FinalWin Prob.pScore
540%102
113
1260%105
93
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
120.29494.1
MIA logo MIA
97.99594.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL113
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAPerson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)113
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Rebound113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DALMavericks Rebound113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALMISS Dickau 9' Jump Shot113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALMavericks Rebound113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0DALZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24DALDickau Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58DALMISS Harris Layup113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08DALMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Person 19' Jump Shot113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)112
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)111
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot111
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)111
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot111
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (41 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)111
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:45DALAllen STEAL (1 STL)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAAllen 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:00DALMavericks Rebound108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:30DALHenderson 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)106
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot106
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 7:09DALTerry Layup (10 PTS)106
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 7:11MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)104
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 7:29DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)104
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 7:49DALMavericks Rebound101
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot101
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 8:21DALHoward Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)101
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 8:31DALMavericks Rebound99
97.4%
84
2.6%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade Layup99
97.1%
84
2.9%
Q4 - 8:45DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)99
96.6%
84
3.4%
Q4 - 8:45DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
96.4%
84
3.6%
Q4 - 9:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
94.7%
84
5.3%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 297
94.5%
84
5.5%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 297
93.9%
84
6.1%
Q4 - 9:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
93.3%
84
6.7%
Q4 - 9:12DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot97
93.7%
84
6.3%
Q4 - 9:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)97
94.7%
84
5.3%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS O'Neal Layup97
94.3%
84
5.7%
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
93.3%
84
6.7%
Q4 - 9:35DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot97
93.8%
84
6.2%
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
94.8%
84
5.2%
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)97
95.0%
83
5.0%
Q4 - 10:15DALNowitzki 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS)97
94.8%
82
5.2%
Q4 - 10:23DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot95
93.3%
82
6.7%
Q4 - 10:34MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Henderson: Tip to Jones95
92.1%
82
7.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)95
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 10:52DALHenderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)95
92.2%
82
7.8%
Q4 - 10:58DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
93.8%
82
6.2%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade Finger Roll95
93.3%
82
6.7%
Q4 - 11:16MIAHEAT Rebound95
91.1%
82
8.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot95
92.3%
82
7.7%
Q4 - 11:36DALMavericks Rebound95
91.1%
82
8.9%
Q4 - 11:36DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)95
91.1%
82
8.9%
Q4 - 11:42DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot95
91.7%
82
8.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA95
92.8%
82
7.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
91.2%
82
8.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
91.1%
82
8.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHEAT Rebound95
89.9%
82
10.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot95
90.5%
82
9.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)95
91.7%
82
8.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)95
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)94
94.2%
79
5.8%
Q3 - 1:10DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
92.0%
79
8.0%
Q3 - 1:13DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot93
90.9%
79
9.1%
Q3 - 1:26MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (22 PTS)93
92.1%
79
7.9%
Q3 - 1:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
93.3%
77
6.7%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup93
94.2%
77
5.8%
Q3 - 1:34DALDooling STEAL (3 STL)93
93.3%
77
6.7%
Q3 - 1:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
94.5%
77
5.5%
Q3 - 1:41DALO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)93
93.7%
77
6.3%
Q3 - 2:01MIADooling 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)93
93.4%
77
6.6%
Q3 - 2:20DALDaniels 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)93
94.5%
75
5.5%
Q3 - 2:37MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)91
93.5%
75
6.5%
Q3 - 2:59DALDaniels 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)91
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q3 - 3:18DALMavericks Rebound89
93.9%
72
6.1%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot89
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
92.8%
72
7.2%
Q3 - 3:32DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (20 PTS)89
93.9%
72
6.1%
Q3 - 3:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)89
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade Layup89
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q3 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q3 - 3:56DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot89
95.1%
70
4.9%
Q3 - 4:14MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)89
95.1%
70
4.9%
Q3 - 4:14MIADooling Driving Layup (9 PTS)89
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q3 - 4:17DALDooling STEAL (2 STL)89
96.4%
67
3.6%
Q3 - 4:29MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)89
97.0%
67
3.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)89
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade Layup89
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q3 - 4:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q3 - 4:52DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 289
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 4:52DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 289
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q3 - 5:15MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS)89
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 5:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
97.8%
63
2.2%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q3 - 5:39DALDaniels 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q3 - 5:45DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q3 - 6:05DALHarris 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)87
96.5%
63
3.5%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 6:41DALHarris Layup (6 PTS)84
95.9%
61
4.1%
Q3 - 6:45MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)82
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q3 - 6:53DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (31 PTS)82
94.5%
61
5.5%
Q3 - 6:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
93.7%
61
6.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup80
93.4%
61
6.6%
Q3 - 7:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
91.7%
61
8.3%
Q3 - 7:17DALO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)80
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 7:32DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
93.0%
61
7.0%
Q3 - 7:34DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot80
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 7:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
93.0%
61
7.0%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 280
92.8%
61
7.2%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 280
92.4%
61
7.6%
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS)80
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade Driving Dunk (16 PTS)78
90.1%
61
9.9%
Q3 - 8:42MIAHEAT Rebound78
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot78
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 9:02DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)78
90.3%
59
9.7%
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)76
89.0%
59
11.0%
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
87.5%
59
12.5%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
88.6%
59
11.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
87.5%
59
12.5%
Q3 - 9:34DALO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)76
88.0%
59
12.0%
Q3 - 9:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
89.1%
59
10.9%
Q3 - 9:38DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
88.0%
59
12.0%
Q3 - 9:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
89.1%
59
10.9%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot76
88.7%
59
11.3%
Q3 - 9:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)76
87.6%
59
12.4%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
88.7%
59
11.3%
Q3 - 10:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
86.5%
59
13.5%
Q3 - 10:07DALMISS Dampier 18' Jump Shot76
87.0%
59
13.0%
Q3 - 10:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
88.3%
59
11.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot76
87.8%
59
12.2%
Q3 - 10:36DALDampier 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)76
86.5%
59
13.5%
Q3 - 10:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
85.0%
59
15.0%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
84.4%
59
15.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
82.9%
59
17.1%
Q3 - 11:02DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot74
82.6%
59
17.4%
Q3 - 11:15MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (14 PTS)74
84.0%
59
16.0%
Q3 - 11:33DALHoward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)74
85.7%
57
14.3%
Q3 - 11:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
82.1%
57
17.9%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Jones Layup71
81.5%
57
18.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA71
79.9%
57
20.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
79.9%
57
20.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
80.0%
57
20.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALJones STEAL (1 STL)71
79.0%
57
21.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
80.6%
57
19.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 271
80.4%
57
19.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
78.8%
57
21.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)71
81.2%
56
18.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALStackhouse Layup (9 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)70
79.1%
56
20.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)68
76.2%
56
23.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
79.1%
54
20.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup68
80.2%
54
19.8%
Q2 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)68
78.4%
54
21.6%
Q2 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (24 PTS)67
77.3%
54
22.7%
Q2 - 1:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
75.8%
54
24.2%
Q2 - 1:10DALMavericks Rebound65
72.5%
54
27.5%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
72.1%
54
27.9%
Q2 - 1:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
71.2%
54
28.8%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 265
72.3%
54
27.7%
Q2 - 1:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
71.1%
54
28.9%
Q2 - 1:23DALStackhouse Reverse Layup (7 PTS)65
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
69.9%
53
30.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)63
72.5%
52
27.5%
Q2 - 1:43DALWade STEAL (2 STL)63
76.2%
50
23.8%
Q2 - 1:50DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)63
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q2 - 1:52DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
75.1%
50
24.9%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot62
74.7%
50
25.3%
Q2 - 2:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
73.8%
50
26.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade Layup62
73.8%
50
26.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
72.2%
50
27.8%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 262
74.2%
50
25.8%
Q2 - 2:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
73.1%
50
26.9%
Q2 - 2:12DALStackhouse 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
74.6%
49
25.4%
Q2 - 2:26MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
72.0%
49
28.0%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 260
73.1%
48
26.9%
Q2 - 2:30DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)60
72.3%
48
27.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
69.5%
48
30.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAHEAT Rebound58
70.5%
46
29.5%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Daniels 4' Turnaround Jump Shot58
71.4%
46
28.6%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade Driving Dunk (9 PTS)58
73.3%
46
26.7%
Q2 - 3:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
75.3%
44
24.7%
Q2 - 3:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q2 - 3:52MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)56
73.3%
44
26.7%
Q2 - 4:21DALDaniels Layup (16 PTS)56
74.1%
42
25.9%
Q2 - 4:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)54
71.9%
42
28.1%
Q2 - 4:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
69.5%
42
30.5%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot54
71.2%
42
28.8%
Q2 - 4:57DALHoward Tip Shot (4 PTS)54
69.5%
42
30.5%
Q2 - 4:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q2 - 5:01DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot52
64.5%
42
35.5%
Q2 - 5:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
65.6%
42
34.4%
Q2 - 5:34DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
63.7%
42
36.3%
Q2 - 5:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 5:57DALWade STEAL (1 STL)50
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 6:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
68.3%
39
31.7%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot50
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q2 - 6:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
65.3%
39
34.7%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot50
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q2 - 6:37DALBradley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)50
65.4%
39
34.6%
Q2 - 6:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
63.4%
39
36.6%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 248
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q2 - 6:52MIAButler Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)48
62.9%
38
37.1%
Q2 - 7:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 7:08DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot48
65.2%
37
34.8%
Q2 - 7:27MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
67.0%
37
33.0%
Q2 - 7:34MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
69.2%
35
30.8%
Q2 - 7:35DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot48
69.9%
35
30.1%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)48
71.5%
35
28.5%
Q2 - 8:00DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
73.5%
33
26.5%
Q2 - 8:11MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)46
70.9%
33
29.1%
Q2 - 8:27DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)46
68.4%
33
31.6%
Q2 - 8:40MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
64.1%
33
35.9%
Q2 - 8:56DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)43
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 9:13DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)40
63.2%
30
36.8%
Q2 - 9:14MIAAllen Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)39
60.9%
30
39.1%
Q2 - 9:30DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)39
63.0%
28
37.0%
Q2 - 9:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
58.5%
28
41.5%
Q2 - 9:51MIAO'Neal Dunk (7 PTS)36
60.9%
27
39.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
62.6%
25
37.4%
Q2 - 10:05DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
63.4%
25
36.6%
Q2 - 10:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
65.2%
25
34.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 236
65.6%
24
34.4%
Q2 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
64.9%
24
35.1%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot36
66.6%
24
33.4%
Q2 - 10:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
64.9%
24
35.1%
Q2 - 10:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
64.6%
24
35.4%
Q2 - 10:55MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
62.9%
24
37.1%
Q2 - 10:55MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
63.2%
23
36.8%
Q2 - 10:59MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
64.9%
22
35.1%
Q2 - 11:00DALMISS Henderson Tip Shot34
65.7%
22
34.3%
Q2 - 11:02DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
66.2%
22
33.8%
Q2 - 11:04DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q2 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q2 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q2 - 11:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
70.5%
19
29.5%
Q2 - 11:27DALMISS Mbenga 16' Jump Shot34
71.1%
19
28.9%
Q2 - 11:38DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup34
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL34
70.6%
19
29.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot34
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)34
70.0%
19
30.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)33
69.5%
19
30.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw Technical32
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup32
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones Layup32
67.0%
19
33.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Daniels Reverse Layup32
66.3%
19
33.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)32
67.5%
19
32.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALDooling STEAL (1 STL)32
70.0%
17
30.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADooling 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
71.5%
17
28.5%
Q1 - 1:19DALDaniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)32
73.6%
15
26.4%
Q1 - 1:27DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
69.4%
15
30.6%
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot29
68.9%
15
31.1%
Q1 - 1:52DALDaniels Tip Shot (9 PTS)29
67.8%
15
32.2%
Q1 - 1:54DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 1:56DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot27
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 2:01DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
64.6%
15
35.4%
Q1 - 2:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 2:10DALMISS Henderson Tip Shot27
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q1 - 2:11DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Daniels Alley Oop Layup27
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q1 - 2:25MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
67.4%
13
32.6%
Q1 - 2:39DALMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 227
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 2:39DALMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 227
68.8%
13
31.2%
Q1 - 2:55MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)27
69.3%
13
30.7%
Q1 - 3:25DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)27
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
70.2%
10
29.8%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
70.6%
9
29.4%
Q1 - 3:47DALStackhouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)25
71.9%
8
28.1%
Q1 - 4:02DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
73.1%
8
26.9%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot25
72.4%
8
27.6%
Q1 - 4:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
70.9%
8
29.1%
Q1 - 4:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
70.7%
8
29.3%
Q1 - 4:35DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
69.5%
8
30.5%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 4:44DALHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)23
67.9%
8
32.1%
Q1 - 4:50DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
69.5%
8
30.5%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS O'Neal Layup23
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 5:13DALHoward Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
65.6%
8
34.4%
Q1 - 5:18DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot21
63.3%
8
36.7%
Q1 - 5:26DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 5:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
64.0%
8
36.0%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot21
63.4%
8
36.6%
Q1 - 6:05DALHarris 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)21
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T4)19
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 6:38DALNowitzki 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
56.8%
8
43.2%
Q1 - 6:41DALMavericks Rebound16
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 6:42DALButler BLOCK (1 BLK)16
51.4%
8
48.6%
Q1 - 7:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot16
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 7:25DALDaniels Layup (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)16
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 7:30MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 7:43DALDampier 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)14
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 7:54MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 8:00DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot12
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 8:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
47.9%
6
52.1%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS O'Neal Layup12
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 8:28DALHarris 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 8:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 9:00DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)10
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 9:14MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 9:41DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
45.5%
4
54.5%
Q1 - 9:51MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Dampier: Tip to Nowitzki7
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS O'Neal Layup7
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 10:06DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot7
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 10:26DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 10:26DALDaniels 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 10:31MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 10:43DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
36.9%
1
63.1%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot2
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:24DALDaniels Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:38DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:50DALHarris Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Dampier: Tip to0
36.3%
0
63.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.19 59.5%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
21
57%
MIA
19
38
50%
Midrange
DAL
19
41
46%
MIA
7
29
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
17
59%
88%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
DAL
21
26
81%
MIA
23
33
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki4171%20.5 / 29
M. Daniels2269%11.0 / 16
J. Stackhouse1267%6.0 / 9
J. Terry10125%5.0 / 4
J. Howard938%4.5 / 12
D. Harris975%4.5 / 6
E. Dampier675%3.0 / 4
A. Henderson225%1.0 / 4
S. Bradley250%1.0 / 2
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 1
C. Booth0-0.0 / 1
D. Dickau0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2252%11.0 / 21
D. Wade2043%10.0 / 23
K. Dooling1470%7.0 / 10
R. Butler1139%5.5 / 14
D. Jones956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
M. Allen450%2.0 / 4
E. Jones313%1.5 / 12
W. Person250%1.0 / 2
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 3
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
80
+15
-14
95
MIA
85
+21
-10
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.19 59.5%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
106.6
DAL 120.2
MIA 97.9 +22.3
Pace
95.3
93.9
DAL 94.1
MIA 94.9 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
DAL 15.3
MIA 15.2 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
52.4%
DAL 58.2% +17.5%
MIA 40.7%
TO %
13.4%
14.0%
DAL 15.0%
MIA 9.9% +5.1%
ORB %
28.7%
27.0%
DAL 30.3%
MIA 36.0% +5.7%
FTrt
34.6
38.7
DAL 32.9
MIA 38.4 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.6%
57.8%
DAL 41.5%
MIA 43.8% +2.3%
STL %
9.0%
6.8%
DAL 5.3%
MIA 8.4% +3.1%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
DAL 10.4%
MIA 11.3% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
52.7%
DAL 59.5% +16.0%
MIA 43.5%
Rim FG%
57.5%
63.0%
DAL 57.1% +7.1%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.4%
41.0%
DAL 46.3% +22.2%
MIA 24.1%
3P %
36.4%
37.7%
DAL 58.8% +27.2%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
78.9%
67.2%
DAL 80.8% +11.1%
MIA 69.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
37.6%
DAL 26.6%
MIA 44.2% +17.6%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
42.6%
DAL 51.9%
MIA 33.7% +18.2%
3P Att. %
19.0%
19.8%
DAL 21.5%
MIA 22.1% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points11393
Rebounds4241
Assists1714
Steals58
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (6)23 (3)
Field Goals41-7932-86
At-the-Rim FG12-2119-38
Midrange FG19-417-29
2-Point FG31-6226-67
3-Point FG10-176-19
Free Throws21-2623-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 26
42.4
41
71%
10
4
0
2
2
2
1
9
13-13
100%
8-17
47%
4-7
57%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
35.9
9
38%
8
0
1
0
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
30.9
22
69%
5
3
0
0
1
2
2
3
3-5
60%
8-12
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 185 · 22
22.4
9
75%
3
3
2
0
2
5
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 29
16.4
6
75%
5
0
0
0
1
4
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 30
26.6
12
67%
1
3
0
0
2
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
25.8
10
125%
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32
17.0
2
25%
7
1
0
1
2
3
3
4
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 33
8.6
2
50%
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 180 · 26
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
60%
42
17
5
7
14
0
10
32
21-26
81%
31-62
50%
10-17
59%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.