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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pacers42%9376
13Clippers58%9688
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.7
43.8
40.9
19
58%
4
4
0
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
2-6
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.2
42.5
36.8
15
50%
7
3
3
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
5-11
45%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.3
42.2
20.4
21
82%
4
6
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
43%
3-4
75%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
29.0
24.4
3
40%
2
0
0
1
2
2
1
1
1-4
25%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Britton Johnsen
F · 6'10" 210 · 25.4
24.8
11.5
4
29%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.9
24.6
2.1
8
37%
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-10
0-1
30%
46%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.3
19.0
2.4
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.6
14.2
4.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.8
38.7
2
4-8
44%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.6
38.0
1
2-6
42%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.8
19.4
1
2-4
47%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.1
13.9
1
2-5
46%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
12.3
0
3-6
46%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 26.7
12.0
1
1-3
48%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.2
6.1
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 26.0
40.4
37.6
10
45%
3
8
1
2
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
39.1
39.1
20
71%
5
5
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
5-11
64%
47%
2-3
67%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
38.5
14.3
17
55%
9
4
2
0
0
0
1
8
9-10
90%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.7
35.6
36.7
27
76%
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
4
3-4
75%
12-16
7-14
75%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
19.2
23.7
4
41%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
51%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 23.6
34.4
29.6
2
14%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.5
16.7
18.7
6
60%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 29.1
8.8
20.0
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
7.2
10.8
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.5
7.3
0
1-1
48%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.6
3.6
0
1-1
48%
Lionel Chalmers
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.1
2.2
0
0-0
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.