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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2276ers22%8972
2Spurs78%99105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 29.5
32.1
38.1
14
38%
3
2
1
2
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
6-16
7-16
38%
41%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.8
28.3
30.0
4
41%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 23.7
27.7
33.6
8
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-4
25%
39%
2-4
50%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 29.9
19.9
28.6
18
57%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
7-14
4-10
50%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
16.2
13.8
3
38%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.0
30.3
22.1
5
43%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
25.4
13.5
2
17%
7
2
2
0
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
24.1
14.1
8
31%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-12
2-4
25%
39%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 27.4
19.5
10.6
2
14%
5
1
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
43%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.0
7.5
23.6
4
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 28.5
7.5
7.1
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 32.2
1.6
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.5
26.9
25.7
2
25%
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.6
25.2
33.7
24
85%
12
1
0
1
6
4
1
11
4-5
80%
10-12
8-15
83%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.5
24.6
29.7
14
74%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
48%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.5
24.2
28.6
0
0%
4
2
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-4
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
23.1
26.0
11
51%
3
4
0
2
0
2
2
1
7-11
64%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
29.3
16.8
24
76%
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
4-7
57%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.9
19.3
21.6
2
20%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-3
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.0
18.8
16.7
6
44%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.4
16.4
16.8
10
100%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
15.2
3.5
5
66%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.3
9.9
16.4
7
72%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-4
50%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.6
7.0
4.1
0
0%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.