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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Trail Blazers28%9589
6SuperSonics72%10299
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.0
41.3
34.7
14
61%
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
7
7-8
88%
2-6
5-11
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
41.1
34.8
16
48%
12
3
0
1
1
4
3
9
6-6
100%
5-13
8-16
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 30.4
31.8
30.3
10
46%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
2-6
33%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 31.3
31.7
27.5
11
36%
3
7
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
4-13
2-6
31%
41%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 31.6
25.1
29.4
7
105%
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
20.8
21.8
12
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
2-3
67%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 29.3
17.6
21.3
5
51%
2
4
0
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
16.3
26.1
10
46%
4
2
0
1
1
3
2
2
2-4
50%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.2
11.6
6.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 19.5
0.9
1.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 20.2
0.9
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Geno Carlisle
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
0.9
0.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
39.2
38.2
20
67%
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
3-6
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
38.7
39.7
14
43%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-3
67%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
2-7
29%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.8
31.7
30.6
11
62%
1
4
1
1
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 24.5
24.9
21.6
5
91%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 29.0
15.0
15.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.0
32.1
27.6
20
63%
10
4
5
1
1
1
3
7
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
3-8
38%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.7
19.9
26.6
7
32%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
52%
1-2
50%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28.7
19.5
20.5
12
77%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.1
16.2
12.4
6
61%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 24.9
0.9
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 19.0
0.9
1.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 27.2
0.9
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.