FinalWin Prob.pScore
264%99
104
2236%94
83
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
118.28884.5
MIL logo MIL
93.38992.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILStrickland Layup (2 PTS)104
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASStrickland STEAL (2 STL)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)104
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASMISS Wilks 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)104
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25SASWilks Layup (4 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)104
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)102
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)102
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45SASMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27SASBrown 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35MILMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52SASWilks Driving Layup (2 PTS)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07MILWilliams Layup (2 PTS)95
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11SASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Horry 28' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 4 AST)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:45SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07MILPachulia 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13SASStrickland STEAL (1 STL)91
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17MILMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot91
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)89
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)89
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:15MILMISS Gadzuric Layup86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:19MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:32MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:33SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:10SASMISS Brown Driving Layup86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:40MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:42SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:58MILGadzuric Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T13)86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:12MILHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 8:14SASMISS Duncan 8' Hook Shot86
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 8:28MILHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 8:28MILHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 8:34MILFizer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 8:37MILMISS James 3PT Jump Shot86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 8:47MILHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 8:49SASMISS Udrih 12' Jump Shot86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:05MILFizer 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)86
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:07MILFizer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)86
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 9:08MILMISS Hamilton Layup86
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 9:27SASUdrih 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)86
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 9:46MILHamilton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)84
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 10:03SASRose 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 10:32SASSpurs Rebound82
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 10:32MILMISS Fizer 4' Jump Shot82
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 10:40SASFizer STEAL (1 STL)82
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 10:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot82
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 11:03SASSpurs Rebound82
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 11:05MILMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot82
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 11:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 11:27SASRose Tip Shot (7 PTS)82
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 11:29SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot80
98.8%
62
1.2%
Q4 - 11:44MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
99.0%
62
1.0%
Q4 - 11:44MILMason Layup (18 PTS)80
99.0%
62
1.0%
Q4 - 11:46MILMISS Mason Layup80
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL80
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASBrown 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)80
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILFizer Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)77
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASMason STEAL (2 STL)77
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILFizer 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)77
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASUdrih 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 1:05SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
98.3%
58
1.7%
Q3 - 1:06MILMISS Fizer Layup75
98.1%
58
1.9%
Q3 - 1:22SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)75
97.9%
58
2.1%
Q3 - 1:22SASUdrih Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)74
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q3 - 1:28MILMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 172
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 1:28MILHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)72
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 1:45SASRose Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)72
97.5%
56
2.5%
Q3 - 1:59MILMason Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)70
96.9%
56
3.1%
Q3 - 2:13SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)70
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q3 - 2:22SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 2:24MILMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot70
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 2:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q3 - 2:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
95.6%
56
4.4%
Q3 - 2:48MILFizer Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)68
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q3 - 3:07SASUdrih 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
93.5%
56
6.5%
Q3 - 3:26MILHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)66
92.5%
56
7.5%
Q3 - 3:26MILHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
92.8%
55
7.2%
Q3 - 3:26MILBUCKS Rebound66
93.6%
54
6.4%
Q3 - 3:26SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot66
93.9%
54
6.1%
Q3 - 3:53MILFizer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
94.6%
54
5.4%
Q3 - 3:53MILFizer 6' Tip Shot (4 PTS)66
94.6%
54
5.4%
Q3 - 3:55MILMISS Fizer Layup66
96.0%
52
4.0%
Q3 - 4:22SASUdrih 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)66
95.0%
52
5.0%
Q3 - 4:27SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
94.3%
52
5.7%
Q3 - 4:29MILMISS Redd Layup64
93.9%
52
6.1%
Q3 - 4:43SASBowen 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
93.1%
52
6.9%
Q3 - 4:51SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 4:53SASMISS Bowen Layup62
91.0%
52
9.0%
Q3 - 5:09SASSpurs Rebound62
91.6%
52
8.4%
Q3 - 5:10MILMISS Redd Layup62
91.2%
52
8.8%
Q3 - 5:32SASRose Layup (3 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)62
90.1%
52
9.9%
Q3 - 5:50MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
88.7%
52
11.3%
Q3 - 5:50MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
89.0%
51
11.0%
Q3 - 6:05SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)60
89.6%
50
10.4%
Q3 - 6:25SASSpurs Rebound58
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot58
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 6:44MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)58
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 6:44MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 258
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 6:56SASBrown Layup (8 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)58
88.1%
49
11.9%
Q3 - 6:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
86.4%
49
13.6%
Q3 - 7:00MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot56
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 7:19MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
83.5%
49
16.5%
Q3 - 7:21SASGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)56
84.2%
49
15.8%
Q3 - 7:48MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)56
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 7:58SASRedd STEAL (1 STL)56
87.4%
47
12.6%
Q3 - 8:15MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
89.0%
47
11.0%
Q3 - 8:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q3 - 8:18MILMISS Smith Layup56
91.2%
45
8.8%
Q3 - 8:38SASNesterovic 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)56
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q3 - 8:56MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)54
89.0%
45
11.0%
Q3 - 8:56MILSmith 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)54
90.4%
44
9.6%
Q3 - 9:15SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)54
91.2%
42
8.8%
Q3 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
90.0%
42
10.0%
Q3 - 9:29MILMISS Gadzuric Layup52
89.6%
42
10.4%
Q3 - 9:54MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
88.6%
42
11.4%
Q3 - 9:55SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot52
89.0%
42
11.0%
Q3 - 10:13MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T8)52
89.8%
42
10.2%
Q3 - 10:42SASParker 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)52
88.3%
42
11.7%
Q3 - 11:01MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
86.8%
42
13.2%
Q3 - 11:01MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
87.1%
41
12.9%
Q3 - 11:05SASMason STEAL (1 STL)50
88.2%
40
11.8%
Q3 - 11:18MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)50
89.7%
40
10.3%
Q3 - 11:41SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)50
88.2%
40
11.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS48
86.8%
40
13.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound48
86.8%
40
13.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
85.3%
40
14.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
86.1%
40
13.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 248
86.3%
39
13.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASParker 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
86.6%
39
13.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASSpurs Rebound46
84.5%
39
15.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Williams Layup46
84.1%
39
15.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILBUCKS Rebound46
83.2%
39
16.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILMISS Redd Layup46
84.1%
39
15.9%
Q2 - 1:07MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
83.0%
39
17.0%
Q2 - 1:09SASMISS Ginobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot46
83.3%
39
16.7%
Q2 - 1:31MILRedd Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)46
83.9%
39
16.1%
Q2 - 1:45SASGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)46
86.3%
37
13.7%
Q2 - 2:01MILMason Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)46
87.0%
37
13.0%
Q2 - 2:06MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
88.4%
35
11.6%
Q2 - 2:07SASMISS Duncan Layup46
88.8%
35
11.2%
Q2 - 2:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
89.6%
35
10.4%
Q2 - 2:23MILMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot46
89.2%
35
10.8%
Q2 - 2:41SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)46
88.5%
35
11.5%
Q2 - 2:59MILRedd 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
85.5%
35
14.5%
Q2 - 3:06MILBUCKS Rebound43
86.5%
33
13.5%
Q2 - 3:06MILMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot43
87.6%
33
12.4%
Q2 - 3:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
86.5%
33
13.5%
Q2 - 3:10MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot43
87.6%
33
12.4%
Q2 - 3:37SASDuncan Layup (12 PTS)43
86.5%
33
13.5%
Q2 - 3:55MILPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)41
85.3%
33
14.7%
Q2 - 4:16SASParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)41
83.3%
33
16.7%
Q2 - 4:34MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)39
81.6%
33
18.4%
Q2 - 5:07SASGinobili Running Layup (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)39
83.1%
31
16.9%
Q2 - 5:23SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)37
81.6%
31
18.4%
Q2 - 5:43MILStrickland Foul Turnover (P1.T5)36
79.9%
31
20.1%
Q2 - 5:58SASGinobili Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)36
77.9%
31
22.1%
Q2 - 6:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
76.1%
31
23.9%
Q2 - 6:10MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot34
75.4%
31
24.6%
Q2 - 6:27SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)34
73.6%
31
26.4%
Q2 - 6:43MILJames Layup (8 PTS)32
71.9%
31
28.1%
Q2 - 6:47SASJames STEAL (1 STL)32
73.6%
29
26.4%
Q2 - 7:03MILFizer 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)32
75.9%
29
24.1%
Q2 - 7:26SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)32
77.6%
27
22.4%
Q2 - 7:30MILFizer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
75.9%
27
24.1%
Q2 - 7:36MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
73.7%
27
26.3%
Q2 - 7:38MILMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot30
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 7:54SASParker 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)30
73.7%
27
26.3%
Q2 - 7:57SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
71.8%
27
28.2%
Q2 - 7:59MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
71.1%
27
28.9%
Q2 - 8:16SASBrown Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)28
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q2 - 8:35MILJames 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 8:51SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)26
69.3%
25
30.7%
Q2 - 8:54SASSpurs Rebound24
67.3%
25
32.7%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Nesterovic 10' Hook Shot24
65.5%
25
34.5%
Q2 - 9:12MILPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
67.4%
25
32.6%
Q2 - 9:25MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q2 - 9:27SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
70.0%
23
30.0%
Q2 - 9:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
71.7%
23
28.3%
Q2 - 9:44MILMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot24
71.0%
23
29.0%
Q2 - 10:11SASNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)24
69.1%
23
30.9%
Q2 - 10:18SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
67.2%
23
32.8%
Q2 - 10:20MILMISS Strickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q2 - 10:51SASBrown 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)22
64.7%
23
35.3%
Q2 - 10:54SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
62.7%
23
37.3%
Q2 - 10:55SASMISS Parker Layup20
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q2 - 11:17MILMason 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)20
62.8%
23
37.2%
Q2 - 11:34SASParker Layup (2 PTS)20
65.0%
21
35.0%
Q2 - 11:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
62.8%
21
37.2%
Q2 - 11:43SASMISS Barry 18' Jump Shot18
61.2%
21
38.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
62.8%
21
37.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILJames Layup (4 PTS)18
62.8%
21
37.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
65.2%
19
34.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASBrown Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
65.2%
19
34.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot16
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASSpurs Rebound16
62.5%
19
37.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot16
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASMISS Nesterovic 11' Jump Shot16
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)16
62.5%
19
37.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILBUCKS Rebound16
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q1 - 1:00MILMISS James 3PT Jump Shot16
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 1:24SASBarry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)16
60.9%
19
39.1%
Q1 - 1:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
58.1%
19
41.9%
Q1 - 1:37SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
56.9%
19
43.1%
Q1 - 1:43SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
58.1%
19
41.9%
Q1 - 1:45MILMISS Fizer 14' Jump Shot14
57.6%
19
42.4%
Q1 - 2:05SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
56.6%
19
43.4%
Q1 - 2:20SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
58.8%
19
41.2%
Q1 - 2:22MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
58.1%
19
41.9%
Q1 - 2:40SASUdrih Layup (2 PTS)14
56.6%
19
43.4%
Q1 - 3:02MILSmith 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)12
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 3:20MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
56.9%
17
43.1%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 212
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 3:22SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 3:43MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 3:52MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
59.1%
15
40.9%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot11
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 4:14SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 4:16MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 211
61.7%
15
38.3%
Q1 - 4:16MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
60.2%
15
39.8%
Q1 - 4:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
61.6%
14
38.4%
Q1 - 4:21SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 4:25SASSpurs Rebound11
64.1%
14
35.9%
Q1 - 4:25SASGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)11
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 4:45MILMason 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 1 AST)11
64.1%
14
35.9%
Q1 - 5:01SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)11
66.2%
12
33.8%
Q1 - 5:07MILJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
64.4%
12
35.6%
Q1 - 5:24SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)9
62.3%
12
37.7%
Q1 - 5:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
58.4%
12
41.6%
Q1 - 5:47MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot6
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 6:08SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 6:26MILJames 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
58.8%
12
41.2%
Q1 - 6:41MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 6:43SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 7:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
62.6%
10
37.4%
Q1 - 7:02MILMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
62.8%
10
37.2%
Q1 - 7:16MILBUCKS Rebound6
61.4%
10
38.6%
Q1 - 7:16MILMISS Mason 4' Jump Hook Shot6
62.7%
10
37.3%
Q1 - 7:25MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot6
62.0%
10
38.0%
Q1 - 7:33MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 7:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 7:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
60.8%
10
39.2%
Q1 - 8:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
59.7%
10
40.3%
Q1 - 8:01MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot4
59.8%
10
40.2%
Q1 - 8:21SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
58.4%
10
41.6%
Q1 - 8:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.4%
10
39.6%
Q1 - 8:26MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot4
59.8%
10
40.2%
Q1 - 8:41MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
58.4%
10
41.6%
Q1 - 8:44SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)4
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 8:58MILMason 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
60.4%
10
39.6%
Q1 - 9:15MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 9:17SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot4
62.4%
8
37.6%
Q1 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
64.0%
8
36.0%
Q1 - 9:34MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot4
63.3%
8
36.7%
Q1 - 9:46SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 10:06MILSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
63.9%
8
36.1%
Q1 - 10:30SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)4
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 10:45MILMason 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 10:59SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 11:17MILMason 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 11:31MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 11:33SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot0
66.2%
2
33.8%
Q1 - 11:47MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)0
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Redd0
68.9%
0
31.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.21 60.5%
MIL
0.95 47.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
26
73%
MIL
14
29
48%
Midrange
SAS
20
35
57%
MIL
17
35
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIL
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
SAS
14
16
88%
MIL
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2059%10.0 / 17
T. Parker1365%6.5 / 10
D. Brown1372%6.5 / 9
B. Udrih1365%6.5 / 10
M. Ginobili1267%6.0 / 9
M. Rose990%4.5 / 5
B. Bowen758%3.5 / 6
B. Barry536%2.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic450%2.0 / 4
R. Horry467%2.0 / 3
M. Wilks467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason1864%9.0 / 14
M. Redd1539%7.5 / 19
M. James1161%5.5 / 9
J. Smith1063%5.0 / 8
M. Fizer850%4.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia758%3.5 / 6
Z. Hamilton660%3.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric440%2.0 / 5
M. Williams217%1.0 / 6
E. Strickland220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+11
-14
85
MIL
75
+12
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.21 60.5%
MIL
0.95 47.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
103.5
SAS 118.2
MIL 93.3 +24.9
Pace
91.2
93.5
SAS 84.5
MIL 92.8 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.4
SAS 17.0
MIL 15.5 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
47.5%
SAS 60.0% +14.9%
MIL 45.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
SAS 14.6% +0.8%
MIL 15.4%
ORB %
29.2%
29.0%
SAS 25.0% +0.8%
MIL 24.2%
FTrt
32.9
33.9
SAS 21.3
MIL 33.3 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.0%
SAS 65.1% +8.8%
MIL 56.3%
STL %
8.2%
6.9%
SAS 6.8%
MIL 10.1% +3.3%
BLK %
9.9%
5.4%
SAS 10.9% +6.0%
MIL 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.1%
SAS 60.5% +12.8%
MIL 47.7%
Rim FG%
59.3%
54.1%
SAS 73.1% +24.8%
MIL 48.3%
Mid FG%
37.2%
40.8%
SAS 57.1% +8.5%
MIL 48.6%
3P %
36.3%
35.1%
SAS 28.6% +16.1%
MIL 12.5%
FT %
72.4%
77.2%
SAS 87.5% +12.5%
MIL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.8%
SAS 34.7%
MIL 40.3% +5.6%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
48.1%
SAS 46.7% +1.9%
MIL 48.6%
3P Att. %
21.6%
14.1%
SAS 18.7% +7.6%
MIL 11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points10483
Rebounds3229
Assists2818
Steals69
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (5)21 (1)
Field Goals43-7532-72
At-the-Rim FG19-2614-29
Midrange FG20-3517-35
2-Point FG39-6131-64
3-Point FG4-141-8
Free Throws14-1618-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
29.6
20
59%
7
4
1
5
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
29.3
4
50%
7
1
0
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
27.9
13
65%
1
8
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
27.0
12
67%
1
3
1
0
3
1
1
0
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
22.9
7
58%
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
30.3
13
72%
5
4
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
18.9
9
90%
5
1
0
0
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
15.8
5
36%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
14.3
13
65%
1
1
1
0
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
14.2
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
5.8
4
67%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
61%
32
28
6
7
14
0
7
25
14-16
88%
39-61
64%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.