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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Warriors31%9588
11Lakers69%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
40.0
36.4
22
42%
1
7
2
1
0
4
1
0
6-7
86%
8-20
6-14
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.6
37.8
36.4
13
47%
13
1
0
1
0
3
4
9
4-4
100%
3-9
6-13
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.6
29.0
22.7
9
52%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
24.3
23.7
14
58%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
5-7
71%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.7
9.9
18.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.0
24.1
28.1
11
56%
3
1
0
1
3
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
40%
0-1
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.4
24.0
15.1
6
43%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.3
19.0
24.3
4
22%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
41%
0-2
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35.7
18.7
7.6
0
0%
4
2
0
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
9.1
18.9
7
93%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
4.1
4.7
2
100%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
2.1
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
43.1
42.2
10
33%
12
10
2
2
0
8
0
12
4-7
57%
3-10
7-14
30%
47%
0-2
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.7
37.6
32.4
27
60%
4
2
2
1
1
2
1
3
5-6
83%
11-20
4-8
55%
44%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
31.7
36.3
13
44%
8
4
0
1
1
0
1
7
3-4
75%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.3
29.7
33.3
5
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.4
27.6
19.2
15
52%
10
0
1
0
0
1
5
5
3-8
38%
6-11
3-5
55%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
29.7
26.9
15
63%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
3-6
50%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.5
18.8
13.7
10
54%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
17.6
17.0
2
35%
9
1
1
1
2
0
1
8
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.8
3.0
6.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
1.3
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
5.3
0
0-1
44%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.7
1.6
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.