FinalWin Prob.pScore
1141%92
77
1259%95
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
86.58983.8
DET logo DET
87.68994.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA77
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound77
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot77
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETHamilton 11' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)77
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)77
59.1%
76
40.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
37.1%
76
62.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot75
29.3%
76
70.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETPISTONS Rebound75
16.5%
76
83.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETMISS Billups Layup75
29.6%
76
70.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)75
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)75
38.0%
76
62.0%
Q4 - 1:04DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
23.8%
76
76.2%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot75
27.8%
76
72.2%
Q4 - 1:20DETHamilton Traveling Turnover (P5.T11)75
38.5%
76
61.5%
Q4 - 1:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)75
25.5%
76
74.5%
Q4 - 1:32DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot75
34.7%
76
65.3%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T12)75
27.6%
76
72.4%
Q4 - 2:03DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)75
40.9%
76
59.1%
Q4 - 2:03DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
42.3%
75
57.7%
Q4 - 2:13MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P8.T11)75
47.9%
74
52.1%
Q4 - 2:27DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
64.5%
74
35.5%
Q4 - 2:27DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
65.5%
73
34.5%
Q4 - 2:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)75
69.8%
72
30.2%
Q4 - 2:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
65.8%
72
34.2%
Q4 - 2:59DETMcDyess Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)73
61.9%
72
38.1%
Q4 - 3:09DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
67.8%
70
32.2%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
71.8%
70
28.2%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
79.7%
70
20.3%
Q4 - 3:25DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 273
78.3%
70
21.7%
Q4 - 3:25DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 273
74.8%
70
25.2%
Q4 - 3:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)73
65.9%
70
34.1%
Q4 - 3:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
62.3%
70
37.7%
Q4 - 3:57DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P4.T10)71
57.9%
70
42.1%
Q4 - 4:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
48.2%
70
51.8%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot71
51.2%
70
48.8%
Q4 - 4:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
58.1%
70
41.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot71
51.2%
70
48.8%
Q4 - 4:36DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)71
58.2%
70
41.8%
Q4 - 4:36DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)71
59.4%
69
40.6%
Q4 - 4:48MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)71
66.6%
68
33.4%
Q4 - 5:06DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
47.5%
68
52.5%
Q4 - 5:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
55.5%
66
44.5%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot68
58.1%
66
41.9%
Q4 - 5:33DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
64.0%
66
36.0%
Q4 - 5:33DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
64.9%
65
35.1%
Q4 - 5:43DETMISS Billups Free Throw Technical68
71.0%
64
29.0%
Q4 - 5:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
71.0%
64
29.0%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot68
73.2%
64
26.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)68
74.8%
64
25.2%
Q4 - 6:07DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot68
72.8%
64
27.2%
Q4 - 6:25MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)68
67.9%
64
32.1%
Q4 - 6:34DETCampbell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)66
62.0%
64
38.0%
Q4 - 6:49MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
53.6%
64
46.4%
Q4 - 7:18DETCampbell Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)64
46.6%
64
53.4%
Q4 - 7:40MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)64
52.6%
62
47.4%
Q4 - 7:57DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T8)62
46.6%
62
53.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)62
39.5%
62
60.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q4 - 8:20DETMISS Wallace Layup60
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q4 - 8:26DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS O'Neal Layup60
29.7%
62
70.3%
Q4 - 8:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)60
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q4 - 8:45DETMISS Campbell 15' Jump Shot60
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q4 - 8:57DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot60
29.7%
62
70.3%
Q4 - 9:17MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
34.1%
62
65.9%
Q4 - 9:19DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot60
32.4%
62
67.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)60
29.1%
62
70.9%
Q4 - 10:22MIAHeat Rebound58
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q4 - 10:24DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot58
23.6%
62
76.4%
Q4 - 10:30DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
21.9%
62
78.1%
Q4 - 10:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)58
24.9%
62
75.1%
Q4 - 10:43DETMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
23.6%
62
76.4%
Q4 - 11:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
22.6%
62
77.4%
Q4 - 11:18DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)58
25.5%
62
74.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWade Layup (13 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)58
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET56
18.1%
62
81.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot56
16.9%
62
83.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
19.0%
62
81.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
19.7%
61
80.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
22.3%
60
77.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Wade Layup56
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
26.1%
60
73.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
30.3%
58
69.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
29.4%
58
70.6%
Q3 - 1:07DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 154
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q3 - 1:07DETMcDyess Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)54
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q3 - 1:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot54
31.9%
56
68.1%
Q3 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound54
35.1%
56
64.9%
Q3 - 1:30DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot54
33.7%
56
66.3%
Q3 - 1:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 1:32DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot54
33.7%
56
66.3%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 1:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
30.7%
56
69.3%
Q3 - 1:58DETMISS McDyess 8' Jump Shot53
29.4%
56
70.6%
Q3 - 2:18DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade Layup53
27.9%
56
72.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
27.9%
56
72.1%
Q3 - 2:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)53
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 2:42DETMISS Campbell 10' Running Jump Shot53
29.5%
56
70.5%
Q3 - 3:02MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P7.T10)53
27.4%
56
72.6%
Q3 - 3:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)53
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 3:13DETMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot53
30.0%
56
70.0%
Q3 - 3:29DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
27.3%
56
72.7%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot53
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 3:46DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 3:46DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
31.7%
55
68.3%
Q3 - 4:08MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)53
34.7%
54
65.3%
Q3 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
31.5%
54
68.5%
Q3 - 4:14DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
30.2%
54
69.8%
Q3 - 4:35DETPISTONS Rebound51
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot51
28.6%
54
71.4%
Q3 - 4:57DETMcDyess 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)51
31.5%
54
68.5%
Q3 - 5:13DETBillups Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)51
35.1%
52
64.9%
Q3 - 5:23DETParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
38.9%
51
61.1%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot51
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)51
43.3%
51
56.7%
Q3 - 5:35DETMISS Parker 14' Jump Bank Shot51
42.0%
51
58.0%
Q3 - 5:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
38.9%
51
61.1%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 250
37.3%
51
62.7%
Q3 - 6:13DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)50
39.1%
51
60.9%
Q3 - 6:13DETPISTONS Rebound50
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q3 - 6:14DETMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot50
37.8%
51
62.2%
Q3 - 6:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q3 - 6:20DETMISS Billups 9' Running Jump Shot50
37.8%
51
62.2%
Q3 - 6:34MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P6.T9)50
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q3 - 6:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
39.1%
51
60.9%
Q3 - 6:49DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot50
37.9%
51
62.1%
Q3 - 7:10MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
34.8%
51
65.2%
Q3 - 7:15DETParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)48
31.8%
51
68.2%
Q3 - 7:40MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)48
28.1%
51
71.9%
Q3 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)46
25.5%
51
74.5%
Q3 - 7:52DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 8:20MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)46
22.7%
51
77.3%
Q3 - 8:45DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)44
20.5%
51
79.5%
Q3 - 8:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
25.4%
48
74.6%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
26.5%
48
73.5%
Q3 - 9:14DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)44
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)44
31.7%
46
68.3%
Q3 - 9:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
35.1%
46
64.9%
Q3 - 9:30DETMISS McDyess Layup44
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q3 - 9:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
31.7%
46
68.3%
Q3 - 9:33DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot44
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q3 - 9:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
31.7%
46
68.3%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot44
32.7%
46
67.3%
Q3 - 10:23DETHamilton Layup (12 PTS)44
35.2%
46
64.8%
Q3 - 10:25MIAHamilton STEAL (2 STL)44
38.1%
44
61.9%
Q3 - 10:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
41.9%
44
58.1%
Q3 - 10:30DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot44
40.8%
44
59.2%
Q3 - 10:51MIAO'Neal Dunk (9 PTS)44
38.1%
44
61.9%
Q3 - 10:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
35.2%
44
64.8%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot42
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q3 - 11:16DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
35.1%
44
64.9%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHaslem Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)42
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q3 - 11:45DETMISS McDyess Layup40
34.1%
42
65.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot40
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAWade 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETHam Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 238
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETPISTONS Rebound38
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot38
31.3%
41
68.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Hook Shot38
30.5%
41
69.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
31.9%
41
68.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot38
30.5%
41
69.5%
Q2 - 1:19DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)38
31.9%
41
68.1%
Q2 - 1:32DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
39.2%
38
60.8%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHunter BLOCK (1 BLK)38
39.7%
38
60.3%
Q2 - 1:51DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
40.8%
38
59.2%
Q2 - 1:51DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
41.5%
37
58.5%
Q2 - 2:08MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)38
44.6%
36
55.4%
Q2 - 2:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
38.3%
36
61.7%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 2:26DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
38.3%
36
61.7%
Q2 - 2:26DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 2:44DETColeman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 235
42.0%
34
58.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)35
44.0%
34
56.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot34
39.4%
34
60.6%
Q2 - 3:11DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)34
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 3:20DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
43.9%
32
56.1%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot34
44.9%
32
55.1%
Q2 - 3:44DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)34
47.3%
32
52.7%
Q2 - 3:48DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
44.0%
32
56.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot34
45.0%
32
55.0%
Q2 - 4:13DETParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)34
46.6%
32
53.4%
Q2 - 4:22DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
52.4%
29
47.6%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade Layup34
53.3%
29
46.7%
Q2 - 4:43DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)34
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
57.5%
27
42.5%
Q2 - 5:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
55.0%
27
45.0%
Q2 - 5:21DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 232
54.6%
27
45.4%
Q2 - 5:21DETPISTONS Rebound32
51.9%
27
48.1%
Q2 - 5:21DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 232
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 5:21DETPISTONS Rebound32
51.9%
27
48.1%
Q2 - 5:22DETMISS Billups Layup32
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q2 - 5:27DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
51.9%
27
48.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
52.9%
27
47.1%
Q2 - 5:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
55.0%
27
45.0%
Q2 - 5:42DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot32
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q2 - 6:07DETPISTONS Rebound32
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot32
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 6:08MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot32
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 6:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Laettner Layup32
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 6:29DETPrince Foul Turnover (P1.T3)32
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q2 - 6:33DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot32
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 6:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q2 - 6:43DETMISS Campbell 8' Hook Shot32
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q2 - 7:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Laettner Layup32
52.0%
27
48.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
53.9%
27
46.1%
Q2 - 7:13DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot32
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q2 - 7:20DETPISTONS Rebound32
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 7:21DETMISS Coleman 16' Jump Shot32
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q2 - 7:40MIAJones 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)32
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 7:56DETParker Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)29
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)29
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q2 - 8:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
51.0%
25
49.0%
Q2 - 8:19DETMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot29
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q2 - 8:36DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 229
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 229
49.6%
25
50.4%
Q2 - 8:44MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
51.0%
25
49.0%
Q2 - 8:45DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot29
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q2 - 9:04MIAO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (7 PTS)29
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q2 - 9:23DETMilicic Dunk (2 PTS)27
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMilicic STEAL (1 STL)27
47.7%
23
52.3%
Q2 - 9:40DETPrince 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)27
50.5%
23
49.5%
Q2 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T4)27
52.8%
21
47.2%
Q2 - 10:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q2 - 10:10DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 227
54.9%
21
45.1%
Q2 - 10:10DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
53.3%
21
46.7%
Q2 - 10:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
55.0%
20
45.0%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 227
55.3%
20
44.7%
Q2 - 10:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
56.4%
20
43.6%
Q2 - 10:46DETHamilton Dunk (4 PTS)26
55.3%
20
44.7%
Q2 - 10:49MIAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)26
57.4%
18
42.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q2 - 11:07DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot26
58.4%
18
41.6%
Q2 - 11:28MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
56.8%
18
43.2%
Q2 - 11:42MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q2 - 11:44DETMISS Hunter 22' Jump Shot24
53.7%
18
46.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET24
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound24
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Coleman 9' Jump Shot24
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETColeman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hunter 11' Jump Shot24
53.1%
18
46.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0DETMISS Coleman 8' Hook Shot22
48.4%
18
51.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAHeat Rebound20
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot20
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 1:16DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 1:16DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
44.4%
17
55.6%
Q1 - 1:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
47.1%
16
52.9%
Q1 - 1:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 1:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 1:37DETMISS Coleman 11' Turnaround Jump Shot18
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)18
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 2:04MIAHeat Rebound16
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot16
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 2:21DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)16
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS)15
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q1 - 2:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
37.6%
14
62.4%
Q1 - 2:59DETMISS Campbell Layup13
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 3:00DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 3:03DETMISS Campbell Dunk13
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 3:12DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
35.4%
14
64.6%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot13
36.1%
14
63.9%
Q1 - 3:38DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)13
37.7%
14
62.3%
Q1 - 3:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 3:57DETMISS Campbell Tip Shot13
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 3:58DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 4:00DETMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot13
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 4:22MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 4:22MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
39.7%
11
60.3%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot11
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 4:50DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 5:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 211
41.4%
9
58.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)11
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 5:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.4%
9
58.6%
Q1 - 5:21DETMISS Campbell 14' Jump Shot10
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 5:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
39.1%
9
60.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 210
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 210
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 5:56DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)10
41.4%
9
58.6%
Q1 - 6:19DETJump Ball Billups vs. Wade: Tip to Billups10
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 6:23DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 6:37MIACampbell STEAL (1 STL)10
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 6:50DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
45.0%
7
55.0%
Q1 - 6:53DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot10
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 7:13DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 7:28MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 7:48DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)7
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 7:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 7:56DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot7
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 8:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 26
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 8:29DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 8:31DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)6
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 8:44DETMISS Hamilton Layup6
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 9:04MIAButler Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 9:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 9:10DETMISS Prince 5' Jump Shot4
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 9:26MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 9:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 9:33DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot2
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 9:59MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 10:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 10:15DETMISS Hamilton 6' Running Jump Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:18DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 10:20DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 10:54DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:27DETMISS Hamilton 11' Running Jump Shot0
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 11:42DETPISTONS Rebound0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Haslem Layup0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade0
38.5%
0
61.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.8%
DET
0.82 41.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
21
48%
DET
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIA
13
37
35%
DET
11
47
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
DET
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
19
29
66%
DET
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2448%12.0 / 25
D. Wade1743%8.5 / 20
U. Haslem1563%7.5 / 12
R. Butler750%3.5 / 7
E. Jones650%3.0 / 6
D. Jones638%3.0 / 8
M. Doleac225%1.0 / 4
C. Laettner0-0.0 / 3
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2450%12.0 / 24
C. Billups1558%7.5 / 13
T. Prince964%4.5 / 7
R. Wallace831%4.0 / 13
A. McDyess836%4.0 / 11
E. Campbell630%3.0 / 10
S. Parker550%2.5 / 5
D. Milicic250%1.0 / 2
D. Ham150%0.5 / 1
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 2
D. Coleman0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+12
-13
88
DET
78
+17
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.8%
DET
0.82 41.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.0
MIA 86.5
DET 87.6 +1.1
Pace
93.9
89.5
MIA 83.8
DET 94.9 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
MIA 17.2
DET 15.2 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.2%
MIA 40.3% +4.6%
DET 35.7%
TO %
14.0%
14.4%
MIA 13.3%
DET 11.7% +1.6%
ORB %
27.0%
31.3%
MIA 20.5%
DET 20.8% +0.3%
FTrt
38.7
33.5
MIA 40.3
DET 40.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
62.7%
MIA 66.7%
DET 72.0% +5.3%
STL %
6.8%
7.8%
MIA 5.6%
DET 5.6%
BLK %
8.7%
9.4%
MIA 10.4% +7.0%
DET 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
49.3%
MIA 43.8% +2.7%
DET 41.1%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.5%
MIA 47.6% +2.6%
DET 45.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.7%
MIA 35.1% +11.7%
DET 23.4%
3P %
37.7%
34.5%
MIA 28.6%
DET 50.0% +21.4%
FT %
67.2%
73.9%
MIA 65.5%
DET 74.2% +8.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.1%
MIA 29.2% +3.2%
DET 26.0%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
48.5%
MIA 51.4% +9.7%
DET 61.0%
3P Att. %
19.8%
16.4%
MIA 19.4% +6.5%
DET 13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points7778
Rebounds4745
Assists1818
Steals55
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals27-7225-77
At-the-Rim FG10-219-20
Midrange FG13-3711-47
2-Point FG23-5820-67
3-Point FG4-145-10
Free Throws19-2923-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 33
42.9
6
50%
5
1
1
1
0
4
0
5
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
42.8
17
43%
5
6
3
0
2
6
2
3
5-6
83%
6-17
35%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
37.9
24
48%
17
4
0
4
8
4
2
15
8-16
50%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
34.9
15
63%
8
3
0
0
1
4
3
5
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
23.4
7
50%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
28.9
6
38%
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
13.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
10.1
2
25%
5
0
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
44%
47
18
5
7
13
0
9
38
19-29
66%
23-58
40%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.