FinalWin Prob.pScore
1247%96
90
2653%97
96
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
103.48783.4
MIL logo MIL
110.38791.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET90
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILVan Horn 3' Hook Shot (20 PTS)90
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot90
5.6%
93
94.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
8.4%
93
91.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
9.2%
93
90.8%
Q4 - 1:01DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot90
11.3%
93
88.7%
Q4 - 1:12MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Williams 13 AST)90
18.3%
93
81.7%
Q4 - 1:33MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
29.3%
91
70.7%
Q4 - 1:35DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
33.3%
91
66.7%
Q4 - 1:58MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)90
42.8%
91
57.2%
Q4 - 1:58MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)90
44.3%
90
55.7%
Q4 - 2:15DETHamilton Layup (14 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)90
52.3%
89
47.7%
Q4 - 2:35MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 12 AST)88
46.1%
89
53.9%
Q4 - 2:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
51.6%
87
48.4%
Q4 - 2:56DETPrince Tip Shot (20 PTS)88
51.6%
87
48.4%
Q4 - 2:57DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot86
35.1%
87
64.9%
Q4 - 3:17MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
45.4%
87
54.6%
Q4 - 3:17MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)86
46.7%
86
53.3%
Q4 - 3:29DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
51.2%
85
48.8%
Q4 - 3:29DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
50.2%
85
49.8%
Q4 - 3:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
43.8%
85
56.2%
Q4 - 3:35MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot84
40.9%
85
59.1%
Q4 - 3:53DETWallace 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)84
34.3%
85
65.7%
Q4 - 4:16MILWilliams 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
26.6%
85
73.4%
Q4 - 4:31MILBUCKS Rebound82
34.0%
83
66.0%
Q4 - 4:31DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot82
36.8%
83
63.2%
Q4 - 4:47DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
43.5%
83
56.5%
Q4 - 4:49MILMISS Pachulia Layup82
40.5%
83
59.5%
Q4 - 5:01DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
35.5%
83
64.5%
Q4 - 5:01DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
34.7%
83
65.3%
Q4 - 5:04MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)80
28.6%
83
71.4%
Q4 - 5:18DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
22.0%
83
78.0%
Q4 - 5:18DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 279
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q4 - 5:33MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T14)79
22.2%
83
77.8%
Q4 - 5:44DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)79
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q4 - 5:44DETPistons Rebound79
22.1%
83
77.9%
Q4 - 5:44DETMISS Ham Layup79
18.2%
83
81.8%
Q4 - 6:11MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)79
24.4%
83
75.6%
Q4 - 6:28DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)79
29.4%
81
70.6%
Q4 - 6:48MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)77
24.2%
81
75.8%
Q4 - 7:10DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
20.7%
81
79.3%
Q4 - 7:27MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
16.9%
81
83.1%
Q4 - 7:27MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
18.1%
80
81.9%
Q4 - 7:28MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q4 - 7:29MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot75
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q4 - 7:49MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q4 - 7:51DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
22.1%
79
77.9%
Q4 - 7:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
26.1%
79
73.9%
Q4 - 7:58MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot75
24.3%
79
75.7%
Q4 - 8:15DETWallace 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)75
22.4%
79
77.6%
Q4 - 8:36MILFizer 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)73
18.3%
79
81.7%
Q4 - 8:51MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
22.3%
77
77.7%
Q4 - 8:51DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot73
23.7%
77
76.3%
Q4 - 9:08MILFizer Layup (6 PTS)73
28.4%
77
71.6%
Q4 - 9:28DETBillups 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)73
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q4 - 9:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
28.3%
75
71.7%
Q4 - 9:36MILMISS James 3PT Jump Shot71
26.8%
75
73.2%
Q4 - 9:55DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)71
23.5%
75
76.5%
Q4 - 10:18MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)69
20.7%
75
79.3%
Q4 - 10:42DETMcDyess Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)69
24.4%
73
75.6%
Q4 - 11:01MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q4 - 11:21DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
25.2%
71
74.8%
Q4 - 11:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
21.5%
71
78.5%
Q4 - 11:35MILMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot65
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL65
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound65
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Fizer 42' 3PT Jump Shot65
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETFizer STEAL (1 STL)65
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MILMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot65
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILBUCKS Rebound65
19.1%
71
80.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
20.1%
71
79.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETPistons Rebound65
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q3 - 1:08DETPachulia STEAL (2 STL)65
20.2%
71
79.8%
Q3 - 1:28MILFizer 3' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)65
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 1:41DETCampbell Foul Turnover (P3.T15)65
27.1%
69
72.9%
Q3 - 1:56MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)65
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 2:09DETHamilton Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)65
35.5%
67
64.5%
Q3 - 2:29MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)63
31.7%
67
68.3%
Q3 - 2:41DETCampbell 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)63
39.9%
64
60.1%
Q3 - 3:03MILPachulia Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)61
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 3:24DETCampbell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)61
40.3%
62
59.7%
Q3 - 3:44MILWilliams 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
45.0%
62
55.0%
Q3 - 3:57DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
49.2%
60
50.8%
Q3 - 3:57DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
48.6%
60
51.4%
Q3 - 4:10MILJames 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)59
45.0%
60
55.0%
Q3 - 4:24DETBillups Layup (4 PTS)59
48.7%
58
51.3%
Q3 - 4:46MILJames 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)57
45.0%
58
55.0%
Q3 - 5:07MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
48.8%
56
51.2%
Q3 - 5:09DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
50.2%
56
49.8%
Q3 - 5:36MILGadzuric Dunk (4 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)57
53.3%
56
46.7%
Q3 - 5:42DETRedd STEAL (1 STL)57
57.1%
54
42.9%
Q3 - 6:01DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
60.7%
54
39.3%
Q3 - 6:03MILMISS Redd 4' Jump Shot57
59.5%
54
40.5%
Q3 - 6:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q3 - 6:22DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot57
57.9%
54
42.1%
Q3 - 6:48MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)57
60.8%
54
39.2%
Q3 - 6:56DETPachulia STEAL (1 STL)57
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q3 - 7:05DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 7:08MILMISS Pachulia 3' Hook Shot57
69.4%
51
30.6%
Q3 - 7:22DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T11)57
66.7%
51
33.3%
Q3 - 7:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
70.6%
51
29.4%
Q3 - 7:27MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot57
69.4%
51
30.6%
Q3 - 7:43MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
66.8%
51
33.2%
Q3 - 7:45DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
68.0%
51
32.0%
Q3 - 7:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
70.6%
51
29.4%
Q3 - 7:55MILMISS Williams Layup57
69.5%
51
30.5%
Q3 - 8:12DETWallace 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
66.5%
51
33.5%
Q3 - 8:30MILJames 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)55
63.5%
51
36.5%
Q3 - 8:55DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
66.5%
49
33.5%
Q3 - 8:55DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 254
65.2%
49
34.8%
Q3 - 9:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
66.9%
49
33.1%
Q3 - 9:01MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot54
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q3 - 9:20DETWallace 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
62.5%
49
37.5%
Q3 - 9:37DETPistons Rebound52
59.1%
49
40.9%
Q3 - 9:37MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot52
58.0%
49
42.0%
Q3 - 9:50DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
55.4%
49
44.6%
Q3 - 9:50DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q3 - 9:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q3 - 9:55MILMISS Van Horn 12' Jump Shot50
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q3 - 10:13MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
47.9%
49
52.1%
Q3 - 10:15DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
49.1%
49
50.9%
Q3 - 10:34DETPistons Rebound50
51.8%
49
48.2%
Q3 - 10:35MILMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot50
50.6%
49
49.4%
Q3 - 11:06MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
48.1%
49
51.9%
Q3 - 11:09DETMISS Wallace 4' Hook Shot50
49.1%
49
50.9%
Q3 - 11:23MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)50
51.7%
49
48.3%
Q3 - 11:43DETWallace 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)50
48.0%
49
52.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL48
44.8%
49
55.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound48
41.2%
49
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 40' 3PT Jump Shot48
43.7%
49
56.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETWallace 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)48
42.1%
49
57.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
38.4%
48
61.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
42.0%
47
58.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)45
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)44
37.9%
47
62.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
35.7%
47
64.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
35.0%
47
65.0%
Q2 - 1:09MILStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)42
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q2 - 1:16MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
30.6%
47
69.4%
Q2 - 1:18DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 1:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q2 - 1:25MILMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot42
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q2 - 1:39DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T10)42
30.6%
47
69.4%
Q2 - 1:59MILVan Horn Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)42
32.0%
47
68.0%
Q2 - 2:06DETBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 2:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
33.0%
45
67.0%
Q2 - 2:16MILMISS Gadzuric Layup40
32.2%
45
67.8%
Q2 - 2:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot40
31.2%
45
68.8%
Q2 - 3:02MILJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
33.8%
45
66.2%
Q2 - 3:17DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q2 - 3:17DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q2 - 3:17DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
26.0%
45
74.0%
Q2 - 3:18DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 138
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 3:18DETPrince Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)38
26.0%
45
74.0%
Q2 - 3:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
24.0%
45
76.0%
Q2 - 3:23MILMISS Strickland 3PT Jump Shot36
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 3:29MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 3:31MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot36
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 3:46DETHamilton 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 3:57DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 3:59MILMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot34
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 4:09DETVan Horn STEAL (2 STL)34
18.7%
45
81.3%
Q2 - 4:23MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 234
20.7%
44
79.3%
Q2 - 4:34DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 4:34DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 4:47DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 4:50MILMISS James Layup32
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 4:55MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q2 - 4:56DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot32
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 5:00DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 5:02MILMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot32
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 5:19DETPrince Layup (12 PTS)32
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 5:29DETPistons Rebound30
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 5:29DETMISS Campbell 14' Jump Shot30
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 5:42MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 6:01DETCampbell Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)30
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 6:29MILJames 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)28
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 6:48DETCampbell 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)28
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 7:04MILFizer Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)26
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 7:20DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)26
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 7:47MILPachulia Layup (4 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)26
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 8:12DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 8:31MILFizer Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 8:44DETPrince Layup (8 PTS)24
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 9:07MILStrickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)22
15.3%
38
84.7%
Q2 - 9:17MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 9:19DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot22
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 9:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 9:26DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot22
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 9:40DETParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 9:41MILMISS Mason 9' Jump Shot22
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 9:59DETWallace Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)22
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 10:20MILPachulia 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)22
19.9%
35
80.1%
Q2 - 10:41MILBUCKS Rebound22
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 10:41DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot22
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 10:53DETHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23.3%
33
76.7%
Q2 - 10:55MILMISS James 14' Jump Shot22
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 11:08MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 11:10DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot22
22.3%
33
77.7%
Q2 - 11:21DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q2 - 11:22MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 11:22MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot22
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 11:24MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot22
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 11:37MILBUCKS Rebound22
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 11:37MILMISS Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 11:44DETStrickland STEAL (1 STL)22
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound22
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hunter 31' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETHam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)22
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)20
23.5%
31
76.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0DETHam 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)20
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q1 - 1:12MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P2.T5)18
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q1 - 1:27DETHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)18
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q1 - 1:33MILVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)18
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q1 - 1:56DETWallace 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q1 - 1:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q1 - 1:59DETMISS McDyess 5' Jump Shot16
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q1 - 2:16MILGadzuric Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)16
22.4%
28
77.6%
Q1 - 2:31DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q1 - 2:31DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q1 - 2:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
19.3%
28
80.7%
Q1 - 2:42MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot14
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q1 - 2:59DETMcDyess 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)14
18.0%
28
82.0%
Q1 - 3:22MILVan Horn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)12
17.4%
28
82.6%
Q1 - 3:31DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 3:49MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)12
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 4:08DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 4:28MILVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 4:35MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 4:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 4:36DETMISS Prince Tip Shot10
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 4:38DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot10
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 5:02MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)10
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 5:15DETVan Horn STEAL (1 STL)10
30.8%
17
69.2%
Q1 - 5:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 5:32DETMISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot10
31.3%
17
68.7%
Q1 - 5:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
32.7%
17
67.3%
Q1 - 5:43DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot10
31.3%
17
68.7%
Q1 - 6:02MILVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)10
33.1%
17
66.9%
Q1 - 6:26DETParker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)10
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 6:39MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T3)8
34.8%
14
65.2%
Q1 - 6:45DETBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T2)8
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 7:06MILWilliams 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
35.5%
14
64.5%
Q1 - 7:11MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
37.0%
12
63.0%
Q1 - 7:13DETMISS Prince 8' Jump Shot8
37.6%
12
62.4%
Q1 - 7:39MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
39.0%
12
61.0%
Q1 - 7:39MILVan Horn Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
39.0%
12
61.0%
Q1 - 7:40MILMISS Gadzuric 8' Jump Shot8
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 8:03DETMcDyess 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 8:23MILMason 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 8:44DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 9:00MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)4
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 9:00MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gadzuric 2 AST)4
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 9:03MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 9:05DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot4
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:20DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 9:22MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot4
44.0%
5
56.0%
Q1 - 9:38DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 10:00MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)4
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 10:06MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:08MILMISS Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 10:32DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)4
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:49MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 11:06DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:26MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 11:26MILGadzuric Layup (2 PTS)0
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 11:29MILMISS Williams Layup0
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 11:34MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 11:36DETGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 11:44MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. Wallace: Tip to Redd0
44.5%
0
55.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 54.2%
MIL
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
23
74%
MIL
13
23
57%
Midrange
DET
18
33
55%
MIL
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
11
0%
MIL
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
20
23
87%
MIL
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2053%10.0 / 19
T. Prince2056%10.0 / 18
R. Hamilton1458%7.0 / 12
C. Billups1150%5.5 / 11
E. Campbell1083%5.0 / 6
A. McDyess956%4.5 / 8
D. Ham467%2.0 / 3
S. Parker2100%1.0 / 1
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2973%14.5 / 20
K. Van Horn2083%10.0 / 12
M. Williams1038%5.0 / 13
Z. Pachulia857%4.0 / 7
M. James850%4.0 / 8
M. Fizer880%4.0 / 5
D. Mason531%2.5 / 8
D. Gadzuric450%2.0 / 4
E. Strickland440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
71
+11
-16
82
MIL
72
+11
-15
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 54.2%
MIL
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
103.5
DET 103.4
MIL 110.3 +6.9
Pace
89.5
93.5
DET 83.4
MIL 91.0 +7.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.4
DET 17.3
MIL 15.8 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
47.5%
DET 52.2%
MIL 56.7% +4.5%
TO %
14.4%
14.2%
DET 18.9%
MIL 15.7% +3.2%
ORB %
31.3%
29.0%
DET 29.6% +3.8%
MIL 25.8%
FTrt
33.5
33.9
DET 34.3 +17.0
MIL 17.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
58.0%
DET 62.9%
MIL 68.4% +5.5%
STL %
7.8%
6.9%
DET 8.0%
MIL 8.0%
BLK %
9.4%
5.4%
DET 8.8% +7.0%
MIL 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.3%
50.1%
DET 54.2%
MIL 57.1% +2.9%
Rim FG%
55.5%
54.1%
DET 73.9% +17.4%
MIL 56.5%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.8%
DET 54.5% +7.4%
MIL 47.1%
3P %
34.5%
35.1%
DET 0.0%
MIL 50.0% +50.0%
FT %
73.9%
77.2%
DET 87.0% +2.4%
MIL 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
37.8%
DET 34.3% +3.7%
MIL 30.7%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
48.1%
DET 49.3%
MIL 45.3% +3.9%
3P Att. %
16.4%
14.1%
DET 16.4%
MIL 24.0% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9096
Rebounds3127
Assists2226
Steals77
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)19 (3)
Field Goals35-6738-75
At-the-Rim FG17-2313-23
Midrange FG18-3316-34
2-Point FG35-5629-57
3-Point FG0-119-18
Free Throws20-2311-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 27
42.7
14
58%
2
3
2
0
3
4
0
2
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 30
42.5
20
53%
7
4
1
2
3
3
2
5
0-0
-
10-15
67%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 212 · 25
40.2
20
56%
9
5
1
1
3
2
2
7
4-5
80%
8-13
62%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
39.3
11
50%
3
3
2
0
2
3
0
3
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
26.3
9
56%
5
2
1
0
1
6
2
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31
15.2
4
67%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36
14.7
10
83%
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
1
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 34
11.2
0
0%
1
3
0
1
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 23
8.0
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30
F · 6'10" 270 · 37
C · 7'0" 275 · 19
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
54%
31
22
7
5
16
0
8
23
20-23
87%
35-56
63%
0-11
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.