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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Cavaliers59%101106
36Bobcats41%9889
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.5
32.1
34.4
16
62%
6
1
1
1
3
2
3
3
6-9
67%
5-9
6-12
56%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
29.6
35.4
18
71%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
2-2
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
29.1
39.8
19
64%
6
9
0
2
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-11
7-16
55%
47%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
28.4
30.9
8
52%
9
4
1
1
0
1
1
8
2-4
50%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
25.5
19.8
11
80%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.9
20.6
13.0
4
40%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
20.2
25.7
5
91%
0
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.8
19.6
14.3
6
38%
7
1
2
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.0
13.2
8.7
8
51%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.7
10.1
8.1
4
50%
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
5.7
17.8
7
88%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-6
100%
40%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.8
5.7
5.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.1
29.3
29.9
7
45%
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
44%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.5
28.9
31.2
8
40%
1
2
4
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
41%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
24.6
33.1
7
30%
6
3
0
1
2
2
3
3
3-4
75%
2-10
5-10
20%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
21.0
31.5
6
41%
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
2-3
67%
2-6
5-11
33%
44%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.0
14.4
6.7
8
58%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
33.0
29.0
14
51%
6
4
2
1
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
28.7
17.8
16
54%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.5
26.9
13.1
10
46%
7
1
0
0
0
1
5
2
0-4
0%
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.6
17.9
27.1
8
58%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 28.7
8.8
6.5
3
32%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-6
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
6.4
5.3
2
41%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.6
17.0
1
2-4
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.