FinalWin Prob.pScore
1322%92
84
278%102
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.48991.5
SAN
103.39087.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Allen 10' Turnaround Jump Shot84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAGinobili STEAL (6 STL)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)84
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIADooling 3' Layup (10 PTS)84
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 282
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 282
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIADooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)82
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 1:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 1:47SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (17 PTS)79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup79
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 2:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot79
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 2:23SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)79
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 2:23SASParker 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)79
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 2:41MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)79
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 3:04SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)76
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 3:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot76
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 3:49SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)76
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 3:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 276
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q4 - 3:53SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)76
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q4 - 4:06MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)76
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q4 - 4:21SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
13.9%
79
86.1%
Q4 - 4:21SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q4 - 4:43MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (23 PTS)76
18.8%
77
81.2%
Q4 - 4:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:8 Def:13)74
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Jones 4' Reverse Layup74
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q4 - 5:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q4 - 5:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 274
15.6%
76
84.4%
Q4 - 5:24MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)74
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHeat Rebound72
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q4 - 5:35MIABowen BLOCK (2 BLK)72
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q4 - 5:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13)72
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q4 - 5:43SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q4 - 6:12MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q4 - 6:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)69
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q4 - 6:35SASDuncan 2' Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)69
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q4 - 6:38SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot69
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q4 - 6:56MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)69
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)67
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot67
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q4 - 7:28MIAButler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T20)67
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q4 - 7:28SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)67
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q4 - 7:33SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot67
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q4 - 7:45SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q4 - 8:01SASBarry 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)67
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q4 - 8:14MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)67
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q4 - 8:38MIADooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q4 - 8:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)65
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot65
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 8:43MIADuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)65
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 9:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q4 - 9:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)65
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 265
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 9:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)65
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 9:49SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Layup64
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 9:58SASSPURS Rebound64
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q4 - 9:58SASMISS Massenburg 19' Jump Shot64
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 10:12SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 264
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 264
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 10:30MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)64
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q4 - 10:44SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)62
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAGinobili STEAL (5 STL)62
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 10:57SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)62
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q4 - 11:17MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q4 - 11:17MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)61
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)60
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q4 - 11:40SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS60
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound60
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Duncan 30' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAGinobili STEAL (4 STL)60
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMISS Parker 14' Fadeaway Jumper60
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Allen 7' Running Layup60
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Hook Shot60
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 1:05MIADuncan STEAL (2 STL)60
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 1:24SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)60
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIADooling Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)60
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 1:58SASGinobili 10' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)60
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q3 - 2:16MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T15)60
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 2:34SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)60
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 2:50SASSPURS Rebound60
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot60
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 3:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Massenburg 10' Fadeaway Jumper60
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 3:20MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
10.2%
65
89.8%
Q3 - 3:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 3:41SASMISS Parker 3' Layup58
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 3:54MIAO'Neal 2' Dunk (16 PTS)58
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 4:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)56
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 4:08SASMISS Rose 6' Driving Finger Roll56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 4:30SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot56
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 4:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 4:56SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 4:58MIABowen BLOCK (1 BLK)56
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 5:22SASMassenburg 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)56
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 5:38MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (14 PTS)56
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q3 - 5:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)54
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 6:00SASParker 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)54
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 6:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot54
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 6:33SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)54
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 6:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMassenburg BLOCK (1 BLK)54
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 7:13SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)54
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 7:23MIADuncan STEAL (1 STL)54
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q3 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)54
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 7:43SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot54
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 8:02MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)54
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q3 - 8:26SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)51
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 8:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q3 - 8:43MIADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)51
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 9:04SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)51
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 151
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)51
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (12 PTS)51
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q3 - 9:15MIANesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)49
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 9:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot49
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 9:38SASGinobili 3' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)49
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 9:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q3 - 9:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q3 - 10:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)47
10.6%
53
89.4%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot47
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 10:31SASSPURS Rebound47
9.2%
53
90.8%
Q3 - 10:32MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)47
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 10:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
10.6%
53
89.4%
Q3 - 10:41SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot47
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 11:07MIAO'Neal 2' Dunk (8 PTS)47
9.2%
53
90.8%
Q3 - 11:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)45
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot45
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q3 - 11:26SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)45
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q3 - 11:39MIABowen STEAL (1 STL)45
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound45
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot45
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIADooling Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)45
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASRose 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)45
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)45
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T4)42
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIADoleac 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)42
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 1:05MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 240
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 1:24SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot40
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q2 - 1:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)40
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 1:43SASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 240
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 1:43SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 1:47MIAGinobili STEAL (3 STL)40
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 2:02SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)40
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 2:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 2:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q2 - 2:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Butler 3' Layup38
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 2:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q2 - 2:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 238
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 2:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 2:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 2:48SASDuncan 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)36
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 2:59MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T10)36
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 3:22SASNesterovic 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)36
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 3:26MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T9)36
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 3:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Dooling 2' Driving Layup36
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 3:41SASBowen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)36
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 3:46MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)36
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 3:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 4:01SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 4:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot36
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 4:16MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 4:18SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot36
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIADooling 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)36
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 4:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
12.3%
39
87.7%
Q2 - 4:56SASMISS Parker 11' Running Jump Shot34
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 5:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup32
9.3%
39
90.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 5:44SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot32
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 5:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAHaslem 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)31
8.1%
39
91.9%
Q2 - 6:12SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)29
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 6:28SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot29
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 6:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
10.2%
36
89.8%
Q2 - 6:50SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot29
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q2 - 7:07MIAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 7:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 7:11SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot29
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q2 - 7:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 7:18SASMISS Bowen 21' Jump Shot29
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q2 - 7:25MIAUdrih STEAL (2 STL)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 7:35MIADooling Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)29
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 7:49SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)28
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 7:49SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)28
10.3%
35
89.7%
Q2 - 7:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 8:28SASHorry 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)28
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q2 - 8:34SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)28
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 8:50MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 9:06SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS)28
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q2 - 9:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 9:15SASMISS Udrih 2' Layup28
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q2 - 9:19MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)28
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 9:28MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q2 - 9:30SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q2 - 9:53MIAPerson 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 10:08SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)26
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 10:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q2 - 10:10SASMISS Horry 17' Jump Shot26
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIAJones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q2 - 10:55SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T2)24
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q2 - 11:05SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot24
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q2 - 11:26SASHorry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)24
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q2 - 11:43MIAPerson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABarry BLOCK (1 BLK)22
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot22
14.1%
25
85.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)22
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASMassenburg Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)22
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Person 1 AST)22
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 1:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 1:12SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot19
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 1:26MIAAllen 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
10.5%
25
89.5%
Q1 - 1:52SASParker 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q1 - 2:08MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)17
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAHeat Rebound14
8.8%
23
91.2%
Q1 - 2:27SASMISS Barry 10' Jump Shot14
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 2:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q1 - 2:43MIAAllen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q1 - 2:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
7.4%
23
92.6%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Allen 3' Tip Shot12
7.0%
23
93.0%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot12
7.0%
23
93.0%
Q1 - 3:09SASParker 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)12
7.6%
23
92.4%
Q1 - 3:30MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
8.2%
21
91.8%
Q1 - 3:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
7.6%
21
92.4%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot10
7.1%
21
92.9%
Q1 - 3:57SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)10
7.6%
21
92.4%
Q1 - 4:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
8.1%
19
91.9%
Q1 - 4:13SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot10
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 4:19SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8.1%
19
91.9%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot10
8.4%
19
91.6%
Q1 - 4:37SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)10
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 4:57MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 5:05MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.7%
16
90.3%
Q1 - 5:07SASMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 5:23MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 5:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
9.7%
16
90.3%
Q1 - 5:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 28
9.9%
15
90.1%
Q1 - 5:58SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9.6%
15
90.4%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot8
9.9%
15
90.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 6:28SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 6:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 6:36MIANesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)8
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 6:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 6:50SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot8
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 7:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 7:17SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 7:17SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 7:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot8
13.2%
11
86.8%
Q1 - 7:45SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)8
13.9%
11
86.1%
Q1 - 8:03MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
15.5%
8
84.5%
Q1 - 8:17SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 8:27MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
15.5%
6
84.5%
Q1 - 8:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot6
16.3%
6
83.7%
Q1 - 8:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.5%
6
84.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot6
15.9%
6
84.1%
Q1 - 9:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 9:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
16.9%
5
83.1%
Q1 - 9:12SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot6
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 9:39SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 10:09MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (2 PTS)6
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot4
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:43MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)4
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:51SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Jump Shot2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 11:01MIAGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)2
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:11SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Hook Shot2
16.0%
2
84.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 11:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 11:41SASGinobili 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. O'Neal: Tip to Parker0
15.3%
0
84.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
SAN
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
31
35%
SAN
14
19
74%
Midrange
MIA
13
30
43%
SAN
12
37
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
SAN
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
15
17
88%
SAN
17
29
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2346%11.5 / 25
R. Butler1155%5.5 / 10
U. Haslem1142%5.5 / 13
K. Dooling1063%5.0 / 8
M. Allen1045%5.0 / 11
D. Jones975%4.5 / 6
E. Jones433%2.0 / 6
W. Person4100%2.0 / 2
M. Doleac2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2985%14.5 / 17
T. Parker1853%9.0 / 17
T. Duncan1740%8.5 / 21
B. Barry850%4.0 / 8
B. Bowen750%3.5 / 7
R. Horry550%2.5 / 5
R. Nesterovic433%2.0 / 6
T. Massenburg233%1.0 / 3
M. Rose233%1.0 / 3
D. Brown150%0.5 / 1
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
67
+16
-22
83
SAN
81
+12
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
SAN
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
104.9
MIA 94.4 +9.0
SAS 103.3
Pace
93.9
91.2
MIA 91.5 +3.9
SAS 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
MIA 15.7 +0.7
SAS 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.2%
MIA 47.3%
SAS 50.7% +3.4%
TO %
14.0%
14.2%
MIA 21.5%
SAS 9.3% +12.2%
ORB %
27.0%
29.2%
MIA 35.0% +14.1%
SAS 20.9%
FTrt
38.7
32.9
MIA 23.3
SAS 38.7 +15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.6%
MIA 45.2%
SAS 70.6% +25.4%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
MIA 3.4%
SAS 13.3% +9.9%
BLK %
8.7%
9.9%
MIA 5.4%
SAS 16.4% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.6%
MIA 50.6% +0.6%
SAS 50.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
59.3%
MIA 35.5%
SAS 73.7% +38.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
37.2%
MIA 43.3% +10.9%
SAS 32.4%
3P %
37.7%
36.3%
MIA 58.3% +16.2%
SAS 42.1%
FT %
67.2%
72.4%
MIA 88.2% +29.6%
SAS 58.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.6%
MIA 42.5% +17.1%
SAS 25.3%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
40.8%
MIA 41.1% +8.2%
SAS 49.3%
3P Att. %
19.8%
21.6%
MIA 16.4%
SAS 25.3% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8493
Rebounds4835
Assists1424
Steals312
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)26 (2)
Field Goals31-7334-75
At-the-Rim FG11-3114-19
Midrange FG13-3012-37
2-Point FG24-6126-56
3-Point FG7-128-19
Free Throws15-1717-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
42.3
11
55%
4
2
2
0
4
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
3-5
60%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
39.9
23
46%
21
4
0
2
3
5
8
13
5-7
71%
9-21
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
37.8
9
75%
4
3
0
0
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
22.8
11
42%
7
0
0
0
4
2
3
4
5-5
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 33
18.1
4
33%
2
0
0
0
2
6
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
25.5
10
63%
3
4
1
0
2
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
25.1
10
45%
4
0
0
1
3
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
20.4
4
100%
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
8.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
51%
48
14
3
3
22
0
14
34
15-17
88%
24-61
39%
7-12
58%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.