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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 27, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Hawks38%9492
33Bobcats62%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.8
40.3
38.8
27
62%
6
3
1
1
0
5
2
4
4-6
67%
10-17
6-14
59%
47%
1-2
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
39.7
39.7
24
57%
8
2
0
1
0
2
0
8
3-5
60%
9-14
6-13
64%
47%
1-5
20%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 34.1
33.5
22.0
6
50%
4
6
1
1
0
6
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
26.3
26.4
8
57%
7
1
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.4
25.1
23.7
8
67%
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.8
32.6
24.2
7
32%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
43%
1-4
25%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
20.9
17.3
10
56%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
11.7
10.8
2
69%
4
0
0
0
3
1
3
1
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.0
8.6
13.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-1
0%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.0
1.2
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
9.9
0
1-3
44%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.6
6.9
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.2
36.9
35.7
15
51%
10
2
2
1
2
3
0
10
1-4
25%
7-13
6-12
54%
48%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.1
32.6
27.8
12
65%
5
11
3
2
1
3
0
5
4-5
80%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.6
30.9
22.3
12
61%
2
7
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
29.9
29.5
9
61%
6
2
2
1
2
1
1
5
3-3
100%
3-6
4-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.2
27.9
27.1
11
57%
7
1
1
0
2
2
4
3
5-6
83%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
24.5
26.8
15
51%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
0-4
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.6
21.4
17.1
9
58%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.5
16.1
15.6
17
86%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
3-3
100%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.7
12.2
9.4
4
52%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
5.7
18.5
3
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 28.8
1.8
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
11.8
0
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.