FinalWin Prob.pScore
1066%100
99
3434%95
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.19796.9
ATL logo ATL
102.29191.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)99
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 299
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)99
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHeat Rebound98
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade Layup (31 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)98
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
98.5%
91
1.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Collier 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)96
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)95
95.3%
91
4.7%
Q4 - 1:13ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)94
92.2%
91
7.8%
Q4 - 1:30MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)94
85.7%
91
14.3%
Q4 - 1:43ATLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)92
78.5%
91
21.5%
Q4 - 1:43ATLAnderson Layup (9 PTS)92
85.7%
90
14.3%
Q4 - 1:46MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)92
90.2%
88
9.8%
Q4 - 1:58ATLHarrington Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)92
94.0%
88
6.0%
Q4 - 2:08ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
89.6%
88
10.4%
Q4 - 2:10ATLMISS Delk Layup92
93.2%
88
6.8%
Q4 - 2:14ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
89.6%
88
10.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Haslem Layup92
91.4%
88
8.6%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
94.4%
88
5.6%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot92
93.3%
88
6.7%
Q4 - 2:47MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
89.5%
88
10.5%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 291
88.6%
88
11.4%
Q4 - 3:07ATLCollier 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 6 AST)91
89.4%
88
10.6%
Q4 - 3:24MIAHaslem Layup (19 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)91
91.8%
86
8.2%
Q4 - 3:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
86.5%
86
13.5%
Q4 - 3:40ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
81.4%
86
18.6%
Q4 - 3:40ATLMISS Harrington Layup89
85.1%
86
14.9%
Q4 - 3:41ATLMISS Anderson 14' Jump Shot89
85.2%
86
14.8%
Q4 - 3:50ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
81.5%
86
18.5%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot89
83.2%
86
16.8%
Q4 - 4:04ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
86.8%
86
13.2%
Q4 - 4:04ATLCollier Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
87.8%
85
12.2%
Q4 - 4:21MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
90.4%
84
9.6%
Q4 - 4:50MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
86.9%
84
13.1%
Q4 - 4:51ATLMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot87
85.5%
84
14.5%
Q4 - 5:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
80.6%
84
19.4%
Q4 - 5:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
79.5%
84
20.5%
Q4 - 5:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
75.1%
84
24.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
70.3%
84
29.7%
Q4 - 5:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
75.1%
84
24.9%
Q4 - 5:31ATLMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot85
73.1%
84
26.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAO'Neal Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)85
68.0%
84
32.0%
Q4 - 6:09ATLWalker 7' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)83
62.4%
84
37.6%
Q4 - 6:13ATLHAWKS Rebound83
68.2%
82
31.8%
Q4 - 6:13ATLMISS Delk Layup83
73.2%
82
26.8%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)83
68.2%
82
31.8%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)82
66.8%
82
33.2%
Q4 - 6:49ATLDelk 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)81
62.2%
82
37.8%
Q4 - 7:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)81
74.6%
79
25.4%
Q4 - 7:24ATLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
69.7%
79
30.3%
Q4 - 7:24ATLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)79
70.9%
78
29.1%
Q4 - 7:24MIADelk STEAL (1 STL)79
74.6%
77
25.4%
Q4 - 7:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
80.0%
77
20.0%
Q4 - 7:37ATLMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot79
78.5%
77
21.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)79
74.1%
77
25.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)78
68.9%
77
31.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIAHeat Rebound76
63.3%
77
36.7%
Q4 - 8:15ATLMISS McCoy Layup76
61.5%
77
38.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMcCoy STEAL (1 STL)76
57.1%
77
42.9%
Q4 - 8:34ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q4 - 8:34ATLWalker Layup (20 PTS)76
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q4 - 8:36ATLMISS Walker Layup76
72.7%
75
27.3%
Q4 - 8:56MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)76
69.0%
75
31.0%
Q4 - 9:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
64.2%
75
35.8%
Q4 - 9:19ATLMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
62.5%
75
37.5%
Q4 - 9:33ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
58.2%
75
41.8%
Q4 - 9:34ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
58.2%
75
41.8%
Q4 - 9:34ATLMISS Delk Layup74
62.4%
75
37.6%
Q4 - 9:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
58.2%
75
41.8%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Smith Layup74
62.4%
75
37.6%
Q4 - 9:40ATLMISS Delk 16' Jump Shot74
62.4%
75
37.6%
Q4 - 9:46ATLBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
58.2%
75
41.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIASmith BLOCK (3 BLK)74
60.0%
75
40.0%
Q4 - 9:56ATLDelk Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
64.1%
75
35.9%
Q4 - 10:03ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
58.5%
75
41.5%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot74
60.3%
75
39.7%
Q4 - 10:19MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)74
64.3%
75
35.7%
Q4 - 10:19MIAHeat Rebound73
58.9%
75
41.1%
Q4 - 10:19ATLMISS Delk 21' Jump Shot73
57.1%
75
42.9%
Q4 - 10:35ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
52.9%
75
47.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot73
54.8%
75
45.2%
Q4 - 10:49ATLDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
59.0%
75
41.0%
Q4 - 10:49ATLDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
59.9%
74
40.1%
Q4 - 11:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)73
63.5%
73
36.5%
Q4 - 11:20ATLDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
58.6%
73
41.4%
Q4 - 11:20ATLDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
59.4%
72
40.6%
Q4 - 11:23MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)71
63.5%
71
36.5%
Q4 - 11:43ATLMcCoy Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
68.6%
71
31.4%
Q4 - 11:43ATLMISS McCoy Free Throw 1 of 271
70.4%
70
29.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
68.4%
70
31.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
73.2%
70
26.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)71
69.0%
70
31.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
59.5%
70
40.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
60.9%
69
39.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
64.4%
68
35.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
63.6%
68
36.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot66
57.9%
68
42.1%
Q3 - 1:14MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)66
55.7%
68
44.3%
Q3 - 1:16MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
57.2%
68
42.8%
Q3 - 1:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 1:26ATLMISS Barry 5' Jump Shot66
59.1%
68
40.9%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 166
56.3%
68
43.7%
Q3 - 1:50MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)66
55.7%
68
44.3%
Q3 - 1:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
50.9%
68
49.1%
Q3 - 1:57ATLMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot64
49.4%
68
50.6%
Q3 - 2:17ATLBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
46.6%
68
53.4%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot64
48.2%
68
51.8%
Q3 - 2:42ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Delk 3 AST)64
51.7%
68
48.3%
Q3 - 3:01ATLBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
61.1%
65
38.9%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot64
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 3:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
65.5%
65
34.5%
Q3 - 3:09ATLMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot64
64.2%
65
35.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
61.1%
65
38.9%
Q3 - 3:36ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
57.0%
65
43.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)62
52.2%
65
47.8%
Q3 - 4:02ATLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
45.1%
65
54.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
48.6%
63
51.4%
Q3 - 4:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
46.9%
63
53.1%
Q3 - 4:44ATLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)57
44.9%
63
55.1%
Q3 - 5:09MIAWade Layup (21 PTS)57
53.9%
60
46.1%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
50.1%
60
49.9%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
46.9%
60
53.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
50.0%
60
50.0%
Q3 - 5:29ATLMISS Harrington 8' Jump Shot55
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 5:52MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
45.5%
60
54.5%
Q3 - 6:02MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
43.1%
60
56.9%
Q3 - 6:05ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
41.8%
60
58.2%
Q3 - 6:24ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
38.9%
60
61.1%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 253
39.4%
60
60.6%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 253
41.1%
60
58.9%
Q3 - 6:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot53
40.1%
60
59.9%
Q3 - 6:43ATLWalker 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 7:01MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)53
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 7:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
51.3%
58
48.7%
Q3 - 7:13ATLMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot53
50.0%
58
50.0%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)53
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 7:41ATLCollier Layup (16 PTS) (Harrington 6 AST)53
51.3%
58
48.7%
Q3 - 7:56ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
54.6%
56
45.4%
Q3 - 7:58ATLMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot53
57.7%
56
42.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
55.5%
56
44.5%
Q3 - 8:31ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
52.2%
56
47.8%
Q3 - 8:31ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q3 - 8:51ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
55.4%
54
44.6%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot51
56.7%
54
43.3%
Q3 - 9:09ATLHarrington 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
60.1%
54
39.9%
Q3 - 9:28ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 251
63.9%
52
36.1%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
66.1%
52
33.9%
Q3 - 9:47ATLWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harrington 5 AST)50
63.6%
52
36.4%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWade Layup (15 PTS)50
70.4%
49
29.6%
Q3 - 10:25ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
67.7%
49
32.3%
Q3 - 10:25ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 248
68.4%
48
31.6%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
67.3%
48
32.7%
Q3 - 11:01ATLMISS Collier Free Throw 1 of 146
64.8%
48
35.2%
Q3 - 11:01ATLCollier Layup (14 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)46
65.2%
48
34.8%
Q3 - 11:05ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
68.2%
46
31.8%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
69.1%
46
30.9%
Q3 - 11:24MIAHeat Rebound46
71.2%
46
28.8%
Q3 - 11:25ATLMISS Childress 19' Jump Shot46
70.3%
46
29.7%
Q3 - 11:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)46
68.1%
46
31.9%
Q3 - 11:46MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)45
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL43
62.0%
46
38.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound43
58.5%
46
41.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 35' 3PT Jump Shot43
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
62.0%
46
38.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Collier 16' Jump Shot43
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
66.6%
44
33.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Delk 15' Jump Shot43
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS O'Neal Layup43
66.6%
44
33.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)43
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLHAWKS Rebound43
65.9%
44
34.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot43
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 1:19MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)43
66.4%
44
33.6%
Q2 - 1:35ATLCollier 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)41
62.0%
44
38.0%
Q2 - 1:52ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
66.4%
42
33.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot41
66.8%
42
33.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 2:09ATLMISS Childress 17' Jump Shot41
67.8%
42
32.2%
Q2 - 2:25ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
66.0%
42
34.0%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot41
66.8%
42
33.2%
Q2 - 2:42ATLCollier 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Delk 2 AST)41
68.5%
42
31.5%
Q2 - 2:54ATLHAWKS Rebound41
71.4%
40
28.6%
Q2 - 2:54MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)41
72.1%
40
27.9%
Q2 - 2:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
73.6%
40
26.4%
Q2 - 2:59ATLMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot41
73.0%
40
27.0%
Q2 - 3:24ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
71.4%
40
28.6%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 241
71.8%
40
28.2%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 241
73.3%
40
26.7%
Q2 - 3:28ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
74.0%
40
26.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIALaettner 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)41
71.4%
40
28.6%
Q2 - 3:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
69.2%
40
30.8%
Q2 - 3:57ATLMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot39
68.3%
40
31.7%
Q2 - 3:59ATLHAWKS Rebound39
66.2%
40
33.8%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot39
68.3%
40
31.7%
Q2 - 4:18ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Jones Layup39
67.7%
40
32.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 4:35ATLMISS Collier 19' Jump Shot39
68.6%
40
31.4%
Q2 - 4:55ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot39
67.6%
40
32.4%
Q2 - 5:15ATLWalker 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)39
71.9%
38
28.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
74.3%
38
25.7%
Q2 - 5:49ATLMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
73.6%
38
26.4%
Q2 - 6:10MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)39
72.0%
38
28.0%
Q2 - 6:16MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Walker Layup37
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
67.3%
38
32.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q2 - 6:50ATLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
67.8%
38
32.2%
Q2 - 7:04MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)36
65.6%
38
34.4%
Q2 - 7:21ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)34
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 7:24ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 7:27ATLMISS Harrington Layup34
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 7:35ATLMISS Anderson Free Throw Technical34
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 7:45MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 7:45MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
67.4%
35
32.6%
Q2 - 7:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
65.7%
35
34.3%
Q2 - 7:49ATLMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
64.9%
35
35.1%
Q2 - 8:07ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
63.0%
35
37.0%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Laettner 15' Jump Shot32
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q2 - 8:31ATLBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
65.7%
35
34.3%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)32
70.0%
32
30.0%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)31
67.7%
32
32.3%
Q2 - 9:03ATLBarry Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)29
66.0%
32
34.0%
Q2 - 9:06ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
68.0%
30
32.0%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot29
68.7%
30
31.3%
Q2 - 9:12MIAHeat Rebound29
70.4%
30
29.6%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMcCoy BLOCK (1 BLK)29
68.7%
30
31.3%
Q2 - 9:24ATLHarrington Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)29
70.4%
30
29.6%
Q2 - 9:34ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
67.9%
30
32.1%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
68.7%
30
31.3%
Q2 - 9:53ATLHarrington 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
70.4%
30
29.6%
Q2 - 10:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
71.9%
28
28.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot29
72.6%
28
27.4%
Q2 - 10:14MIAHeat Rebound29
74.1%
28
25.9%
Q2 - 10:14MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)29
72.6%
28
27.4%
Q2 - 10:37ATLDelk 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)29
74.2%
28
25.8%
Q2 - 10:39ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
75.8%
26
24.2%
Q2 - 10:41ATLMISS Delk 6' Jump Shot29
77.2%
26
22.8%
Q2 - 11:02MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)29
76.0%
26
24.0%
Q2 - 11:16ATLMcCoy 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)26
72.2%
26
27.8%
Q2 - 11:35MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)26
70.2%
26
29.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
68.1%
26
31.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
68.1%
26
31.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot24
67.5%
26
32.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)24
66.2%
26
33.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
63.6%
26
36.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
61.9%
26
38.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot22
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q1 - 1:03ATLMISS Delk 23' Jump Shot22
63.2%
26
36.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
62.0%
26
38.0%
Q1 - 1:45ATLDelk Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
59.2%
26
40.8%
Q1 - 1:56MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
62.0%
24
38.0%
Q1 - 2:12ATLMcCoy Layup (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)20
64.3%
24
35.7%
Q1 - 2:20ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
66.6%
22
33.4%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot20
67.1%
22
32.9%
Q1 - 2:38ATLMcCoy Layup (2 PTS)20
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q1 - 3:02MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
70.5%
20
29.5%
Q1 - 3:19ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Delk 1 AST)17
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 3:45MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)17
68.6%
18
31.4%
Q1 - 3:58ATLMcCoy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)15
66.8%
18
33.2%
Q1 - 4:05ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
65.0%
18
35.0%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot15
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 4:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q1 - 4:29ATLMISS Harrington 9' Jump Shot15
66.6%
18
33.4%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
64.9%
18
35.1%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 4:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
63.3%
18
36.7%
Q1 - 4:49ATLMISS Walker Layup13
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 4:59ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot13
62.5%
18
37.5%
Q1 - 5:14ATLWalker 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)13
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 5:27MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)13
61.8%
18
38.2%
Q1 - 5:41ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 5:41ATLCollier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
64.4%
17
35.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)13
65.6%
16
34.4%
Q1 - 6:21ATLAnderson Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)11
64.2%
16
35.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIAHaslem Dunk (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)11
66.0%
14
34.0%
Q1 - 6:58ATLCollier 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)9
64.2%
14
35.8%
Q1 - 7:14MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 7:35ATLChildress 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)7
65.0%
12
35.0%
Q1 - 7:47MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
66.5%
10
33.5%
Q1 - 8:01ATLCollier 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)7
69.1%
10
30.9%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade Layup (2 PTS)7
70.5%
8
29.5%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 8:21ATLMISS Childress 12' Jump Shot5
68.5%
8
31.5%
Q1 - 8:27ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot5
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 8:45ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 15
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 8:45ATLCollier 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)5
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 8:50ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
70.4%
6
29.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
71.0%
6
29.0%
Q1 - 9:17ATLWalker Layup (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)5
72.2%
6
27.8%
Q1 - 9:33MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
73.3%
4
26.7%
Q1 - 9:50ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)3
72.2%
4
27.8%
Q1 - 10:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
74.8%
1
25.2%
Q1 - 10:04MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)2
73.4%
1
26.6%
Q1 - 10:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
72.1%
1
27.9%
Q1 - 10:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
70.3%
1
29.7%
Q1 - 10:23ATLMISS Childress Layup0
71.5%
1
28.5%
Q1 - 10:25ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
70.3%
1
29.7%
Q1 - 10:25ATLMISS Collier Layup0
71.5%
1
28.5%
Q1 - 10:26ATLMISS Harrington Layup0
71.5%
1
28.5%
Q1 - 10:31ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.3%
1
29.7%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS O'Neal Layup0
70.9%
1
29.1%
Q1 - 10:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
72.1%
1
27.9%
Q1 - 10:48ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
70.3%
1
29.7%
Q1 - 10:48ATLMISS Collier Layup0
71.5%
1
28.5%
Q1 - 10:51ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 20
71.8%
1
28.2%
Q1 - 10:51ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
70.9%
1
29.1%
Q1 - 10:54ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 11:13MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 11:15ATLMISS Childress 17' Jump Shot0
73.0%
0
27.0%
Q1 - 11:23ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
72.1%
0
27.9%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot0
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 11:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 11:39ATLMISS Collier 12' Jump Shot0
73.0%
0
27.0%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Collier vs. O'Neal: Tip to Anderson0
72.1%
0
27.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
ATL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
26
69%
ATL
12
27
44%
Midrange
MIA
14
32
44%
ATL
13
40
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
ATL
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
MIA
23
32
72%
ATL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3170%15.5 / 22
S. O'Neal2170%10.5 / 15
U. Haslem2166%10.5 / 16
D. Jones956%4.5 / 8
C. Laettner857%4.0 / 7
S. Anderson660%3.0 / 5
M. Doleac225%1.0 / 4
E. Jones18%0.5 / 6
R. Butler0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2252%11.0 / 21
J. Collier2059%10.0 / 17
T. Delk1343%6.5 / 15
K. Anderson1050%5.0 / 10
A. Harrington829%4.0 / 14
J. Childress633%3.0 / 9
J. Barry563%2.5 / 4
J. McCoy563%2.5 / 4
J. Smith4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+6
-11
92
ATL
79
+16
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
ATL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
98.6
MIA 102.1
ATL 102.2 +0.1
Pace
93.9
93.3
MIA 96.9 +5.7
ATL 91.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.6
MIA 14.9 +0.9
ATL 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
46.4%
MIA 52.8% +9.5%
ATL 43.3%
TO %
14.0%
16.3%
MIA 11.3% +0.8%
ATL 12.1%
ORB %
27.0%
30.8%
MIA 10.8%
ATL 28.3% +17.5%
FTrt
38.7
29.9
MIA 44.4 +10.3
ATL 34.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
54.9%
MIA 66.7% +1.1%
ATL 65.6%
STL %
6.8%
8.1%
MIA 6.2% +0.7%
ATL 5.5%
BLK %
8.7%
6.7%
MIA 11.9% +5.0%
ATL 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
47.8%
MIA 53.2% +6.2%
ATL 47.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.4%
MIA 69.2% +24.8%
ATL 44.4%
Mid FG%
41.0%
37.3%
MIA 43.8% +11.3%
ATL 32.5%
3P %
37.7%
31.2%
MIA 28.6%
ATL 46.7% +18.1%
FT %
67.2%
71.1%
MIA 71.9%
ATL 78.6% +6.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
42.4%
MIA 36.1% +3.2%
ATL 32.9%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
43.0%
MIA 44.4% +4.3%
ATL 48.8%
3P Att. %
19.8%
14.6%
MIA 19.4% +1.2%
ATL 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9791
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points9993
Rebounds3746
Assists2421
Steals65
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)33 (2)
Field Goals36-7232-82
At-the-Rim FG18-2612-27
Midrange FG14-3213-40
2-Point FG32-5825-67
3-Point FG4-147-15
Free Throws23-3222-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
42.1
31
70%
8
11
0
2
2
3
1
7
7-8
88%
12-16
75%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
38.0
21
70%
9
1
0
2
2
5
2
7
5-9
56%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
33.8
21
66%
5
2
1
1
2
4
0
5
5-6
83%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 33
24.1
1
8%
5
0
1
2
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
15.1
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
30.6
6
60%
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
29.0
9
56%
3
6
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
17.6
8
57%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
6.7
2
25%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
37
24
6
8
11
0
4
33
23-32
72%
32-58
55%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.