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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 14, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks64%108122
30Wizards36%103113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
37.9
39.2
32
81%
13
5
1
1
0
7
4
9
9-11
82%
7-11
7-15
64%
49%
3-4
75%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
31.9
23.9
11
53%
7
2
1
0
2
2
0
7
1-3
33%
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
29.1
29.3
13
57%
4
3
3
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
16.5
34.4
7
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.7
10.6
17.0
9
64%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.0
38.2
31.1
28
68%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
6-6
100%
5-12
4-10
42%
43%
4-6
67%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
33.0
24.9
13
67%
0
11
4
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.0
32.4
12.8
3
26%
7
1
0
0
0
0
5
2
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.6
4.7
8.5
4
100%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
4.6
4.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.5
1.1
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.2
3.3
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
43.1
37.1
23
55%
9
6
1
1
1
3
5
4
6-7
86%
7-15
8-15
47%
51%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.0
40.3
22.9
20
85%
9
0
5
0
4
1
5
4
2-4
50%
9-10
3-6
90%
51%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
38.8
34.6
20
57%
2
9
1
2
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
43%
3-5
60%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
37.5
27.1
23
59%
6
8
4
1
0
3
0
6
7-8
88%
8-14
5-11
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
32.1
29.0
14
44%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
6-7
86%
4-10
4-8
40%
43%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
23.0
12.7
7
58%
5
2
0
0
0
2
4
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
1-1
100%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.1
12.2
20.1
5
36%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.0
7.5
17.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.8
5.5
22.4
1
57%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.7
9.3
0
1-2
43%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.3
5.9
0
1-1
44%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 19.5
4.0
0
1-1
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.