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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks28%97100
16Celtics72%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.0
41.4
32.7
10
33%
4
8
3
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-13
5-11
38%
40%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.1
40.0
36.0
16
57%
8
5
1
1
0
5
5
3
8-9
89%
4-10
6-14
40%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
39.8
37.9
23
68%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-10
6-13
50%
45%
4-6
67%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
39.0
35.8
21
72%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
6-6
100%
6-11
4-10
55%
45%
1-1
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
7.8
22.8
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 26.3
19.4
11.8
11
51%
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 29.6
16.4
3.6
12
51%
6
0
1
0
0
2
5
1
6-11
55%
3-7
0-1
43%
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.4
16.2
24.6
2
17%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.0
15.1
10.5
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.8
5.0
16.7
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.4
11.9
0
2-4
44%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 28.4
3.7
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.4
37.0
26.8
10
41%
3
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-5
40%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.0
34.7
28.4
16
59%
16
2
1
1
3
3
8
8
6-6
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.1
34.5
35.9
23
61%
4
4
3
2
0
5
0
4
10-11
91%
5-11
5-12
45%
46%
1-3
33%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.5
32.1
26.8
14
58%
7
0
0
1
2
1
4
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
55%
0-1
0%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.8
22.8
21.6
9
57%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
32.8
30.8
12
41%
3
2
3
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
2-9
5-10
22%
48%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 19.9
12.9
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 22.9
12.8
15.5
4
34%
6
1
1
1
0
1
5
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.0
11.6
14.7
7
53%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
6.7
11.5
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.1
2.1
3.2
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.0
6.5
0
1-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.