FinalWin Prob.pScore
248%95
107
552%96
89
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
109.29895.9
DAL logo DAL
91.89799.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL107
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASHorry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)107
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 2105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALMbenga Foul Turnover (P1.T22)104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DALMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05SASMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALDickau Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALDickau Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Dickau Free Throw 1 of 3104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29SASWilks 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53DALDickau 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)102
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22DALHenderson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)102
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09SASMISS Bowen 23' Jump Shot98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34DALMISS Stackhouse Layup98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 3:37DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47SASBrown Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)98
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 3:49DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)96
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 4:08SASDuncan Layup (20 PTS)96
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)94
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 4:12SASMISS Udrih Reverse Layup94
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 4:31DALHoward 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)94
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 4:48SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)94
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 4:48SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)93
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 4:48DALNowitzki Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)92
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 4:49DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 4:51SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot92
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 5:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)92
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 5:10SASMISS Duncan Layup92
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 5:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 5:14SASMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot92
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 5:35DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 5:35DALStackhouse Tip Shot (6 PTS)92
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 5:38DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 5:43DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 5:45SASMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot92
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 5:58SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 6:00DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot92
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 6:21SASDuncan Dunk (18 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)92
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 6:41DALDaniels Layup (15 PTS)90
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 6:43DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 6:43DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 290
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 6:43DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 6:53SASBrown 8' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)90
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 7:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 7:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q4 - 7:06DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 7:07DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot88
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 7:20SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)88
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 7:20SASBrown Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)87
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 7:24DALDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)85
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q4 - 7:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 7:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)84
97.3%
71
2.7%
Q4 - 7:42SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
96.9%
71
3.1%
Q4 - 7:44DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot83
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q4 - 7:57SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q4 - 7:57SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 8:01SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 8:03DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot81
92.7%
71
7.3%
Q4 - 8:21SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)81
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q4 - 8:25SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
89.3%
71
10.7%
Q4 - 8:26SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot79
87.5%
71
12.5%
Q4 - 8:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
89.4%
71
10.6%
Q4 - 8:48DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot79
88.6%
71
11.4%
Q4 - 9:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)79
85.1%
71
14.9%
Q4 - 9:11SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 279
85.6%
71
14.4%
Q4 - 9:11SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
87.3%
71
12.7%
Q4 - 9:23SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
85.3%
71
14.7%
Q4 - 9:25SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
83.0%
71
17.0%
Q4 - 9:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
85.4%
71
14.6%
Q4 - 9:52DALDampier Tip Shot (6 PTS)78
85.4%
71
14.6%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot78
89.7%
69
10.3%
Q4 - 10:05SASUdrih Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)78
86.5%
69
13.5%
Q4 - 10:18DALTerry 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)78
89.2%
69
10.8%
Q4 - 10:29SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)78
91.1%
67
8.9%
Q4 - 10:46DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
89.2%
67
10.8%
Q4 - 10:46DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
89.6%
66
10.4%
Q4 - 11:00SASBarry Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)76
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q4 - 11:06SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
88.0%
65
12.0%
Q4 - 11:07DALMISS Howard Layup74
87.3%
65
12.7%
Q4 - 11:21SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)74
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 11:21SASBrown Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)73
82.5%
65
17.5%
Q4 - 11:24DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)71
79.4%
65
20.6%
Q4 - 11:40SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
75.4%
65
24.6%
Q4 - 11:40SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
74.5%
65
25.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS69
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound69
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASBooth BLOCK (3 BLK)69
68.1%
65
31.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALTerry Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)69
70.3%
65
29.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)69
65.9%
65
34.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)69
67.3%
65
32.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
70.4%
65
29.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
70.9%
64
29.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound69
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot69
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q3 - 1:01SASRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)69
73.3%
63
26.7%
Q3 - 1:18DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q3 - 1:18DALHoward 5' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)69
80.3%
62
19.7%
Q3 - 1:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)69
83.2%
60
16.8%
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot69
84.0%
60
16.0%
Q3 - 2:00DALNowitzki Driving Layup (17 PTS)69
85.9%
60
14.1%
Q3 - 2:19SASHorry Reverse Layup (2 PTS)69
86.6%
58
13.4%
Q3 - 2:32DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
84.6%
58
15.4%
Q3 - 2:32DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
85.1%
57
14.9%
Q3 - 2:32DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
86.6%
56
13.4%
Q3 - 2:32SASMISS Brown 9' Running Jump Shot67
87.3%
56
12.7%
Q3 - 2:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 2:54DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 3:16SASRose Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)67
85.9%
56
14.1%
Q3 - 3:34DALTerry 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
83.7%
56
16.3%
Q3 - 3:53SASBrown 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 4 AST)65
85.9%
54
14.1%
Q3 - 4:08SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
82.8%
54
17.2%
Q3 - 4:08DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 263
82.4%
54
17.6%
Q3 - 4:08DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 263
80.8%
54
19.2%
Q3 - 4:18DALBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
79.8%
54
20.2%
Q3 - 4:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
82.8%
54
17.2%
Q3 - 4:20SASMISS Duncan Layup63
80.8%
54
19.2%
Q3 - 4:22SASMISS Bowen Driving Layup63
80.8%
54
19.2%
Q3 - 4:42DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)63
82.9%
54
17.1%
Q3 - 4:51DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
79.9%
54
20.1%
Q3 - 4:53SASBooth BLOCK (2 BLK)63
80.8%
54
19.2%
Q3 - 5:15DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
81.9%
54
18.1%
Q3 - 5:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
86.2%
51
13.8%
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 263
86.5%
51
13.5%
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 263
87.5%
51
12.5%
Q3 - 5:36DALBooth Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)63
88.2%
51
11.8%
Q3 - 5:36DALMISS Booth Free Throw 1 of 263
88.5%
50
11.5%
Q3 - 5:36DALBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
88.1%
50
11.9%
Q3 - 5:38DALMISS Stackhouse 7' Jump Shot63
89.3%
50
10.7%
Q3 - 5:53SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T7)63
88.1%
50
11.9%
Q3 - 6:12DALHoward Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)63
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 6:29SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)63
90.3%
48
9.7%
Q3 - 6:29SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)62
88.8%
48
11.2%
Q3 - 6:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
87.3%
48
12.7%
Q3 - 6:32DALMISS Stackhouse 6' Jump Shot60
86.7%
48
13.3%
Q3 - 6:57SASGinobili 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS)60
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 7:15DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)58
82.3%
48
17.7%
Q3 - 7:15DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
82.6%
47
17.4%
Q3 - 7:20DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
84.2%
46
15.8%
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
84.9%
46
15.1%
Q3 - 7:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
86.4%
46
13.6%
Q3 - 7:50DALMISS Daniels Reverse Layup58
85.8%
46
14.2%
Q3 - 8:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
83.7%
46
16.3%
Q3 - 8:16SASBooth BLOCK (1 BLK)58
84.4%
46
15.6%
Q3 - 8:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
85.9%
46
14.1%
Q3 - 8:38DALMISS Daniels 15' Jump Shot58
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q3 - 8:41DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
83.7%
46
16.3%
Q3 - 8:43SASStackhouse BLOCK (1 BLK)58
84.4%
46
15.6%
Q3 - 8:46SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
85.9%
46
14.1%
Q3 - 8:48DALMISS Booth Layup58
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q3 - 9:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
82.9%
46
17.1%
Q3 - 9:06SASMISS Parker Layup58
83.5%
46
16.5%
Q3 - 9:10DALDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)58
84.9%
46
15.1%
Q3 - 9:18SASDuncan Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)58
82.9%
46
17.1%
Q3 - 9:34DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
80.9%
46
19.1%
Q3 - 9:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
83.0%
44
17.0%
Q3 - 9:58SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 256
83.3%
44
16.7%
Q3 - 9:58SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
84.3%
44
15.7%
Q3 - 10:12DALDaniels Layup (12 PTS)55
82.4%
44
17.6%
Q3 - 10:13DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
84.1%
42
15.9%
Q3 - 10:15DALMISS Daniels Layup55
85.6%
42
14.4%
Q3 - 10:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
84.2%
42
15.8%
Q3 - 10:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
83.6%
42
16.4%
Q3 - 11:04DALDampier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)53
81.7%
42
18.3%
Q3 - 11:04SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)53
79.4%
42
20.6%
Q3 - 11:04DALDaniels 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
81.7%
42
18.3%
Q3 - 11:20SASNesterovic 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)53
83.6%
40
16.4%
Q3 - 11:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
81.7%
40
18.3%
Q3 - 11:37SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 251
79.8%
40
20.2%
Q3 - 11:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
81.3%
40
18.7%
Q3 - 11:40DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)50
79.6%
40
20.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL50
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound50
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Henderson 57' 3PT Jump Shot50
78.9%
40
21.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot50
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)50
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
76.7%
40
23.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 249
76.1%
40
23.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
76.0%
40
24.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALMISS Harris Layup49
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASNesterovic Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)49
74.2%
40
25.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
70.9%
40
29.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
71.5%
39
28.5%
Q2 - 1:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)47
73.8%
38
26.2%
Q2 - 1:03SASParker Reverse Layup (12 PTS)46
71.3%
38
28.7%
Q2 - 1:11SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
67.2%
38
32.8%
Q2 - 1:13DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot44
66.7%
38
33.3%
Q2 - 1:37SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)44
65.7%
38
34.3%
Q2 - 1:59DALDaniels 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)44
67.2%
38
32.8%
Q2 - 2:01DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
70.0%
36
30.0%
Q2 - 2:03DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot44
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q2 - 2:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
70.0%
36
30.0%
Q2 - 2:12SASMISS Ginobili 23' Jump Shot44
70.8%
36
29.2%
Q2 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
72.4%
36
27.6%
Q2 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
72.7%
35
27.3%
Q2 - 2:44DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
75.1%
34
24.9%
Q2 - 2:46SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot44
75.7%
34
24.3%
Q2 - 2:58SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)44
77.1%
34
22.9%
Q2 - 3:12DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS)43
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 3:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
76.1%
32
23.9%
Q2 - 3:28SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
76.8%
32
23.2%
Q2 - 3:53DALHoward Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)43
78.5%
32
21.5%
Q2 - 4:05DALMAVERICKS Rebound43
79.3%
30
20.7%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot43
79.9%
30
20.1%
Q2 - 4:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
81.2%
30
18.8%
Q2 - 4:31DALMISS Howard 10' Running Jump Shot43
80.6%
30
19.4%
Q2 - 4:46SASDuncan Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)43
79.4%
30
20.6%
Q2 - 5:12DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
77.0%
30
23.0%
Q2 - 5:29SASUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)41
78.8%
28
21.2%
Q2 - 5:52DALDaniels 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
75.0%
28
25.0%
Q2 - 5:56DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
76.9%
26
23.1%
Q2 - 5:59SASMISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot38
77.6%
26
22.4%
Q2 - 6:13DALDaniels Reverse Layup (4 PTS)38
78.5%
26
21.5%
Q2 - 6:23SASUdrih Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
79.9%
24
20.1%
Q2 - 6:28DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)36
78.5%
24
21.5%
Q2 - 6:35DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 6:37SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
76.9%
24
23.1%
Q2 - 6:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
78.5%
24
21.5%
Q2 - 6:57DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 236
78.2%
24
21.8%
Q2 - 6:57DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 236
77.2%
24
22.8%
Q2 - 7:08DALMAVERICKS Rebound36
75.4%
24
24.6%
Q2 - 7:09SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
76.0%
24
24.0%
Q2 - 7:28DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
77.5%
24
22.5%
Q2 - 7:28DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
77.9%
23
22.1%
Q2 - 7:43DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
79.1%
22
20.9%
Q2 - 7:45SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot36
79.7%
22
20.3%
Q2 - 8:04DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)36
80.4%
22
19.6%
Q2 - 8:26SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q2 - 8:38DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)34
80.5%
20
19.5%
Q2 - 8:46DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
78.6%
20
21.4%
Q2 - 8:49SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot34
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q2 - 9:00DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)34
80.5%
20
19.5%
Q2 - 9:16SASUdrih 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)34
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q2 - 9:36DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T8)32
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q2 - 9:53SASNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)32
74.2%
20
25.8%
Q2 - 10:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
72.0%
20
28.0%
Q2 - 10:03DALMISS Daniels 23' Jump Shot30
71.4%
20
28.6%
Q2 - 10:13DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
69.7%
20
30.3%
Q2 - 10:16SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
70.5%
20
29.5%
Q2 - 10:35DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)30
72.1%
20
27.9%
Q2 - 10:47SASBarry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)30
73.8%
18
26.2%
Q2 - 10:55DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)28
72.1%
18
27.9%
Q2 - 11:00SASStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)28
73.8%
16
26.2%
Q2 - 11:10DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)28
75.0%
16
25.0%
Q2 - 11:26SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
76.9%
14
23.1%
Q2 - 11:26SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q2 - 11:46DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)26
75.1%
14
24.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
73.3%
14
26.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASUdrih 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
73.3%
14
26.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
70.5%
14
29.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot24
70.0%
14
30.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
68.9%
14
31.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 224
69.2%
14
30.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
70.6%
14
29.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASSpurs Rebound23
68.5%
14
31.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot23
68.0%
14
32.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASTerry STEAL (1 STL)23
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)23
68.5%
14
31.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Shot23
67.4%
14
32.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALHenderson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)23
68.5%
14
31.5%
Q1 - 1:01SASParker Layup (10 PTS)23
70.8%
12
29.2%
Q1 - 1:18DALNowitzki Driving Layup (8 PTS)21
68.4%
12
31.6%
Q1 - 1:34SASParker Layup (8 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)21
70.8%
10
29.2%
Q1 - 1:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
68.4%
10
31.6%
Q1 - 1:42SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot19
67.3%
10
32.7%
Q1 - 1:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
68.4%
10
31.6%
Q1 - 1:53DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot19
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 2:04DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 2:07SASMISS Nesterovic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot19
67.2%
10
32.8%
Q1 - 2:25SASSpurs Rebound19
68.5%
10
31.5%
Q1 - 2:26DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot19
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 2:39DALMAVERICKS Rebound19
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 2:40DALMISS Stackhouse 21' Jump Shot19
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 2:55SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)19
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 3:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
67.2%
10
32.8%
Q1 - 3:30SASRose 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)19
65.7%
10
34.3%
Q1 - 3:37SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
63.9%
10
36.1%
Q1 - 3:39DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot17
63.2%
10
36.8%
Q1 - 3:54DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
61.5%
10
38.5%
Q1 - 3:54DALMISS Stackhouse 8' Jump Shot17
63.2%
10
36.8%
Q1 - 4:03DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 4:04SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 4:04SASMISS Rose Layup17
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 4:05SASMISS Parker Layup17
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 4:11DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)17
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 4:31SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 4:50DALNowitzki 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)17
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 5:09SASParker Layup (6 PTS)17
64.4%
8
35.6%
Q1 - 5:27DALTerry Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 5:31DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
64.4%
6
35.6%
Q1 - 5:33SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot15
65.1%
6
34.9%
Q1 - 5:56DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
66.6%
6
33.4%
Q1 - 6:17SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
63.6%
6
36.4%
Q1 - 6:21DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 6:43SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
59.8%
6
40.2%
Q1 - 6:43SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 212
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 6:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 6:51DALMISS Terry Layup12
59.3%
6
40.7%
Q1 - 7:08DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
57.1%
6
42.9%
Q1 - 7:09SASMISS Ginobili Layup12
57.7%
6
42.3%
Q1 - 7:31DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 7:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
57.2%
6
42.8%
Q1 - 7:33SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot12
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 7:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 7:38SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot12
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 7:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 7:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
59.4%
5
40.6%
Q1 - 8:07SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 8:20DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 8:34SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 8:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 8:44SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 8:46DALMISS Howard Reverse Layup8
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 9:01SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
53.2%
4
46.8%
Q1 - 9:14DALDampier Dunk (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)6
51.9%
4
48.1%
Q1 - 9:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 9:24SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot6
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 9:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
55.7%
2
44.3%
Q1 - 9:46DALMISS Howard Driving Layup6
54.9%
2
45.1%
Q1 - 10:04SASNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 10:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 10:14DALMISS Dampier Layup4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 10:15DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 10:17DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 10:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 10:32SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot4
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 10:44SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 10:46DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 11:03SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 11:22DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 11:43SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Parker0
47.7%
0
52.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.5%
DAL
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
22
33
67%
DAL
18
28
64%
Midrange
SAS
15
36
42%
DAL
12
37
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
DAL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
SAS
30
39
77%
DAL
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2056%10.0 / 18
T. Parker1745%8.5 / 19
D. Brown1662%8.0 / 13
B. Udrih1680%8.0 / 10
M. Ginobili1150%5.5 / 11
R. Nesterovic950%4.5 / 9
M. Rose542%2.5 / 6
B. Barry440%2.0 / 5
R. Horry4100%2.0 / 2
B. Bowen325%1.5 / 6
M. Wilks2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2153%10.5 / 20
J. Howard1747%8.5 / 18
M. Daniels1563%7.5 / 12
J. Terry1056%5.0 / 9
E. Dampier660%3.0 / 5
J. Stackhouse630%3.0 / 10
D. Dickau5125%2.5 / 2
D. Harris433%2.0 / 6
A. Henderson467%2.0 / 3
C. Booth125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
88
+12
-10
100
DAL
75
+14
-22
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.5%
DAL
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
107.3
SAS 109.2
DAL 91.8 +17.4
Pace
91.2
95.3
SAS 95.9
DAL 99.2 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.8
SAS 15.0
DAL 14.5 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.2%
SAS 48.1% +2.3%
DAL 45.8%
TO %
14.2%
13.4%
SAS 9.3% +11.2%
DAL 20.5%
ORB %
29.2%
28.7%
SAS 25.0%
DAL 27.0% +2.0%
FTrt
32.9
34.6
SAS 48.8 +7.1
DAL 41.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
52.6%
SAS 57.9% +26.6%
DAL 31.3%
STL %
8.2%
9.0%
SAS 12.2% +9.1%
DAL 3.1%
BLK %
9.9%
8.6%
SAS 9.2% +2.0%
DAL 7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
51.7%
SAS 52.5% +3.1%
DAL 49.4%
Rim FG%
59.3%
57.5%
SAS 66.7% +2.4%
DAL 64.3%
Mid FG%
37.2%
41.4%
SAS 41.7% +9.3%
DAL 32.4%
3P %
36.3%
36.4%
SAS 9.1%
DAL 28.6% +19.5%
FT %
72.4%
78.9%
SAS 76.9% +0.2%
DAL 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.6%
SAS 41.3% +2.4%
DAL 38.9%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
48.4%
SAS 45.0% +6.4%
DAL 51.4%
3P Att. %
21.6%
19.0%
SAS 13.8% +4.0%
DAL 9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points10789
Rebounds3843
Assists2210
Steals123
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)33 (3)
Field Goals38-8032-72
At-the-Rim FG22-3318-28
Midrange FG15-3612-37
2-Point FG37-6930-65
3-Point FG1-112-7
Free Throws30-3923-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
35.7
20
56%
13
2
1
5
2
4
5
8
4-6
67%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
29.2
9
50%
6
0
1
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
28.9
17
45%
2
2
3
0
3
2
0
2
3-4
75%
7-15
47%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
28.3
3
25%
3
3
1
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
26.6
11
50%
5
4
3
0
2
5
1
4
7-9
78%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
19.5
16
62%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
19.1
16
80%
0
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
7-8
88%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
18.7
4
40%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
18.6
4
100%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
12.5
5
42%
2
0
0
0
2
4
2
0
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
2.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
53%
38
22
12
6
10
0
11
27
30-39
77%
37-69
54%
1-11
9%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.