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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
31Nets29%9368
24Wizards71%10095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
38.3
34.3
17
58%
6
0
0
1
0
4
2
4
9-13
69%
4-9
3-8
44%
43%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 24.4
35.3
41.8
7
34%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
7-10
70%
0-6
8-16
0%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 32.4
29.1
31.2
16
67%
0
1
0
1
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
7-11
3-8
64%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.0
27.9
30.5
4
24%
9
2
2
1
0
0
4
5
2-3
67%
1-7
2-5
14%
42%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 34.8
24.8
24.1
6
30%
9
0
0
0
3
0
0
9
2-9
22%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.8
18.9
10.2
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
16.8
21.4
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 27.1
14.9
13.9
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
37%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
13.7
9.7
3
39%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
10.6
1.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 22.2
8.0
14.3
6
77%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
1.8
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
37.9
37.0
30
65%
7
5
1
2
0
1
1
6
11-14
79%
5-12
4-10
42%
44%
3-5
60%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
36.9
39.4
18
53%
9
4
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
9-15
7-14
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
32.4
39.4
15
38%
4
9
4
2
0
1
0
4
6-8
75%
3-12
6-13
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.0
29.9
35.1
7
46%
13
0
0
1
4
2
3
10
3-6
50%
2-5
5-9
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
10.8
21.7
1
27%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
27.4
30.6
7
32%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-8
3-8
38%
43%
0-2
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.9
22.9
10.4
0
0%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.0
16.6
5.8
9
64%
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.7
13.6
29.2
6
60%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.1
11.8
11.5
2
29%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.8
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.8
2.3
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.