FinalWin Prob.pScore
1045%96
95
1955%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.210393.6
DEN logo DEN
100.0104115.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN95
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAAnthony STEAL (4 STL)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 295
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAButler Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)95
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENMartin Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENMISS Boykins Layup92
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:00MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)92
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:07DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:07DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)89
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 289
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)89
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 1:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 1:20DENMartin Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)88
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 1:20DENMISS Camby Layup88
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 1:30DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)88
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)88
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 1:40DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 1:40DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 1:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 1:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 2:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 286
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 286
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAHaslem 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)86
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHeat Rebound84
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot84
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 2:47DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot84
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 3:08MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)84
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:28DENMiller 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)81
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade 9' Running Layup (22 PTS)80
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 3:45DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 3:45DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)78
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 3:45DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 3:59DENNUGGETS Rebound78
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot78
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 4:15DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)78
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 4:34DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 4:50DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 4:50DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 5:05DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot78
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 5:28DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q4 - 5:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q4 - 5:34MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)78
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 6:00DENAnthony Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P6.T19)78
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q4 - 6:00DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 6:03DENMISS Anthony Layup78
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q4 - 6:24MIAO'Neal Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)78
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q4 - 6:32MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q4 - 6:34DENMISS Anthony Reverse Layup76
9.8%
83
90.2%
Q4 - 6:48MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T25)76
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 6:58DENBoykins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)76
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q4 - 7:13MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T24)76
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 7:16MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q4 - 7:18DENMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot76
11.6%
83
88.4%
Q4 - 7:27DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot76
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q4 - 7:38DENMISS Boykins 15' Jump Shot76
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q4 - 7:55MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)76
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q4 - 8:04DENMISS Boykins 21' Running Jump Shot73
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)73
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q4 - 8:37MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 271
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 8:48DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)71
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)71
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q4 - 9:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:23DENMartin Layup (8 PTS)71
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:24DENMISS Martin Tip Shot71
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 9:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 9:30DENMISS Martin 22' Layup71
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 9:43MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)71
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 9:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q4 - 10:06DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q4 - 10:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot69
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q4 - 10:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q4 - 10:30DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot69
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIALaettner 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)69
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHeat Rebound67
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Buckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q4 - 11:19DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot67
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q4 - 11:40DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)67
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound67
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENElson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)67
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENElson Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 7 AST)67
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Jones 13' Running Jump Shot67
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 267
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 267
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q3 - 1:00MIABuckner STEAL (1 STL)67
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q3 - 1:20DENMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot67
13.0%
76
87.0%
Q3 - 1:36MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P2.T21)67
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q3 - 1:54DENBoykins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)67
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q3 - 1:58MIABoykins STEAL (5 STL)67
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q3 - 2:15DENBuckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Boykins 6 AST)67
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)67
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q3 - 2:43DENBoykins 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
16.9%
73
83.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)65
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q3 - 3:20DENElson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)63
17.7%
71
82.3%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
20.3%
69
79.7%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)62
19.7%
69
80.3%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
17.7%
69
82.3%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot61
15.8%
69
84.2%
Q3 - 3:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
17.6%
69
82.4%
Q3 - 3:49DENMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot61
16.8%
69
83.2%
Q3 - 3:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
15.0%
69
85.0%
Q3 - 3:56DENMISS Boykins 7' Running Jump Shot61
16.8%
69
83.2%
Q3 - 4:05MIANene STEAL (3 STL)61
15.6%
69
84.4%
Q3 - 4:21DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)61
18.4%
69
81.6%
Q3 - 4:21DENNene Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)61
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 4:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Haslem Layup61
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q3 - 4:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 4:50DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot61
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 4:58DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot61
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 5:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
27.9%
66
72.1%
Q3 - 5:13DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot61
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 5:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)61
24.4%
66
75.6%
Q3 - 5:33MIAO'Neal Dunk (9 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)60
21.4%
66
78.6%
Q3 - 6:01DENNene Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 6 AST)58
19.7%
66
80.3%
Q3 - 6:24MIAPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)58
22.1%
64
77.9%
Q3 - 6:33DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)55
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 6:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
14.9%
64
85.1%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup55
15.5%
64
84.5%
Q3 - 6:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 7:01DENMISS Martin 18' Fadeaway Jumper55
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)55
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 7:39DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)55
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 7:47MIANene STEAL (2 STL)55
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
22.7%
62
77.3%
Q3 - 7:56DENMISS Nene Dunk55
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 8:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 255
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 255
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 8:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 8:24DENMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot55
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 8:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
20.2%
62
79.8%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot55
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 8:54DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)55
23.1%
62
76.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 153
16.6%
62
83.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIAO'Neal Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 9:53DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)51
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q3 - 10:28DENAnthony 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)49
15.1%
60
84.9%
Q3 - 10:40DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 249
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 10:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 10:56DENAnthony Layup (18 PTS) (Martin 5 AST)48
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 11:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 11:20MIACamby BLOCK (2 BLK)48
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q3 - 11:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q3 - 11:36DENMISS Miller Layup48
21.2%
56
78.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMartin STEAL (2 STL)48
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 11:49DENMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)48
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q3 - 11:50MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)48
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Buckner 42' 3PT Jump Shot48
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIADoleac 7' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)48
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 246
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)46
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIADooling Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)46
16.6%
56
83.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q2 - 1:01DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q2 - 1:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot46
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q2 - 1:39DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)46
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q2 - 1:59MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
18.4%
54
81.6%
Q2 - 2:02DENMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot44
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q2 - 2:35DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)42
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q2 - 2:40MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 2:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q2 - 2:56DENMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q2 - 3:21MIADoleac Dunk (8 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)40
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
11.0%
54
89.0%
Q2 - 3:35DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q2 - 3:56MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)38
9.8%
54
90.2%
Q2 - 4:01DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIALaettner Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)36
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 4:35DENAnthony Layup (14 PTS)34
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q2 - 4:39MIAAnthony STEAL (3 STL)34
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 4:56DENMiller Layup (6 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)34
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q2 - 4:59MIAAnthony STEAL (2 STL)34
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 5:04DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)34
12.0%
50
88.0%
Q2 - 5:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot34
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 5:16MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
12.0%
50
88.0%
Q2 - 5:19DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 5:31MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)34
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 5:51DENBoykins Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)32
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 5:54MIABoykins STEAL (4 STL)32
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 6:03DENMiller Dunk (4 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)32
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q2 - 6:07MIABoykins STEAL (3 STL)32
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 6:23MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 6:23DENMISS Buckner Layup32
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 6:24DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 6:26DENMISS Martin Dunk32
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 6:40MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 7:05DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)30
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)30
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 7:33MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 7:35DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T9)28
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 8:09DENAnthony Layup (10 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)28
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIABoykins STEAL (2 STL)28
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 8:37DENBoykins Layup (5 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)28
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 8:41MIABoykins STEAL (1 STL)28
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 8:51DENCamby Foul Turnover (P2.T7)28
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 9:17MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)28
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 9:23MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 9:25DENMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot26
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 9:45MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 10:07DENRussell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)26
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 10:23DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 10:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 10:42DENMISS Camby 14' Jump Shot26
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 10:57MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 11:16DENElson Layup (2 PTS)24
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 11:17DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 11:21DENMISS Elson Layup24
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 11:22DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 11:24DENMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot24
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 11:49MIAWade Dunk (6 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)24
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Russell 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot22
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENBuckner 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)22
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIACamby STEAL (1 STL)22
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENBoykins Layup (3 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)22
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 122
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)22
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q1 - 1:22DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)20
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q1 - 1:36DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot20
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q1 - 1:47DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q1 - 2:14MIADooling Driving Dunk (2 PTS)20
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q1 - 2:23DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q1 - 2:34DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q1 - 2:34MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T4)18
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 2:47DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 118
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q1 - 2:47DENNene Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)18
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q1 - 2:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot18
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 3:12DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)18
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q1 - 3:16MIANene STEAL (1 STL)18
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q1 - 3:36DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 3:53MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 4:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 4:06DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 216
29.8%
23
70.2%
Q1 - 4:06DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)16
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 4:25DENBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q1 - 4:25DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 214
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)14
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 4:38DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
30.1%
21
69.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 5:10DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 5:10DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 5:16MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 5:33DENAnthony Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)10
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 5:55MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
28.5%
17
71.5%
Q1 - 6:13DENAnthony 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)8
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)8
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 6:46DENMartin Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)5
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 6:49MIAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)5
27.3%
13
72.7%
Q1 - 7:06DENCamby 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)5
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 7:16DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS O'Neal Layup5
28.5%
13
71.5%
Q1 - 7:37DENCamby Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)5
29.7%
13
70.3%
Q1 - 7:46DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)5
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot5
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 7:56DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 7:56DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
33.5%
10
66.5%
Q1 - 7:58DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot5
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 8:26DENAnthony Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)5
36.7%
9
63.3%
Q1 - 8:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
38.2%
7
61.8%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Person 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 9:05DENBuckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
40.2%
7
59.8%
Q1 - 9:24MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 9:47DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 9:47DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot3
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 9:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 10:00DENMISS Camby 7' Reverse Layup3
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 10:03DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 10:05DENMISS Buckner 17' Jump Shot3
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 10:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot3
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 10:31DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 10:31DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)3
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 10
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:12DENMiller Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)0
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 11:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIACamby BLOCK (1 BLK)0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:37DENMISS Martin 12' Hook Shot0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. O'Neal: Tip to Miller0
41.8%
0
58.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
DEN
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
23
70%
DEN
23
33
70%
Midrange
MIA
15
34
44%
DEN
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
DEN
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
15
25
60%
DEN
22
32
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2662%13.0 / 21
U. Haslem1458%7.0 / 12
E. Jones1346%6.5 / 14
S. O'Neal1240%6.0 / 15
M. Doleac1083%5.0 / 6
R. Butler770%3.5 / 5
C. Laettner675%3.0 / 4
W. Person375%1.5 / 2
K. Dooling233%1.0 / 3
D. Jones233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2867%14.0 / 21
E. Boykins1650%8.0 / 16
K. Martin1243%6.0 / 14
A. Miller1063%5.0 / 8
G. Buckner1056%5.0 / 9
Nene1056%5.0 / 9
M. Camby857%4.0 / 7
F. Elson744%3.5 / 8
B. Russell375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+8
-26
85
DEN
84
+10
-20
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
DEN
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.6
MIA 92.2 +7.8
DEN 100.0
Pace
93.9
95.8
MIA 93.6
DEN 115.6 +22.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.8
MIA 15.4
DEN 12.5 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.3%
MIA 55.6% +2.4%
DEN 53.2%
TO %
14.0%
15.0%
MIA 23.9%
DEN 18.0% +5.9%
ORB %
27.0%
28.4%
MIA 17.9%
DEN 25.0% +7.1%
FTrt
38.7
35.0
MIA 34.7
DEN 41.6 +6.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
64.5%
MIA 78.4% +4.0%
DEN 74.4%
STL %
6.8%
9.5%
MIA 8.7%
DEN 16.3% +7.6%
BLK %
8.7%
9.3%
MIA 14.3% +7.3%
DEN 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.8%
MIA 54.0%
DEN 54.2% +0.2%
Rim FG%
63.0%
60.5%
MIA 69.6%
DEN 69.7% +0.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
37.4%
MIA 44.1% +4.1%
DEN 40.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.0%
MIA 40.0% +11.4%
DEN 28.6%
FT %
67.2%
76.3%
MIA 60.0%
DEN 68.8% +8.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
39.0%
MIA 31.9%
DEN 42.9% +10.9%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
46.8%
MIA 47.2%
DEN 39.0% +8.3%
3P Att. %
19.8%
14.2%
MIA 20.8% +2.7%
DEN 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions103104
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points95104
Rebounds3742
Assists2929
Steals917
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)26 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals37-7239-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2323-33
Midrange FG15-3412-30
2-Point FG31-5735-63
3-Point FG6-154-14
Free Throws15-2522-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 33
34.0
13
46%
4
4
1
3
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-6
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
33.1
26
62%
6
8
1
0
5
4
1
5
7-9
78%
8-13
62%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
32.7
12
40%
10
3
1
3
5
5
2
8
2-8
25%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
27.0
14
58%
6
3
1
1
1
4
1
5
2-3
67%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 34
12.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
23.1
2
33%
2
2
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
19.7
6
75%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
17.8
2
33%
1
4
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
15.2
10
83%
2
1
2
0
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
14.8
0
0%
2
1
2
1
3
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
9.7
7
70%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
54%
37
29
9
9
26
0
7
30
15-25
60%
31-57
54%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.