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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs71%9891
27Raptors29%9196
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.6
40.3
35.6
26
51%
15
2
1
1
3
3
7
8
10-15
67%
8-19
8-16
42%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
36.5
29.8
10
39%
2
3
0
2
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
36.5
33.9
13
39%
6
6
1
1
0
4
2
4
3-4
75%
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
0-4
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.5
25.8
27.5
8
50%
11
2
0
1
1
0
6
5
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.4
21.6
29.3
10
73%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.9
27.9
21.9
8
39%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
2-9
22%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.2
17.1
10.5
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.0
12.8
17.3
5
56%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.4
11.5
12.6
4
52%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
10.0
12.9
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
4.5
0
1-1
45%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.5
2.1
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
43.9
32.9
20
49%
10
1
0
1
2
1
1
9
6-10
60%
7-16
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.3
40.2
35.4
20
53%
7
11
2
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
7-13
3-6
54%
41%
1-4
25%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.4
24.7
19.3
10
63%
7
1
0
0
1
1
6
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
43%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.8
24.2
32.3
8
45%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
4-10
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
23.5
32.0
4
22%
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
6-13
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
28.1
18.3
16
83%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
3-5
60%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.6
20.1
15.0
13
93%
4
0
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
39%
1-1
100%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.8
19.8
11.4
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
11.4
20.4
5
51%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 26.4
4.1
11.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.