| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 117.7 | 96 | 98.7 |
 MIL | 111.6 | 95 | 92.5 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
80
+10
-16
90
MIL
85
+11
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.23 61.4%
MIL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | MIL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 113 100% | 106 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 113 99.9% | 104 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 112 99.9% | 104 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 111 99.9% | 104 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | MIL | MISS Mason 12' Jump Shot | 111 99.9% | 104 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 111 99.7% | 104 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 | 110 99.7% | 104 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | MIL | Redd Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS) | 110 99.8% | 104 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | MIL | Redd Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS) | 110 99.8% | 103 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 110 99.8% | 102 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 109 99.8% | 102 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | MIL | Smith Layup (4 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 108 99.6% | 102 0.4% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 108 99.7% | 100 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 107 99.6% | 100 0.4% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | MIL | Van Horn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Williams 6 AST) | 106 99.4% | 100 0.6% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 106 99.7% | 97 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 105 99.7% | 97 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:40.0 | MIL | Van Horn Layup (20 PTS) (Williams 5 AST) | 104 99.4% | 97 0.6% |
| Q4 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 104 99.7% | 95 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | MIL | Williams 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 104 99.7% | 95 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 104 99.8% | 93 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 103 99.8% | 93 0.2% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | MIL | Van Horn 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 102 99.6% | 93 0.4% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | MIL | MISS Mason Free Throw Technical | 102 99.7% | 91 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P6.T15) | 102 99.7% | 91 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 102 99.7% | 91 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 102 99.7% | 90 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 102 99.7% | 89 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | MIA | Wade Layup (17 PTS) | 101 99.6% | 89 0.4% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 99 99.2% | 89 0.8% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | MIL | MISS Redd Layup | 99 99.1% | 89 0.9% |
| Q4 - 2:02 | MIL | Redd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 99 98.3% | 89 1.7% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 99 98.6% | 89 1.4% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 99 99.1% | 89 0.9% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 99 99.2% | 88 0.8% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | MIA | Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST) | 99 99.3% | 87 0.7% |
| Q4 - 2:59 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 96 97.9% | 87 2.1% |
| Q4 - 3:01 | MIL | MISS Mason 16' Jump Shot | 96 97.5% | 87 2.5% |
| Q4 - 3:15 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 96 96.3% | 87 3.7% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 96 96.6% | 87 3.4% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 97.1% | 87 2.9% |
| Q4 - 3:35 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 96 95.8% | 87 4.2% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIL | MISS Santiago 9' Hook Shot | 96 95.4% | 87 4.6% |
| Q4 - 3:48 | MIL | Redd Free Throw Technical (29 PTS) | 96 94.3% | 87 5.7% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 96 96.1% | 86 3.9% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 95 95.5% | 86 4.5% |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 95 96.3% | 86 3.7% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | MIL | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 95 95.8% | 86 4.2% |
| Q4 - 4:45 | MIA | Haslem Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T14) | 95 94.7% | 86 5.3% |
| Q4 - 4:45 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 95 95.7% | 86 4.3% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 94 94.8% | 86 5.2% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIL | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 94 94.6% | 86 5.4% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIL | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 94 93.1% | 86 6.9% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (24 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 94 92.1% | 85 7.9% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | MIL | Mason 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Van Horn 5 AST) | 92 89.7% | 85 10.3% |
| Q4 - 5:42 | MIA | Van Horn STEAL (1 STL) | 92 92.3% | 83 7.7% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIL | Redd Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 92 94.5% | 83 5.5% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIL | Redd Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS) | 92 94.7% | 82 5.3% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 92 94.1% | 81 5.9% |
| Q4 - 6:39 | MIL | Redd 7' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Mason 2 AST) | 90 92.6% | 81 7.4% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | MIA | O'Neal 3' Layup (20 PTS) | 90 92.3% | 79 7.7% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | MIL | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 88 90.5% | 79 9.5% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | MIL | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 88 91.0% | 78 9.0% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 88 92.5% | 77 7.5% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 87 91.6% | 77 8.4% |
| Q4 - 7:52 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 87 92.7% | 77 7.3% |
| Q4 - 7:52 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 87 93.1% | 76 6.9% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | MIA | Allen Dunk (6 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST) | 87 92.7% | 75 7.3% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MIL | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 85 90.9% | 75 9.1% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MIL | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 85 91.3% | 74 8.7% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 85 92.8% | 73 7.2% |
| Q4 - 8:36 | MIA | Gadzuric BLOCK (3 BLK) | 85 93.3% | 73 6.7% |
| Q4 - 8:52 | MIL | Van Horn 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 85 94.4% | 73 5.6% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | MIL | Jump Ball Mason vs. Wade: Tip to Strickland | 85 94.4% | 71 5.6% |
| Q4 - 9:29 | MIL | Mason Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 85 95.7% | 71 4.3% |
| Q4 - 9:47 | MIA | Wade 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 85 96.5% | 69 3.5% |
| Q4 - 10:13 | MIL | Gadzuric Dunk (5 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 83 94.8% | 69 5.2% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 83 95.7% | 67 4.3% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | MIL | MISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 96.4% | 67 3.6% |
| Q4 - 10:35 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST) | 83 95.7% | 67 4.3% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | MIL | MISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 1 | 81 94.7% | 67 5.3% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | MIL | Mason Layup (8 PTS) (Van Horn 4 AST) | 81 94.8% | 67 5.2% |
| Q4 - 11:05 | MIA | Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 81 95.0% | 65 5.0% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | MIL | Gadzuric Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 78 92.5% | 65 7.5% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | MIL | Strickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 78 90.8% | 65 9.2% |
| Q4 - 11:20 | MIA | MISS Anderson 4' Jump Shot | 78 91.4% | 65 8.6% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 78 92.6% | 65 7.4% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | MIL | MISS Mason 18' Jump Shot | 78 92.1% | 65 7.9% |
| Q4 - 11:47 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 78 90.9% | 65 9.1% |
| Q4 - 11:47 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 77 90.5% | 65 9.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIL | 76 89.1% | 65 10.9% | |
| Q3 - 0:09.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 76 85.1% | 65 14.9% |
| Q3 - 0:09.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 75 84.0% | 65 16.0% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | MIL | James 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 74 82.4% | 65 17.6% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | MIL | Santiago REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 74 85.2% | 63 14.8% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 74 85.6% | 63 14.4% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 74 86.7% | 63 13.3% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | MIL | Van Horn 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST) | 73 85.2% | 63 14.8% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | MIL | Santiago REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 73 87.7% | 61 12.3% |
| Q3 - 1:00 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 88.0% | 61 12.0% |
| Q3 - 1:00 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 88.9% | 61 11.1% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 73 88.3% | 61 11.7% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | MIL | MISS Gadzuric Layup | 73 87.7% | 61 12.3% |
| Q3 - 1:36 | MIA | Jones Layup (24 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST) | 73 86.1% | 61 13.9% |
| Q3 - 1:54 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 71 83.7% | 61 16.3% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | MIL | MISS Mason 15' Jump Shot | 71 82.9% | 61 17.1% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (14 PTS) | 71 78.8% | 61 21.2% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | MIL | Van Horn 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) | 69 75.9% | 61 24.1% |
| Q3 - 2:44 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 69 78.9% | 59 21.1% |
| Q3 - 2:44 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 78.3% | 59 21.7% |
| Q3 - 2:50 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 68 79.2% | 59 20.8% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | MIL | MISS James 7' Jump Shot | 68 78.1% | 59 21.9% |
| Q3 - 3:13 | MIA | O'Neal 3' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 68 74.6% | 59 25.4% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIL | Gadzuric 3' Layup (3 PTS) (Mason 1 AST) | 66 71.3% | 59 28.7% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | MIA | Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST) | 66 74.6% | 57 25.4% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 63 66.3% | 57 33.7% |
| Q3 - 4:16 | MIL | MISS Van Horn 6' Jump Shot | 63 64.9% | 57 35.1% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 63 61.7% | 57 38.3% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 62 61.0% | 57 39.0% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 61 58.2% | 57 41.8% |
| Q3 - 4:31 | MIL | MISS Redd 17' Jump Shot | 61 56.7% | 57 43.3% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | MIA | Butler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 61 53.3% | 57 46.7% |
| Q3 - 5:08 | MIL | Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 59 49.0% | 57 51.0% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS) | 59 57.0% | 54 43.0% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | MIA | Jones Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST) | 58 52.8% | 54 47.2% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 56 49.0% | 54 51.0% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | MIL | MISS Van Horn 4' Jump Shot | 56 47.6% | 54 52.4% |
| Q3 - 5:54 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 56 44.5% | 54 55.5% |
| Q3 - 5:54 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 55 43.9% | 54 56.1% |
| Q3 - 5:54 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 54 40.8% | 54 59.2% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | MIL | MISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 39.4% | 54 60.6% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | MIA | Jones Layup (17 PTS) | 54 36.3% | 54 63.7% |
| Q3 - 6:35 | MIL | Smith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Horn 3 AST) | 52 33.0% | 54 67.0% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | MIA | Haslem 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 52 36.4% | 52 63.6% |
| Q3 - 7:01 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 50 32.9% | 52 67.1% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot | 50 30.3% | 52 69.7% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | MIL | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 50 32.9% | 52 67.1% |
| Q3 - 7:22 | MIL | Gadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 29.1% | 52 70.9% |
| Q3 - 7:23 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 50 29.6% | 52 70.4% |
| Q3 - 7:23 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 50 31.8% | 52 68.2% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 50 32.9% | 52 67.1% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | MIL | MISS Williams Layup | 50 31.8% | 52 68.2% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIL | Van Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 50 29.1% | 52 70.9% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 30.3% | 52 69.7% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 50 32.9% | 52 67.1% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | MIL | MISS Gadzuric Layup | 50 31.8% | 52 68.2% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) | 50 29.4% | 52 70.6% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 48 26.7% | 52 73.3% |
| Q3 - 8:24 | MIA | Gadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK) | 48 24.4% | 52 75.6% |
| Q3 - 8:36 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 48 26.7% | 52 73.3% |
| Q3 - 8:36 | MIA | MISS Butler 19' Jump Shot | 48 24.4% | 52 75.6% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 48 26.7% | 52 73.3% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | MIL | MISS Gadzuric 5' Hook Shot | 48 25.7% | 52 74.3% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 48 23.7% | 52 76.3% |
| Q3 - 9:29 | MIL | Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 46 21.2% | 52 78.8% |
| Q3 - 9:29 | MIL | MISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 | 46 22.3% | 51 77.7% |
| Q3 - 9:43 | MIA | Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 46 21.1% | 51 78.9% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | MIL | Van Horn Dunk (7 PTS) (Redd 2 AST) | 43 17.2% | 51 82.8% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | MIA | Redd STEAL (2 STL) | 43 19.0% | 49 81.0% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | MIL | Redd 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 43 21.6% | 49 78.4% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | MIA | Butler 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 43 23.8% | 47 76.2% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | MIL | Van Horn 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST) | 41 21.7% | 47 78.3% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 41 24.1% | 45 75.9% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 40 23.6% | 45 76.4% |
| Q3 - 11:46 | MIL | Redd 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST) | 40 24.2% | 45 75.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 40 26.6% | 43 73.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIL | Mason 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 40 29.6% | 43 70.4% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Mason STEAL (1 STL) | 40 33.2% | 41 66.8% |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | MIL | Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 40 35.2% | 41 64.8% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 40 42.4% | 38 57.6% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | MIL | MISS Redd Layup | 40 44.1% | 38 55.9% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 40 42.4% | 38 57.6% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | MIL | MISS Mason Reverse Layup | 40 44.1% | 38 55.9% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Allen Traveling Turnover (P2.T9) | 40 42.4% | 38 57.6% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 40 44.8% | 38 55.2% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 43.1% | 38 56.9% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 40 44.3% | 38 55.7% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 43.1% | 38 56.9% |
| Q2 - 1:29 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 40 44.3% | 38 55.7% |
| Q2 - 1:31 | MIL | MISS Mason 7' Jump Shot | 40 43.8% | 38 56.2% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | MIA | O'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8) | 40 42.6% | 38 57.4% |
| Q2 - 2:00 | MIL | Williams Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 40 44.3% | 38 55.7% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | MIA | Anderson Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 40 47.9% | 36 52.1% |
| Q2 - 2:38 | MIL | Redd 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 38 44.5% | 36 55.5% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | MIA | Allen Layup (4 PTS) | 38 48.0% | 34 52.0% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 36 44.5% | 34 55.5% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 42.6% | 34 57.4% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIL | Redd 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 36 44.3% | 34 55.7% |
| Q2 - 3:48 | MIL | Van Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 36 46.9% | 32 53.1% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | MIA | MISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 48.0% | 32 52.0% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 36 49.3% | 32 50.7% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | MIL | MISS Santiago 3' Layup | 36 48.4% | 32 51.6% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | MIA | O'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T7) | 36 46.5% | 32 53.5% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | MIL | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 36 49.4% | 32 50.6% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 36 46.0% | 32 54.0% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | MIA | O'Neal 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 35 43.2% | 32 56.8% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 33 40.7% | 32 59.3% |
| Q2 - 5:15 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 38.7% | 32 61.3% |
| Q2 - 5:42 | MIL | Williams Layup (7 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST) | 33 40.7% | 32 59.3% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | MIA | Strickland STEAL (1 STL) | 33 43.3% | 30 56.7% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 46.3% | 30 53.7% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | MIL | MISS Van Horn 16' Jump Shot | 33 45.3% | 30 54.7% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 33 42.9% | 30 57.1% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 42.3% | 30 57.7% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 32 43.4% | 30 56.6% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIL | MISS Mason 19' Jump Shot | 32 42.4% | 30 57.6% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 32 40.2% | 30 59.8% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | MIL | MISS Strickland Layup | 32 42.4% | 30 57.6% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | MIA | Allen Layup (2 PTS) | 32 40.2% | 30 59.8% |
| Q2 - 6:59 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 30 38.1% | 30 61.9% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | MIA | MISS Allen 4' Jump Shot | 30 36.1% | 30 63.9% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 37.9% | 30 62.1% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | MIL | MISS Smith 16' Jump Shot | 30 37.1% | 30 62.9% |
| Q2 - 7:24 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 30 35.3% | 30 64.7% |
| Q2 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Anderson Layup | 30 36.1% | 30 63.9% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 37.9% | 30 62.1% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | MIL | MISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 37.1% | 30 62.9% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | MIA | Anderson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 30 35.2% | 30 64.8% |
| Q2 - 8:13 | MIL | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 28 33.0% | 30 67.0% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | MIL | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 28 30.5% | 30 69.5% |
| Q2 - 8:21 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 28 31.3% | 30 68.7% |
| Q2 - 8:46 | MIL | James 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 28 33.0% | 30 67.0% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 28 35.1% | 28 64.9% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIL | MISS Smith Layup | 28 36.9% | 28 63.1% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | MIA | James STEAL (1 STL) | 28 34.9% | 28 65.1% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 28 37.5% | 28 62.5% |
| Q2 - 9:09 | MIL | Strickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 28 34.9% | 28 65.1% |
| Q2 - 9:09 | MIL | MISS Strickland Tip Shot | 28 36.7% | 28 63.3% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | MIL | MISS James 15' Jump Shot | 28 36.7% | 28 63.3% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 | 28 35.3% | 28 64.7% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | MIA | Wade Layup (7 PTS) | 28 34.9% | 28 65.1% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 32.9% | 28 67.1% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | MIL | MISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 2 | 26 32.6% | 28 67.4% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | MIL | Strickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 26 31.0% | 28 69.0% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | MIL | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 32.7% | 27 67.3% |
| Q2 - 9:41 | MIA | MISS Jones Layup | 26 33.4% | 27 66.6% |
| Q2 - 9:51 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 26 35.2% | 27 64.8% |
| Q2 - 9:52 | MIL | MISS Mason Reverse Layup | 26 34.4% | 27 65.6% |
| Q2 - 10:08 | MIL | Van Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 26 32.7% | 27 67.3% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 26 33.5% | 27 66.5% |
| Q2 - 10:24 | MIL | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 1 | 26 34.9% | 27 65.1% |
| Q2 - 10:24 | MIL | James Layup (2 PTS) | 26 35.2% | 27 64.8% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 26 37.2% | 25 62.8% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | MIA | MISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 38.0% | 25 62.0% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 39.9% | 25 60.1% |
| Q2 - 10:43 | MIL | MISS James Layup | 26 39.0% | 25 61.0% |
| Q2 - 10:56 | MIL | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 37.2% | 25 62.8% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | MIA | MISS Anderson 5' Jump Shot | 26 38.0% | 25 62.0% |
| Q2 - 11:10 | MIL | Mason Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 26 39.3% | 25 60.7% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | MIA | Doleac 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 26 37.0% | 25 63.0% |
| Q2 - 11:42 | MIL | Redd 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 24 34.8% | 25 65.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | 24 37.0% | 23 63.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 24 37.0% | 23 63.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | MISS Redd 17' Jump Shot | 24 38.6% | 23 61.4% |
| Q1 - 0:22.0 | MIL | Santiago REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 24 37.1% | 23 62.9% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | MIL | MISS Mason 14' Jump Shot | 24 38.2% | 23 61.8% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Jones Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 24 37.1% | 23 62.9% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 22 34.4% | 23 65.6% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | MIL | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 22 34.8% | 22 65.2% |
| Q1 - 1:13 | MIA | Jones 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 22 37.1% | 21 62.9% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 19 32.3% | 21 67.7% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 19 31.2% | 21 68.8% |
| Q1 - 1:35 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 32.3% | 21 67.7% |
| Q1 - 1:37 | MIL | MISS Redd 16' Jump Shot | 19 31.8% | 21 68.2% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 19 30.7% | 21 69.3% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | MIL | Mason 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 17 28.6% | 21 71.4% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | MIL | Santiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 30.7% | 19 69.3% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 | 17 30.9% | 19 69.1% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 17 32.4% | 19 67.6% |
| Q1 - 2:46 | MIL | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 16 30.6% | 19 69.4% |
| Q1 - 2:57 | MIL | Santiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 28.7% | 19 71.3% |
| Q1 - 2:59 | MIA | MISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 29.3% | 19 70.7% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 30.8% | 19 69.2% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIL | MISS Redd 14' Jump Shot | 16 30.1% | 19 69.9% |
| Q1 - 3:29 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P2.T4) | 16 28.6% | 19 71.4% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIL | Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Van Horn 2 AST) | 16 30.7% | 19 69.3% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | MIL | Van Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 16 34.5% | 16 65.5% |
| Q1 - 3:53 | MIL | MISS Van Horn 12' Jump Shot | 16 36.1% | 16 63.9% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 16 34.2% | 16 65.8% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 15 33.9% | 16 66.1% |
| Q1 - 4:04 | MIL | Van Horn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 14 32.6% | 16 67.4% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIA | Wade 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 14 30.3% | 16 69.7% |
| Q1 - 4:37 | MIL | Redd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 12 28.9% | 16 71.1% |
| Q1 - 4:37 | MIL | Redd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 12 29.1% | 15 70.9% |
| Q1 - 4:48 | MIA | Jones Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 12 30.3% | 14 69.7% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | MIL | Santiago Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 12 32.7% | 14 67.3% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 12 30.4% | 14 69.6% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 11 30.1% | 14 69.9% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | MIL | Redd 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 11 30.6% | 14 69.4% |
| Q1 - 5:41 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 11 32.2% | 12 67.8% |
| Q1 - 5:41 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 10 31.5% | 12 68.5% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | MIL | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 10 32.4% | 12 67.6% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | MIA | Jones 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 10 30.5% | 12 69.5% |
| Q1 - 6:34 | MIL | Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 8 28.8% | 12 71.2% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | Jones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 8 32.2% | 9 67.8% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIL | BUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2) | 6 30.7% | 9 69.3% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 6 28.9% | 9 71.1% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | MIL | MISS Williams 17' Jump Shot | 6 30.1% | 9 69.9% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | MIL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 28.9% | 9 71.1% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | MIL | MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot | 6 30.1% | 9 69.9% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 6 28.9% | 9 71.1% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 30.7% | 9 69.3% |
| Q1 - 7:35 | MIL | MISS Smith Layup | 6 30.1% | 9 69.9% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | MIL | Gadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 28.9% | 9 71.1% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | Gadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK) | 6 29.4% | 9 70.6% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | MIL | Gadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 30.7% | 9 69.3% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | MIA | Redd STEAL (1 STL) | 6 29.0% | 9 71.0% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 30.7% | 9 69.3% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 29.5% | 9 70.5% |
| Q1 - 8:44 | MIL | Redd Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 6 30.7% | 9 69.3% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | MIL | Van Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 32.2% | 7 67.8% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot | 6 32.7% | 7 67.3% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | MIL | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 6 34.0% | 7 66.0% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | MIL | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 34.3% | 6 65.7% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | MIA | Haslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 6 35.2% | 5 64.8% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 34.0% | 5 66.0% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | MIL | MISS Gadzuric Layup | 4 33.3% | 5 66.7% |
| Q1 - 9:54 | MIA | Wade Layup (2 PTS) | 4 31.9% | 5 68.1% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | MIL | Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST) | 2 30.5% | 5 69.5% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | MIL | Van Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 33.6% | 2 66.4% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | MIA | MISS Jones 17' Jump Shot | 2 34.1% | 2 65.9% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 35.5% | 2 64.5% |
| Q1 - 10:46 | MIL | MISS Williams Layup | 2 34.9% | 2 65.1% |
| Q1 - 10:59 | MIL | Gadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 33.5% | 2 66.5% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | MIA | MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot | 2 34.2% | 2 65.8% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | MIL | Redd 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 35.2% | 2 64.8% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | MIA | Butler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 2 37.1% | 0 62.9% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIL | Jump Ball Gadzuric vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade | 0 35.3% | 0 64.7% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.23 61.4%
MIL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
29
72%
MIL
15
32
47%
Midrange
MIA
11
18
61%
MIL
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MIL
6
9.0
9
67%
100%
Free Throws
MIA
34
51
67%
MIL
24
30
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Jones | 27 | 68% | 13.5 / 20 | |
| S. O'Neal | 26 | 68% | 13.0 / 19 | |
| D. Wade | 18 | 53% | 9.0 / 17 | |
| D. Jones | 17 | 71% | 8.5 / 12 | |
| U. Haslem | 7 | 88% | 3.5 / 4 | |
| R. Butler | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| M. Allen | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| S. Anderson | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| M. Doleac | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Bucks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Redd | 33 | 75% | 16.5 / 22 | |
| K. Van Horn | 23 | 82% | 11.5 / 14 | |
| D. Mason | 18 | 47% | 9.0 / 19 | |
| M. Williams | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| M. James | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| D. Gadzuric | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| J. Smith | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| E. Strickland | 1 | 13% | 0.5 / 4 | |
| D. Santiago | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
80
+10
-16
90
MIL
85
+11
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.23 61.4%
MIL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.6 103.5 | MIA 117.7 +6.1 MIL 111.6 |
| Pace | 93.9 93.5 | MIA 98.7 +6.2 MIL 92.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.6 15.4 | MIA 14.6 +1.0 MIL 15.6 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 52.4% 47.5% | MIA 62.7% +10.8% MIL 51.9% |
| TO % | 14.0% 14.2% | MIA 15.8% MIL 10.7% +5.1% |
| ORB % | 27.0% 29.0% | MIA 26.7% +11.3% MIL 15.4% |
| FTrt | 38.7 33.9 | MIA 81.0 +43.0 MIL 38.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.8% 58.0% | MIA 62.2% +1.7% MIL 60.5% |
| STL % | 6.8% 6.9% | MIA 5.2% MIL 7.4% +2.2% |
| BLK % | 8.7% 5.4% | MIA 10.0% +3.6% MIL 6.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.7% 50.1% | MIA 61.4% +6.8% MIL 54.6% |
| Rim FG% | 63.0% 54.1% | MIA 72.4% +25.5% MIL 46.9% |
| Mid FG% | 41.0% 40.8% | MIA 61.1% +16.4% MIL 44.7% |
| 3P % | 37.7% 35.1% | MIA 31.3% MIL 66.7% +35.4% |
| FT % | 67.2% 77.2% | MIA 66.7% MIL 80.0% +13.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.6% 37.8% | MIA 46.0% +5.5% MIL 40.5% |
| Mid Att. % | 42.6% 48.1% | MIA 28.6% +19.5% MIL 48.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 19.8% 14.1% | MIA 25.4% +14.0% MIL 11.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
| Game Totals | MIA | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 96 | 95 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.4 | 24.6 |
| Points | 113 | 106 |
| Rebounds | 41 | 28 |
| Assists | 23 | 23 |
| Steals | 5 | 7 |
| Blocks | 7 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (0) | 10 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (2) | 6 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 33 (1) | 22 (0) |
| Field Goals | 37-63 | 38-79 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 21-29 | 15-32 |
| Midrange FG | 11-18 | 17-38 |
| 2-Point FG | 32-47 | 32-70 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-16 | 6-9 |
| Free Throws | 34-51 | 24-30 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.