Final Win Prob. pScore
2822%93
87
478%102
113
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
96.79086.4
SAC logo Kings
124.29195.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAC
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0SACKINGS Rebound87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDMISS Johnsen 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0SACMartin 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0SACMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0SACMISS Martin Tip Shot87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0INDFowlkes P.FOUL (P2.T2)87
111
Q4 - 0:18.0INDEvans STEAL (1 STL)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0SACBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0INDMISS Haislip 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0SACMISS Songaila 19' Jump Shot87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:15INDJohnsen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:20INDGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:22SACMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:46INDFowlkes Layup (8 PTS) (Edwards 2 AST)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11SACMartin 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)83
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20INDMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45SACEvans 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06INDJohnsen Layup (2 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23INDGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25SACMISS Songaila 15' Jump Shot81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36INDMISS Fowlkes 15' Jump Shot81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54SACDaniels 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11INDGill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Edwards 1 AST)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25INDSUB: Edwards FOR Johnson78
105
Q4 - 4:25INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)78
105
Q4 - 4:30INDGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53SACSongaila S.FOUL (P3.T4)77
105
Q4 - 4:55SACBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03SACMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19SACKINGS Rebound77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33SACSongaila P.FOUL (P2.T3)77
105
Q4 - 5:52SACEvans 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58INDJohnsen Violation:Kicked Ball77
103
Q4 - 6:10INDFowlkes 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22SACMartin L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)75
103
Q4 - 6:25INDPacers Rebound75
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26SACMISS Evans 19' Jump Shot75
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44INDFowlkes 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)75
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)73
103
Q4 - 7:00SACMartin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)73
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06INDMISS Johnsen 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21SACSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21SACSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21SACSUB: Martin FOR Ostertag73
101
Q4 - 7:21SACSUB: Daniels FOR Jackson73
101
Q4 - 7:21INDJohnsen S.FOUL (P1.T1)73
101
Q4 - 7:42INDJohnson Dunk (4 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46SACJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:08INDFowlkes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25SACEvans Dunk (2 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:40INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09SACJackson Layup (12 PTS)69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10SACJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12SACMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25INDMISS Haislip 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45SACBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:56SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:58SACMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:20SACMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37INDHaislip Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37INDHaislip Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37SACSUB: Evans FOR Christie67
97
Q4 - 10:37SACOstertag S.FOUL (P1.T1)67
97
Q4 - 10:50SACSUB: Barnes FOR Stojakovic67
97
Q4 - 10:50INDSUB: Fowlkes FOR Jones67
97
Q4 - 10:50INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)67
97
Q4 - 10:52SACJackson Layup (10 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:54SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:57INDMISS Jones Dunk67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:02SACJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:08INDChristie STEAL (1 STL)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:24SACJackson Driving Layup (8 PTS)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26INDJackson STEAL (1 STL)67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:41SACChristie 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 12:0067
91
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC67
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND67
91
Q3 - 0:00.0INDTinsley 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)67
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0INDSUB: Johnsen FOR Edwards64
91
Q3 - 0:07.0SACChristie P.FOUL (P2.T4)64
91
Q3 - 0:16.0SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0SACOstertag Layup (2 PTS)64
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0SACMISS Webber 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haislip 1 AST)64
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 1:02SACJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Christie 9 AST)61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 1:16SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 1:18INDMISS Edwards 15' Jump Shot61
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 1:32SACWebber 6' Running Hook Shot (29 PTS)61
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 1:53INDEdwards REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 1:53INDEdwards Tip Shot (9 PTS)61
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 1:55INDMISS Tinsley 8' Jump Shot59
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 2:15SACWebber Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)59
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 2:27SACWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 2:28INDMISS Edwards 7' Jump Hook Shot59
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 2:41INDSUB: Johnson FOR Jones59
84
Q3 - 2:41SACOstertag Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)59
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 3:01INDJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)59
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 3:15INDJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 3:17INDMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 3:36SACChristie 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)56
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 3:52SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 3:53INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 256
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 3:53SACSUB: Jackson FOR Bibby56
81
Q3 - 3:53INDPacers Rebound56
81
Q3 - 3:53INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 256
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 3:53SACSUB: Ostertag FOR Miller56
81
Q3 - 3:53INDSUB: Haislip FOR Croshere56
81
Q3 - 3:53SACWebber S.FOUL (P3.T3)56
81
Q3 - 3:53INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 3:54INDMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)56
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 4:06SACWebber 14' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Christie 8 AST)56
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 4:15SACMiller REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 4:17INDMISS Jones Layup56
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 4:29SACWebber 9' Hook Shot (25 PTS)56
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 4:37SACMiller REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)56
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 4:40INDMISS Tinsley 8' Jump Shot56
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 4:53SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 4:53SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 4:53INDJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)56
75
Q3 - 5:00INDTinsley P.FOUL (P2.T2)56
75
Q3 - 5:15INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)56
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 5:19SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)56
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 5:34INDEdwards 9' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)56
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 5:51SACStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Christie 7 AST)54
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 5:54SACKINGS Rebound54
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 5:54SACMISS Miller Layup54
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 6:01SACMiller REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)54
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 6:04INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 6:22SACMiller Layup (17 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)54
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 6:28INDBibby STEAL (2 STL)54
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 6:39SACMiller Violation:Jump Ball54
70
Q3 - 6:39SACJump Ball Miller vs. Tinsley: Tip to54
70
Q3 - 6:39SACMiller Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)54
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 6:48SACKINGS Rebound54
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 6:50SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 7:02INDTinsley Layup (18 PTS)54
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 7:05INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 7:08SACMISS Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot52
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 7:25SACWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 7:27INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 2 of 252
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 7:27INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 7:27SACWebber S.FOUL (P2.T2)51
70
Q3 - 7:32SACWebber Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 7:41SACChristie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 7:43INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 7:50INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 7:52INDMISS Edwards 9' Jump Shot51
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 8:10SACBibby 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Webber 4 AST)51
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 8:22INDWebber STEAL (4 STL)51
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 8:32SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)51
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 8:32SACKINGS Rebound51
67
Q3 - 8:32SACMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 251
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 8:32INDJones S.FOUL (P2.T1)51
67
Q3 - 8:36INDWebber STEAL (3 STL)51
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 8:58INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)51
67
Q3 - 9:00SACBibby Layup (10 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)51
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 9:09SACMiller REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)51
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 9:11INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot51
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 9:24SACBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 9:24SACBibby Tip Shot (8 PTS)51
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 9:27SACMISS Bibby Layup51
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 9:36SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 9:39INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 9:58SACChristie 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)51
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 10:04SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 10:06INDEdwards REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 10:06INDMISS Edwards Layup51
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 10:09INDMISS Tinsley Layup51
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 10:14INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 10:15SACMISS Webber Layup51
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 10:36INDCroshere Dunk (9 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)51
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 10:42INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 10:45SACMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot49
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 10:58SACWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 10:59INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 249
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 10:59INDPacers Rebound49
60
Q3 - 10:59INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 249
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 10:59SACBibby S.FOUL (P3.T1)49
60
Q3 - 11:02INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 11:06SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.8%
60
93.2%
Q3 - 11:18SACWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 11:20SACMISS Christie 17' Jump Shot49
6.8%
60
93.2%
Q3 - 11:37INDTinsley 3' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 12:0047
60
Q2 - 0:00.0SAC47
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACKINGS Rebound47
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACMISS Webber 50' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDWebber STEAL (2 STL)47
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)47
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACSUB: Jackson FOR Miller47
59
Q2 - 0:04.0INDSUB: Gill FOR Fowlkes47
59
Q2 - 0:04.0SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)47
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDFowlkes S.FOUL (P1.PN)47
58
Q2 - 0:15.0INDSUB: Fowlkes FOR Edwards47
58
Q2 - 0:15.0SACKINGS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)47
58
Q2 - 0:15.0INDSUB: Johnsen FOR Croshere47
58
Q2 - 0:15.0INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)47
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0SACWebber Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Christie 6 AST)47
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDEdwards Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDPacers Rebound46
56
Q2 - 0:37.0INDMISS Edwards Free Throw 1 of 246
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0SACWebber S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
56
Q2 - 0:51.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0SACMISS Webber 8' Jump Shot46
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q2 - 1:08INDPacers Violation: Delay of game Violation46
56
Q2 - 1:09INDTinsley Driving Layup (14 PTS)46
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 1:23SACMiller Dunk (15 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)44
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q2 - 1:28SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q2 - 1:29INDMISS Tinsley Layup44
7.7%
54
92.3%
Q2 - 1:32SACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 1:34INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q2 - 1:34INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
7.3%
54
92.7%
Q2 - 1:34SACBibby S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
54
Q2 - 1:43SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
6.4%
54
93.6%
Q2 - 1:43INDSUB: Edwards FOR Haislip42
53
Q2 - 1:43SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q2 - 1:43INDHaislip S.FOUL (P3.PN)42
52
Q2 - 1:44SACMiller REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)42
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 1:45SACMiller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)42
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 1:45SACMISS Miller Tip Shot42
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q2 - 1:46SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q2 - 1:59INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 1:59INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 1:59SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
52
Q2 - 1:59SACBibby S.FOUL (P1.T4)40
52
Q2 - 2:13SACBibby Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 2:27INDHaislip Dunk (8 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)40
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 2:41SACChristie 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 3:00INDTinsley 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q2 - 3:13SACBibby Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)36
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 3:16SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 3:17SACMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot36
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 3:38INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 3:38INDCroshere Tip Shot (7 PTS)36
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 3:39INDMISS Haislip Layup34
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 3:47INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 3:49SACMISS Webber 7' Jump Shot34
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 3:53SACSUB: Bibby FOR Jackson34
46
Q2 - 4:02SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 4:04INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot34
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 4:10INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 4:11SACMISS Jackson Driving Layup34
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 4:21SACJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 4:23INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 4:33SACJackson P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
46
Q2 - 4:47SACWebber 7' Hook Shot (18 PTS)34
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 5:13INDHaislip 3' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)34
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 5:34SACChristie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 5:34SACChristie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 5:34SACSUB: Stojakovic FOR Barnes32
42
Q2 - 5:34SACSUB: Webber FOR Songaila32
42
Q2 - 5:34INDSUB: Jones FOR Johnson32
42
Q2 - 5:34INDSUB: Haislip FOR Edwards32
42
Q2 - 5:3432
42
Q2 - 5:34INDJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4)32
42
Q2 - 5:47INDTinsley Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)32
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 6:06SACSongaila 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 6:22INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 6:22INDSUB: Tinsley FOR Gill29
40
Q2 - 6:22SACSongaila S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
40
Q2 - 6:22INDCroshere Layup (4 PTS)29
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 6:38SACSongaila Layup (3 PTS)27
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 6:39SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 6:40SACMISS Jackson Layup27
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 6:41SACJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 6:42SACChristie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 6:42SACMISS Christie Tip Shot27
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 6:43SACMISS Jackson Layup27
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 7:07INDJohnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 7:23SACMiller Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Christie 5 AST)25
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q2 - 7:29INDGill P.FOUL (P1.T3)25
36
Q2 - 7:29SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 7:30SACMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 7:48INDGill 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)25
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 8:06SACChristie P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
36
Q2 - 8:07INDEdwards REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 8:08SACMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot22
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 8:18SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 8:19INDMISS Gill 7' Jump Shot22
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 8:34INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 8:35SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 8:35SACMISS Songaila Tip Shot22
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 8:36SACMISS Christie 19' Jump Shot22
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 8:43INDSUB: Croshere FOR Johnsen22
36
Q2 - 8:46INDJohnson Violation:Kicked Ball22
36
Q2 - 9:00INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 9:1922
36
Q2 - 9:30SACMiller Dunk (9 PTS)22
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 9:35INDSUB: Edwards FOR Haislip22
34
Q2 - 9:35INDHaislip P.FOUL (P2.T2)22
34
Q2 - 9:49SACChristie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 9:51SACMISS Christie 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.2%
34
92.8%
Q2 - 9:59SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 10:01INDMISS Johnsen 18' Jump Shot22
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 10:18INDHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 10:19SACMISS Songaila Free Throw 2 of 222
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q2 - 10:19SACSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q2 - 10:19INDSUB: Jones FOR Jones22
33
Q2 - 10:19SACSUB: Barnes FOR Bibby22
33
Q2 - 10:19SACSUB: Miller FOR Webber22
33
Q2 - 10:19SACSUB: Christie FOR Stojakovic22
33
Q2 - 10:19INDHaislip S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
33
Q2 - 10:27SACJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
7.6%
33
92.4%
Q2 - 10:29INDMISS Haislip 21' Jump Shot22
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q2 - 10:52INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
8.3%
33
91.7%
Q2 - 10:53SACMISS Songaila 7' Running Hook Shot22
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 11:16SACJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q2 - 11:18INDMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot22
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 11:37SACJackson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)22
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 11:44SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10.3%
30
89.7%
Q2 - 11:46INDMISS Haislip 6' Jump Shot22
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q2 - 12:0022
30
Q1 - 0:00.0IND22
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS Webber 16' Turnaround Jump Shot22
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0SACJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDMISS Haislip 19' Jump Shot22
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0SACWebber 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)22
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDSUB: Gill FOR Tinsley22
28
Q1 - 1:01INDHaislip 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q1 - 1:18SACSongaila Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q1 - 1:30SACJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.8%
28
89.2%
Q1 - 1:32INDMISS Haislip 20' Jump Shot20
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q1 - 1:45SACSUB: Songaila FOR Christie20
28
Q1 - 1:45SACSUB: Jackson FOR Miller20
28
Q1 - 1:45SACStojakovic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q1 - 2:00INDHaislip 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q1 - 2:11SACWebber 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)18
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q1 - 2:12SACWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q1 - 2:14SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q1 - 2:21SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q1 - 2:22INDMISS Johnsen 9' Jump Shot18
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 2:38SACWebber 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Christie 4 AST)18
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q1 - 2:48INDSUB: Johnsen FOR Edwards18
24
Q1 - 2:48INDSUB: Johnson FOR Jones18
24
Q1 - 2:48SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
24
Q1 - 2:48INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q1 - 2:56INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 2:58SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 3:21INDJones Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)18
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q1 - 3:27INDEdwards REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 3:28SACMISS Christie Alley Oop Layup16
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 3:33SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 3:35SACMISS Christie 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 3:53INDTinsley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 3:58INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9.9%
24
90.1%
Q1 - 3:59SACMISS Miller Layup14
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 4:05INDMiller STEAL (1 STL)14
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 4:22SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 4:22SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q1 - 4:22INDSUB: Haislip FOR Croshere14
22
Q1 - 4:22INDTinsley P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
22
Q1 - 4:26SACWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 4:27SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 4:35INDBibby STEAL (1 STL)14
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 4:48SACMiller Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)14
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 5:08INDTinsley 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 5:19SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
13.0%
20
87.0%
Q1 - 5:19SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 5:19INDJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
18
Q1 - 5:28SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 5:30INDMISS Croshere 17' Jump Shot12
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 5:49SACWebber Dunk (10 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)12
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 6:12SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15.6%
16
84.4%
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS Edwards Free Throw 2 of 212
15.8%
16
84.2%
Q1 - 6:13INDPacers Rebound12
16
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS Edwards Free Throw 1 of 212
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 6:13SACMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
16
Q1 - 6:13INDEdwards REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 6:14INDMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot12
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 6:31SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)12
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 6:48INDEdwards Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)12
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 7:03INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)10
16
Q1 - 7:10SACStojakovic Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)10
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 7:17SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
15.9%
14
84.1%
Q1 - 7:18INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
16.2%
14
83.8%
Q1 - 7:36SACWebber Dunk (8 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)10
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 7:37SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 7:41SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 7:44SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 7:46SACMISS Christie 22' Jump Shot10
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 7:54INDWebber STEAL (1 STL)10
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 8:09INDPacers Rebound10
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 8:10INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 8:10INDMISS Jones Tip Shot10
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 8:12INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 8:38SACWebber 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)10
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 8:47SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 8:48INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot10
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 8:58INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 9:00SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 9:23INDJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)10
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 9:47SACStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)7
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 9:55SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
20.4%
7
79.6%
Q1 - 9:57INDMISS Croshere Layup7
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 10:19SACWebber 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)7
21.0%
7
79.0%
Q1 - 10:35INDCroshere Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 10:43SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
21.2%
5
78.8%
Q1 - 11:05INDJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)5
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 11:20SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 11:20INDEdwards S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 11:20SACMiller Layup (2 PTS)2
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 11:33INDEdwards 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:47INDEdwards Violation:Defensive Goaltending0
2
Q1 - 11:47SACWebber 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)0
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Miller vs. Edwards: Tip to Stojakovic0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDSAC
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 48.9%
SAC
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
25
64%
SAC
22
34
65%
Midrange
IND
12
33
36%
SAC
17
32
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
SAC
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
Free Throws
IND
10
19
53%
SAC
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tinsley2155%10.5 / 19
A. Croshere1050%5.0 / 10
M. Haislip1042%5.0 / 12
J. Edwards945%4.5 / 10
F. Jones850%4.0 / 8
T. Fowlkes880%4.0 / 5
J. Jones643%3.0 / 7
E. Gill675%3.0 / 4
A. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
B. Johnsen433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Webber2969%14.5 / 21
B. Miller1765%8.5 / 13
D. Christie1250%6.0 / 12
M. Bibby1255%6.0 / 11
B. Jackson1250%6.0 / 12
P. Stojakovic1050%5.0 / 10
D. Songaila744%3.5 / 8
M. Evans660%3.0 / 5
K. Martin450%2.0 / 4
G. Ostertag2100%1.0 / 1
E. Daniels2100%1.0 / 1
M. Barnes0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
77
+10
-13
87
SAC
75
+26
-16
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 48.9%
SAC
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
107.4
IND 96.7
SAC 124.2 +27.5
Pace
89.9
95.7
IND 86.4
SAC 95.7 +9.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.4
IND 16.7
SAC 15.0 −1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
49.6%
IND 50.7%
SAC 53.3% +2.6%
TO %
14.7%
13.1%
IND 15.1%
SAC 14.0% −1.1%
ORB %
26.5%
28.8%
IND 20.9%
SAC 54.8% +33.9%
FTrt
35.8
28.7
IND 25.0 +3.9
SAC 21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.6%
IND 48.6%
SAC 62.2% +13.6%
STL %
8.3%
8.5%
IND 11.1% +0.1%
SAC 11.0%
BLK %
6.8%
5.6%
IND 7.6% +5.9%
SAC 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
51.6%
IND 48.9%
SAC 54.9% +6.0%
Rim FG%
55.1%
59.3%
IND 64.0%
SAC 64.7% +0.7%
Mid FG%
39.5%
41.2%
IND 36.4%
SAC 53.1% +16.7%
3P %
34.4%
37.4%
IND 38.9% +13.9%
SAC 25.0%
FT %
79.2%
78.7%
IND 52.6%
SAC 89.5% +36.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
30.3%
IND 32.9%
SAC 37.8% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
49.7%
IND 43.4%
SAC 35.6% −7.9%
3P Att. %
25.5%
20.0%
IND 23.7%
SAC 26.7% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAC
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes25.022.8
Points87113
Rebounds2857
Assists1728
Steals1010
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)23 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals35-7645-90
At-the-Rim FG16-2522-34
Midrange FG12-3317-32
2-Point FG28-5839-66
3-Point FG7-186-24
Free Throws10-1917-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 225 · 26
32.4
8
50%
5
2
2
3
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 275 · 23
31.0
9
45%
5
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
29.6
21
55%
3
6
2
0
5
2
1
2
4-6
67%
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 218 · 24
28.8
6
43%
4
0
2
1
0
2
3
1
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
24.2
10
50%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
26.5
10
42%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 30
19.5
5
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
18.5
6
75%
5
3
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 210 · 25
18.5
4
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 29
11.0
8
80%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 22
G · 6'7" 195 · 39
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
49%
28
17
10
5
13
0
9
19
10-19
53%
28-58
48%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.