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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Raptors28%9397
18Cavaliers72%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
37.0
30.0
12
46%
10
0
1
1
2
4
3
7
6-7
86%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.8
26.3
31.3
9
39%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
1-1
100%
4-10
4-10
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.8
17.1
22.5
6
75%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
40%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 26.5
7.5
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
5.5
4.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.4
37.6
27.2
20
59%
2
10
4
1
0
6
0
2
9-9
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
40%
1-3
33%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
27.9
20.8
16
47%
7
1
3
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
5-13
2-5
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
27.9
16.4
17
64%
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2
3-3
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
48%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
24.5
16.6
4
26%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.6
15.0
14.8
9
64%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
39%
3-4
75%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.5
13.6
21.6
4
34%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
42.8
38.7
27
67%
6
10
2
2
1
3
0
6
6-7
86%
9-14
8-16
64%
48%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
42.5
28.5
27
73%
15
3
2
1
0
1
3
12
7-10
70%
10-14
4-9
71%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
35.4
34.7
10
42%
2
9
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
2-6
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.5
31.0
29.2
21
53%
13
2
2
1
2
6
5
8
3-6
50%
9-17
5-11
53%
48%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
30.6
18.7
10
74%
3
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.0
20.2
19.2
6
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.8
15.3
17.4
2
25%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
12.7
18.3
0
0%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.2
7.3
8.6
2
53%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
2.3
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.8
8.9
0
1-2
38%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.1
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.