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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 19, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz43%100105
13Heat57%102107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.0
45.4
36.0
25
61%
9
3
1
1
0
1
0
9
9-10
90%
8-16
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.3
41.5
25.3
18
63%
5
5
0
1
0
6
1
4
12-12
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
41.5
33.5
16
66%
12
4
1
2
3
2
3
9
5-7
71%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
24.0
20.6
12
77%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-8
67%
45%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.0
20.6
17.9
5
38%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
5-6
83%
0-4
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
32.7
26.0
17
58%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-6
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
44%
2-2
100%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
26.6
19.8
4
21%
7
1
0
0
0
2
0
7
2-3
67%
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
0-1
0%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.2
13.4
10.9
4
25%
6
2
0
0
0
0
5
1
2-2
100%
1-7
1-2
14%
45%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
11.5
13.8
2
50%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
7.8
1.6
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.5
23.0
1
3-6
49%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
15.5
1
2-4
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.8
46.9
27.7
39
62%
4
8
3
1
2
5
0
4
15-21
71%
12-22
5-10
55%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.1
41.3
31.9
17
56%
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
3-7
43%
1-6
2-6
17%
44%
4-6
67%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.7
39.8
33.5
22
51%
11
6
0
0
5
0
5
6
2-10
20%
10-17
7-13
59%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
25.7
29.6
1
11%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-4
25%
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
20.5
26.5
4
25%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
30.5
18.9
10
50%
7
1
1
0
1
0
5
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.2
27.3
26.5
11
61%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
3-7
43%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
23.1
19.2
0
0%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.4
9.9
11.8
3
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
10.1
0
1-3
43%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.6
7.4
0
1-1
45%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.4
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.