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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 24, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7SuperSonics39%10093
12Grizzlies61%10384
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
43.2
38.6
27
55%
11
0
1
1
1
0
2
9
4-4
100%
10-16
5-10
63%
46%
1-7
14%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
38.1
39.9
20
50%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
11-11
100%
3-9
5-12
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.8
37.4
26.9
14
57%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
2-6
2-5
33%
41%
2-4
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 24.5
24.4
24.1
5
53%
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
1-4
25%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 29.0
19.3
13.2
6
75%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.7
31.8
29.2
8
41%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.0
20.7
29.2
4
22%
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.1
14.1
12.4
4
67%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28.7
9.4
19.1
5
91%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
3-4
75%
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 24.9
1.1
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 27.2
0.5
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 19.0
1.5
0
0-0
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
34.4
22.7
9
42%
3
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.2
32.4
25.2
12
52%
5
1
0
1
1
1
4
1
1-1
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
51%
1-2
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
30.2
27.6
10
58%
5
1
1
1
2
1
0
5
4-6
67%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
28.6
30.8
10
43%
8
2
1
1
1
2
0
8
4-4
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.0
22.1
27.4
9
41%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.5
25.9
20.3
7
53%
1
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
3-6
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.8
21.0
23.3
10
46%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.5
17.8
11.0
6
77%
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
14.1
14.8
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
13.6
2.6
5
33%
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
3-6
50%
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
21.8
1
4-9
47%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
15.6
0
3-6
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.