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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 27, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Bulls28%9574
25Cavaliers72%10296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
32.2
27.3
12
47%
5
3
0
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
44%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.9
27.1
35.8
6
30%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
39%
0-4
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.1
19.4
22.6
3
31%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
40%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.2
18.0
18.0
1
27%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.0
15.9
20.7
8
68%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.2
28.6
25.2
6
35%
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
7
4-8
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.7
28.3
26.1
5
36%
0
1
3
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-9
25%
39%
1-3
33%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.0
25.6
29.5
20
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
4-5
80%
8-18
6-12
44%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.2
17.1
10.5
5
75%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.4
14.8
10.4
4
67%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
12.9
7.1
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.1
4.6
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.5
35.0
31.5
13
42%
9
2
1
1
0
4
4
5
1-1
100%
6-15
6-12
40%
48%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
31.9
38.7
26
69%
7
7
1
2
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
10-15
7-15
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
28.9
38.4
16
86%
1
8
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
1-2
4-9
50%
47%
4-6
67%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
28.9
29.5
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
23.6
35.3
6
50%
6
1
2
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.8
25.2
13.5
12
77%
11
2
3
1
1
1
3
8
2-4
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
19.1
8.0
8
37%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
40%
1-5
20%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.9
16.1
6.2
2
17%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.8
12.2
10.2
0
0%
6
1
1
0
2
2
3
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
9.9
18.3
4
50%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
9.2
1.8
7
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.7
5.0
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.