FinalWin Prob.pScore
1729%96
97
571%103
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.29493.4
MIN logo MIN
116.19393.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN97
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAHaslem Layup (13 PTS)97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MINHoiberg 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Madsen 1 AST)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MINHassell 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Garnett 8 AST)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIADooling Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MINGarnett 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAGarnett STEAL (2 STL)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:00MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 2:02MINMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 2:23MIADoleac 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47MINMISS Hassell 13' Jump Shot89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MINHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:19MINMISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 189
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 3:40MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS)89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 3:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Dooling 5' Jump Shot87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:58MINGriffin Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MINMISS Hudson 14' Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42MINHassell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:11MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:26MINGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MINMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MINMISS Hudson 12' Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MINGriffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWade Tip Shot (24 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MINHudson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)78
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)77
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:59MINGriffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 8:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)74
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 8:30MINHassell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)73
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:30MINHassell Tip Shot (5 PTS)73
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:32MINMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 8:43MINMadsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 8:44MINMISS Hudson 23' Jump Shot73
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 9:03MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)73
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 9:26MINHudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)71
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:44MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound71
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 9:45MINMISS Hoiberg Layup71
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:49MIAHoiberg STEAL (2 STL)71
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 9:58MINHassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)71
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:58MINHassell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 10:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)71
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 10:37MINHudson 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 10:56MINGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot68
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 11:22MINHoiberg 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)68
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 11:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIAAllen Tip Shot (8 PTS)68
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Doleac Layup66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 11:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MINMISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)66
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0MINHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T12)66
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MINGarnett 5' Jump Bank Shot (23 PTS)66
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 1:03MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)66
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 1:24MINSzczerbiak 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)63
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 1:33MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)63
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 1:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)63
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 1:51MINMISS Garnett 6' Jump Shot63
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 2:09MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:11MINMISS Hudson 20' Jump Shot63
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 2:15MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)63
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 2:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 2:28MINMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot63
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 2:37MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)63
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 2:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)63
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 2:57MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 263
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 2:57MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 3:12MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)63
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 3:12MIAHeat Rebound63
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot63
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 3:36MINCassell Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)63
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 3:44MIAAllen 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)63
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 4:06MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 4:06MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 4:24MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)59
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 4:39MINMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot59
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 4:45MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot59
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 5:08MINSzczerbiak Layup (16 PTS) (Garnett 7 AST)59
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 5:26MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup59
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 5:35MINSprewell Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)59
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 5:37MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)59
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 5:38MINMISS Garnett Layup59
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 5:47MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)59
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 6:02MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)59
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 6:02MINGarnett 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)59
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 6:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 6:21MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)59
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot57
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 6:45MINJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)57
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 6:58MINJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 257
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 6:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 7:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)56
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot56
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 7:18MINCassell 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)56
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 7:32MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound56
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 7:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 7:44MINMISS Cassell Layup56
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 7:57MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 256
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 256
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 7:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)56
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot56
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 8:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 8:07MINMISS Olowokandi 5' Jump Shot56
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 8:08MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 8:10MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot56
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 8:29MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 8:46MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 8:46MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 8:52MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)54
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 8:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 8:55MINMISS Szczerbiak Layup54
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 8:59MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)54
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot54
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot54
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)54
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot54
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 9:26MINSprewell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 9:54MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)54
9.8%
62
90.2%
Q3 - 10:07MINGarnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)52
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 10:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)52
9.9%
60
90.1%
Q3 - 10:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS)51
8.7%
60
91.3%
Q3 - 10:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot49
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 10:42MINCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)49
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 10:42MINCassell Driving Layup (16 PTS)49
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q3 - 10:46MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)49
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot49
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 11:01MINGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)49
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)47
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q3 - 11:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q3 - 11:37MINMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot47
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 11:39MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)47
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q3 - 11:40MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot47
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 11:42MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q3 - 11:44MINMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot47
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dooling 14' Running Jump Shot47
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0MINMISS Sprewell 3PT Jump Shot47
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0MINCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0MINMISS Griffin 4' Hook Shot47
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MINGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MINMISS Griffin 14' Jump Shot47
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
7.9%
57
92.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q2 - 1:00MINTIMBERWOLVES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)45
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q2 - 1:00MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound45
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q2 - 1:01MINMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot45
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q2 - 1:24MIAAllen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T8)45
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 145
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q2 - 1:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q2 - 1:34MINMISS Sprewell 17' Jump Shot45
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q2 - 1:50MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)45
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot45
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q2 - 2:10MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q2 - 2:10MINOlowokandi Tip Shot (5 PTS)45
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q2 - 2:12MINMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot45
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 2:28MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)45
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 2:44MINCassell 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q2 - 3:03MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound43
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q2 - 3:23MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)43
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q2 - 3:23MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 3:27MINSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot43
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 3:39MINCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 3:39MINCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)43
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q2 - 4:07MINCassell 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)41
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 4:18MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)41
14.1%
47
85.9%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot41
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 4:33MINOlowokandi Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
15.5%
47
84.5%
Q2 - 4:33MINMISS Olowokandi Free Throw 1 of 241
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 4:35MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 4:36MINMISS Olowokandi Layup41
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 4:54MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 241
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 4:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 5:07MINSprewell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)40
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 5:30MIAWade Driving Dunk (20 PTS)40
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 5:34MINCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)38
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 6:09MINGarnett 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)36
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAHoiberg STEAL (1 STL)36
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot36
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 6:42MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 6:42MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 6:48MIAAnderson Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 6:59MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 7:00MINMISS Garnett 7' Turnaround Jump Shot34
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)34
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 7:40MINHoiberg 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)32
13.4%
40
86.6%
Q2 - 7:57MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)32
14.5%
38
85.5%
Q2 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
12.3%
38
87.7%
Q2 - 8:09MINMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)29
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)28
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 8:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 8:30MINMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot27
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 8:53MINSzczerbiak 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)25
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 9:25MINHudson 10' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)23
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 9:29MINHassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 9:32MINMISS Hudson 20' Jump Shot23
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 10:12MINHudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q2 - 10:23MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q2 - 10:41MINSzczerbiak 15' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)19
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 10:54MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q2 - 10:54MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
10.3%
29
89.7%
Q2 - 11:06MINHudson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q2 - 11:24MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)17
8.9%
29
91.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot17
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 11:42MINGarnett 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q2 - 11:44MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)17
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q2 - 11:45MINMISS Garnett Layup17
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINGarnett 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)17
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)17
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 217
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 217
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MINJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MINMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 217
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)17
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 217
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
14.5%
24
85.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 1:02MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot16
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 1:14MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot16
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 1:24MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 1:25MINHassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q1 - 1:25MINMISS Hassell Tip Shot16
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 1:27MINMISS Cassell 10' Jump Shot16
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 1:33MIACassell STEAL (2 STL)16
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q1 - 1:40MINCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 1:40MINCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 215
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 2:00MINOlowokandi Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 2:00MINOlowokandi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
15.2%
21
84.8%
Q1 - 2:10MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)15
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 2:11MINMISS Cassell 21' Jump Shot15
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 2:13MINCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 2:15MINMISS Szczerbiak 11' Jump Shot15
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 2:22MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot15
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 2:45MINSzczerbiak 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)15
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 3:27MINCassell 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
16.4%
18
83.6%
Q1 - 3:35MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Allen 18' Turnaround Jump Shot12
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 3:59MINCassell 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
19.0%
16
81.0%
Q1 - 4:06MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot12
20.5%
14
79.5%
Q1 - 4:29MINSzczerbiak 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)12
21.8%
14
78.2%
Q1 - 4:34MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
23.0%
12
77.0%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot12
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 4:55MINSzczerbiak 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)12
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 5:18MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)12
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 5:32MINSzczerbiak 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sprewell 1 AST)10
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 5:40MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot10
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 5:55MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 5:55MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 110
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 6:36MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 6:37MINMISS Olowokandi 7' Jump Shot8
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 6:37MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)8
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 6:45MINGarnett Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 6:54MINOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot8
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 7:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 7:08MINMISS Sprewell 9' Jump Shot8
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 7:25MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 7:38MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 7:38MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
24.1%
5
75.9%
Q1 - 7:42MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 7:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 7:54MINMISS Olowokandi 5' Jump Shot6
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 8:10MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 8:29MINCassell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)4
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 8:32MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 8:33MINMISS Olowokandi 6' Hook Shot4
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 8:45MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot4
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 8:53MINOlowokandi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 9:07MIACassell STEAL (1 STL)4
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 9:16MINMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot4
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:23MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 9:24MINMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot4
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:36MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 9:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 9:45MINMISS Olowokandi 7' Hook Shot4
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:13MINGarnett Dunk (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)2
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 10:29MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 10:46MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot0
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:07MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:22MINMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Garnett vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
23.2%
0
76.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 49.0%
MIN
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
26
77%
MIN
6
16
38%
Midrange
MIA
10
35
29%
MIN
27
59
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIN
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
25
36
69%
MIN
24
27
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2566%12.5 / 19
S. O'Neal2042%10.0 / 24
U. Haslem1393%6.5 / 7
D. Jones1179%5.5 / 7
M. Allen1056%5.0 / 9
K. Dooling638%3.0 / 8
M. Doleac450%2.0 / 4
E. Jones317%1.5 / 9
R. Butler338%1.5 / 4
S. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2557%12.5 / 22
W. Szczerbiak2162%10.5 / 17
S. Cassell1950%9.5 / 19
T. Hudson1250%6.0 / 12
T. Hassell758%3.5 / 6
F. Hoiberg758%3.5 / 6
E. Griffin650%3.0 / 6
L. Sprewell550%2.5 / 5
M. Olowokandi528%2.5 / 9
E. Johnson150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+15
-13
96
MIN
83
+21
-10
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 49.0%
MIN
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.3
MIA 103.2
MIN 116.1 +12.9
Pace
93.9
91.6
MIA 93.4
MIN 93.7 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
MIA 15.4
MIN 15.4 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.9%
MIA 48.6% +0.9%
MIN 47.7%
TO %
14.0%
13.7%
MIA 14.3%
MIN 9.9% +4.4%
ORB %
27.0%
28.6%
MIA 30.2%
MIN 39.6% +9.4%
FTrt
38.7
27.5
MIA 48.6 +17.9
MIN 30.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
63.0%
MIA 50.0%
MIN 56.4% +6.4%
STL %
6.8%
6.1%
MIA 4.3%
MIN 7.5% +3.2%
BLK %
8.7%
8.1%
MIA 9.3% +7.7%
MIN 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
51.0%
MIA 49.0%
MIN 51.4% +2.4%
Rim FG%
63.0%
60.0%
MIA 76.9% +39.4%
MIN 37.5%
Mid FG%
41.0%
43.0%
MIA 28.6%
MIN 45.8% +17.2%
3P %
37.7%
34.5%
MIA 30.8%
MIN 46.2% +15.4%
FT %
67.2%
79.6%
MIA 69.4%
MIN 88.9% +19.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
25.7%
MIA 35.1% +17.0%
MIN 18.2%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
57.1%
MIA 47.3% +19.7%
MIN 67.0%
3P Att. %
19.8%
17.3%
MIA 17.6% +2.8%
MIN 14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAMIN
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points97108
Rebounds4249
Assists1722
Steals47
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)30 (2)
Field Goals34-7439-88
At-the-Rim FG20-266-16
Midrange FG10-3527-59
2-Point FG30-6133-75
3-Point FG4-136-13
Free Throws25-3624-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
36.1
25
66%
2
6
1
1
3
3
2
0
7-9
78%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
34.3
20
42%
15
1
0
4
4
4
6
9
8-15
53%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 33
32.1
3
17%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
20.1
13
93%
6
0
1
1
2
5
2
4
3-3
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
19.1
3
38%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
27.9
10
56%
5
2
2
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
22.4
11
79%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
16.3
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
13.7
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
9.9
6
38%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
8.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
42
17
4
7
13
0
13
29
25-36
69%
30-61
49%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.