| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116.3 | 80 | 81.3 | |
| 86.7 | 83 | 82.3 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | HOU |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DET | 93 | 72 | |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 93 | 72 |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | HOU | MISS Barrett 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 | 72 |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 93 | 72 |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | HOU | MISS Barrett Driving Layup | 93 | 72 |
| Q4 - 0:38.0 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 93 | 72 |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | DET | MISS Ham Layup | 93 | 72 |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | HOU | Yao Layup (19 PTS) | 93 | 72 |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 93 | 70 |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | HOU | MISS Sura Driving Layup | 93 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:13 | DET | Delfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 93 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:13 | DET | Delfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 92 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:13 | HOU | Sura P.FOUL (P5.PN) | 91 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:26 | HOU | Barrett Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20) | 91 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:39 | DET | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 91 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:39 | DET | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 90 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:39 | HOU | Barrett P.FOUL (P1.PN) | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:44 | HOU | Sura Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19) | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | DET | SUB: Parker FOR Wallace | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | DET | SUB: Delfino FOR Billups | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | DET | SUB: Ham FOR Hamilton | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | HOU | SUB: Barrett FOR Jackson | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | HOU | SUB: Nachbar FOR McGrady | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | DET | SUB: Milicic FOR McDyess | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | DET | Billups P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 1:59 | DET | Wallace 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST) | 89 | 70 |
| Q4 - 2:19 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 87 | 70 |
| Q4 - 2:21 | HOU | MISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 | 70 |
| Q4 - 2:41 | DET | Billups Layup (18 PTS) | 87 | 70 |
| Q4 - 2:44 | HOU | Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18) | 85 | 70 |
| Q4 - 2:58 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 85 | 70 |
| Q4 - 3:00 | DET | MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 | 70 |
| Q4 - 3:25 | HOU | Yao Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17) | 85 | 70 |
| Q4 - 3:40 | DET | Hamilton Layup (19 PTS) (Billups 8 AST) | 85 | 70 |
| Q4 - 3:41 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1) | 83 | 70 |
| Q4 - 3:59 | HOU | Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Yao 2 AST) | 83 | 70 |
| Q4 - 4:14 | DET | Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST) | 83 | 67 |
| Q4 - 4:31 | HOU | Padgett P.FOUL (P1.T4) | 80 | 67 |
| Q4 - 4:38 | HOU | Yao Layup (17 PTS) | 80 | 67 |
| Q4 - 4:39 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 4:41 | HOU | MISS Padgett 11' Jump Shot | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 4:52 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 4:53 | DET | MISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:01 | HOU | SUB: Padgett FOR Taylor | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:01 | HOU | Taylor P.FOUL (P6.T3) | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:05 | HOU | Sura Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16) | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:13 | DET | Hamilton 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 80 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:27 | HOU | Yao P.FOUL (P5.T2) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:27 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:29 | DET | MISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:55 | HOU | Jump Ball Yao vs. McDyess: Tip to Billups | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:55 | HOU | ROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 5:57 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 6:00 | DET | MISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 6:18 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 6:20 | HOU | MISS Taylor 8' Hook Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 6:38 | DET | Prince Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 6:39 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 6:40 | DET | MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:02 | HOU | Taylor Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:13 | HOU | ROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:27 | DET | Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST) | 78 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:29 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 75 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:31 | DET | MISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot | 75 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:34 | DET | SUB: Hamilton FOR Hunter | 75 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:34 | HOU | SUB: Yao FOR Padgett | 75 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:34 | HOU | SUB: Jackson FOR Lue | 75 | 65 |
| Q4 - 7:34 | 75 | 65 | ||
| Q4 - 7:45 | HOU | McGrady 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 75 | 65 |
| Q4 - 8:00 | DET | McDyess 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 75 | 63 |
| Q4 - 8:18 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 73 | 63 |
| Q4 - 8:20 | DET | MISS Billups 19' Jump Shot | 73 | 63 |
| Q4 - 8:44 | HOU | McGrady Driving Layup (14 PTS) | 73 | 63 |
| Q4 - 8:55 | HOU | McGrady Violation:Defensive Goaltending | 73 | 61 |
| Q4 - 8:55 | DET | Wallace Layup (8 PTS) | 73 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:10 | HOU | Lue Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14) | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:18 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:20 | DET | MISS Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:38 | HOU | SUB: McGrady FOR Jackson | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:38 | HOU | Taylor L.B.FOUL (P5.T1) | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:38 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:38 | HOU | MISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:43 | HOU | Sura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 9:45 | HOU | MISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 10:07 | HOU | SUB: Taylor FOR Yao | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 10:07 | DET | SUB: McDyess FOR Campbell | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 10:07 | DET | SUB: Billups FOR Hamilton | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 10:07 | DET | Hamilton P.FOUL (P3.T2) | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 10:08 | DET | Sura STEAL (2 STL) | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 10:28 | HOU | Sura 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST) | 71 | 61 |
| Q4 - 10:47 | DET | Prince 7' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) | 71 | 59 |
| Q4 - 11:04 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 69 | 59 |
| Q4 - 11:06 | HOU | MISS Yao 18' Jump Shot | 69 | 59 |
| Q4 - 11:15 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 69 | 59 |
| Q4 - 11:16 | DET | MISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 59 |
| Q4 - 11:31 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 69 | 59 |
| Q4 - 11:33 | HOU | MISS Lue 18' Jump Shot | 69 | 59 |
| Q4 - 11:48 | DET | Hunter P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 69 | 59 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 69 | 59 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 69 | 59 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 69 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | HOU | MISS McGrady 36' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 69 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DET | SUB: Parker FOR Campbell | 68 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DET | SUB: Hunter FOR Billups | 68 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DET | SUB: Prince FOR Delfino | 68 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 68 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | HOU | Yao S.FOUL (P4.PN) | 67 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:23.0 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 67 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | DET | MISS Campbell 16' Jump Shot | 67 | 59 |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | HOU | Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST) | 67 | 59 |
| Q3 - 1:07 | DET | Campbell 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 7 AST) | 67 | 56 |
| Q3 - 1:10 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 65 | 56 |
| Q3 - 1:11 | DET | MISS Delfino 21' Jump Shot | 65 | 56 |
| Q3 - 1:29 | HOU | McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 65 | 56 |
| Q3 - 1:29 | HOU | McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 65 | 55 |
| Q3 - 1:29 | DET | Hamilton P.FOUL (P2.PN) | 65 | 54 |
| Q3 - 1:42 | DET | Delfino Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 6 AST) | 65 | 54 |
| Q3 - 1:46 | HOU | Jackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13) | 63 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:03 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:03 | DET | MISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 | 63 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:03 | HOU | SUB: Padgett FOR Taylor | 63 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:03 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 63 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:03 | HOU | Taylor S.FOUL (P4.PN) | 62 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:21 | DET | Campbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 62 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | HOU | MISS Lue 17' Jump Shot | 62 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:35 | HOU | Lue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 62 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:37 | DET | MISS Campbell 10' Jump Shot | 62 | 54 |
| Q3 - 2:54 | HOU | Jackson 5' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS) | 62 | 54 |
| Q3 - 3:10 | DET | Ham Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 62 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:10 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:10 | DET | MISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 2 | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:10 | HOU | Yao L.B.FOUL (P3.PN) | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:10 | DET | Ham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:10 | HOU | MISS Yao 8' Hook Shot | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:31 | DET | SUB: Ham FOR Wallace | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:31 | HOU | ROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0) | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:32 | DET | Delfino 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST) | 61 | 52 |
| Q3 - 3:41 | HOU | Yao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12) | 59 | 52 |
| Q3 - 4:04 | DET | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 59 | 52 |
| Q3 - 4:04 | DET | SUB: Delfino FOR Prince | 58 | 52 |
| Q3 - 4:04 | HOU | SUB: Lue FOR Sura | 58 | 52 |
| Q3 - 4:04 | DET | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 58 | 52 |
| Q3 - 4:04 | HOU | Sura P.FOUL (P4.T4) | 57 | 52 |
| Q3 - 4:17 | HOU | McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 57 | 52 |
| Q3 - 4:17 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 4:17 | HOU | MISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 4:17 | DET | SUB: Campbell FOR McDyess | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 4:17 | DET | McDyess S.FOUL (P4.PN) | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 4:35 | DET | Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 5 AST) | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 4:41 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 54 | 51 |
| Q3 - 4:43 | DET | MISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot | 54 | 51 |
| Q3 - 5:05 | HOU | Yao 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Taylor 3 AST) | 54 | 51 |
| Q3 - 5:23 | HOU | Sura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 54 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:24 | DET | MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:35 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 54 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:36 | HOU | MISS Taylor 18' Jump Shot | 54 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:56 | DET | Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST) | 54 | 49 |
| Q3 - 6:14 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 51 | 49 |
| Q3 - 6:14 | HOU | MISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 2 | 51 | 49 |
| Q3 - 6:14 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 51 | 49 |
| Q3 - 6:14 | DET | McDyess S.FOUL (P3.T4) | 51 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:18 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 51 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:20 | DET | MISS McDyess 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 51 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:36 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 51 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:36 | DET | Hamilton S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 51 | 47 |
| Q3 - 6:36 | HOU | Taylor Layup (10 PTS) (Yao 1 AST) | 51 | 47 |
| Q3 - 6:39 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 51 | 45 |
| Q3 - 6:41 | HOU | MISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot | 51 | 45 |
| Q3 - 6:57 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 51 | 45 |
| Q3 - 6:59 | DET | MISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot | 51 | 45 |
| Q3 - 7:17 | HOU | Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Sura 5 AST) | 51 | 45 |
| Q3 - 7:36 | DET | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 51 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:36 | DET | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 50 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:36 | HOU | Taylor S.FOUL (P3.T3) | 49 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:50 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1) | 49 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:55 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 49 | 42 |
| Q3 - 7:55 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 7:55 | HOU | MISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 7:55 | DET | McDyess S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 7:56 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 7:59 | HOU | MISS Taylor 22' Jump Shot | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 8:19 | HOU | Sura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 8:19 | HOU | MISS Taylor Free Throw 1 of 1 | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 8:19 | DET | Wallace S.FOUL (P3.T1) | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 8:19 | HOU | Taylor 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 49 | 41 |
| Q3 - 8:39 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 8:41 | DET | MISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 8:50 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 8:52 | HOU | MISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 8:58 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 9:00 | DET | MISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 9:11 | HOU | Sura P.FOUL (P3.T2) | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 9:25 | HOU | Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST) | 49 | 39 |
| Q3 - 9:33 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 49 | 37 |
| Q3 - 9:35 | DET | MISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot | 49 | 37 |
| Q3 - 9:43 | HOU | Taylor Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11) | 49 | 37 |
| Q3 - 9:51 | DET | Prince 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST) | 49 | 37 |
| Q3 - 10:11 | HOU | McGrady 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 47 | 37 |
| Q3 - 10:23 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 47 | 35 |
| Q3 - 10:23 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 10:23 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 10:23 | HOU | Taylor S.FOUL (P2.T1) | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 10:40 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 10:42 | HOU | MISS Yao 8' Jump Shot | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 10:55 | DET | Yao STEAL (1 STL) | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 11:04 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 11:06 | DET | MISS Billups Driving Layup | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 11:28 | HOU | Taylor 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST) | 46 | 35 |
| Q3 - 11:44 | DET | Prince 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST) | 46 | 33 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 44 | 33 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DET | 44 | 33 | |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 44 | 33 |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | DET | MISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot | 44 | 33 |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | DET | SUB: Delfino FOR Campbell | 44 | 33 |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1) | 44 | 33 |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 44 | 33 |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | DET | McGrady BLOCK (2 BLK) | 44 | 33 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 44 | 33 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | HOU | SUB: Padgett FOR Yao | 44 | 32 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | DET | SUB: Campbell FOR Wallace | 44 | 32 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | HOU | Taylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 44 | 32 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | DET | Wallace S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 44 | 31 |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | DET | Billups Dunk (6 PTS) | 44 | 31 |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | HOU | Sura Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 42 | 31 |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | DET | Hamilton 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 42 | 31 |
| Q2 - 1:12 | HOU | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 40 | 31 |
| Q2 - 1:12 | HOU | Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 40 | 30 |
| Q2 - 1:12 | DET | Wallace S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:22 | HOU | Sura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:24 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:24 | DET | MISS Hamilton Layup | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:27 | DET | McGrady BLOCK (1 BLK) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:33 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:34 | HOU | MISS Jackson 8' Running Jump Shot | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:43 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:45 | DET | MISS McDyess Layup | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:46 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:49 | DET | MISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:55 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 1:57 | HOU | MISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 2:14 | DET | Hamilton Layup (10 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 40 | 29 |
| Q2 - 2:35 | HOU | Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST) | 38 | 29 |
| Q2 - 2:41 | DET | Sura STEAL (1 STL) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 2:52 | HOU | MISS Taylor 13' Jump Shot | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 3:13 | DET | McDyess Traveling Turnover (P2.T4) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 3:31 | HOU | Taylor Layup (2 PTS) (Sura 4 AST) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 3:47 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 3:48 | DET | MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 3:51 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 3:53 | DET | MISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 3:58 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 3:58 | DET | SUB: Prince FOR Delfino | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 3:58 | DET | SUB: Wallace FOR Campbell | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 3:58 | HOU | Taylor P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 4:13 | HOU | McGrady Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 38 | 24 |
| Q2 - 4:32 | DET | Hamilton 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST) | 38 | 22 |
| Q2 - 4:36 | HOU | Yao P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 36 | 22 |
| Q2 - 4:52 | DET | Delfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 36 | 22 |
| Q2 - 4:54 | HOU | MISS Yao 10' Jump Shot | 36 | 22 |
| Q2 - 5:12 | DET | Campbell 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST) | 36 | 22 |
| Q2 - 5:23 | HOU | SUB: Jackson FOR Nachbar | 34 | 22 |
| Q2 - 5:23 | 34 | 22 | ||
| Q2 - 5:23 | HOU | Nachbar P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 34 | 22 |
| Q2 - 5:34 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 34 | 22 |
| Q2 - 5:36 | DET | MISS Campbell Layup | 34 | 22 |
| Q2 - 5:58 | HOU | Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 34 | 22 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | DET | SUB: Hamilton FOR Hunter | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | HOU | SUB: Sura FOR Lue | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | DET | SUB: Campbell FOR Milicic | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | HOU | SUB: Taylor FOR Padgett | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | DET | Milicic P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:17 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:19 | DET | MISS Milicic 20' Jump Shot | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:39 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 6:41 | HOU | MISS Nachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:04 | DET | Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST) | 34 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:11 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:12 | DET | MISS Billups 17' Jump Shot | 31 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | HOU | ROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 31 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 31 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | HOU | MISS Yao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 31 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:37 | DET | Milicic P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 31 | 20 |
| Q2 - 7:56 | DET | Billups 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 31 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:08 | HOU | Lue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:08 | HOU | SUB: Yao FOR Mutombo | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:08 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:10 | HOU | MISS McGrady Layup | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:25 | HOU | Nachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:26 | DET | MISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:45 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 8:47 | HOU | MISS Lue 7' Running Jump Shot | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:01 | DET | SUB: Milicic FOR Campbell | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:01 | DET | SUB: Billups FOR Hamilton | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:01 | HOU | SUB: Lue FOR Sura | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:01 | HOU | SUB: McGrady FOR Jackson | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:01 | HOU | ROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:10 | DET | McDyess 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Campbell 2 AST) | 29 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:22 | DET | Campbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 27 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:24 | HOU | MISS Padgett 21' Jump Shot | 27 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:42 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 27 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:44 | DET | MISS McDyess 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 27 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:53 | DET | Delfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 | 20 |
| Q2 - 9:55 | HOU | MISS Padgett 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 27 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:20 | DET | Hamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 27 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:25 | HOU | Sura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 25 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:32 | HOU | Mutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:34 | HOU | MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot | 25 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:50 | DET | SUB: McDyess FOR Wallace | 25 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:50 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 25 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:52 | DET | MISS Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 25 | 20 |
| Q2 - 11:12 | HOU | Padgett Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Sura 3 AST) | 25 | 20 |
| Q2 - 11:17 | HOU | Sura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 | 18 |
| Q2 - 11:19 | DET | MISS Hamilton 7' Jump Bank Shot | 25 | 18 |
| Q2 - 11:31 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 | 18 |
| Q2 - 11:33 | HOU | MISS Mutombo 8' Hook Shot | 25 | 18 |
| Q2 - 11:44 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 25 | 18 |
| Q2 - 11:46 | DET | Padgett BLOCK (1 BLK) | 25 | 18 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 25 | 18 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 25 | 18 | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | DET | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 25 | 18 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | DET | SUB: Ham FOR Campbell | 24 | 18 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | DET | SUB: Hunter FOR Hamilton | 24 | 18 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | DET | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 24 | 18 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | HOU | Sura P.FOUL (P2.PN) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 0:11.0 | HOU | Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sura 2 AST) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | HOU | MISS Sura Layup | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 0:33.0 | DET | Jackson STEAL (1 STL) | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | DET | Campbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | DET | Mutombo BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 0:51.0 | HOU | Mutombo Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 0:51.0 | HOU | Mutombo OFF.Foul (P1) | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 1:04 | DET | Hamilton 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST) | 23 | 15 |
| Q1 - 1:13 | HOU | Jackson P.FOUL (P1.T4) | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 1:25 | HOU | SUB: Mutombo FOR Yao | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 1:29 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | HOU | MISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 1:43 | DET | Prince 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 2:02 | HOU | Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sura 1 AST) | 19 | 15 |
| Q1 - 2:10 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:12 | DET | MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:14 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:17 | DET | MISS Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:27 | HOU | Sura P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:43 | DET | Campbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:45 | DET | MISS Wallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:54 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 2:56 | HOU | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:12 | DET | Prince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:20 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:35 | HOU | McGrady 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:42 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 | 11 |
| Q1 - 3:44 | DET | MISS Billups 19' Jump Shot | 19 | 11 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | HOU | McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 19 | 11 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 19 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | HOU | MISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 | 19 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | DET | SUB: Campbell FOR McDyess | 19 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | HOU | SUB: Sura FOR Lue | 19 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | HOU | SUB: Padgett FOR Taylor | 19 | 10 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | DET | Prince S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 19 | 10 |
| Q1 - 4:13 | DET | McDyess 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST) | 19 | 10 |
| Q1 - 4:30 | HOU | McGrady 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST) | 17 | 10 |
| Q1 - 4:45 | DET | Hamilton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 17 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:47 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:49 | DET | MISS Billups 21' Jump Shot | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 4:54 | HOU | Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 5:07 | DET | McDyess Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 5:29 | HOU | Yao Layup (6 PTS) | 15 | 8 |
| Q1 - 5:30 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 15 | 6 |
| Q1 - 5:32 | HOU | MISS Yao Layup | 15 | 6 |
| Q1 - 5:48 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 15 | 6 |
| Q1 - 5:48 | DET | MISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 | 15 | 6 |
| Q1 - 5:48 | DET | McDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 15 | 6 |
| Q1 - 5:48 | HOU | Yao S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 14 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:07 | HOU | Yao Driving Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST) | 14 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:17 | HOU | ROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 14 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:25 | DET | Wallace 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 14 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:44 | HOU | McGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 12 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:55 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 | 4 |
| Q1 - 6:57 | DET | MISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot | 12 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:12 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:14 | HOU | MISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot | 12 | 4 |
| Q1 - 7:39 | DET | McDyess Dunk (12 PTS) (Billups 3 AST) | 12 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:04 | HOU | Yao 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST) | 10 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:22 | DET | McDyess Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST) | 10 | 2 |
| Q1 - 8:42 | HOU | Jackson Layup (2 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST) | 8 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:04 | DET | McDyess 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST) | 8 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:14 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:16 | HOU | MISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:37 | HOU | Yao Violation:Defensive Goaltending | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:37 | DET | McDyess Layup (6 PTS) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:43 | HOU | Taylor Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:51 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:51 | HOU | MISS Jackson Free Throw Technical | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:51 | DET | McDyess T.FOUL (P1.T1) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 9:51 | DET | McDyess P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:01 | DET | McDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:11 | HOU | Lue P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:30 | HOU | McGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:49 | DET | McDyess 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:09 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:11 | HOU | MISS Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:25 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:26 | DET | MISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:41 | HOU | Taylor Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | HOU | Jump Ball Yao vs. Wallace: Tip to Lue | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | HOU |
Score / WinProb | ||||
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hamilton | 19 | 48% | 9.5 / 20 | |
| A. McDyess | 19 | 56% | 9.5 / 17 | |
| C. Billups | 18 | 53% | 9.0 / 17 | |
| T. Prince | 11 | 92% | 5.5 / 6 | |
| R. Wallace | 10 | 36% | 5.0 / 14 | |
| C. Delfino | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| E. Campbell | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| S. Parker | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| D. Ham | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 | |
| L. Hunter | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| D. Milicic | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson | 21 | 88% | 10.5 / 12 | |
| Yao | 19 | 56% | 9.5 / 17 | |
| T. McGrady | 16 | 53% | 8.0 / 15 | |
| M. Taylor | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| B. Sura | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| S. Padgett | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| T. Lue | 0 | - | 0.0 / 5 | |
| B. Nachbar | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| D. Mutombo | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| A. Barrett | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.0 103.1 | DET 116.3 +29.5 HOU 86.7 |
| Pace | 89.5 91.5 | DET 81.3 HOU 82.3 +1.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 16.0 | DET 17.7 HOU 17.5 −0.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.2% 48.6% | DET 47.5% +0.6% HOU 46.9% |
| TO % | 14.4% 14.2% | DET 8.2% −13.4% HOU 21.6% |
| ORB % | 31.3% 26.4% | DET 37.5% +8.1% HOU 29.4% |
| FTrt | 33.5 30.9 | DET 24.7 HOU 26.2 +1.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 62.7% 60.9% | DET 63.9% HOU 64.3% +0.4% |
| STL % | 7.8% 7.5% | DET 13.8% +9.0% HOU 4.8% |
| BLK % | 9.4% 7.4% | DET 11.8% +5.8% HOU 6.0% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 49.3% 50.6% | DET 50.0% +3.2% HOU 46.8% |
| Rim FG% | 55.5% 57.3% | DET 62.5% HOU 68.8% +6.3% |
| Mid FG% | 39.7% 40.5% | DET 41.2% +6.9% HOU 34.3% |
| 3P % | 34.5% 36.4% | DET 35.7% HOU 35.7% |
| FT % | 73.9% 78.1% | DET 80.0% +15.3% HOU 64.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.1% 28.5% | DET 19.8% HOU 24.6% +4.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 48.5% 47.8% | DET 63.0% HOU 53.8% −9.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 16.4% 23.7% | DET 17.3% HOU 21.5% +4.3% |
| Game Totals | DET | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 80 | 83 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.6 | 24.2 |
| Points | 93 | 72 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 35 |
| Assists | 23 | 18 |
| Steals | 11 | 4 |
| Blocks | 6 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 8 (0) | 19 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 15 (5) | 10 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) |
| Field Goals | 36-81 | 28-65 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 10-16 | 11-16 |
| Midrange FG | 21-51 | 12-35 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-67 | 23-51 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-14 | 5-14 |
| Free Throws | 16-20 | 11-17 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.