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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Grizzlies33%9590
4Timberwolves67%100115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
28.8
12.1
17
67%
7
1
0
0
0
2
3
4
3-4
75%
7-11
2-4
64%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.2
27.4
27.9
7
60%
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
25.6
29.6
5
19%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-10
5-11
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.0
23.6
25.1
9
41%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
16.9
28.3
6
38%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.8
27.6
22.2
19
88%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
3-3
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.5
24.4
22.5
9
43%
3
8
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
19.9
14.4
6
34%
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-2
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.5
16.7
13.8
2
20%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
15.8
7.2
10
52%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
40%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
13.2
26.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
14.7
0
3-6
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.5
29.9
39.3
26
72%
15
5
3
1
2
2
2
13
4-7
57%
11-15
8-16
73%
49%
0-0
-
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.2
29.3
31.4
22
95%
0
6
2
1
0
3
0
0
8-8
100%
4-6
3-8
67%
43%
2-2
100%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
26.4
23.0
11
53%
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.8
26.1
15.7
4
41%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
24.4
33.4
12
53%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.7
28.3
23.5
4
67%
9
4
0
0
2
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 22.5
21.3
15.3
15
42%
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
2
3-4
75%
6-14
2-4
43%
41%
0-2
0%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.1
21.1
19.7
5
63%
5
3
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.7
16.9
24.2
10
58%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.9
11.7
5.5
4
52%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
4.6
0.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
37%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.7
8.9
0
1-2
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.