:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)89
63
Q3 - 5:39DALDaniels 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
63
Q3 - 5:45DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
63
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
63
Q3 - 6:05DALHarris 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)87
63
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
63
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
62
Q3 - 6:19MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones84
61
Q3 - 6:19DALSUB: Mbenga FOR Dampier84
61
Q3 - 6:19DALHarris P.FOUL (P4.PN)84
61
Q3 - 6:29DALDampier P.FOUL (P4.T4)84
61
Q3 - 6:41DALHarris Layup (6 PTS)84
61
Q3 - 6:45MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)82
61
Q3 - 6:53DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (31 PTS)82
61
Q3 - 6:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
61
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup80
61
Q3 - 7:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
61
Q3 - 7:17DALO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)80
61
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T2)80
61
Q3 - 7:32DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
61
Q3 - 7:34DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot80
61
Q3 - 7:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
61
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 280
61
Q3 - 7:55MIAHEAT Rebound80
61
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 280
61
Q3 - 7:55DALDampier S.FOUL (P3.T3)80
61
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS)80
61
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade Driving Dunk (16 PTS)78
61
Q3 - 8:42MIAHEAT Rebound78
59
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot78
59
Q3 - 9:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)78
59
Q3 - 9:02DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)78
59
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)76
59
Q3 - 9:20DALHarris P.FOUL (P3.T2)76
59
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
59
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
59
Q3 - 9:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
59
Q3 - 9:34DALO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)76
59
Q3 - 9:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
59
Q3 - 9:38DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
59
Q3 - 9:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
59
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot76
59
Q3 - 9:58DALHarris P.FOUL (P2.T1)76
59
Q3 - 9:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)76
59
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
59
Q3 - 10:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
59
Q3 - 10:07DALMISS Dampier 18' Jump Shot76
59
Q3 - 10:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
59
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot76
59
Q3 - 10:36DALDampier 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)76
59
Q3 - 10:45MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T1)74
59
Q3 - 10:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
59
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
59
Q3 - 11:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
59
Q3 - 11:02DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot74
59
Q3 - 11:15MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (14 PTS)74
59
Q3 - 11:33DALHoward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)74
57
Q3 - 11:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
57
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Jones Layup71
57
Q3 - 12:0071
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA71
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA71
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
57
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
57
Q2 - 0:05.0DALJones STEAL (1 STL)71
57
Q2 - 0:21.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
57
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 271
57
Q2 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Allen71
57
Q2 - 0:23.0DALSUB: Terry FOR Henderson71
57
Q2 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones71
57
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
57
Q2 - 0:23.0DALStackhouse P.FOUL (P1.PN)71
56
Q2 - 0:32.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)71
56
Q2 - 0:32.0DALSUB: Booth FOR Nowitzki70
56
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.PN)70
56
Q2 - 0:32.0DALStackhouse Layup (9 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)70
56
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)68
56
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
54
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup68
54
Q2 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)68
54
Q2 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (24 PTS)67
54
Q2 - 1:10MIASUB: Allen FOR O'Neal66
54
Q2 - 1:10MIAO'Neal T.FOUL (P2.PN)66
54
Q2 - 1:10DALSUB: Henderson FOR Booth66
54
Q2 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
54
Q2 - 1:10MIAO'Neal L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)65
54
Q2 - 1:10DALMavericks Rebound65
54
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
54
Q2 - 1:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
54
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 265
54
Q2 - 1:17DALNowitzki Violation:Lane65
54
Q2 - 1:17MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade65
54
Q2 - 1:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
54
Q2 - 1:17DALBooth P.FOUL (P1.PN)65
53
Q2 - 1:23DALStackhouse Reverse Layup (7 PTS)65
53
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
53
Q2 - 1:39DALHarris S.FOUL (P1.PN)63
52
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)63
52
Q2 - 1:43DALWade STEAL (2 STL)63
50
Q2 - 1:50DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)63
50
Q2 - 1:50MIAWade T.FOUL (P2.T4)62
50
Q2 - 1:52DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
50
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot62
50
Q2 - 2:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
50
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade Layup62
50
Q2 - 2:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
50
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 262
50
Q2 - 2:08DALSUB: Booth FOR Henderson62
50
Q2 - 2:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
50
Q2 - 2:08DALHenderson P.FOUL (P2.PN)62
49
Q2 - 2:12DALStackhouse 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
49
Q2 - 2:26MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
49
Q2 - 2:26DALNowitzki Violation:Lane60
48
Q2 - 2:26MIAHEAT Rebound60
48
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 260
48
Q2 - 2:26DALHenderson P.FOUL (P1.PN)60
48
Q2 - 2:30DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)60
48
Q2 - 2:36MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac58
48
Q2 - 2:36DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Howard58
48
Q2 - 2:36DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)58
48
Q2 - 2:36MIADoleac P.FOUL (P3.T4)58
48
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
48
Q2 - 3:13MIAHEAT Rebound58
46
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Daniels 4' Turnaround Jump Shot58
46
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade Driving Dunk (9 PTS)58
46
Q2 - 3:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
44
Q2 - 3:43DALSUB: Harris FOR Terry57
44
Q2 - 3:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
44
Q2 - 3:43MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T3)56
44
Q2 - 3:52MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)56
44
Q2 - 4:21DALDaniels Layup (16 PTS)56
42
Q2 - 4:31DALSUB: Henderson FOR Bradley54
42
Q2 - 4:31MIASUB: Jones FOR Allen54
42
Q2 - 4:31MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal54
42
Q2 - 4:31MIASUB: Doleac FOR Butler54
42
Q2 - 4:3154
42
Q2 - 4:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)54
42
Q2 - 4:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
42
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot54
42
Q2 - 4:57DALHoward Tip Shot (4 PTS)54
42
Q2 - 4:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
42
Q2 - 5:01DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot52
42
Q2 - 5:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
42
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
42
Q2 - 5:34DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
42
Q2 - 5:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
42
Q2 - 5:57DALWade STEAL (1 STL)50
39
Q2 - 6:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
39
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot50
39
Q2 - 6:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
39
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot50
39
Q2 - 6:37DALBradley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)50
39
Q2 - 6:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
39
Q2 - 6:52MIAHEAT Rebound48
38
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 248
38
Q2 - 6:52DALSUB: Daniels FOR Stackhouse48
38
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling48
38
Q2 - 6:52MIAButler Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)48
38
Q2 - 6:52DALBradley T.FOUL (P3.PN)48
37
Q2 - 6:52DALBradley S.FOUL (P3.PN)48
37
Q2 - 7:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
37
Q2 - 7:08DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot48
37
Q2 - 7:27MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
37
Q2 - 7:34MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
35
Q2 - 7:35DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot48
35
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)48
35
Q2 - 8:00DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
33
Q2 - 8:11MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)46
33
Q2 - 8:27DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)46
33
Q2 - 8:40MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
33
Q2 - 8:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
30
Q2 - 8:56DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)43
30
Q2 - 9:13DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)40
30
Q2 - 9:13MIAAllen HANGING.TECH.FOUL (P1.T2)39
30
Q2 - 9:14MIAAllen Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)39
30
Q2 - 9:30DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)39
28
Q2 - 9:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
28
Q2 - 9:51DALBradley S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
27
Q2 - 9:51MIAO'Neal Dunk (7 PTS)36
27
Q2 - 10:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
25
Q2 - 10:05DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
25
Q2 - 10:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
25
Q2 - 10:19MIAHEAT Rebound36
24
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 236
24
Q2 - 10:19DALBradley S.FOUL (P1.PN)36
24
Q2 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
24
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot36
24
Q2 - 10:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
24
Q2 - 10:42DALSUB: Bradley FOR Henderson35
24
Q2 - 10:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
24
Q2 - 10:42MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
24
Q2 - 10:55MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
24
Q2 - 10:55DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Mbenga34
23
Q2 - 10:55MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
23
Q2 - 10:55DALMbenga S.FOUL (P3.T4)34
22
Q2 - 10:59MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
22
Q2 - 11:00DALMISS Henderson Tip Shot34
22
Q2 - 11:02DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
22
Q2 - 11:04DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
22
Q2 - 11:14MIADooling P.FOUL (P2.T1)34
22
Q2 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
22
Q2 - 11:18DALMbenga S.FOUL (P2.T3)34
21
Q2 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
21
Q2 - 11:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
19
Q2 - 11:27DALMISS Mbenga 16' Jump Shot34
19
Q2 - 11:38DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
19
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup34
19
Q2 - 11:47DALMbenga P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
19
Q2 - 11:48DALSUB: Mbenga FOR Dampier34
19
Q2 - 11:48DALDampier P.FOUL (P2.T1)34
19
Q2 - 12:0034
19
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL34
19
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
19
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot34
19
Q1 - 0:23.0DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)34
19
Q1 - 0:23.0DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)33
19
Q1 - 0:23.0DALMavericks Rebound32
19
Q1 - 0:23.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw Technical32
19
Q1 - 0:23.032
19
Q1 - 0:23.0MIADooling P.FOUL (P1.PN)32
19
Q1 - 0:24.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
19
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup32
19
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
19
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones Layup32
19
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
19
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Daniels Reverse Layup32
19
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)32
19
Q1 - 0:52.0DALDooling STEAL (1 STL)32
17
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADooling 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
17
Q1 - 1:15DALSUB: Dampier FOR Nowitzki32
15
Q1 - 1:15MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac32
15
Q1 - 1:19DALDaniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)32
15
Q1 - 1:27DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
15
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot29
15
Q1 - 1:52DALDaniels Tip Shot (9 PTS)29
15
Q1 - 1:54DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
15
Q1 - 1:56DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot27
15
Q1 - 2:01DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
15
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
15
Q1 - 2:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
15
Q1 - 2:10DALMISS Henderson Tip Shot27
15
Q1 - 2:11DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
15
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Daniels Alley Oop Layup27
15
Q1 - 2:25MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
15
Q1 - 2:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13
Q1 - 2:39DALMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 227
13
Q1 - 2:39DALMavericks Rebound27
13
Q1 - 2:39DALMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 227
13
Q1 - 2:39DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)27
13
Q1 - 2:39MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T4)27
13
Q1 - 2:55MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)27
13
Q1 - 3:10DALDaniels P.FOUL (P2.T4)27
10
Q1 - 3:25DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)27
10
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
10
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
9
Q1 - 3:40MIASUB: Dooling FOR Butler25
8
Q1 - 3:40DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris25
8
Q1 - 3:40DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T3)25
8
Q1 - 3:47DALStackhouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)25
8
Q1 - 4:02DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot25
8
Q1 - 4:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
8
Q1 - 4:18DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Dampier24
8
Q1 - 4:18DALSUB: Henderson FOR Howard24
8
Q1 - 4:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
8
Q1 - 4:18MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
8
Q1 - 4:24MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal23
8
Q1 - 4:35DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
8
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
8
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
8
Q1 - 4:44DALHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)23
8
Q1 - 4:50DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
8
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS O'Neal Layup23
8
Q1 - 5:13DALHoward Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
8
Q1 - 5:18DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot21
8
Q1 - 5:26DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
8
Q1 - 5:26DALNowitzki OFF.Foul (P1)21
8
Q1 - 5:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
8
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot21
8
Q1 - 6:05DALHarris 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)21
8
Q1 - 6:26MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade19
8
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T4)19
8
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)19
8
Q1 - 6:38DALNowitzki 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
8
Q1 - 6:41DALMavericks Rebound16
8
Q1 - 6:42DALButler BLOCK (1 BLK)16
8
Q1 - 7:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
8
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot16
8
Q1 - 7:17MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
8
Q1 - 7:25DALDaniels Layup (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)16
8
Q1 - 7:30MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
8
Q1 - 7:43DALDampier 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)14
8
Q1 - 7:54MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
8
Q1 - 7:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
6
Q1 - 8:00DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot12
6
Q1 - 8:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
6
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS O'Neal Layup12
6
Q1 - 8:28DALHarris 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
6
Q1 - 8:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
6
Q1 - 9:00DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)10
4
Q1 - 9:14MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
4
Q1 - 9:41DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
4
Q1 - 9:51DALMavericks Rebound7
4
Q1 - 9:51MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Dampier: Tip to Nowitzki7
4
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS O'Neal Layup7
4
Q1 - 10:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 10:06DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 10:17MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
4
Q1 - 10:17MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)7
4
Q1 - 10:26DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 10:26MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
4
Q1 - 10:26DALDaniels 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:31MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:43DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 11:00DALDaniels S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
0
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:10DALDampier P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:24DALDaniels Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:32MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:50DALHarris Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAO'Neal Violation:Jump Ball0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Dampier: Tip to0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.19 59.5%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
21
57%
MIA
19
38
50%
Midrange
DAL
19
41
46%
MIA
7
29
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
17
59%
88%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
DAL
21
26
81%
MIA
23
33
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki4171%20.5 / 29
M. Daniels2269%11.0 / 16
J. Stackhouse1267%6.0 / 9
J. Terry10125%5.0 / 4
J. Howard938%4.5 / 12
D. Harris975%4.5 / 6
E. Dampier675%3.0 / 4
A. Henderson225%1.0 / 4
S. Bradley250%1.0 / 2
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 1
C. Booth0-0.0 / 1
D. Dickau0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2252%11.0 / 21
D. Wade2043%10.0 / 23
K. Dooling1470%7.0 / 10
R. Butler1139%5.5 / 14
D. Jones956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
M. Allen450%2.0 / 4
E. Jones313%1.5 / 12
W. Person250%1.0 / 2
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 3
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
80
+15
-14
95
MIA
85
+21
-10
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.19 59.5%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
106.6
DAL 120.2 +22.3
MIA 97.9
Pace
95.3
93.9
DAL 94.1
MIA 94.9 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
DAL 15.3
MIA 15.2 −0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
52.4%
DAL 58.2% +17.5%
MIA 40.7%
TO %
13.4%
14.0%
DAL 15.0%
MIA 9.9% −5.1%
ORB %
28.7%
27.0%
DAL 30.3%
MIA 36.0% +5.7%
FTrt
34.6
38.7
DAL 32.9
MIA 38.4 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.6%
57.8%
DAL 41.5%
MIA 43.8% +2.3%
STL %
9.0%
6.8%
DAL 5.3%
MIA 8.4% +3.1%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
DAL 10.4%
MIA 11.3% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
52.7%
DAL 59.5% +16.0%
MIA 43.5%
Rim FG%
57.5%
63.0%
DAL 57.1% +7.1%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.4%
41.0%
DAL 46.3% +22.2%
MIA 24.1%
3P %
36.4%
37.7%
DAL 58.8% +27.2%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
78.9%
67.2%
DAL 80.8% +11.1%
MIA 69.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
37.6%
DAL 26.6%
MIA 44.2% +17.6%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
42.6%
DAL 51.9%
MIA 33.7% −18.2%
3P Att. %
19.0%
19.8%
DAL 21.5%
MIA 22.1% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points11393
Rebounds4241
Assists1714
Steals58
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (6)23 (3)
Field Goals41-7932-86
At-the-Rim FG12-2119-38
Midrange FG19-417-29
2-Point FG31-6226-67
3-Point FG10-176-19
Free Throws21-2623-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 26
42.4
41
71%
10
4
0
2
2
2
1
9
13-13
100%
8-17
47%
4-7
57%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
35.9
9
38%
8
0
1
0
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
30.9
22
69%
5
3
0
0
1
2
2
3
3-5
60%
8-12
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 185 · 22
22.4
9
75%
3
3
2
0
2
5
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 29
16.4
6
75%
5
0
0
0
1
4
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 30
26.6
12
67%
1
3
0
0
2
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
25.8
10
125%
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32
17.0
2
25%
7
1
0
1
2
3
3
4
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 33
8.6
2
50%
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 180 · 26
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
60%
42
17
5
7
14
0
10
32
21-26
81%
31-62
50%
10-17
59%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.