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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 27, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz26%8976
2Spurs74%97109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.0
33.5
17.4
6
44%
6
2
2
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
29.6
22.3
14
63%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
5-9
3-8
56%
44%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.0
29.3
32.9
6
30%
3
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-10
7-13
30%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.3
17.6
29.5
7
58%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
42%
1-1
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
8.5
36.4
0
0%
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
4-9
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.5
30.2
21.6
15
57%
4
0
1
0
0
5
2
2
3-5
60%
6-11
3-5
55%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
24.1
2.7
6
63%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
38%
0-1
0%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
22.1
16.9
4
40%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-4
40%
40%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
19.8
24.1
10
56%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
17.0
25.3
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.1
8.2
5.4
6
60%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
39%
0-0
-
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.2
8.9
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.5
27.1
30.3
11
95%
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.6
26.8
35.5
12
46%
13
3
0
1
4
2
4
9
4-7
57%
4-10
8-16
40%
51%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.5
24.3
22.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
22.7
33.8
14
68%
3
4
4
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
6-9
5-10
67%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
21.7
27.2
15
91%
3
3
2
2
0
0
1
2
5-5
100%
5-5
3-6
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
21.7
10.9
14
80%
5
2
2
0
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.4
21.2
12.5
9
65%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.9
20.7
25.9
2
33%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.0
19.2
19.7
16
84%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
8-8
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.3
15.5
14.5
5
51%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
10.2
3.3
5
43%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
1-4
0-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.6
8.9
2.3
4
106%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.