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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Jazz23%9786
5Mavericks77%106109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.5
37.0
31.3
22
69%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
9-14
4-9
64%
49%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.0
34.7
36.7
8
40%
2
6
2
1
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
8-15
33%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.3
33.7
25.5
16
67%
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
43%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
28.1
24.3
8
50%
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
27.0
27.1
6
30%
2
2
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
23.0
19.5
10
59%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
5-6
3-7
83%
46%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
18.2
17.7
5
36%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.0
15.8
18.3
4
100%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
14.3
20.2
5
50%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
1-1
100%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
4.1
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Aleksandar Radojevic
C · 7'3" 250 · 28.3
4.1
3.3
2
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.1
5.4
0
1-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
40.5
39.8
30
67%
7
2
1
1
4
3
1
6
8-8
100%
8-15
8-16
53%
49%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.4
36.0
29.2
6
43%
9
3
0
0
0
8
5
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
35.9
39.2
17
51%
10
1
1
2
0
2
4
6
3-4
75%
7-14
4-10
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
27.9
29.5
10
45%
6
6
6
1
0
0
3
3
4-5
80%
3-9
4-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.8
11.8
17.7
6
100%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
31.3
28.3
19
88%
5
9
4
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
4-4
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.1
30.4
30.2
18
60%
1
3
0
1
2
1
0
1
7-7
100%
4-9
4-10
44%
43%
1-3
33%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.0
8.8
7.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.5
7.9
29.8
2
20%
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.6
6.1
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.7
3.5
4.8
1
57%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.