FinalWin Prob.pScore
1831%95
104
769%102
106
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
97.2107113.0
MIA logo MIA
99.1107102.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)104
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot104
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)104
7.4%
106
92.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 1 of 2104
7.5%
105
92.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)104
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 2103
6.8%
105
93.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)103
13.8%
105
86.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
10.4%
105
89.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Rebound103
8.7%
105
91.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0BOSO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)103
11.1%
105
88.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
19.7%
105
80.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
16.6%
105
83.4%
Q4 - 1:05BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)103
11.6%
105
88.4%
Q4 - 1:05BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)102
10.7%
105
89.3%
Q4 - 1:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)101
7.3%
105
92.7%
Q4 - 1:23BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)101
4.6%
105
95.4%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P3.T8)101
9.2%
105
90.8%
Q4 - 1:51BOSDavis 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)101
6.1%
105
93.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)99
3.9%
105
96.1%
Q4 - 2:14BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)99
5.9%
103
94.1%
Q4 - 2:14BOSPierce Driving Layup (13 PTS)98
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 2:28MIAJones 15' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)96
3.0%
103
97.0%
Q4 - 2:47BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T11)96
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 2:50BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
7.3%
101
92.7%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot96
6.9%
101
93.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)96
4.6%
101
95.4%
Q4 - 3:17BOSMISS Payton 5' Jump Shot96
5.5%
101
94.5%
Q4 - 3:22BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
8.2%
101
91.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot96
6.8%
101
93.2%
Q4 - 3:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
6.7%
101
93.3%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
8.6%
101
91.4%
Q4 - 3:55BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)96
6.6%
101
93.4%
Q4 - 3:55BOSDavis Layup (13 PTS)95
4.6%
101
95.4%
Q4 - 3:59BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot93
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 4:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade Layup93
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 4:19BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)93
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 4:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)93
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 4:34MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)93
4.6%
100
95.4%
Q4 - 4:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
6.4%
98
93.6%
Q4 - 4:50BOSMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
7.1%
98
92.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)93
10.6%
98
89.4%
Q4 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
18.5%
95
81.5%
Q4 - 5:17BOSMISS Jefferson Tip Shot93
20.2%
95
79.8%
Q4 - 5:19BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
24.4%
95
75.6%
Q4 - 5:25BOSMISS Pierce 13' Jump Shot93
20.2%
95
79.8%
Q4 - 5:47MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)93
24.4%
95
75.6%
Q4 - 6:11BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
29.8%
93
70.2%
Q4 - 6:11BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
28.5%
93
71.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)91
24.7%
93
75.3%
Q4 - 6:30BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
18.8%
93
81.2%
Q4 - 6:30BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
17.7%
93
82.3%
Q4 - 6:40MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)89
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q4 - 7:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)89
24.4%
90
75.6%
Q4 - 7:10BOSMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot89
26.2%
90
73.8%
Q4 - 7:18BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
30.6%
90
69.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
28.6%
90
71.4%
Q4 - 7:40BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)89
24.4%
90
75.6%
Q4 - 8:03BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
30.3%
90
69.7%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot89
28.7%
90
71.3%
Q4 - 8:29BOSDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)89
25.1%
90
74.9%
Q4 - 8:35BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
16.8%
90
83.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot86
15.7%
90
84.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 8:49BOSMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
14.4%
90
85.6%
Q4 - 9:04MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)86
17.4%
90
82.6%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 286
18.3%
89
81.7%
Q4 - 9:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
17.2%
89
82.8%
Q4 - 9:09BOSButler BLOCK (2 BLK)86
18.3%
89
81.7%
Q4 - 9:28MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS) (Person 2 AST)86
21.1%
89
78.9%
Q4 - 9:44BOSWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)86
25.1%
87
74.9%
Q4 - 9:44BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)85
24.2%
87
75.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)84
21.0%
87
79.0%
Q4 - 10:01BOSDavis 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Welsch 4 AST)84
17.7%
87
82.3%
Q4 - 10:06BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
13.9%
87
86.1%
Q4 - 10:26BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)82
12.0%
87
88.0%
Q4 - 10:26BOSAllen Driving Layup (11 PTS)81
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 10:31MIAPerson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)79
8.1%
87
91.9%
Q4 - 10:50BOSAllen 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 3 AST)79
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q4 - 11:09BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 277
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 277
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 11:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q4 - 11:21BOSMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot77
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 11:45MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS77
7.0%
85
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound77
8.6%
85
91.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)77
8.1%
85
91.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot77
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)77
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)77
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot77
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot77
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q3 - 1:10MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)77
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q3 - 1:26BOSPierce Driving Layup (11 PTS)77
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q3 - 1:40BOSCeltics Rebound75
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q3 - 1:41BOSMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 275
9.9%
82
90.1%
Q3 - 1:41BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q3 - 1:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot74
9.2%
82
90.8%
Q3 - 1:59BOSJefferson Layup (4 PTS)74
8.1%
82
91.9%
Q3 - 2:00BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q3 - 2:01BOSMISS Jefferson Tip Shot72
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q3 - 2:07BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q3 - 2:12BOSMISS Davis 3' Finger Roll72
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)72
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q3 - 2:51BOSDavis Dunk (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)72
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q3 - 2:55BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot70
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 3:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q3 - 3:18BOSMISS Pierce 16' Fadeaway Jumper70
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 3:27BOSCeltics Rebound70
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 3:28BOSLaettner BLOCK (2 BLK)70
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 3:29BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup70
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q3 - 3:38BOSLaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)70
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 3:44BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot70
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q3 - 3:56MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q3 - 3:58BOSMISS Davis 8' Fadeaway Jumper70
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 4:17MIAWade Layup (21 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)70
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q3 - 4:21BOSJones STEAL (3 STL)70
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q3 - 4:23BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup70
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 4:39BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)70
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q3 - 4:39BOSLaFrentz Layup (20 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)69
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q3 - 4:47BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot67
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 4:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 5:13BOSPierce 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)65
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)65
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 5:37MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 5:42BOSMISS McCarty 3PT Jump Shot65
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 5:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot65
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q3 - 5:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 5:59BOSMISS Davis Layup65
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 6:15BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot65
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 6:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 6:25BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 6:25BOSMISS Payton Tip Shot65
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q3 - 6:31BOSMISS Payton Driving Layup65
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q3 - 6:55MIAAnderson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 7:10BOSPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 7:10BOSPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 7:20BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 7:22BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 163
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q3 - 7:34MIAO'Neal 3' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)63
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 7:48BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)63
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 7:48BOSLaFrentz Tip Shot (17 PTS)62
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 7:48BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 7:50BOSMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot60
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)60
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 8:08BOSJones STEAL (2 STL)60
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 8:24MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)60
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 8:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
10.3%
68
89.7%
Q3 - 8:35BOSButler BLOCK (1 BLK)60
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 8:42BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot60
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 9:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 9:06BOSMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot60
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 160
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)60
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 9:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
13.6%
66
86.4%
Q3 - 9:43BOSMISS Perkins 18' Jump Shot60
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)60
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 10:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 10:19BOSMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot60
18.1%
64
81.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)60
19.8%
64
80.2%
Q3 - 10:36MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)60
22.1%
63
77.9%
Q3 - 10:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 10:43BOSMISS Welsch 9' Jump Shot60
25.3%
61
74.7%
Q3 - 11:08MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)60
27.0%
61
73.0%
Q3 - 11:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q3 - 11:17BOSMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
30.6%
59
69.4%
Q3 - 11:26BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup60
31.8%
59
68.2%
Q3 - 11:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q3 - 11:42BOSMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot60
30.6%
59
69.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
30.1%
59
69.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
29.4%
59
70.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 258
26.3%
59
73.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0BOSLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)58
27.3%
58
72.7%
Q2 - 1:09MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)55
21.7%
58
78.3%
Q2 - 1:24BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
27.6%
55
72.4%
Q2 - 1:24BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
26.9%
55
73.1%
Q2 - 1:24BOSCeltics Rebound53
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
23.6%
55
76.4%
Q2 - 1:36BOSLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)53
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
24.5%
55
75.5%
Q2 - 2:28BOSLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)53
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q2 - 2:44MIAPerson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)50
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q2 - 3:01BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q2 - 3:01BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
25.0%
49
75.0%
Q2 - 3:26BOSPayton Layup (13 PTS)48
26.5%
48
73.5%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 3:45BOSPerkins Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)46
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 4:03BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
20.2%
48
79.8%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 244
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
20.2%
47
79.8%
Q2 - 4:17BOSMISS LaFrentz Driving Layup44
20.8%
47
79.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 4:48BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)44
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 4:48BOSLaFrentz Layup (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)43
24.2%
44
75.8%
Q2 - 4:49BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot41
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 5:10BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
20.7%
44
79.3%
Q2 - 5:32MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)41
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 5:50BOSBlount 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)41
24.0%
42
76.0%
Q2 - 5:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot39
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 6:07MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
20.1%
42
79.9%
Q2 - 6:11BOSO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)39
20.7%
42
79.3%
Q2 - 6:26BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
22.3%
42
77.7%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Laettner 21' Jump Shot39
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 6:38BOSPayton Driving Layup (11 PTS)39
20.1%
42
79.9%
Q2 - 6:44BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot37
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 6:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Laettner Layup37
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 7:04BOSPayton Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)37
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 7:06BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
18.9%
42
81.1%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Laettner Tip Shot37
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 7:10MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Laettner Driving Layup37
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 7:34BOSWelsch Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 7:34BOSWelsch Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 7:40MIALaettner Reverse Layup (6 PTS)34
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 8:00BOSLaettner STEAL (1 STL)34
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 8:18MIALaettner 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)34
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 8:29BOSMISS West 18' Jump Shot34
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 8:44BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot34
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 9:13BOSMcCarty 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Welsch 3 AST)34
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 9:17BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHEAT Rebound32
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 9:34BOSMISS Allen Reverse Layup32
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 9:43MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 9:50MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
20.5%
36
79.5%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 132
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 9:54MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS)32
20.5%
36
79.5%
Q2 - 9:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
22.0%
34
78.0%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot32
23.4%
34
76.6%
Q2 - 10:13BOSAllen Driving Layup (5 PTS)32
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 10:18BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20.7%
34
79.3%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Person 22' Jump Shot30
20.1%
34
79.9%
Q2 - 10:33MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 10:35BOSMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
19.4%
34
80.6%
Q2 - 10:54BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20.7%
34
79.3%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Laettner 21' Jump Shot30
20.1%
34
79.9%
Q2 - 11:08BOSJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)30
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 11:25BOSCeltics Rebound30
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 11:44MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 11:48BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot30
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS30
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)30
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0BOSAllen Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSMISS Davis 15' Turnaround Jump Shot27
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAPerson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)27
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q1 - 1:13MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Person 1 AST)25
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q1 - 1:26BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q1 - 1:26BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)24
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIAPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 1:32MIAPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 1:45BOSJefferson Layup (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)23
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q1 - 1:56BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot21
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 2:17MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 2:22BOSMISS McCarty Free Throw 2 of 221
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 2:22BOSMcCarty Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)20
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q1 - 2:50BOSMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot20
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 3:02MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 3:24BOSDavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)20
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 3:29BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup18
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 3:47MIAHEAT Rebound18
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 3:48BOSMISS LaFrentz 17' Jump Shot18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 4:07MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 4:11BOSJones STEAL (1 STL)18
24.7%
18
75.3%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 4:51BOSLaFrentz Dunk (4 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)18
28.2%
16
71.8%
Q1 - 5:10MIAPerson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 5:18BOSHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)16
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)16
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 5:38BOSPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 5:38BOSMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 215
30.8%
12
69.2%
Q1 - 5:48BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot15
30.9%
12
69.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.5%
12
70.5%
Q1 - 5:59BOSMISS Welsch 18' Jump Shot15
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
30.9%
12
69.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 6:21BOSHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)15
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 6:31BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 6:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 214
33.4%
9
66.6%
Q1 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.6%
9
67.4%
Q1 - 6:53BOSMISS Welsch 16' Jump Shot14
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 7:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 7:10BOSMISS LaFrentz 22' Jump Shot14
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
37.1%
7
62.9%
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)14
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 7:46BOSLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Welsch 2 AST)14
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 7:51BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot12
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 8:16BOSPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)12
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 8:16BOSPayton 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 8:41MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 8:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 9:02BOSMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 9:07BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Haslem 22' Jump Shot9
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 9:13BOSBlount 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)9
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)7
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 9:43BOSBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 9:43BOSBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 9:53BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot5
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:10BOSPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)5
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)2
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 10:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot2
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 10:56BOSPayton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 11:06MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:20BOSMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:39BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Blount: Tip to Wade0
23.8%
0
76.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.97 48.6%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
18
36
50%
MIA
20
30
67%
Midrange
BOS
11
32
34%
MIA
12
37
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
BOS
34
38
89%
MIA
21
31
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. LaFrentz2158%10.5 / 18
P. Pierce1757%8.5 / 15
R. Davis1644%8.0 / 18
G. Payton1547%7.5 / 16
T. Allen1464%7.0 / 11
M. Blount660%3.0 / 5
J. Welsch542%2.5 / 6
A. Jefferson536%2.5 / 7
W. McCarty375%1.5 / 2
K. Perkins250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2550%12.5 / 25
S. O'Neal2166%10.5 / 16
D. Jones1680%8.0 / 10
E. Jones1240%6.0 / 15
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
W. Person956%4.5 / 8
C. Laettner735%3.5 / 10
R. Butler528%2.5 / 9
S. Anderson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
96
+9
-11
105
MIA
98
+9
-9
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.97 48.6%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.0
106.6
BOS 97.2
MIA 99.1 +1.9
Pace
96.5
93.9
BOS 113.0 +10.3
MIA 102.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.6
BOS 12.7 +1.3
MIA 14.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.4%
BOS 43.2%
MIA 49.4% +6.2%
TO %
15.8%
14.0%
BOS 10.9%
MIA 8.3% +2.6%
ORB %
27.4%
27.0%
BOS 13.6%
MIA 17.6% +4.0%
FTrt
35.7
38.7
BOS 46.9 +10.9
MIA 36.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
57.8%
BOS 54.5%
MIA 61.5% +7.0%
STL %
8.4%
6.8%
BOS 5.6%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
8.0%
8.7%
BOS 6.0%
MIA 13.2% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
52.7%
BOS 48.6%
MIA 49.5% +0.9%
Rim FG%
57.7%
63.0%
BOS 50.0%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.0%
BOS 34.4% +2.0%
MIA 32.4%
3P %
34.9%
37.7%
BOS 30.8%
MIA 36.8% +6.0%
FT %
76.4%
67.2%
BOS 89.5% +21.8%
MIA 67.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.6%
37.6%
BOS 44.4% +9.6%
MIA 34.9%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
42.6%
BOS 39.5% +3.5%
MIA 43.0%
3P Att. %
19.2%
19.8%
BOS 16.0%
MIA 22.1% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions107107
Possession Minutes22.725.0
Points104106
Rebounds4847
Assists1824
Steals66
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (2)38 (3)
Field Goals33-8139-86
At-the-Rim FG18-3620-30
Midrange FG11-3212-37
2-Point FG29-6832-67
3-Point FG4-137-19
Free Throws34-3821-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 235 · 27
38.9
17
57%
9
5
0
0
2
1
0
9
9-10
90%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 36
30.9
15
47%
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
5
4-5
80%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 240 · 29
27.9
21
58%
8
1
0
2
1
1
1
7
5-5
100%
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 208 · 25
22.7
5
42%
3
4
1
0
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 29
18.3
6
60%
4
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 25
32.2
16
44%
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
5-15
33%
1-1
100%
· 6'4" 213 · 23
22.4
14
64%
6
1
2
0
3
3
0
6
6-6
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 20
15.9
5
36%
6
0
0
1
1
4
3
3
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 31
9.6
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 20
6.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 23
#13 · G · 6'3" 180 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
225
104
49%
48
18
6
4
11
0
6
42
34-38
89%
29-68
43%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.