FinalWin Prob.pScore
271%98
91
2729%91
96
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
98.99290.9
TOR logo TOR
109.18889.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS91
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSpurs Rebound90
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0TORAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0TORMurray 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Palacio 4 AST)90
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
15.9%
92
84.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot90
20.3%
92
79.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker90
40.4%
92
59.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0TORRAPTORS Rebound90
25.0%
92
75.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0TORMISS Bosh Driving Layup90
35.3%
92
64.7%
Q4 - 1:12TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
27.8%
92
72.2%
Q4 - 1:14SASMurray BLOCK (1 BLK)90
32.7%
92
67.3%
Q4 - 1:29TORMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 11 AST)90
47.7%
92
52.3%
Q4 - 1:46SASHorry Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)90
71.1%
89
28.9%
Q4 - 2:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
64.5%
89
35.5%
Q4 - 2:07TORMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot88
60.1%
89
39.9%
Q4 - 2:33TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
49.0%
89
51.0%
Q4 - 2:34SASMISS Ginobili Layup88
54.3%
89
45.7%
Q4 - 2:53TORAlston Driving Finger Roll (18 PTS)88
63.4%
89
36.6%
Q4 - 3:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)88
69.8%
87
30.2%
Q4 - 3:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 287
67.2%
87
32.8%
Q4 - 3:12SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
73.3%
87
26.7%
Q4 - 3:14TORMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
69.7%
87
30.3%
Q4 - 3:30TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
60.1%
87
39.9%
Q4 - 3:31SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
65.9%
87
34.1%
Q4 - 3:55TORAlston Driving Layup (16 PTS)87
71.2%
87
28.8%
Q4 - 4:02SASMurray STEAL (2 STL)87
77.9%
85
22.1%
Q4 - 4:15TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
84.0%
85
16.0%
Q4 - 4:15TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
85.3%
84
14.7%
Q4 - 4:31TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
88.3%
83
11.7%
Q4 - 4:32SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
89.5%
83
10.5%
Q4 - 4:48TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
91.9%
83
8.1%
Q4 - 4:48TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 287
92.6%
82
7.4%
Q4 - 5:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)87
90.5%
82
9.5%
Q4 - 5:03SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 286
89.6%
82
10.4%
Q4 - 5:26TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 10 AST)86
90.7%
82
9.3%
Q4 - 5:43SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)86
94.9%
79
5.1%
Q4 - 5:58TORMurray Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)84
93.2%
79
6.8%
Q4 - 6:03TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
94.0%
77
6.0%
Q4 - 6:05SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
94.6%
77
5.4%
Q4 - 6:26TORBosh 14' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)84
95.7%
77
4.3%
Q4 - 6:36TORRAPTORS Rebound84
96.7%
75
3.3%
Q4 - 6:37SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot84
97.0%
75
3.0%
Q4 - 7:02TORMurray Dunk (6 PTS)84
97.0%
75
3.0%
Q4 - 7:05TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 7:07TORMISS Bosh Layup84
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 7:22SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)84
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 7:25SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 7:27SASMISS Duncan Slam Dunk84
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 7:44TORPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)84
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 7:51SASMurray STEAL (1 STL)84
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 8:05TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)84
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 8:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
97.2%
73
2.8%
Q4 - 8:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 283
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q4 - 8:38TORMurray 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)83
97.2%
73
2.8%
Q4 - 8:50TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
97.8%
71
2.2%
Q4 - 8:52SASMISS Duncan 10' Turnaround Hook Shot83
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 9:03SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 9:05TORMISS Palacio Reverse Layup83
97.9%
71
2.1%
Q4 - 9:15TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 9:16SASMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot83
97.6%
71
2.4%
Q4 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)83
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 9:41TORMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 283
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 9:41TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
97.6%
71
2.4%
Q4 - 9:46SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 9:46SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 282
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 10:07TORMurray 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)82
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 10:29TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
98.1%
68
1.9%
Q4 - 10:31TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot82
98.4%
68
1.6%
Q4 - 10:36TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
98.1%
68
1.9%
Q4 - 10:38SASMISS Ginobili 13' Turnaround Jump Shot82
98.2%
68
1.8%
Q4 - 11:05TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Palacio 3 AST)82
98.2%
68
1.8%
Q4 - 11:12TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 11:14SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot82
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 11:34TORAlston Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)82
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 11:44TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot82
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS82
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound82
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0TORPalacio Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)82
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot82
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 282
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORMISS Bonner 6' Jump Shot82
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q3 - 1:02TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
98.9%
62
1.1%
Q3 - 1:02TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q3 - 1:16SASRose Dunk (5 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)80
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q3 - 1:35TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q3 - 1:35TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 278
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q3 - 1:46SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)78
98.9%
59
1.1%
Q3 - 1:46SASRose 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)77
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q3 - 1:59TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q3 - 1:59TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 275
98.5%
58
1.5%
Q3 - 2:15SASParker 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
98.2%
58
1.8%
Q3 - 2:33SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
97.8%
58
2.2%
Q3 - 2:35TORMISS Alston Driving Layup73
97.7%
58
2.3%
Q3 - 2:55SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)73
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q3 - 3:13SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
96.0%
58
4.0%
Q3 - 3:15TORMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot70
95.8%
58
4.2%
Q3 - 3:30SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)70
95.2%
58
4.8%
Q3 - 3:49TORCarter 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
93.3%
58
6.7%
Q3 - 3:56TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q3 - 3:58TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup67
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q3 - 4:15TORWoods REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)67
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 4:16TORMISS Carter 11' Running Jump Shot67
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 4:35SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)67
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 4:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)64
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 4:49TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
91.4%
56
8.6%
Q3 - 5:06SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 5:24TORRose Foul Turnover (P1.T8)62
88.5%
56
11.5%
Q3 - 5:37SASNesterovic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)62
86.6%
56
13.4%
Q3 - 5:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)60
84.7%
56
15.3%
Q3 - 5:53TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot60
84.0%
56
16.0%
Q3 - 6:07SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)60
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 6:18SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)60
84.5%
56
15.5%
Q3 - 6:20TORMISS Rose 15' Turnaround Jump Shot60
83.8%
56
16.2%
Q3 - 6:27TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 6:29TORMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
83.8%
56
16.2%
Q3 - 6:45SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)60
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 6:49SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)58
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q3 - 6:51SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
77.8%
56
22.2%
Q3 - 7:14TORAlston 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
79.4%
56
20.6%
Q3 - 7:34SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)58
81.5%
54
18.5%
Q3 - 7:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
79.4%
54
20.6%
Q3 - 7:43TORMISS Carter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot56
78.5%
54
21.5%
Q3 - 7:58SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
76.4%
54
23.6%
Q3 - 8:12SASSpurs Rebound54
74.3%
54
25.7%
Q3 - 8:13TORMISS Alston Driving Layup54
73.3%
54
26.7%
Q3 - 8:24TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
70.8%
54
29.2%
Q3 - 8:27SASMISS Bowen 9' Running Jump Shot54
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q3 - 8:50TORBosh Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)54
74.2%
54
25.8%
Q3 - 8:55TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
76.6%
52
23.4%
Q3 - 8:57SASWoods BLOCK (1 BLK)54
77.6%
52
22.4%
Q3 - 9:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
79.6%
52
20.4%
Q3 - 9:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)54
79.6%
52
20.4%
Q3 - 9:02SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot54
77.9%
52
22.1%
Q3 - 9:02SASMISS Duncan 3' Tip Shot54
77.9%
52
22.1%
Q3 - 9:21TORWoods Dunk (10 PTS)54
79.6%
52
20.4%
Q3 - 9:32SASCarter STEAL (3 STL)54
81.8%
50
18.2%
Q3 - 9:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)54
84.0%
50
16.0%
Q3 - 9:40TORMISS Woods Tip Shot54
83.3%
50
16.7%
Q3 - 9:42TORWoods REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)54
81.8%
50
18.2%
Q3 - 9:43TORMISS Woods Tip Shot54
83.4%
50
16.6%
Q3 - 9:45TORWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)54
81.8%
50
18.2%
Q3 - 9:47TORMISS Carter 7' Running Jump Shot54
83.4%
50
16.6%
Q3 - 10:02SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
82.0%
50
18.0%
Q3 - 10:02SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
81.5%
50
18.5%
Q3 - 10:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)52
80.1%
50
19.9%
Q3 - 10:10SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q3 - 10:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)52
80.1%
50
19.9%
Q3 - 10:21SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q3 - 10:37TORAlston 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
80.0%
50
20.0%
Q3 - 10:53TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
82.0%
48
18.0%
Q3 - 10:55SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot52
82.7%
48
17.3%
Q3 - 11:09TORBosh Driving Layup (12 PTS)52
84.4%
48
15.6%
Q3 - 11:17SASCarter STEAL (2 STL)52
86.1%
46
13.9%
Q3 - 11:43TORBosh 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)52
87.7%
46
12.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS52
89.1%
44
10.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
90.4%
44
9.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORMISS Alston 16' Running Jump Shot52
89.6%
44
10.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0SASBrown Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)52
89.0%
44
11.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)50
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORMISS Alston Driving Layup50
86.9%
44
13.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)50
86.1%
44
13.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASDuncan Layup (20 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)49
84.5%
44
15.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORWoods Tip Shot (8 PTS)47
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
84.5%
42
15.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot47
85.3%
42
14.7%
Q2 - 1:01TORCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
84.4%
42
15.6%
Q2 - 1:03SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
84.7%
42
15.3%
Q2 - 1:11SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
85.3%
42
14.7%
Q2 - 1:13TORMISS Rose 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q2 - 1:45SASDuncan 9' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)47
84.4%
42
15.6%
Q2 - 2:11TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)45
82.0%
42
18.0%
Q2 - 2:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
83.9%
40
16.1%
Q2 - 2:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
83.4%
40
16.6%
Q2 - 2:43SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
82.0%
40
18.0%
Q2 - 2:45TORMISS Bonner 21' Jump Shot43
81.4%
40
18.6%
Q2 - 2:55TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
80.2%
40
19.8%
Q2 - 2:57SASCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)43
80.8%
40
19.2%
Q2 - 3:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)43
82.2%
40
17.8%
Q2 - 3:09TORMISS Carter 11' Turnaround Jump Shot43
81.6%
40
18.4%
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
80.1%
40
19.9%
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 3:32SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
78.4%
40
21.6%
Q2 - 3:34TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot41
77.7%
40
22.3%
Q2 - 3:47SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
76.0%
40
24.0%
Q2 - 3:47SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
75.4%
40
24.6%
Q2 - 3:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)40
76.3%
40
23.7%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Udrih 12' Running Jump Shot40
74.5%
40
25.5%
Q2 - 4:01TORPalacio Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)40
76.4%
40
23.6%
Q2 - 4:16SASDuncan 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
74.3%
40
25.7%
Q2 - 4:38TORMurray Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)38
72.0%
40
28.0%
Q2 - 4:59SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)38
69.6%
40
30.4%
Q2 - 5:08SASMISS Barry Free Throw Technical35
65.3%
40
34.7%
Q2 - 5:21TORBonner 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)35
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 5:37TORMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
67.5%
38
32.5%
Q2 - 5:39SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
68.4%
38
31.6%
Q2 - 5:57TORBonner 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)35
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q2 - 6:08TORRAPTORS Rebound35
72.6%
36
27.4%
Q2 - 6:09SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot35
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 6:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)35
75.1%
36
24.9%
Q2 - 6:14SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot35
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 6:34TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
75.1%
36
24.9%
Q2 - 6:34TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
75.5%
35
24.5%
Q2 - 6:49TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
76.7%
34
23.3%
Q2 - 6:51SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Hook Shot35
77.4%
34
22.6%
Q2 - 7:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
79.0%
34
21.0%
Q2 - 7:03TORMISS Bosh Layup35
78.4%
34
21.6%
Q2 - 7:20SASNesterovic Layup (6 PTS)35
77.0%
34
23.0%
Q2 - 7:22SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)33
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 7:23SASBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)33
73.8%
34
26.2%
Q2 - 7:46TORPalacio Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 8:11SASUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)33
72.9%
34
27.1%
Q2 - 8:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
68.9%
34
31.1%
Q2 - 8:22TORMISS Moiso 14' Turnaround Jump Shot30
68.2%
34
31.8%
Q2 - 8:36SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
66.4%
34
33.6%
Q2 - 8:49TORMoiso 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)28
64.3%
34
35.7%
Q2 - 9:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
62.3%
34
37.7%
Q2 - 9:02SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 227
61.6%
34
38.4%
Q2 - 9:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)27
62.6%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 9:04SASMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot27
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 9:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 9:16TORMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot27
61.7%
34
38.3%
Q2 - 9:35SASBrown 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)27
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q2 - 10:06TORPeterson Driving Layup (5 PTS)24
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 10:19TORRAPTORS Rebound24
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 10:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.2%
32
41.8%
Q2 - 10:42TORAlston 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)24
60.1%
32
39.9%
Q2 - 10:59SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
62.2%
30
37.8%
Q2 - 10:59SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 223
61.8%
30
38.2%
Q2 - 11:20TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)23
62.9%
30
37.1%
Q2 - 11:26TORMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 11:28SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot23
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q2 - 11:40TORMurray Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
69.4%
27
30.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
67.9%
27
32.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0TORWoods Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)23
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
71.7%
25
28.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot23
72.1%
25
27.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0TORMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot23
72.7%
25
27.3%
Q1 - 1:00SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)23
71.7%
25
28.3%
Q1 - 1:04SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
69.4%
25
30.6%
Q1 - 1:05TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
68.9%
25
31.1%
Q1 - 1:14TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
67.8%
25
32.2%
Q1 - 1:15SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot21
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q1 - 1:20SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
69.4%
25
30.6%
Q1 - 1:22SASBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)21
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q1 - 1:41TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
69.4%
25
30.6%
Q1 - 1:41TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
69.9%
24
30.1%
Q1 - 1:53TORRAPTORS Rebound21
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q1 - 1:54SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot21
72.2%
23
27.8%
Q1 - 2:08TORWoods Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
73.8%
23
26.2%
Q1 - 2:11TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
72.0%
23
28.0%
Q1 - 2:13TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
73.2%
23
26.8%
Q1 - 2:26TORRAPTORS Rebound21
72.0%
23
28.0%
Q1 - 2:28SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
72.6%
23
27.4%
Q1 - 2:42TORWoods 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)21
73.7%
23
26.3%
Q1 - 2:53SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q1 - 2:53SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 220
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q1 - 3:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
75.8%
21
24.2%
Q1 - 3:10TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q1 - 3:19SASCarter STEAL (1 STL)20
73.9%
21
26.1%
Q1 - 3:34TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)20
75.8%
21
24.2%
Q1 - 3:48SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
77.2%
19
22.8%
Q1 - 4:04TORWoods Running Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)20
79.3%
19
20.7%
Q1 - 4:13TORRAPTORS Rebound20
80.4%
17
19.6%
Q1 - 4:15TORMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot20
81.5%
17
18.5%
Q1 - 4:37SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
80.4%
17
19.6%
Q1 - 4:37SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
80.1%
17
19.9%
Q1 - 4:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
79.2%
17
20.8%
Q1 - 4:44TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot18
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 4:54SASDuncan Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)18
77.4%
17
22.6%
Q1 - 5:10TORRose 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
76.4%
17
23.6%
Q1 - 5:20TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
77.8%
15
22.2%
Q1 - 5:21SASMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot16
78.3%
15
21.7%
Q1 - 5:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
79.3%
15
20.7%
Q1 - 5:43TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 216
79.1%
15
20.9%
Q1 - 5:43TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 216
78.3%
15
21.7%
Q1 - 5:49SASAlston STEAL (2 STL)16
77.8%
15
22.2%
Q1 - 5:59TORCarter Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
79.3%
15
20.7%
Q1 - 6:15SASParker 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
77.8%
15
22.2%
Q1 - 6:25SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
76.4%
15
23.6%
Q1 - 6:26TORMISS Woods 15' Jump Shot14
76.0%
15
24.0%
Q1 - 6:40SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)14
74.9%
15
25.1%
Q1 - 6:50TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
73.4%
15
26.6%
Q1 - 6:50TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
73.6%
14
26.4%
Q1 - 6:56SASGinobili 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
74.9%
13
25.1%
Q1 - 7:24TORAlston 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)10
74.0%
13
26.0%
Q1 - 7:43TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
75.2%
11
24.8%
Q1 - 7:45TORMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot10
76.3%
11
23.7%
Q1 - 7:51SASDuncan Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
75.2%
11
24.8%
Q1 - 7:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
73.9%
11
26.1%
Q1 - 7:56SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot8
72.8%
11
27.2%
Q1 - 8:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 8:03SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot8
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 8:05SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot8
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 8:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 8:20TORMISS Rose Driving Layup8
74.1%
11
25.9%
Q1 - 8:24TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
73.0%
11
27.0%
Q1 - 8:26SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup8
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 8:56TORAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)8
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 9:19SASDuncan Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
77.0%
8
23.0%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
76.0%
8
24.0%
Q1 - 9:22SASMISS Parker Driving Layup6
74.8%
8
25.2%
Q1 - 9:27SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
76.0%
8
24.0%
Q1 - 9:28TORMISS Alston Layup6
75.5%
8
24.5%
Q1 - 9:49SASNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
74.3%
8
25.7%
Q1 - 10:03TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
73.1%
8
26.9%
Q1 - 10:18SASAlston STEAL (1 STL)4
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 10:35TORCarter 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)4
76.0%
6
24.0%
Q1 - 10:43SASNesterovic Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
77.1%
4
22.9%
Q1 - 10:44SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
76.0%
4
24.0%
Q1 - 10:47SASMISS Duncan 9' Running Jump Shot2
74.8%
4
25.2%
Q1 - 11:01TORRose 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 11:08TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 11:09SASMISS Duncan Layup2
77.7%
2
22.3%
Q1 - 11:27TORRose 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
78.5%
2
21.5%
Q1 - 11:30TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
79.8%
0
20.2%
Q1 - 11:32TORMISS Bosh Driving Dunk2
80.6%
0
19.4%
Q1 - 11:45SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
79.8%
0
20.2%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Ginobili0
78.5%
0
21.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.89 44.6%
TOR
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
24
54%
TOR
13
26
50%
Midrange
SAS
13
36
36%
TOR
19
39
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
TOR
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
SAS
21
31
68%
TOR
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2648%13.0 / 27
T. Parker1338%6.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1038%5.0 / 13
B. Bowen1071%5.0 / 7
R. Nesterovic850%4.0 / 8
B. Barry840%4.0 / 10
M. Rose550%2.5 / 5
D. Brown563%2.5 / 4
B. Udrih450%2.0 / 4
R. Horry225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2048%10.0 / 21
R. Alston2053%10.0 / 19
M. Peterson1680%8.0 / 10
L. Murray1393%6.5 / 7
L. Woods1063%5.0 / 8
J. Rose844%4.0 / 9
M. Bonner550%2.5 / 5
V. Carter422%2.0 / 9
M. Palacio0-0.0 / 1
J. Moiso0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
82
+20
-10
102
TOR
76
+14
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.89 44.6%
TOR
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
103.6
SAS 98.9 +10.2
TOR 109.1
Pace
91.2
95.7
SAS 90.9 +1.8
TOR 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.8
SAS 15.8 +0.3
TOR 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.2%
SAS 42.2%
TOR 50.6% +8.4%
TO %
14.2%
13.1%
SAS 9.4% +2.5%
TOR 11.9%
ORB %
29.2%
23.7%
SAS 38.6% +8.6%
TOR 30.0%
FTrt
32.9
31.6
SAS 37.3 +6.5
TOR 30.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
56.6%
SAS 65.6% +11.5%
TOR 54.1%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
SAS 4.3%
TOR 8.0% +3.7%
BLK %
9.9%
5.8%
SAS 7.7%
TOR 8.3% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
51.1%
SAS 44.6%
TOR 52.7% +8.1%
Rim FG%
59.3%
54.1%
SAS 54.2% +4.2%
TOR 50.0%
Mid FG%
37.2%
40.7%
SAS 36.1%
TOR 48.7% +12.6%
3P %
36.3%
38.5%
SAS 26.1%
TOR 38.5% +12.4%
FT %
72.4%
77.4%
SAS 67.7%
TOR 70.8% +3.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
31.4%
SAS 28.9%
TOR 33.3% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
43.3%
SAS 43.4% +6.6%
TOR 50.0%
3P Att. %
21.6%
25.3%
SAS 27.7% +11.0%
TOR 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASTOR
Possessions9288
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points9196
Rebounds4539
Assists2120
Steals47
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)27 (5)
Field Goals32-8337-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2413-26
Midrange FG13-3619-39
2-Point FG26-6032-65
3-Point FG6-235-13
Free Throws21-3117-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
40.3
26
48%
15
2
1
3
3
3
7
8
10-15
67%
8-19
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
36.5
10
38%
2
3
0
1
2
1
0
2
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
36.5
13
38%
6
6
1
0
4
1
2
4
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
0-4
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
25.8
8
50%
11
2
0
1
0
4
6
5
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
21.6
10
71%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
27.9
8
40%
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
0-0
-
2-9
22%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
17.1
2
25%
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
12.8
5
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
11.5
4
50%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
10.0
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
45%
45
21
4
5
10
0
17
28
21-31
68%
26-60
43%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.