FinalWin Prob.pScore
2726%96
94
774%104
92
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
100.09494.5
MIA logo MIA
100.09291.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound94
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
92.5%
92
7.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
96.7%
92
3.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)94
71.3%
92
28.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
68.5%
92
31.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0TORRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
52.7%
92
47.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
33.1%
92
66.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)92
46.9%
92
53.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORPerson STEAL (4 STL)92
60.0%
90
40.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)92
69.9%
90
30.1%
Q4 - 1:18TORMarshall Layup (16 PTS)92
86.1%
87
13.9%
Q4 - 1:19TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)90
79.3%
87
20.7%
Q4 - 1:20TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
70.8%
87
29.2%
Q4 - 1:37TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
75.4%
87
24.6%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
71.8%
87
28.2%
Q4 - 2:01TORMarshall Tip Shot (14 PTS)90
59.6%
87
40.4%
Q4 - 2:02TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)88
52.0%
87
48.0%
Q4 - 2:03TORMISS Carter 9' Jump Shot88
41.0%
87
59.0%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHaslem Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)88
52.4%
87
47.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
58.3%
85
41.7%
Q4 - 2:31TORMISS Alston Driving Finger Roll88
63.3%
85
36.7%
Q4 - 2:45MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Person 2 AST)88
73.8%
85
26.2%
Q4 - 3:00TORRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)88
82.6%
82
17.4%
Q4 - 3:00TORRose Driving Layup (21 PTS)87
75.6%
82
24.4%
Q4 - 3:08TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
70.5%
82
29.5%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
66.6%
82
33.4%
Q4 - 3:24TORAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)85
56.3%
82
43.7%
Q4 - 3:48MIAO'Neal Layup (34 PTS)82
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q4 - 3:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)82
45.2%
80
54.8%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
52.0%
80
48.0%
Q4 - 3:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)82
45.2%
80
54.8%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
52.1%
80
47.9%
Q4 - 4:04TORJones STEAL (1 STL)82
45.4%
80
54.6%
Q4 - 4:05TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
55.3%
80
44.7%
Q4 - 4:07TORMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot82
48.5%
80
51.5%
Q4 - 4:28MIAPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)82
55.6%
80
44.4%
Q4 - 4:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
72.5%
77
27.5%
Q4 - 4:57TORMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 282
73.6%
77
26.4%
Q4 - 4:57TORMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 282
77.6%
77
22.4%
Q4 - 5:08TORRaptors Rebound82
73.9%
77
26.1%
Q4 - 5:09TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Bank Shot82
69.0%
77
31.0%
Q4 - 5:18TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
74.0%
77
26.0%
Q4 - 5:20TORMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot82
69.2%
77
30.8%
Q4 - 5:40TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
74.2%
77
25.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot82
72.2%
77
27.8%
Q4 - 6:04TORCarter Layup (5 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)82
61.8%
77
38.2%
Q4 - 6:09TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
55.7%
77
44.3%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot80
53.1%
77
46.9%
Q4 - 6:32TORPalacio Foul Turnover (P2.T12)80
47.2%
77
52.8%
Q4 - 6:33TORPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
55.8%
77
44.2%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot80
53.2%
77
46.8%
Q4 - 6:38MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
47.2%
77
52.8%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Haslem Layup80
53.3%
77
46.7%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
47.2%
77
52.8%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
53.3%
77
46.7%
Q4 - 7:02TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
44.8%
77
55.2%
Q4 - 7:02TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 279
43.0%
77
57.0%
Q4 - 7:16MIADooling 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)79
45.8%
77
54.2%
Q4 - 7:38TORPalacio 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)79
51.9%
75
48.1%
Q4 - 8:01MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Bank Shot (32 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)77
43.9%
75
56.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)77
50.2%
73
49.8%
Q4 - 8:22TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 277
51.1%
73
48.9%
Q4 - 8:22TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
54.8%
73
45.2%
Q4 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)76
50.4%
73
49.6%
Q4 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)76
53.1%
72
46.9%
Q4 - 8:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)76
56.6%
71
43.4%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot76
61.0%
71
39.0%
Q4 - 8:47TORMarshall Layup (12 PTS)76
56.7%
71
43.3%
Q4 - 8:49TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
50.4%
71
49.6%
Q4 - 8:51TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot74
45.9%
71
54.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)74
48.4%
71
51.6%
Q4 - 9:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)74
50.9%
70
49.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)74
54.1%
69
45.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot74
58.4%
69
41.6%
Q4 - 9:26TORMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
54.2%
69
45.8%
Q4 - 9:26TORMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
52.8%
69
47.2%
Q4 - 9:28TORMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
48.5%
69
51.5%
Q4 - 9:30TORMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot72
44.1%
69
55.9%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Driving Dunk (17 PTS)72
48.5%
69
51.5%
Q4 - 10:05TORMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
52.3%
67
47.7%
Q4 - 10:05TORMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q4 - 10:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)70
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot70
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q4 - 10:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)70
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q4 - 10:37TORMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
42.9%
67
57.1%
Q4 - 10:53TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot70
45.3%
67
54.7%
Q4 - 11:14TORPeterson 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)70
40.7%
67
59.3%
Q4 - 11:18TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
35.8%
67
64.2%
Q4 - 11:21TORMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot68
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q4 - 11:48MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)68
35.8%
67
64.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR68
40.7%
65
59.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)68
44.6%
65
55.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0TORPalacio Foul Turnover (P1.T11)68
49.8%
63
50.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
54.9%
63
45.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)68
51.4%
63
48.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORRaptors Rebound68
55.0%
63
45.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORMISS Marshall 9' Running Jump Shot68
51.5%
63
48.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)68
55.1%
63
44.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0TORMISS Bonner 15' Jump Shot68
51.5%
63
48.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
53.0%
63
47.0%
Q3 - 1:18TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
57.7%
61
42.3%
Q3 - 1:18TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
57.0%
61
43.0%
Q3 - 1:32TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
53.1%
61
46.9%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 266
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q3 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
49.1%
61
50.9%
Q3 - 1:49TORRose Driving Layup (17 PTS)66
53.0%
60
47.0%
Q3 - 2:08TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 2:09MIAHEAT Rebound64
41.4%
60
58.6%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 264
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 264
42.8%
60
57.2%
Q3 - 2:27TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)64
41.4%
60
58.6%
Q3 - 2:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)61
33.2%
60
66.8%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 261
34.9%
59
65.1%
Q3 - 3:07TORAlston Foul Turnover (P2.T10)61
32.6%
59
67.4%
Q3 - 3:14TORRaptors Rebound61
36.9%
59
63.1%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot61
35.6%
59
64.4%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
32.6%
59
67.4%
Q3 - 3:25TORMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 3:29TORRaptors Rebound61
36.9%
59
63.1%
Q3 - 3:30TORO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)61
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 3:37TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
36.9%
59
63.1%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot61
35.6%
59
64.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
32.6%
59
67.4%
Q3 - 3:46TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot61
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 3:58TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
36.9%
59
63.1%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot61
35.6%
59
64.4%
Q3 - 4:11TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
31.5%
59
68.5%
Q3 - 4:29MIAAnderson Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)59
28.5%
59
71.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)59
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q3 - 4:50TORMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 259
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 4:50TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
35.0%
57
65.0%
Q3 - 5:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q3 - 5:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 5:17TORBosh Dunk (8 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)58
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 5:25TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
31.6%
55
68.4%
Q3 - 5:27TORMISS Alston Driving Layup56
29.0%
55
71.0%
Q3 - 5:37TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
31.6%
55
68.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 256
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
31.3%
54
68.7%
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot56
32.5%
54
67.5%
Q3 - 5:51TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
35.4%
54
64.6%
Q3 - 5:53TORMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot56
32.5%
54
67.5%
Q3 - 6:14TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
34.5%
54
65.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Person 18' Jump Shot56
33.3%
54
66.7%
Q3 - 6:35TORAlston 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)56
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q3 - 6:47TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
27.7%
54
72.3%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot54
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q3 - 7:10TORMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)54
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Driving Dunk (25 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)51
19.2%
54
80.8%
Q3 - 7:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 7:36TORMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot51
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q3 - 7:54MIAHaslem 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)51
24.4%
52
75.6%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound51
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot51
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q3 - 8:21TORCarter Foul Turnover (P2.T9)51
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 8:29MIAJones Foul Turnover (P5.T13)51
30.3%
50
69.7%
Q3 - 8:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 8:41TORMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot51
27.8%
50
72.2%
Q3 - 8:50TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
30.3%
50
69.7%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot51
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q3 - 9:01MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q3 - 9:04TORMISS Woods 16' Jump Shot51
27.1%
50
72.9%
Q3 - 9:17TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot51
28.3%
50
71.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)51
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q3 - 9:29TORMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot51
27.1%
50
72.9%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
29.3%
50
70.7%
Q3 - 10:03TORRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)48
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAHEAT Rebound48
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q3 - 10:38TORMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot48
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q3 - 10:56MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
31.7%
46
68.3%
Q3 - 11:12TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)48
33.7%
44
66.3%
Q3 - 11:12TORRaptors Rebound48
37.0%
44
63.0%
Q3 - 11:13TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)48
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q3 - 11:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
37.0%
44
63.0%
Q3 - 11:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
37.7%
43
62.3%
Q3 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
40.1%
42
59.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot48
42.6%
42
57.4%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
40.1%
42
59.9%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Person 11' Jump Shot48
42.6%
42
57.4%
Q3 - 11:47TORPerson STEAL (3 STL)48
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
43.7%
42
56.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)48
39.9%
42
60.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIALaettner Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)45
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0TORMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot45
37.4%
40
62.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS)45
39.0%
40
61.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)45
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot45
44.7%
38
55.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 245
43.4%
38
56.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
45.9%
38
54.1%
Q2 - 1:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)44
41.3%
38
58.7%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 244
42.7%
37
57.3%
Q2 - 1:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot44
43.9%
37
56.1%
Q2 - 1:16TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 1:26MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P3.T12)44
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 1:38TORAraujo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 1:38TORAraujo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
41.7%
37
58.3%
Q2 - 1:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)42
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 1:55MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS) (Person 1 AST)42
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 2:09TORAraujo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
44.3%
34
55.7%
Q2 - 2:09TORAraujo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
43.3%
34
56.7%
Q2 - 2:22MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)40
41.1%
34
58.9%
Q2 - 2:42TORAlston Running Layup (6 PTS)40
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 2:46MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)38
35.2%
34
64.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 2:54TORMISS Alston Driving Layup38
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 3:02TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot38
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 3:15MIAHEAT Rebound38
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot38
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 3:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 3:28TORMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot38
32.4%
34
67.6%
Q2 - 3:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
34.5%
34
65.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
35.7%
33
64.3%
Q2 - 3:52TORRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)38
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 3:52TORRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)37
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 4:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot34
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 4:36MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 4:38TORMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 234
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 4:38TORMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
32.9%
30
67.1%
Q2 - 4:53MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 4:53MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
31.3%
29
68.7%
Q2 - 5:05TORBonner 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Palacio 3 AST)33
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q2 - 5:21MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS)31
30.6%
28
69.4%
Q2 - 5:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 5:38TORBonner Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 5:56MIAO'Neal Dunk (9 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)31
35.6%
26
64.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q2 - 6:06TORMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q2 - 6:18TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
40.3%
24
59.7%
Q2 - 6:20TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot31
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q2 - 6:37MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
40.3%
24
59.7%
Q2 - 7:00TORMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)31
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q2 - 7:05TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Laettner Driving Layup28
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q2 - 7:27MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
34.2%
22
65.8%
Q2 - 7:29TORMISS Palacio Free Throw 2 of 228
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q2 - 7:29TORPalacio Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q2 - 7:50MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)27
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q2 - 8:08TORBonner Layup (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)27
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q2 - 8:14MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)25
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q2 - 8:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q2 - 8:29TORMISS Marshall 5' Hook Shot25
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 8:42TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q2 - 8:44TORMISS Bonner 19' Jump Shot25
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 8:51TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q2 - 9:02TORMISS Murray 7' Running Hook Shot25
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q2 - 9:18MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)25
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q2 - 9:25MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup25
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q2 - 9:46TORPeterson Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q2 - 10:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 223
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q2 - 10:16TORMarshall Dunk (2 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)23
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)21
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q2 - 10:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q2 - 10:43TORMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot21
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q2 - 10:58MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q2 - 11:18MIAHEAT Rebound21
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q2 - 11:19TORMISS Marshall 20' Jump Shot21
28.8%
17
71.2%
Q2 - 11:27TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
30.2%
17
69.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot21
29.6%
17
70.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q2 - 11:47TORMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0TORRose Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 219
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot19
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 1:08TORMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot19
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 1:44TORBosh 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)19
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 2:00MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 2:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 2:09TORMISS Woods 18' Jump Shot17
30.3%
12
69.7%
Q1 - 2:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
31.6%
12
68.4%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 2:56TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 3:03TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.0%
10
65.0%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Person 3PT Jump Shot17
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 3:22TORBosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 3:31TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot15
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 3:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 3:46TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 3:52TORCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot15
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot15
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 4:17TORBosh 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)15
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)13
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 4:40MIAPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 4:42TORMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot13
25.5%
10
74.5%
Q1 - 4:52TORRaptors Rebound13
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 4:53TORMISS Rose Driving Layup13
25.5%
10
74.5%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)13
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 5:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 5:05TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)13
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 5:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 5:34TORMISS Woods 10' Turnaround Jump Shot13
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)13
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 6:04TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 6:04TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 6:07MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)11
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 6:27TORAlston 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 6:36MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 7:00TORWoods 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 7:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Person 20' Jump Shot7
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 7:27TORPerson STEAL (2 STL)7
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 7:34TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot7
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 7:55TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 7:55TORCarter 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 8:04TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot4
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 8:23TORPerson STEAL (1 STL)4
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 8:37TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot4
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:06TORAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 9:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 9:25TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot2
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 9:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot2
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 9:48MIAHEAT Rebound2
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup2
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 10:07TORCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 10:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 10:28TORRose Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 10:44MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:55TORMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot0
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 11:10MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 11:40TORMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 11:40MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Bosh: Tip to Wade0
19.2%
0
80.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.95 47.5%
MIA
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
20
70%
MIA
17
26
65%
Midrange
TOR
11
39
28%
MIA
14
39
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
TOR
23
31
74%
MIA
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose2455%12.0 / 22
D. Marshall1657%8.0 / 14
C. Bosh1246%6.0 / 13
R. Alston1146%5.5 / 12
M. Peterson770%3.5 / 5
L. Murray650%3.0 / 6
V. Carter525%2.5 / 10
M. Bonner440%2.0 / 5
R. Araujo4100%2.0 / 2
M. Palacio375%1.5 / 2
L. Woods217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3477%17.0 / 22
D. Wade2255%11.0 / 20
U. Haslem1644%8.0 / 18
C. Laettner643%3.0 / 7
W. Person321%1.5 / 7
D. Jones325%1.5 / 6
E. Jones220%1.0 / 5
S. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
M. Doleac233%1.0 / 3
K. Dooling250%1.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
81
+18
-13
99
MIA
78
+20
-14
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.95 47.5%
MIA
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
106.6
TOR 100.0
MIA 100.0
Pace
95.7
93.9
TOR 94.5 +3.0
MIA 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
TOR 15.2 +0.5
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
52.4%
TOR 44.4%
MIA 44.4%
TO %
13.1%
14.0%
TOR 13.0% +0.1%
MIA 13.1%
ORB %
23.7%
27.0%
TOR 27.7%
MIA 34.1% +6.4%
FTrt
31.6
38.7
TOR 38.8 +2.5
MIA 36.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
57.8%
TOR 50.0%
MIA 52.9% +2.9%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
TOR 7.4% +2.0%
MIA 5.4%
BLK %
5.8%
8.7%
TOR 6.2% +1.1%
MIA 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.1%
52.7%
TOR 47.5% +0.6%
MIA 46.9%
Rim FG%
54.1%
63.0%
TOR 70.0% +4.6%
MIA 65.4%
Mid FG%
40.7%
41.0%
TOR 28.2%
MIA 35.9% +7.7%
3P %
38.5%
37.7%
TOR 33.3% +13.3%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
77.4%
67.2%
TOR 74.2% +1.8%
MIA 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
37.6%
TOR 25.0%
MIA 32.5% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
42.6%
TOR 48.8%
MIA 48.8%
3P Att. %
25.3%
19.8%
TOR 26.3% +7.5%
MIA 18.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9492
Rebounds4249
Assists1618
Steals75
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals32-8034-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2017-26
Midrange FG11-3914-39
2-Point FG25-5931-65
3-Point FG7-213-15
Free Throws23-3121-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 21
37.9
12
46%
10
2
1
0
3
3
1
9
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
36.3
11
46%
7
4
2
0
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'8" 215 · 32
33.3
24
55%
3
0
2
0
2
1
2
1
10-12
83%
4-11
36%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 220 · 28
27.1
5
25%
1
4
0
2
2
4
0
1
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
19.6
2
17%
5
0
0
2
1
4
1
4
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
24.9
16
57%
8
1
0
0
0
3
5
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 27
18.8
7
70%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 27
16.8
3
75%
1
3
1
0
2
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 32
11.9
6
50%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25
9.8
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
3.5
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 260 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
48%
42
16
7
4
13
0
13
29
23-31
74%
25-59
42%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.