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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 17, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
34Bulls25%9385
24Warriors75%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.9
33.0
29.1
15
47%
5
10
3
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
2-6
56%
37%
1-6
17%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.0
31.6
22.0
13
60%
9
3
2
1
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
40%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.1
30.5
29.6
3
15%
8
1
3
1
1
3
4
4
1-2
50%
1-9
3-6
11%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.1
22.8
22.2
13
108%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.0
16.7
30.9
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
7
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
6-13
67%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.2
21.8
21.1
7
32%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
36%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
20.4
28.6
4
34%
2
2
0
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
5-11
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.0
20.1
19.4
6
60%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
39%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.4
16.9
10.2
4
34%
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.6
12.4
14.3
12
55%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
37%
2-4
50%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
7.3
10.9
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 22.6
6.5
3.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
40.9
34.4
27
52%
8
4
3
1
2
3
2
6
1-4
25%
7-17
6-14
41%
48%
4-7
57%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.5
38.7
24.7
14
60%
4
11
4
1
0
6
0
4
4-4
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.5
35.9
32.5
17
48%
8
3
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-15
6-13
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
35.9
34.1
10
46%
5
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.9
26.0
22.2
12
60%
2
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
2-5
40%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35.6
18.9
13.0
1
10%
9
1
0
0
1
0
3
6
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.3
17.0
25.4
13
122%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
42%
2-2
100%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.3
10.8
16.0
0
0%
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.7
8.9
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
4.4
6.6
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
2.5
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 18.6
2.0
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.