Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 29, 2004

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	32	Hornets	23%	87	67
	14	Nuggets	77%	97	76

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
NOK	76.1	88	87.8
DEN	88.4	86	86.2

Scoring Opportunities

NOK

+11

-21

DEN

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK

0.85 42.4%

DEN

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	NOK	DEN
Q4 - 0:00.0	DEN		67 0%	76 100%
Q4 - 0:16.0	DEN	Russell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	67 0.1%	76 99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0	NOH	MISS Brown 18' Jump Shot	67 0.1%	76 99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	67 0.1%	76 99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0	DEN	MISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot	67 0.1%	76 99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	67 0.1%	76 99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0	NOH	MISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot	67 0.1%	76 99.9%
Q4 - 1:02	DEN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	67 0.3%	76 99.7%
Q4 - 1:02	DEN	Martin Layup (9 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)	67 0.5%	75 99.5%
Q4 - 1:08	NOH	West Layup (8 PTS)	67 1.0%	73 99.0%
Q4 - 1:23	DEN	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	65 0.8%	73 99.2%
Q4 - 1:23	DEN	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	65 0.9%	72 99.1%
Q4 - 1:45	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	65 1.8%	71 98.2%
Q4 - 1:48	NOH	MISS Nailon 19' Jump Shot	65 2.2%	71 97.8%
Q4 - 1:54	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	65 3.1%	71 96.9%
Q4 - 2:00	DEN	MISS Miller Layup	65 2.6%	71 97.4%
Q4 - 2:03	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	65 1.9%	71 98.1%
Q4 - 2:05	NOH	MISS Armstrong 24' Jump Shot	65 2.2%	71 97.8%
Q4 - 2:16	DEN	Boykins Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)	65 3.5%	71 96.5%
Q4 - 2:19	NOH	Camby STEAL (1 STL)	65 1.8%	71 98.2%
Q4 - 2:42	DEN	Martin 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)	65 3.6%	71 96.4%
Q4 - 2:57	NOH	Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#22)	65 5.6%	69 94.4%
Q4 - 2:57	NOH	Hornets Rebound	65 9.5%	69 90.5%
Q4 - 2:58	NOH	Martin BLOCK (3 BLK)	65 6.6%	69 93.4%
Q4 - 3:20	NOH	Wesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	65 9.5%	69 90.5%
Q4 - 3:22	DEN	MISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot	65 8.0%	69 92.0%
Q4 - 3:32	NOH	Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)	65 7.6%	69 92.4%
Q4 - 3:32	NOH	Hornets Rebound	65 10.7%	69 89.3%
Q4 - 3:32	NOH	MISS Armstrong 16' Running Jump Shot	65 8.4%	69 91.6%
Q4 - 3:57	DEN	NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)	65 10.4%	69 89.6%
Q4 - 3:57	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	65 7.3%	69 92.7%
Q4 - 3:57	DEN	MISS Miller 17' Turnaround Jump Shot	65 9.3%	69 90.7%
Q4 - 4:20	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 7.2%	69 92.8%
Q4 - 4:22	NOH	MISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot	65 8.0%	69 92.0%
Q4 - 4:30	DEN	Boykins Driving Layup (22 PTS)	65 10.3%	69 89.7%
Q4 - 4:53	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	65 14.0%	67 86.0%
Q4 - 4:54	NOH	MISS Nailon 9' Jump Shot	65 15.6%	67 84.4%
Q4 - 5:01	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	65 19.6%	67 80.4%
Q4 - 5:04	DEN	MISS Russell Driving Layup	65 18.0%	67 82.0%
Q4 - 5:29	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	65 14.7%	67 85.3%
Q4 - 5:33	NOH	MISS West 4' Jump Hook Shot	65 16.0%	67 84.0%
Q4 - 5:48	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	65 19.6%	67 80.4%
Q4 - 5:50	DEN	MISS Martin Driving Layup	65 18.0%	67 82.0%
Q4 - 6:07	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	65 14.7%	67 85.3%
Q4 - 6:07	NOH	Camby BLOCK (4 BLK)	65 16.0%	67 84.0%
Q4 - 6:31	DEN	Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)	65 19.6%	67 80.4%
Q4 - 6:44	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	65 30.0%	64 70.0%
Q4 - 6:47	NOH	MISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot	65 32.3%	64 67.7%
Q4 - 7:21	DEN	Russell 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)	65 35.9%	64 64.1%
Q4 - 7:26	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	65 48.5%	61 51.5%
Q4 - 7:29	NOH	MISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot	65 50.9%	61 49.1%
Q4 - 7:36	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 56.3%	61 43.7%
Q4 - 7:39	DEN	MISS Miller 10' Jump Bank Shot	65 54.0%	61 46.0%
Q4 - 7:58	NOH	Harrington Foul Turnover (P4.T20)	65 48.6%	61 51.4%
Q4 - 8:11	DEN	Russell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)	65 53.3%	61 46.7%
Q4 - 8:24	NOH	Smith 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nailon 4 AST)	65 46.9%	61 53.1%
Q4 - 8:37	DEN	Martin Foul Turnover (P2.T16)	63 40.8%	61 59.2%
Q4 - 8:50	NOH	Nene STEAL (1 STL)	63 34.6%	61 65.4%
Q4 - 9:02	NOH	Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	63 39.0%	61 61.0%
Q4 - 9:04	DEN	MISS Nene 16' Jump Shot	63 37.2%	61 62.8%
Q4 - 9:11	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	63 33.3%	61 66.7%
Q4 - 9:14	NOH	MISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot	63 35.0%	61 65.0%
Q4 - 9:27	NOH	Nailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	63 39.1%	61 60.9%
Q4 - 9:32	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2	63 38.4%	61 61.6%
Q4 - 9:32	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	63 35.2%	61 64.8%
Q4 - 9:46	NOH	Nailon 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)	63 38.9%	60 61.1%
Q4 - 9:59	NOH	Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	61 33.6%	60 66.4%
Q4 - 10:00	DEN	MISS Boykins 11' Jump Shot	61 31.9%	60 68.1%
Q4 - 10:06	NOH	Buckner STEAL (3 STL)	61 27.8%	60 72.2%
Q4 - 10:25	DEN	Nene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)	61 32.9%	60 67.1%
Q4 - 10:29	NOH	Buckner STEAL (2 STL)	61 37.7%	58 62.3%
Q4 - 10:33	DEN	Boykins Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)	61 43.7%	58 56.3%
Q4 - 10:54	NOH	Harrington Foul Turnover (P3.T16)	61 37.8%	58 62.2%
Q4 - 11:01	DEN	Elson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)	61 42.9%	58 57.1%
Q4 - 11:16	NOH	Andersen 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)	61 37.5%	58 62.5%
Q4 - 11:35	NOH	Hornets Rebound	59 32.8%	58 67.2%
Q4 - 11:36	DEN	MISS Russell 18' Jump Shot	59 31.3%	58 68.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH		59 28.0%	58 72.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN	Boykins Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)	59 32.8%	58 67.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0	NOH	Harrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	59 27.4%	58 72.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0	NOH	Harrington Driving Layup (9 PTS)	58 23.6%	58 76.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	56 20.0%	58 80.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0	NOH	MISS Lynch 24' 3PT Jump Shot	56 17.9%	58 82.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0	DEN	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	56 20.1%	58 79.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0	DEN	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	56 20.6%	57 79.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0	NOH	Harrington 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)	56 23.6%	56 76.4%
Q3 - 1:09	DEN	Russell 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)	54 19.9%	56 80.1%
Q3 - 1:41	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	54 26.8%	53 73.2%
Q3 - 1:43	DEN	MISS Russell 22' Jump Shot	54 29.6%	53 70.4%
Q3 - 1:49	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	54 26.8%	53 73.2%
Q3 - 1:51	NOH	MISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 28.0%	53 72.0%
Q3 - 2:11	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	54 29.9%	53 70.1%
Q3 - 2:13	DEN	MISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot	54 28.7%	53 71.3%
Q3 - 2:32	DEN	Russell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 25.9%	53 74.1%
Q3 - 2:35	NOH	Camby BLOCK (3 BLK)	54 27.1%	53 72.9%
Q3 - 2:52	DEN	Boykins 11' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)	54 30.0%	53 70.0%
Q3 - 3:16	NOH	Brown 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)	54 33.3%	51 66.7%
Q3 - 3:34	DEN	Russell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)	52 29.7%	51 70.3%
Q3 - 3:47	NOH	Harrington Foul Turnover (P2.T15)	52 37.4%	48 62.6%
Q3 - 4:06	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	52 40.5%	48 59.5%
Q3 - 4:06	DEN	MISS Miller 15' Jump Shot	52 39.1%	48 60.9%
Q3 - 4:24	NOH	Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)	52 35.9%	48 64.1%
Q3 - 4:55	DEN	Boykins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	49 29.0%	48 71.0%
Q3 - 5:06	NOH	Boykins STEAL (1 STL)	49 24.9%	48 75.1%
Q3 - 5:22	NOH	Wesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	49 28.4%	48 71.6%
Q3 - 5:25	DEN	MISS Russell Driving Layup	49 27.3%	48 72.7%
Q3 - 5:45	NOH	Brown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)	49 24.9%	48 75.1%
Q3 - 5:59	DEN	Miller Layup (10 PTS) (White 1 AST)	49 28.4%	48 71.6%
Q3 - 6:17	NOH	Brown 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)	49 30.8%	46 69.2%
Q3 - 6:33	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	47 27.8%	46 72.2%
Q3 - 6:36	DEN	MISS White 9' Running Jump Shot	47 26.7%	46 73.3%
Q3 - 7:00	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 24.5%	46 75.5%
Q3 - 7:02	DEN	MISS White 20' Jump Shot	47 26.3%	46 73.7%
Q3 - 7:25	NOH	White STEAL (2 STL)	47 24.0%	46 76.0%
Q3 - 7:31	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	47 27.4%	46 72.6%
Q3 - 7:33	DEN	MISS Nene 16' Jump Shot	47 26.3%	46 73.7%
Q3 - 7:51	NOH	Nailon 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)	47 24.0%	46 76.0%
Q3 - 7:57	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 21.7%	46 78.3%
Q3 - 7:59	DEN	MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot	45 20.8%	46 79.2%
Q3 - 8:25	NOH	Nailon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	45 18.7%	46 81.3%
Q3 - 8:34	DEN	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	45 21.5%	46 78.5%
Q3 - 8:37	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	45 18.7%	46 81.3%
Q3 - 8:39	NOH	MISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 19.6%	46 80.4%
Q3 - 9:05	DEN	White 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)	45 20.7%	46 79.3%
Q3 - 9:14	NOH	Nailon 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	45 23.2%	44 76.8%
Q3 - 9:30	DEN	Camby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	43 20.8%	44 79.2%
Q3 - 9:42	NOH	Nailon 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	43 18.4%	44 81.6%
Q3 - 10:07	DEN	Miller Layup (8 PTS)	41 16.2%	44 83.8%
Q3 - 10:11	NOH	Miller STEAL (3 STL)	41 17.9%	42 82.1%
Q3 - 10:30	DEN	Camby Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	41 20.4%	42 79.6%
Q3 - 10:49	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	41 18.0%	42 82.0%
Q3 - 10:51	NOH	MISS Brown 15' Jump Shot	41 18.7%	42 81.3%
Q3 - 11:05	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	41 19.8%	42 80.2%
Q3 - 11:07	DEN	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	41 19.1%	42 80.9%
Q3 - 11:14	NOH	White STEAL (1 STL)	41 17.7%	42 82.3%
Q3 - 11:24	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41 19.9%	42 80.1%
Q3 - 11:26	DEN	MISS Buckner Layup	41 19.2%	42 80.8%
Q3 - 11:47	NOH	Wesley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	41 17.7%	42 82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH		39 15.8%	42 84.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	39 15.8%	42 84.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	MISS Armstrong 37' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot	39 14.5%	42 85.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0	DEN	Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)	39 15.6%	42 84.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0	NOH	Martin STEAL (2 STL)	39 20.1%	39 79.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0	NOH	Nailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39 21.6%	39 78.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0	DEN	MISS Martin Slam Dunk	39 21.2%	39 78.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0	NOH	Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nailon 3 AST)	39 20.1%	39 79.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0	DEN	Nene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	36 15.6%	39 84.4%
Q2 - 1:01	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	36 14.8%	39 85.2%
Q2 - 1:04	NOH	MISS Brown 11' Jump Shot	36 15.0%	39 85.0%
Q2 - 1:16	DEN	Boykins Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)	36 15.6%	39 84.4%
Q2 - 1:16	DEN	Russell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 14.8%	39 85.2%
Q2 - 1:19	NOH	MISS Nailon 9' Fadeaway Jumper	36 15.0%	39 85.0%
Q2 - 1:44	DEN	Martin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	36 15.6%	39 84.4%
Q2 - 1:56	NOH	Armstrong Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	36 14.8%	39 85.2%
Q2 - 2:01	DEN	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	34 13.0%	39 87.0%
Q2 - 2:19	NOH	Nailon 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)	34 11.7%	39 88.3%
Q2 - 2:35	NOH	Nailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32 10.3%	39 89.7%
Q2 - 2:38	DEN	MISS Martin 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	32 10.0%	39 90.0%
Q2 - 2:44	DEN	Boykins Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)	32 9.3%	39 90.7%
Q2 - 3:00	NOH	Nailon 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)	32 10.5%	38 89.5%
Q2 - 3:06	DEN	Boykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	30 9.5%	38 90.5%
Q2 - 3:09	DEN	Boykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 8.4%	38 91.6%
Q2 - 3:11	NOH	Camby BLOCK (2 BLK)	30 8.7%	38 91.3%
Q2 - 3:36	DEN	Martin Dunk (5 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	30 9.5%	38 90.5%
Q2 - 3:56	NOH	Nailon 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	30 10.4%	36 89.6%
Q2 - 4:03	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	28 9.5%	36 90.5%
Q2 - 4:06	DEN	MISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot	28 9.2%	36 90.8%
Q2 - 4:26	NOH	Brown Layup (7 PTS) (Nailon 2 AST)	28 8.6%	36 91.4%
Q2 - 4:47	DEN	Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	26 7.7%	36 92.3%
Q2 - 4:55	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	26 9.5%	33 90.5%
Q2 - 4:59	NOH	MISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot	26 9.8%	33 90.2%
Q2 - 5:11	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	26 10.6%	33 89.4%
Q2 - 5:13	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	26 9.5%	33 90.5%
Q2 - 5:13	DEN	MISS Camby Tip Shot	26 10.2%	33 89.8%
Q2 - 5:15	DEN	MISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot	26 10.2%	33 89.8%
Q2 - 5:32	NOH	Nailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	26 9.5%	33 90.5%
Q2 - 5:32	NOH	Nailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	25 9.3%	33 90.7%
Q2 - 5:34	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	24 8.6%	33 91.4%
Q2 - 5:37	NOH	Miller BLOCK (1 BLK)	24 8.0%	33 92.0%
Q2 - 5:56	DEN	Boykins Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	24 8.6%	33 91.4%
Q2 - 6:00	NOH	Miller STEAL (2 STL)	24 9.5%	31 90.5%
Q2 - 6:21	DEN	Miller Driving Layup (6 PTS)	24 10.7%	31 89.3%
Q2 - 6:28	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	24 11.6%	29 88.4%
Q2 - 6:30	DEN	MISS White 22' Jump Shot	24 12.6%	29 87.4%
Q2 - 6:46	NOH	Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	24 11.6%	29 88.4%
Q2 - 6:46	NOH	Andersen Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)	24 11.6%	29 88.4%
Q2 - 6:48	NOH	MISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot	22 9.9%	29 90.1%
Q2 - 7:04	NOH	Hornets Rebound	22 10.9%	29 89.1%
Q2 - 7:05	DEN	MISS Buckner 3' Jump Hook Shot	22 10.6%	29 89.4%
Q2 - 7:13	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	22 9.9%	29 90.1%
Q2 - 7:16	NOH	Martin BLOCK (2 BLK)	22 10.2%	29 89.8%
Q2 - 7:38	DEN	NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	22 10.9%	29 89.1%
Q2 - 7:38	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	22 9.9%	29 90.1%
Q2 - 7:38	DEN	MISS Boykins 18' Turnaround Jump Shot	22 10.6%	29 89.4%
Q2 - 8:01	DEN	Buckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 9.9%	29 90.1%
Q2 - 8:04	NOH	Camby BLOCK (1 BLK)	22 10.2%	29 89.8%
Q2 - 8:18	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	22 11.0%	29 89.0%
Q2 - 8:20	NOH	MISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot	22 10.2%	29 89.8%
Q2 - 8:40	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	22 11.0%	29 89.0%
Q2 - 8:42	DEN	MISS White Free Throw 2 of 2	22 10.8%	29 89.2%
Q2 - 8:42	DEN	MISS White Free Throw 1 of 2	22 10.2%	29 89.8%
Q2 - 8:55	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 9.9%	29 90.1%
Q2 - 8:57	NOH	MISS Lynch 12' Jump Shot	22 10.2%	29 89.8%
Q2 - 9:18	DEN	Boykins 11' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)	22 11.0%	29 89.0%
Q2 - 9:40	NOH	Harrington 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)	22 11.9%	27 88.1%
Q2 - 10:02	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	20 11.2%	27 88.8%
Q2 - 10:06	DEN	MISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot	20 10.8%	27 89.2%
Q2 - 10:32	NOH	West 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)	20 10.1%	27 89.9%
Q2 - 10:48	DEN	NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	18 9.3%	27 90.7%
Q2 - 10:48	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	18 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q2 - 10:48	DEN	MISS White 17' Jump Shot	18 9.0%	27 91.0%
Q2 - 11:13	NOH	Buckner STEAL (1 STL)	18 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q2 - 11:20	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 9.2%	27 90.8%
Q2 - 11:21	DEN	MISS Camby Finger Roll	18 9.0%	27 91.0%
Q2 - 11:43	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q2 - 11:45	NOH	MISS Armstrong 20' Jump Shot	18 8.7%	27 91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH		18 9.2%	27 90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	18 9.2%	27 90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH	MISS Armstrong 29' 3PT Jump Bank Shot	18 8.7%	27 91.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0	DEN	Boykins 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)	18 9.2%	27 90.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	18 10.2%	25 89.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0	NOH	MISS Armstrong Layup	18 10.4%	25 89.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0	NOH	Lynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 10.9%	25 89.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0	DEN	MISS Camby 18' Jump Shot	18 10.7%	25 89.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 10.2%	25 89.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0	NOH	MISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot	18 10.4%	25 89.6%
Q1 - 1:03	DEN	Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)	18 10.9%	25 89.1%
Q1 - 1:19	NOH	Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	18 13.2%	22 86.8%
Q1 - 1:19	NOH	Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	17 13.0%	22 87.0%
Q1 - 1:34	DEN	Boykins Layup (2 PTS)	16 11.9%	22 88.1%
Q1 - 1:38	NOH	Russell STEAL (1 STL)	16 13.2%	20 86.8%
Q1 - 1:59	NOH	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 14.0%	20 86.0%
Q1 - 2:02	DEN	MISS Russell 21' Jump Shot	16 13.8%	20 86.2%
Q1 - 2:09	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	16 13.1%	20 86.9%
Q1 - 2:10	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	16 13.1%	20 86.9%
Q1 - 2:10	DEN	MISS Miller Layup	16 13.8%	20 86.2%
Q1 - 2:13	DEN	MISS Nene 9' Fadeaway Jumper	16 13.8%	20 86.2%
Q1 - 2:25	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 13.1%	20 86.9%
Q1 - 2:27	DEN	MISS Miller 12' Jump Shot	16 13.8%	20 86.2%
Q1 - 2:41	NOH	Freije Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	16 13.1%	20 86.9%
Q1 - 2:50	NOH	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 14.1%	20 85.9%
Q1 - 2:53	DEN	MISS Buckner 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	16 13.8%	20 86.2%
Q1 - 3:10	NOH	Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	16 13.0%	20 87.0%
Q1 - 3:35	DEN	Nene Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	13 11.2%	20 88.8%
Q1 - 4:01	NOH	Armstrong 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)	13 11.8%	18 88.2%
Q1 - 4:19	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	11 11.1%	18 88.9%
Q1 - 4:19	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	11 11.4%	17 88.6%
Q1 - 4:26	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 11.9%	16 88.1%
Q1 - 4:28	NOH	MISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot	11 12.2%	16 87.8%
Q1 - 4:50	DEN	Buckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	11 13.0%	16 87.0%
Q1 - 4:50	DEN	Buckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	11 13.2%	15 86.8%
Q1 - 5:00	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	11 13.8%	14 86.2%
Q1 - 5:03	NOH	MISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot	11 14.1%	14 85.9%
Q1 - 5:20	DEN	White Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	11 14.9%	14 85.1%
Q1 - 5:30	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 15.9%	12 84.1%
Q1 - 5:32	NOH	Martin BLOCK (1 BLK)	11 16.2%	12 83.8%
Q1 - 5:57	DEN	White 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	11 17.2%	12 82.8%
Q1 - 6:19	NOH	Nailon Foul Turnover (P2.T3)	11 18.1%	10 81.9%
Q1 - 6:22	DEN	Buckner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	11 19.3%	10 80.7%
Q1 - 6:37	NOH	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	11 18.1%	10 81.9%
Q1 - 6:37	NOH	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	10 17.9%	10 82.1%
Q1 - 6:42	DEN	White 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	9 16.9%	10 83.1%
Q1 - 7:02	NOH	West Layup (4 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)	9 17.7%	8 82.3%
Q1 - 7:27	DEN	Buckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	7 16.7%	8 83.3%
Q1 - 7:27	DEN	MISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 2	7 16.9%	7 83.1%
Q1 - 7:37	NOH	Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	7 16.6%	7 83.4%
Q1 - 7:37	NOH	Brown Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)	6 15.6%	7 84.4%
Q1 - 7:46	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	4 14.7%	7 85.3%
Q1 - 7:49	DEN	MISS Martin 7' Jump Hook Shot	4 14.4%	7 85.6%
Q1 - 8:03	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 13.5%	7 86.5%
Q1 - 8:03	NOH	West Layup (2 PTS)	4 13.5%	7 86.5%
Q1 - 8:07	NOH	MISS Nailon 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	2 12.1%	7 87.9%
Q1 - 8:42	DEN	Miller Layup (4 PTS)	2 12.8%	7 87.2%
Q1 - 8:45	NOH	Miller STEAL (1 STL)	2 13.5%	5 86.5%
Q1 - 9:03	DEN	Miller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)	2 14.5%	5 85.5%
Q1 - 9:18	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	2 15.2%	3 84.8%
Q1 - 9:20	NOH	MISS Nailon 18' Jump Shot	2 15.6%	3 84.4%
Q1 - 9:23	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	2 16.5%	3 83.5%
Q1 - 9:25	NOH	MISS West 6' Jump Shot	2 15.6%	3 84.4%
Q1 - 9:38	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 16.5%	3 83.5%
Q1 - 9:39	NOH	MISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot	2 15.6%	3 84.4%
Q1 - 9:53	DEN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	2 16.5%	3 83.5%
Q1 - 9:53	DEN	MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2	2 16.8%	2 83.2%
Q1 - 10:08	NOH	Martin STEAL (1 STL)	2 16.2%	2 83.8%
Q1 - 10:19	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 17.4%	2 82.6%
Q1 - 10:22	DEN	MISS Miller 14' Jump Shot	2 17.0%	2 83.0%
Q1 - 10:41	NOH	Armstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)	2 16.2%	2 83.8%
Q1 - 10:45	NOH	Nailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 15.3%	2 84.7%
Q1 - 10:47	DEN	MISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot	0 15.0%	2 85.0%
Q1 - 10:59	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	0 14.3%	2 85.7%
Q1 - 11:02	NOH	MISS Brown 5' Jump Hook Shot	0 14.6%	2 85.4%
Q1 - 11:25	DEN	Martin 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)	0 15.2%	2 84.8%
Q1 - 11:45	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 16.2%	0 83.8%
Q1 - 11:47	DEN	MISS White 18' Jump Shot	0 16.9%	0 83.1%
Q1 - 12:00	DEN	Jump Ball Camby vs. Brown: Tip to Miller	0 16.2%	0 83.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK

0.85 42.4%

DEN

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOK

60%

DEN

57%

Midrange

NOK

36%

DEN

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOK

4.5

33%

50%

DEN

10.5

64%

95%

Free Throws

NOK

100%

DEN

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Nailon	16	50%	8.0 / 16
P. Brown	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Harrington	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. West	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Armstrong	8	27%	4.0 / 15
D. Wesley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Smith	5	125%	2.5 / 2
C. Andersen	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Lynch	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Boykins	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Miller	14	44%	7.0 / 16
B. Russell	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Martin	10	50%	5.0 / 10
R. White	8	36%	4.0 / 11
Nene	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Buckner	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Camby	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK

+11

-21

DEN

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK

0.85 42.4%

DEN

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	96.9 103.6	NOH 76.1 DEN 88.4 +12.2
Pace	90.2 95.8	NOH 87.8 +1.5 DEN 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16.1 14.8	NOH 16.4 +0.3 DEN 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	44.6% 48.3%	NOH 42.8% DEN 45.7% +2.9%
TO %	15.3% 15.0%	NOH 24.1% DEN 19.8% +4.3%
ORB %	29.2% 28.4%	NOH 19.4% +2.7% DEN 16.7%
FTrt	27.9 35.0	NOH 11.6 DEN 26.1 +14.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	63.4% 64.5%	NOH 71.4% DEN 71.4%
STL %	7.4% 9.5%	NOH 10.2% DEN 16.3% +6.1%
BLK %	6.3% 9.3%	NOH 6.9% DEN 13.3% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	46.8% 50.8%	NOH 42.4% DEN 46.3% +3.9%
Rim FG%	52.2% 60.5%	NOH 60.0% +3.5% DEN 56.5%
Mid FG%	38.2% 37.4%	NOH 35.6% +12.7% DEN 22.9%
3P %	31.5% 34.0%	NOH 33.3% DEN 63.6% +30.3%
FT %	76.6% 76.3%	NOH 100.0% +27.8% DEN 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.7% 39.0%	NOH 21.7% DEN 33.3% +11.6%
Mid Att. %	47.2% 46.8%	NOH 65.2% DEN 50.7% +14.5%
3P Att. %	20.1% 14.2%	NOH 13.0% DEN 15.9% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	NOH	DEN
Possessions	88	86
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	67	76
Rebounds	37	35
Assists	20	20
Steals	9	14
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	21 (2)	16 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	29 (1)
Field Goals	28-69	28-69
At-the-Rim FG	9-15	13-23
Midrange FG	16-45	8-35
2-Point FG	25-60	21-58
3-Point FG	3-9	7-11
Free Throws	8-8	13-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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32 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 24	38.0	8	50%	10	1	3	0	1	3	3	7	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
P.J. Brown C · 6'11" 239 · 35	37.9	11	46%	8	2	1	0	3	1	3	5	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 36	32.8	8	27%	5	5	1	1	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-11	27%	0-3	0%
Lee Nailon F · 6'9" 241 · 30	31.6	16	50%	4	4	2	1	4	4	0	4	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 34	31.2	5	50%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Junior Harrington G · 6'4" 190 · 24	24.5	10	50%	2	1	1	1	4	5	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	16.2	4	67%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
George Lynch F · 6'8" 235 · 34	16.1	0	0%	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19	7.6	5	125%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Matt Freije F · 6'9" 249 · 23	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 27
Alex Garcia G-F · 6'3" 195 · 25
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	67	42%	37	20	9	4	21	0	7	30	8-8	100%	25-60	42%	3-9	33%

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32 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 24	38.0	8	50%	10	1	3	0	1	3	3	7	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
P.J. Brown C · 6'11" 239 · 35	37.9	11	46%	8	2	1	0	3	1	3	5	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 36	32.8	8	27%	5	5	1	1	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-11	27%	0-3	0%
Lee Nailon F · 6'9" 241 · 30	31.6	16	50%	4	4	2	1	4	4	0	4	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 34	31.2	5	50%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Junior Harrington G · 6'4" 190 · 24	24.5	10	50%	2	1	1	1	4	5	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	16.2	4	67%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
George Lynch F · 6'8" 235 · 34	16.1	0	0%	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19	7.6	5	125%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Matt Freije F · 6'9" 249 · 23	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 27
Alex Garcia G-F · 6'3" 195 · 25
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	67	42%	37	20	9	4	21	0	7	30	8-8	100%	25-60	42%	3-9	33%

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14 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 31	39.6	0	0%	11	4	1	4	2	1	2	9	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 29	37.7	14	44%	3	8	3	1	2	2	3	0	4-4	100%	5-14	36%	0-0	-
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 27	30.4	10	50%	6	2	2	3	2	2	0	6	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Rodney White F · 6'9" 230 · 24	25.0	8	36%	4	1	2	0	0	2	0	4	0-2	0%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 28	24.2	3	25%	1	1	3	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 28	34.2	22	69%	1	3	1	0	6	2	0	1	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	3-5	60%
Bryon Russell G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34	23.0	12	67%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-5	0%	4-4	100%
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.6	7	50%	6	0	1	0	1	2	1	5	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 21
DerMarr Johnson F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25
Nikoloz Tskitishvili F · 7'0" 225 · 22
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	46%	35	20	14	8	16	0	6	29	13-18	72%	21-58	36%	7-11	64%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE